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The Fed will not raise rates. Instead, escalating systemic debt will inevitably force them to implement yield-curve control and quantitative easing.

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Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

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21,377 просмотров • 4 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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The US can't refinance $12-15 trillion in debt at 5%. So the Fed buys the bonds instead. That's yield curve control. That's debasement. James Lavish: "We will see money printing. No matter what they call it."
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The US can't refinance $12-15 trillion in debt at 5%. So the Fed buys the bonds instead. That's yield curve control. That's debasement. James Lavish: "We will see money printing. No matter what they call it."

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When Will The Fed Raise Rates?
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When Will The Fed Raise Rates?

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My take on the Fed's pivot: "The Fed dropped quantitative tightening and switched to quantitative easing, with its promise to buy 40 billion T-bills. INFLATION GENIE WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE BOTTLE."
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My take on the Fed's pivot: "The Fed dropped quantitative tightening and switched to quantitative easing, with its promise to buy 40 billion T-bills. INFLATION GENIE WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE BOTTLE."

Steve Hanke

16,853 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Cathie Wood says recent market weakness will pass as liquidity returns. She expects the Fed to end quantitative tightening on December 1, calling it “a de facto easing,” and to cut rates at the December 10 meeting. “We think liquidity issues will clear within the next month.”
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Cathie Wood says recent market weakness will pass as liquidity returns. She expects the Fed to end quantitative tightening on December 1, calling it “a de facto easing,” and to cut rates at the December 10 meeting. “We think liquidity issues will clear within the next month.”

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"It seems to me more likely than not that the Fed will continue with quantitative tightening even while it's easing," said the Council for Economic Education's Rebecca Patterson at #DeliveringAlpha.
0:38

"It seems to me more likely than not that the Fed will continue with quantitative tightening even while it's easing," said the Council for Economic Education's Rebecca Patterson at #DeliveringAlpha.

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🇺🇸FED funds rate, yield curve & stocks historical correlation: when yield curve un-inverting, FED cut rates & stock markets sell-off. Will it repeat in Q1? James Lavish The Wolf Of All Streets Mike McGlone $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA $META $GOOG $MSFT $MSTR $BTC
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🇺🇸FED funds rate, yield curve & stocks historical correlation: when yield curve un-inverting, FED cut rates & stock markets sell-off. Will it repeat in Q1? James Lavish The Wolf Of All Streets Mike McGlone $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA $META $GOOG $MSFT $MSTR $BTC

Marco ₿attistoni

19,582 просмотров • 1 год назад

The Fed is behind the curve once again. They must cut interest rates or we will pay for it later.
2:26

The Fed is behind the curve once again. They must cut interest rates or we will pay for it later.

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

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FED’S WARSH: 🇺🇸Treasury yields have risen at one of the fastest rates between Fed meetings in two decades, even though the Fed did not raise rates. Warsh said the FOMC “will not hesitate to act to restore price stability” but will avoid relying on forecasts and remain guided by incoming data. He called the shift “a change for the better,” adding: “We’re just getting started.”
1:07

FED’S WARSH: 🇺🇸Treasury yields have risen at one of the fastest rates between Fed meetings in two decades, even though the Fed did not raise rates. Warsh said the FOMC “will not hesitate to act to restore price stability” but will avoid relying on forecasts and remain guided by incoming data. He called the shift “a change for the better,” adding: “We’re just getting started.”

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Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.
1:41

Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

Lukas Ekwueme

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Ray Dalio: “Debt problem is followed by devaluation of the currency.” Looks like this is exactly how the US will handle its debt problem. Kevin Warsh’s Fed will peg short-term rates to artificially low levels, and buy treasuries to keep them down, inflating the debt away. We saw this play out in the three decades following World War II, and it’s plausible that the US is preparing for a similar maneuver as Debt/GDP is currently over 120%. This is why central banks are dumping US debt and buying gold instead.
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Ray Dalio: “Debt problem is followed by devaluation of the currency.” Looks like this is exactly how the US will handle its debt problem. Kevin Warsh’s Fed will peg short-term rates to artificially low levels, and buy treasuries to keep them down, inflating the debt away. We saw this play out in the three decades following World War II, and it’s plausible that the US is preparing for a similar maneuver as Debt/GDP is currently over 120%. This is why central banks are dumping US debt and buying gold instead.

Oguz Erkan

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.President Donald J. Trump says he will not negotiate on raising the debt ceiling. I have news for him, he will negotiate because conservatives will NOT vote to raise the debt ceiling without significant reforms.
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.President Donald J. Trump says he will not negotiate on raising the debt ceiling. I have news for him, he will negotiate because conservatives will NOT vote to raise the debt ceiling without significant reforms.

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Labour will raise £8 billion by freezing income tax rates, and their measure to 'tax the rich more' will raise just £0.5 billion
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Labour will raise £8 billion by freezing income tax rates, and their measure to 'tax the rich more' will raise just £0.5 billion

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National will cap rates increases at 4%, easing pressure on households and getting councils back to basics.
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National will cap rates increases at 4%, easing pressure on households and getting councils back to basics.

Christopher Luxon

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#BREAKING: Australia's headline annual inflation has risen to 3.8 per cent, largely meeting market expectations and easing the likelihood that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise rates when it meets next week. #9News READ MORE:
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#BREAKING: Australia's headline annual inflation has risen to 3.8 per cent, largely meeting market expectations and easing the likelihood that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise rates when it meets next week. #9News READ MORE:

9News Australia

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Senior trade adviser to President Trump Peter Navarro discusses whether Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will raise interest rates on "Balance of Power"
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The Fed is hinting they will raise rates? Really? Come see what Michael Oliver Momentum Structural Analysis has to say about that. Bottom line, we have a debt crisis about to go nuclear. More of Michael Oliver's thoughts here, including #silver, #gold, #platinum.

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