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The Fed will not raise rates. Instead, escalating systemic debt will inevitably force them to implement yield-curve control and quantitative easing.

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

61,133 subscribers

23,668 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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23 Yorum

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist profil fotoğrafı

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist1 ay önce

Complete breakdown and market report:

CryptoSensei profil fotoğrafı

CryptoSensei1 ay önce

The debt problem makes QE look less like a choice and more like the eventual escape hatch.

NeoBankXXX profil fotoğrafı

NeoBankXXX1 ay önce

The Words Salad channel continues

Bitcoin Well profil fotoğrafı

Bitcoin Well1 ay önce

Yield-curve control is just price controls for government debt. Once that becomes normal, fixed supply savings assets get a lot less abstract.

El Padrino profil fotoğrafı

El Padrino1 ay önce

They'll raise the rates eventually, they've got no choice but to.

DCam profil fotoğrafı

DCam1 ay önce

Bait and switch. Markets will be caught flat-footed, which is the plan, IMO.

lim lim XRP profil fotoğrafı

lim lim XRP1 ay önce

💯✔️

Fran profil fotoğrafı

Fran1 ay önce

@LawrenceLepard Big print?

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global profil fotoğrafı

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global1 ay önce

That seems to be mainstream consensus. You should update your profile.

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist profil fotoğrafı

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist1 ay önce

Really? I’d double check your sources, it’s not. The narrative is inflation and rate hikes, the majority are falling for it and anticipating that outcome.

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global profil fotoğrafı

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global1 ay önce

Pretty much everyone im following is expecting a rate cut. The narrative is debasement.

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global profil fotoğrafı

Uwe Jens Cerron tradersguild.global1 ay önce

or 0 cuts and hikes this year.

D-S profil fotoğrafı

D-S1 ay önce

Already happening

techbro profil fotoğrafı

techbro1 ay önce

Nobody agrees with me but I totally agree with you lol

THAT GUY profil fotoğrafı

THAT GUY1 ay önce

Thank you for sharing your work

Frank Moon profil fotoğrafı

Frank Moon1 ay önce

👀🔥🐦‍🔥

Mr. Cypherpunk profil fotoğrafı

Mr. Cypherpunk1 ay önce

Qe with rising inflation 😂

Colorado Julie profil fotoğrafı

Colorado Julie1 ay önce

Agree

AncapTruth profil fotoğrafı

AncapTruth1 ay önce

I dont understand why no one wants rates higher! If youre a wage earner, you want higher rates. Corporate America is already hearing the consumer. Ground beef just hit a ceiling. Just wait.

Mr. Cypherpunk profil fotoğrafı

Mr. Cypherpunk1 ay önce

They will raise

DLXXXIX profil fotoğrafı

DLXXXIX1 ay önce

🥱🤦🏽‍♂️💤💤

DIGITAL NOMAD profil fotoğrafı

DIGITAL NOMAD1 ay önce

No rate hikes trump hates them

Not Kazuo Ueda profil fotoğrafı

Not Kazuo Ueda1 ay önce

So no September hike ?

Benzer Videolar

With $40 trillion in govt debt and $2 trillion in annual budget deficits … interest rates are going to increase. The bond markets want higher rates for the loss in buying power. This only ends one way. The Fed will turn on the printer and create $$$ yield curve control.

With $40 trillion in govt debt and $2 trillion in annual budget deficits … interest rates are going to increase. The bond markets want higher rates for the loss in buying power. This only ends one way. The Fed will turn on the printer and create $$$ yield curve control.

Wall Street Mav

54,904 görüntüleme • 28 gün önce

The US can't refinance $12-15 trillion in debt at 5%. So the Fed buys the bonds instead. That's yield curve control. That's debasement. James Lavish: "We will see money printing. No matter what they call it."

The US can't refinance $12-15 trillion in debt at 5%. So the Fed buys the bonds instead. That's yield curve control. That's debasement. James Lavish: "We will see money printing. No matter what they call it."

Simply Bitcoin

225,059 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

When Will The Fed Raise Rates?

When Will The Fed Raise Rates?

Benjamin Cowen

79,789 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

My take on the Fed's pivot: "The Fed dropped quantitative tightening and switched to quantitative easing, with its promise to buy 40 billion T-bills. INFLATION GENIE WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE BOTTLE."

My take on the Fed's pivot: "The Fed dropped quantitative tightening and switched to quantitative easing, with its promise to buy 40 billion T-bills. INFLATION GENIE WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE BOTTLE."

Steve Hanke

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Cathie Wood says recent market weakness will pass as liquidity returns. She expects the Fed to end quantitative tightening on December 1, calling it “a de facto easing,” and to cut rates at the December 10 meeting. “We think liquidity issues will clear within the next month.”

Cathie Wood says recent market weakness will pass as liquidity returns. She expects the Fed to end quantitative tightening on December 1, calling it “a de facto easing,” and to cut rates at the December 10 meeting. “We think liquidity issues will clear within the next month.”

ETF Tracker

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"It seems to me more likely than not that the Fed will continue with quantitative tightening even while it's easing," said the Council for Economic Education's Rebecca Patterson at #DeliveringAlpha.

"It seems to me more likely than not that the Fed will continue with quantitative tightening even while it's easing," said the Council for Economic Education's Rebecca Patterson at #DeliveringAlpha.

CNBC

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🇺🇸FED funds rate, yield curve & stocks historical correlation: when yield curve un-inverting, FED cut rates & stock markets sell-off. Will it repeat in Q1? James Lavish The Wolf Of All Streets Mike McGlone $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA $META $GOOG $MSFT $MSTR $BTC

🇺🇸FED funds rate, yield curve & stocks historical correlation: when yield curve un-inverting, FED cut rates & stock markets sell-off. Will it repeat in Q1? James Lavish The Wolf Of All Streets Mike McGlone $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA $META $GOOG $MSFT $MSTR $BTC

Marco ₿attistoni

19,582 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

The Fed is behind the curve once again. They must cut interest rates or we will pay for it later.

The Fed is behind the curve once again. They must cut interest rates or we will pay for it later.

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

41,321 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

FED’S WARSH: 🇺🇸Treasury yields have risen at one of the fastest rates between Fed meetings in two decades, even though the Fed did not raise rates. Warsh said the FOMC “will not hesitate to act to restore price stability” but will avoid relying on forecasts and remain guided by incoming data. He called the shift “a change for the better,” adding: “We’re just getting started.”

FED’S WARSH: 🇺🇸Treasury yields have risen at one of the fastest rates between Fed meetings in two decades, even though the Fed did not raise rates. Warsh said the FOMC “will not hesitate to act to restore price stability” but will avoid relying on forecasts and remain guided by incoming data. He called the shift “a change for the better,” adding: “We’re just getting started.”

Coin Bureau

43,325 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

Lukas Ekwueme

54,518 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Ray Dalio: “Debt problem is followed by devaluation of the currency.” Looks like this is exactly how the US will handle its debt problem. Kevin Warsh’s Fed will peg short-term rates to artificially low levels, and buy treasuries to keep them down, inflating the debt away. We saw this play out in the three decades following World War II, and it’s plausible that the US is preparing for a similar maneuver as Debt/GDP is currently over 120%. This is why central banks are dumping US debt and buying gold instead.

Ray Dalio: “Debt problem is followed by devaluation of the currency.” Looks like this is exactly how the US will handle its debt problem. Kevin Warsh’s Fed will peg short-term rates to artificially low levels, and buy treasuries to keep them down, inflating the debt away. We saw this play out in the three decades following World War II, and it’s plausible that the US is preparing for a similar maneuver as Debt/GDP is currently over 120%. This is why central banks are dumping US debt and buying gold instead.

Oguz Erkan

549,119 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

🇫🇷 France's 30 year yield rose to 5.38% today. They appear to have lost control of the long end of their yield curve, which is something that happens right before a currency / sovereign debt crisis. The bond markets will force austerity on Britain and France, which will cripple their economic growth, potentially making the debt situation even worse. France's far-right National Rally (RN) party now have a record 14 seats in the right-wing dominated Senate, effectively quadrupling its number. The next presidential election is April 18, 2027

🇫🇷 France's 30 year yield rose to 5.38% today. They appear to have lost control of the long end of their yield curve, which is something that happens right before a currency / sovereign debt crisis. The bond markets will force austerity on Britain and France, which will cripple their economic growth, potentially making the debt situation even worse. France's far-right National Rally (RN) party now have a record 14 seats in the right-wing dominated Senate, effectively quadrupling its number. The next presidential election is April 18, 2027

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🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY!! The Fed just officially hit the panic button. Next week, BILLIONS will be injected into the economy to prevent a complete market collapse. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be “just a dip.” If you hold any assets today, you MUST read this: The Fed is no longer deciding between economic strength and controlled inflation. It is deciding which problem to make even worse. If the Fed raises rates, borrowing costs will explode. Long-term Treasury yields are already at their HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE 2007. But they will climb even more. Economic growth will weaken. Debt servicing expenses will surge. And with $40T in debt, the U.S. financial system will face an enormous wave of pressure. But if the Fed holds rates steady or cuts them, the pressure will shift elsewhere. Inflation will accelerate. Financial conditions will loosen. Inflation expectations will climb. And the Fed will eventually be pushed back toward aggressive tightening. That creates a trap with NO easy way out. Higher rates → Higher yields → Slower growth → Heavier debt burden Lower rates → Higher inflation → More tightening → Higher yields This is NOT a normal rate cycle anymore. The Fed is trapped between INFLATION and DEBT. And this is exactly the position the Bank of Japan is facing right now. Now the Fed is next. Markets can ignore the problem while liquidity stays abundant. But once long-term yields surge while economic growth weakens, the pressure will hit every major asset class. Stocks will crash. Bonds will crash. Gold and Silver will crash. Bitcoin will crash even harder. Because when liquidity vanishes, investors do not sell what they WANT to sell. They sell what they CAN sell. And that is where the real chain reaction starts. Higher yields → Tighter liquidity → Falling risk assets → Forced selling The Fed will ultimately be forced to choose between fighting inflation and defending the debt market. And whichever direction it takes will create another problem somewhere else. This is the setup almost everyone is completely overlooking. I have spent more than 10 years trading markets and studying liquidity, interest rates, and macro cycles. I warned you before. And I'll warn you again soon. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn notifications on. A lot of people will regret not paying attention sooner.

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY!! The Fed just officially hit the panic button. Next week, BILLIONS will be injected into the economy to prevent a complete market collapse. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be “just a dip.” If you hold any assets today, you MUST read this: The Fed is no longer deciding between economic strength and controlled inflation. It is deciding which problem to make even worse. If the Fed raises rates, borrowing costs will explode. Long-term Treasury yields are already at their HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE 2007. But they will climb even more. Economic growth will weaken. Debt servicing expenses will surge. And with $40T in debt, the U.S. financial system will face an enormous wave of pressure. But if the Fed holds rates steady or cuts them, the pressure will shift elsewhere. Inflation will accelerate. Financial conditions will loosen. Inflation expectations will climb. And the Fed will eventually be pushed back toward aggressive tightening. That creates a trap with NO easy way out. Higher rates → Higher yields → Slower growth → Heavier debt burden Lower rates → Higher inflation → More tightening → Higher yields This is NOT a normal rate cycle anymore. The Fed is trapped between INFLATION and DEBT. And this is exactly the position the Bank of Japan is facing right now. Now the Fed is next. Markets can ignore the problem while liquidity stays abundant. But once long-term yields surge while economic growth weakens, the pressure will hit every major asset class. Stocks will crash. Bonds will crash. Gold and Silver will crash. Bitcoin will crash even harder. Because when liquidity vanishes, investors do not sell what they WANT to sell. They sell what they CAN sell. And that is where the real chain reaction starts. Higher yields → Tighter liquidity → Falling risk assets → Forced selling The Fed will ultimately be forced to choose between fighting inflation and defending the debt market. And whichever direction it takes will create another problem somewhere else. This is the setup almost everyone is completely overlooking. I have spent more than 10 years trading markets and studying liquidity, interest rates, and macro cycles. I warned you before. And I'll warn you again soon. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn notifications on. A lot of people will regret not paying attention sooner.

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