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The proposed $111 billion merger between Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery hit a major roadblock when California’s attorney general and 11 other states sued to stop it, citing antitrust concerns. That move was followed by Paramount Skydance CEO David Ellison threatening to take his operations out of California if...

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Larry Ellison just bet his own company to buy his son a Hollywood empire. And a judge in Oakland could FREEZE the entire thing this afternoon. The deal is Paramount Skydance buying Warner Bros Discovery for about $110 billion, run by David Ellison, Larry's son. It would put two film studios, two streaming platforms, and two news organizations under one family. The problem: Warner's board did not want Paramount. It preferred a Netflix offer and called Paramount's financing illusory. So Larry Ellison put his own money behind his son. He gave an irrevocable guarantee covering $40.4 billion of the equity financing, and promised not to revoke the family trust or move its assets while the deal stayed pending. Paramount then published records to prove the trust holds 1.16 billion Oracle shares. Warner's board reversed and David Ellison won the biggest media merger in Hollywood history using his father's balance sheet as the proof of funds. That was the moment the two companies became one financial object. Because the guarantee is not cash. It is Oracle stock, and Oracle stock has been falling all year... Ellison owns 40.6% of Oracle. The company's crash has erased roughly $213 billion from his fortune and cut the share price by more than half. And Oracle's own filing shows 346 million of his shares were ALREADY pledged against personal debts as of September. He borrowed against the stock, then promised the same stock as backing for a $110 billion acquisition, while the stock was on its way down. Ellison turned Oracle into a hyperscaler by loading it with debt to chase AI data centers. Oracle became a major supplier of AI computing power to China. Job cuts have already been reported. In January, investors who bought $18 billion of Oracle senior notes filed a proposed class action in Manhattan against Ellison, senior executives, and the underwriting banks, over borrowing plans tied to AI that they say were not disclosed. So the debt that built the empire is now being litigated by the people who financed it, while the equity behind the guarantee shrinks. Then the states arrived: On July 13 a coalition of 12 attorneys general led by California sued to block the merger under Section 7 of the Clayton Act. On July 20 Judge Araceli Martinez-Olguin issued a 14-day restraining order stopping the deal from closing, writing that the states had shown serious questions going to the merits remain. Paramount says the suit misrepresents competition in an entertainment industry now crowded with streamers. Today at 3pm in Oakland, the same judge hears the states' motion for a preliminary injunction. That is the hearing that matters, because when a judge grants an injunction, companies frequently walk away from the deal rather than fight through a full trial. When a judge denies one, they close within days. Delay is costing Paramount roughly $650 million a quarter, and the company has agreed to keep the deal open as late as June 1, 2027. So one family is holding a $110 billion acquisition open for possibly another 10 months, backed by shares in a company that is spending borrowed money faster than the AI revenue arrives. Larry Ellison spent his career selling databases to governments and betting the company on the next platform shift. He has been right almost every time. This time he pledged the proof of his own success to buy his son a studio, and a courtroom in Oakland decides if it freezes everything or not.

Ricardo

73,368 views • 20 days ago