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The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy trading with a 99.3% win rate The bot doesn't take risks it uses math and statistics to consistently achieve a 99% win probability. Using this approach, it has earned +$805,000 across 29,184 predictions with 99.3% accuracy Here's a breakdown of its algorithm:... 1. Price Mispricing Detection δ = actual win probability − implied probability Traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1–50¢), but the main edge is concentrated in contracts (80–99¢) that's exactly where the bot trades 2. Expected Value (EV) Calculation EV = (P_win × Payout) − (P_loss × Cost) Shows whether a bet is worth placing regardless of the outcome of any single trade 3. Kelly Criterion f* = (p × b − q) / b The most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for trading and prediction markets Tells the algorithm what percentage of your portfolio to put into each bet to win in the long run His profile: Those who copy traded him have already made $35,000 But those who followed him and used Poly_Parlay made over $100,000 How? By simply mirroring his trades with a multiplier Instead of opening single trades, they added them all to a basket, so the odds multiplied Bot access:show more

sopersone

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15,781 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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HIDDEN PATTERN IN 72M POLYMARKET TRADES PRINTED +$865K ACROSS 29,000 PREDICTION No gambling-pure math, stats, strict sizing. How it works: 1. Mispricing 72M trades show: traders overpay for 0.1¢–50¢ contracts. Real edge lives in 80¢–99¢ where the bot trades most. Formula: δ = actual win rate − implied probability 2. Expected Value Tells if a trade is worth taking, regardless of any single outcome. Formula: EV = (P win × Payout) − (P lose × Cost) 3. Kelly Criterion Decides what % of portfolio to allocate for long-term growth. Formula: f* = (p·b − q) / Mispricing → EV → Kelly → trade. profile: start copy-trading the bot with Ares:

AdiiX

13,179 views • 4 months ago

$This guy built a Bayesian Quant model and it made $1,362 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$29,972 PnL in 22 days with only $29 per average trade, repeating the same setup 9 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets Several AI agents can handle probability, sizing and execution: 1. Every new BTC signal updates the probability through Bayes The model starts with a prior probability and updates it whenever new market data arrives: P(A|B) = P(B|A) × P(A) / P(B) If BTC momentum strengthens and the model moves fair Up from 54% to 62% while Polymarket still trades at 53¢, the system sees a 9¢ gap 2. Kelly decides position size f* = (bp - q) / b Where: p = model probability of winning q = 1 - p b = net payout for each unit risked f* = suggested fraction to allocate Higher probability and better payout increase f*, while a weaker edge pushes it toward zero This trader’s Polymarket account: tiredofwinning2much Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: 4,948 predictions with a 51% win rate Most profitable trades: $260 → $615 (+$355) $253 → $602 (+$349) $227 → $560 (+$333) A similar Bayesian Quant setup can be built with Grok Bot, using AI agents for probability updates, sizing and execution$

This guy built a Bayesian Quant model and it made $1,362 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$29,972 PnL in 22 days with only $29 per average trade, repeating the same setup 9 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets Several AI agents can handle probability, sizing and execution: 1. Every new BTC signal updates the probability through Bayes The model starts with a prior probability and updates it whenever new market data arrives: P(A|B) = P(B|A) × P(A) / P(B) If BTC momentum strengthens and the model moves fair Up from 54% to 62% while Polymarket still trades at 53¢, the system sees a 9¢ gap 2. Kelly decides position size f* = (bp - q) / b Where: p = model probability of winning q = 1 - p b = net payout for each unit risked f* = suggested fraction to allocate Higher probability and better payout increase f*, while a weaker edge pushes it toward zero This trader’s Polymarket account: tiredofwinning2much Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: 4,948 predictions with a 51% win rate Most profitable trades: $260 → $615 (+$355) $253 → $602 (+$349) $227 → $560 (+$333) A similar Bayesian Quant setup can be built with Grok Bot, using AI agents for probability updates, sizing and execution

Daniro

59,829 views • 5 days ago

this bot has a 92% win rate look at how this bot evaluates probability using Black-Scholes and uses the Kelly Criterion to determine position sizes

this bot has a 92% win rate look at how this bot evaluates probability using Black-Scholes and uses the Kelly Criterion to determine position sizes

sopersone

22,770 views • 5 months ago

This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading

This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading

VALIX

62,058 views • 28 days ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

VALIX

30,078 views • 3 months ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $228,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 141 trades per hour or 2.35 trades per minute and trades the microstructure of short Up/Down markets with a weighted edge of +2.02% His strategy has 3 layers: 1. Trades mispricing using his probability model with a median entry price of 0.33c 2. Buys nearly resolved outcomes at 0.9-0.99c if their fair price should already be around $1.00 3. Uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he turned $36.3k into $228k in 3 months

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $228,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 141 trades per hour or 2.35 trades per minute and trades the microstructure of short Up/Down markets with a weighted edge of +2.02% His strategy has 3 layers: 1. Trades mispricing using his probability model with a median entry price of 0.33c 2. Buys nearly resolved outcomes at 0.9-0.99c if their fair price should already be around $1.00 3. Uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he turned $36.3k into $228k in 3 months

VALIX

23,980 views • 3 months ago

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

VALIX

27,231 views • 1 month ago

99% winrate: polymarket trader that literally forgets how to lose i found a wallet on Polymarket that feels like a glitch in the simulation his stats: win rate: 99% PnL: $30,000 strategy: manual, disciplined, high-probability trades bet size: ~$10k why this is the perfect copy-trading setup: >99% win rate means you almost never see a "red day" its the perfect setup for those who want steady growth without the stress of drawdowns >this isnt a high-speed bot, you have time to sync and follow without getting crushed by execution speed >at ~$10k per bet, he doesnt move the market. you can copy him using PolyGun and get filled at almost the same prices wallet:

99% winrate: polymarket trader that literally forgets how to lose i found a wallet on Polymarket that feels like a glitch in the simulation his stats: win rate: 99% PnL: $30,000 strategy: manual, disciplined, high-probability trades bet size: ~$10k why this is the perfect copy-trading setup: >99% win rate means you almost never see a "red day" its the perfect setup for those who want steady growth without the stress of drawdowns >this isnt a high-speed bot, you have time to sync and follow without getting crushed by execution speed >at ~$10k per bet, he doesnt move the market. you can copy him using PolyGun and get filled at almost the same prices wallet:

AshenSoul

33,904 views • 7 months ago

How to Build and Turn $15k into $1.1M in 20 Days Using Arbitrage Bot Claude Bot scaled a deposit up to $1.1M By trading 5-min and 15-min markets on Polymarket Bot using this strategy: - Mispricing formula - Expected value calculation - Kelly Criterion sizing mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter > 25,123 trades > 83.9% win rate > +1.1M profit > Biggest win 33K Check this profile here: Copytrading: If you wish to do the same I have outlined exactly how to create your own bot in my article Which is also where I told the story of how Claude turned $300 into 2.4M in 4 months This week I will write an article “Why your bot isn’t working and how to fix it” So follow and save this post

AdiiX

33,954 views • 5 months ago

This trader turned $76 into +$4,304 with a single bet on the weather market! Account: His PnL in March: -$1,000. His PnL now: +$12,000. Best trades: $76 -> $4,304 $19 -> $1,370 $52 -> $1,016 Main strategy: buying low-probability outcomes. This approach can lead to 50 losses in a row, but weather markets are full of inefficiencies. That’s why he sticks to his strategy, and in the end it pays off. With this approach, win rate doesn’t matter. One successful 1¢ trade can generate huge profit even if the previous 49 trades were losses. Simple math. The lower the probability of the outcome, the smaller his position size. Perfect use of the Kelly Criterion allows him to avoid going negative from incorrect sizing. Result: +$10,000 in just one month! To profit from this strategy, just set up copy trading on his account:

This trader turned $76 into +$4,304 with a single bet on the weather market! Account: His PnL in March: -$1,000. His PnL now: +$12,000. Best trades: $76 -> $4,304 $19 -> $1,370 $52 -> $1,016 Main strategy: buying low-probability outcomes. This approach can lead to 50 losses in a row, but weather markets are full of inefficiencies. That’s why he sticks to his strategy, and in the end it pays off. With this approach, win rate doesn’t matter. One successful 1¢ trade can generate huge profit even if the previous 49 trades were losses. Simple math. The lower the probability of the outcome, the smaller his position size. Perfect use of the Kelly Criterion allows him to avoid going negative from incorrect sizing. Result: +$10,000 in just one month! To profit from this strategy, just set up copy trading on his account:

me_cool_off

12,213 views • 4 months ago

HOW TO TURN $15K INTO $1.1 MILLION IN JUST 20 DAYS WITH A KILLER ARBITRAGE BOT A sophisticated Claude-powered bot took a starting deposit and scaled it all the way up to $1.1 million. It crushed the 5-minute and 15-min markets on Polymarket using a rock-solid strategy built on: - Mispricing detection formula. - Expected value calculation. - Kelly Criterion position sizing. The flow is simple and deadly effective: mispricing spotted -> EV calculated -> Kelly sizing applied -> position entered. Results speak louder than words: > 25,123 trades executed > 83.9% win rate > +$1.1M pure profit > Biggest single win: $33K 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profit Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word 'Claude' 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)

HOW TO TURN $15K INTO $1.1 MILLION IN JUST 20 DAYS WITH A KILLER ARBITRAGE BOT A sophisticated Claude-powered bot took a starting deposit and scaled it all the way up to $1.1 million. It crushed the 5-minute and 15-min markets on Polymarket using a rock-solid strategy built on: - Mispricing detection formula. - Expected value calculation. - Kelly Criterion position sizing. The flow is simple and deadly effective: mispricing spotted -> EV calculated -> Kelly sizing applied -> position entered. Results speak louder than words: > 25,123 trades executed > 83.9% win rate > +$1.1M pure profit > Biggest single win: $33K 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profit Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word 'Claude' 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)

Marry Evan

12,648 views • 5 months ago

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

VALIX

13,971 views • 1 month ago

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$125,724 on Polymarket 14,282 predictions in 96 days with a 52% win rate How is this account bringing in about $1,310 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It runs across short crypto “Up / Down” markets at roughly 6 trades per hour 2. The bot appears to keep recalculating which outcome offers the stronger opportunity instead of treating the opening position as final 3. It can take one side first and wait for the probabilities to move before introducing the opposite outcome, giving it a chance to hedge at a more favorable moment This trader’s Polymarket account: takerner Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Most profitable trades: $1,085 → $2,370 (+$1,285 +118.4%) $828 → $2,100 (+$1,271 +153.5%) $534 → $1,750 (+$1,216 +227.5%) The account doesn’t need an extreme win rate to stay profitable. The advantage appears to come from repeatedly changing the position as probabilities move instead of relying on a single entry

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$125,724 on Polymarket 14,282 predictions in 96 days with a 52% win rate How is this account bringing in about $1,310 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It runs across short crypto “Up / Down” markets at roughly 6 trades per hour 2. The bot appears to keep recalculating which outcome offers the stronger opportunity instead of treating the opening position as final 3. It can take one side first and wait for the probabilities to move before introducing the opposite outcome, giving it a chance to hedge at a more favorable moment This trader’s Polymarket account: takerner Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Most profitable trades: $1,085 → $2,370 (+$1,285 +118.4%) $828 → $2,100 (+$1,271 +153.5%) $534 → $1,750 (+$1,216 +227.5%) The account doesn’t need an extreme win rate to stay profitable. The advantage appears to come from repeatedly changing the position as probabilities move instead of relying on a single entry

Daniro

50,712 views • 28 days ago

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

VALIX

44,885 views • 27 days ago

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$212,121 on Polymarket 146,603 predictions in 267 days with a 42% win rate How is this account bringing in about $794 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It trades short crypto “Up / Down” markets at around 23 trades per hour 2. The bot enters markets in several steps instead of placing the entire position at once 3. It can take one outcome first, then wait for the probabilities to shift before adding the opposite side at a better moment 4. Part of the position can then become hedged, while the remaining shares stay exposed to the outcome the model still favors This trader’s Polymarket account: pspspsps5 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Most profitable trades: $372 → $1,650 (+$1,278 +344.1%) $24 → $1,207 (+$1,183 +4,899.9%) $403 → $1,393 (+$990 +245.8%) The real edge is in how aggressively the bot can reuse the same setup across thousands of short crypto windows without needing a high win rate

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$212,121 on Polymarket 146,603 predictions in 267 days with a 42% win rate How is this account bringing in about $794 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It trades short crypto “Up / Down” markets at around 23 trades per hour 2. The bot enters markets in several steps instead of placing the entire position at once 3. It can take one outcome first, then wait for the probabilities to shift before adding the opposite side at a better moment 4. Part of the position can then become hedged, while the remaining shares stay exposed to the outcome the model still favors This trader’s Polymarket account: pspspsps5 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Most profitable trades: $372 → $1,650 (+$1,278 +344.1%) $24 → $1,207 (+$1,183 +4,899.9%) $403 → $1,393 (+$990 +245.8%) The real edge is in how aggressively the bot can reuse the same setup across thousands of short crypto windows without needing a high win rate

Daniro

11,647 views • 22 days ago

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

VALIX

26,313 views • 17 days ago

Polymarket copytrading video guide I found a bot that trades non-stop on 5-min and 15-min markets Its PnL is about $1,000,000 in 2 months with a 55% win rate and 20,800 predictions Guide on how to copy it: 1. Start this TG bot: 2. Top up your wallet in your profile 3. Click Copy Trade 4. Click Add Copy Trade 5. Enter the address of the wallet you want to copy 6. Enter its name for convenience His address: 0xd0d6053c3c37e727402d84c14069780d360993aa His profile on Polymarket: I use and recommend PolyGun for copying, but always dyor.

mahera

12,304 views • 7 months ago

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing

VALIX

95,756 views • 13 days ago

HOW TO TURN $15K INTO $1.1 MILLION IN JUST 20 DAYS WITH A KILLER ARBITRAGE BOT A sophisticated Claude-powered bot took a starting deposit and scaled it all the way up to $1.1 million. It crushed the 5-minute and 15-min markets on Polymarket using a rock-solid strategy built on: - Mispricing detection formula. - Expected value calculation. - Kelly Criterion position sizing. The flow is simple and deadly effective: mispricing spotted -> EV calculated -> Kelly sizing applied -> position entered. Results speak louder than words: > 25,123 trades executed > 83.9% win rate > +$1.1M pure profit > Biggest single win: $33K You only need Claude + Device + 1 hour/day. Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment What Ever you think about it. ( Mandatory ) 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)

HOW TO TURN $15K INTO $1.1 MILLION IN JUST 20 DAYS WITH A KILLER ARBITRAGE BOT A sophisticated Claude-powered bot took a starting deposit and scaled it all the way up to $1.1 million. It crushed the 5-minute and 15-min markets on Polymarket using a rock-solid strategy built on: - Mispricing detection formula. - Expected value calculation. - Kelly Criterion position sizing. The flow is simple and deadly effective: mispricing spotted -> EV calculated -> Kelly sizing applied -> position entered. Results speak louder than words: > 25,123 trades executed > 83.9% win rate > +$1.1M pure profit > Biggest single win: $33K You only need Claude + Device + 1 hour/day. Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment What Ever you think about it. ( Mandatory ) 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)

Marry Evan

19,770 views • 4 months ago

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

VALIX

50,580 views • 1 month ago