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🇱🇧 🇮🇱 The real war may be waiting until right after the midterms... Professor David N. Gibbs sees regional tensions climbing toward a boiling point, with a high probability of conflict once the midterms pass. He's clear that the administration always has strategic off-ramps available, choices to step back... show more

Mario Nawfal

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52,371 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. and Iran may still have one last chance to avoid another war. Middle East expert Rob Geist Pinfold argues that despite the recent escalation, neither Washington nor Tehran appears eager to return to full-scale conflict. He points to one detail above all. Iran has deliberately avoided striking Israel directly, while the U.S. has so far kept Israel from reentering the fight. According to Rob, that's not a coincidence. Both sides understand that once Israel is back in the war, it becomes much harder to control the pace of escalation or return to diplomacy. He also believes there's a growing divergence between the Trump administration and Netanyahu's government. While Israel has historically been more willing to sustain a prolonged conflict, Rob argues Washington has become increasingly cautious after discovering the last campaign was neither quick nor decisive. His broader point is that both sides are still applying pressure. But they're doing it in ways designed to avoid crossing the one line that could make another regional war almost impossible to stop. Even so, Rob warns that the margin for error is shrinking. One Iranian strike on Israel, or one major strategic miscalculation by either side, could send the entire region straight back up the escalation ladder. Rob Geist Pinfold

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. and Iran may still have one last chance to avoid another war. Middle East expert Rob Geist Pinfold argues that despite the recent escalation, neither Washington nor Tehran appears eager to return to full-scale conflict. He points to one detail above all. Iran has deliberately avoided striking Israel directly, while the U.S. has so far kept Israel from reentering the fight. According to Rob, that's not a coincidence. Both sides understand that once Israel is back in the war, it becomes much harder to control the pace of escalation or return to diplomacy. He also believes there's a growing divergence between the Trump administration and Netanyahu's government. While Israel has historically been more willing to sustain a prolonged conflict, Rob argues Washington has become increasingly cautious after discovering the last campaign was neither quick nor decisive. His broader point is that both sides are still applying pressure. But they're doing it in ways designed to avoid crossing the one line that could make another regional war almost impossible to stop. Even so, Rob warns that the margin for error is shrinking. One Iranian strike on Israel, or one major strategic miscalculation by either side, could send the entire region straight back up the escalation ladder. Rob Geist Pinfold

Mario Nawfal

285,054 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇹🇷🇮🇱 Pravin Sawhney argues that a direct Turkey-Israel war is not inevitable because Ankara now has a regional fallback through its new defense partnerships. But he makes a far more provocative claim about Israel’s strategy: that expanding the conflict may actually be part of the objective. “Israelis want basically a bigger war and Trump wants to end the war.” With Turkey expanding its presence in Syria and Israel determined to prevent it, the question is how long the two can keep their interests from colliding. Pravin Sawhney

🇹🇷🇮🇱 Pravin Sawhney argues that a direct Turkey-Israel war is not inevitable because Ankara now has a regional fallback through its new defense partnerships. But he makes a far more provocative claim about Israel’s strategy: that expanding the conflict may actually be part of the objective. “Israelis want basically a bigger war and Trump wants to end the war.” With Turkey expanding its presence in Syria and Israel determined to prevent it, the question is how long the two can keep their interests from colliding. Pravin Sawhney

Mario Nawfal

30,318 次观看 • 1 个月前

I explained on CNN that Lebanon may be the real sticking point, since Iran demands Israel end the bombardment of that country. “For the Iranians, this is a test to see whether the United States is capable of controlling and reining in Israel,” I explained, otherwise the value of a deal with the US becomes questionable to Tehran.

I explained on CNN that Lebanon may be the real sticking point, since Iran demands Israel end the bombardment of that country. “For the Iranians, this is a test to see whether the United States is capable of controlling and reining in Israel,” I explained, otherwise the value of a deal with the US becomes questionable to Tehran.

Trita Parsi

53,370 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸 The U.S. can force Israel to stop in Lebanon. The question is whether Trump has the nerve. Alexander Christoforou says there's no doubt Washington holds the leverage to make Israel stand down in Lebanon. The real uncertainty is whether the Trump administration has the political courage to use it. His worry is that the White House may simply be running out the clock, stalling the negotiations until after the midterms. And there could be a cold strategic logic to the delay. Christoforou suggests the US may need the time to rebuild its weapon stockpiles and petroleum reserves, a process that could stretch on for years. The catch is that Iran gets to use that very same window to keep strengthening its own hand. Alex Christoforou

🇺🇸 The U.S. can force Israel to stop in Lebanon. The question is whether Trump has the nerve. Alexander Christoforou says there's no doubt Washington holds the leverage to make Israel stand down in Lebanon. The real uncertainty is whether the Trump administration has the political courage to use it. His worry is that the White House may simply be running out the clock, stalling the negotiations until after the midterms. And there could be a cold strategic logic to the delay. Christoforou suggests the US may need the time to rebuild its weapon stockpiles and petroleum reserves, a process that could stretch on for years. The catch is that Iran gets to use that very same window to keep strengthening its own hand. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

39,215 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇱🇧🇮🇱 Prime Minister Netanyahu is openly boasting about continuing the military offensive in Lebanon, creating a massive risk that this regional war instantly restarts. Host of TYT Ana Kasparian warns that the real wildcard is how Washington responds once Iran inevitably retaliates against Israel. Kasparian strongly hopes that the administration stays smart enough to avoid being goaded back into a brutal conflict, but notes that predicting the outcome is nearly impossible right now. Ana Kasparian

🇱🇧🇮🇱 Prime Minister Netanyahu is openly boasting about continuing the military offensive in Lebanon, creating a massive risk that this regional war instantly restarts. Host of TYT Ana Kasparian warns that the real wildcard is how Washington responds once Iran inevitably retaliates against Israel. Kasparian strongly hopes that the administration stays smart enough to avoid being goaded back into a brutal conflict, but notes that predicting the outcome is nearly impossible right now. Ana Kasparian

Mario Nawfal

70,140 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇮🇱 Israel has been in a near-constant state of war or high alert since its founding. From the 1948 war and the displacement of ~750,000 Palestinians (the Nakba), through the 1956 Suez Crisis, the 1967 Six-Day War, multiple Lebanon wars, repeated Gaza conflicts, and now the direct war with Iran, conflict has shaped much of its history and identity. Whether you see it as necessary self-defense in a hostile region or the result of expansionist policies and over-reliance on military power, one thing is clear: Israel has rarely known long periods of genuine peace. The big question many are asking right now is whether this cycle can ever be broken, or if perpetual conflict has simply become the norm. Source: TRT World

🇮🇱 Israel has been in a near-constant state of war or high alert since its founding. From the 1948 war and the displacement of ~750,000 Palestinians (the Nakba), through the 1956 Suez Crisis, the 1967 Six-Day War, multiple Lebanon wars, repeated Gaza conflicts, and now the direct war with Iran, conflict has shaped much of its history and identity. Whether you see it as necessary self-defense in a hostile region or the result of expansionist policies and over-reliance on military power, one thing is clear: Israel has rarely known long periods of genuine peace. The big question many are asking right now is whether this cycle can ever be broken, or if perpetual conflict has simply become the norm. Source: TRT World

Mario Nawfal

222,318 次观看 • 6 个月前

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱 VP Vance on Lebanon: "Sometimes a junior guy fires a drone that didn't have approval from the high command. Of course, Israel has to respond to that, but we could have a more peaceful situation if Israel responds in the context of the conversation that is ongoing between Hezbollah, Lebanon, Israel, and other partners in the region." Exactly, it's not that hard to understand, well, unless you're part of the Israeli government, in which case it really is hard. Writer: Samuel

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱 VP Vance on Lebanon: "Sometimes a junior guy fires a drone that didn't have approval from the high command. Of course, Israel has to respond to that, but we could have a more peaceful situation if Israel responds in the context of the conversation that is ongoing between Hezbollah, Lebanon, Israel, and other partners in the region." Exactly, it's not that hard to understand, well, unless you're part of the Israeli government, in which case it really is hard. Writer: Samuel

Mario Nawfal

122,553 次观看 • 3 个月前

Lebanon : Etienne Sakr is a friend and a mentor, a great patriotic Lebanese, he led the Christians of Lebanon during the strongest days of the war, his militia the Guardians of the Cedar fought harsh battles in the country then . Exiled after Hezbollah took over, Étienne was condemned by several warrants for his arrest by the Hezbollah backed military tribunal of Lebanon for communication with Israel . He believe peace with Israel is a necessity and wants good relations with the new Syria, Etienne envision Lebanon to be in a no conflict status and good relations with both surrounding neighbors, Syria and Israel for the stability of the region.

Lebanon : Etienne Sakr is a friend and a mentor, a great patriotic Lebanese, he led the Christians of Lebanon during the strongest days of the war, his militia the Guardians of the Cedar fought harsh battles in the country then . Exiled after Hezbollah took over, Étienne was condemned by several warrants for his arrest by the Hezbollah backed military tribunal of Lebanon for communication with Israel . He believe peace with Israel is a necessity and wants good relations with the new Syria, Etienne envision Lebanon to be in a no conflict status and good relations with both surrounding neighbors, Syria and Israel for the stability of the region.

Nagi N. Najjar

21,948 次观看 • 11 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israeli strikes are already hitting Iran, and the real target may be Washington's war machine. Professor David N. Gibbs says this escalation has a hidden author. "What Israel wants to do, I suspect, is to drag the United States back into full scale war with Iran and let the United States do the heavy lifting with its much larger military capability." The big question now is whether Trump takes the bait.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israeli strikes are already hitting Iran, and the real target may be Washington's war machine. Professor David N. Gibbs says this escalation has a hidden author. "What Israel wants to do, I suspect, is to drag the United States back into full scale war with Iran and let the United States do the heavy lifting with its much larger military capability." The big question now is whether Trump takes the bait.

Mario Nawfal

67,209 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israel is advancing past the Litani River into territory its most extreme nationalists have long claimed as part of Greater Israel, and it's doing so with the expectation of U.S. backing. Prof. David Gibbs argued, however, that the problem is that the IDF has been pushed to the breaking point by years of continuous fighting. "They are destroying Israeli tanks, and an Israeli general said the IDF is at a breaking point."

🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israel is advancing past the Litani River into territory its most extreme nationalists have long claimed as part of Greater Israel, and it's doing so with the expectation of U.S. backing. Prof. David Gibbs argued, however, that the problem is that the IDF has been pushed to the breaking point by years of continuous fighting. "They are destroying Israeli tanks, and an Israeli general said the IDF is at a breaking point."

Mario Nawfal

29,506 次观看 • 4 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Tucker: "Israel has always been a lot closer to using nukes than any other country." He argues the threat of nuclear escalation in the Middle East is being dangerously downplayed by the same policymakers and media outlets shaping the narrative, right as tensions hit a boiling point. His core point: we're sleepwalking into a much wider war, and Israel's nuclear arsenal is the elephant in the room everyone refuses to acknowledge. Source: TCN, Tucker Carlson / Writers: Val, Daniel

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Tucker: "Israel has always been a lot closer to using nukes than any other country." He argues the threat of nuclear escalation in the Middle East is being dangerously downplayed by the same policymakers and media outlets shaping the narrative, right as tensions hit a boiling point. His core point: we're sleepwalking into a much wider war, and Israel's nuclear arsenal is the elephant in the room everyone refuses to acknowledge. Source: TCN, Tucker Carlson / Writers: Val, Daniel

Mario Nawfal

63,645 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Falling oil prices may be tempting Trump to squeeze Iran harder, but Tehran isn't budging. Alexander Christoforou breaks down a situation that's still genuinely messy. Mixed signals are pouring out of both Washington and Tehran, a power struggle over the Strait of Hormuz is grinding on, and low-level attacks keep flaring even with the MOU supposedly in place. The drop in oil prices, he says, may be emboldening the Trump administration to crank up the pressure. Iran, meanwhile, is holding firm on every red line it drew at the start of the war. And it all keeps circling back to Lebanon. Until that front gets resolved, Christoforou argues, the broader regional puzzle stays unsolved. The bigger point? He says Trump already has every tool needed to force a Lebanon ceasefire, if he actually wants the deal. Alex Christoforou

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Falling oil prices may be tempting Trump to squeeze Iran harder, but Tehran isn't budging. Alexander Christoforou breaks down a situation that's still genuinely messy. Mixed signals are pouring out of both Washington and Tehran, a power struggle over the Strait of Hormuz is grinding on, and low-level attacks keep flaring even with the MOU supposedly in place. The drop in oil prices, he says, may be emboldening the Trump administration to crank up the pressure. Iran, meanwhile, is holding firm on every red line it drew at the start of the war. And it all keeps circling back to Lebanon. Until that front gets resolved, Christoforou argues, the broader regional puzzle stays unsolved. The bigger point? He says Trump already has every tool needed to force a Lebanon ceasefire, if he actually wants the deal. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

39,853 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇺🇸 One man is pulling Trump back into the very conflict he's desperate to escape. Professor Steve Hanke breaks down why the president's signals shift day to day with no consistent logic in sight. "Trump wants to get out of this thing and get this noose off from his neck, but he has other forces moving in the other direction." Netanyahu may be the answer to every question you have right now. Steve Hanke

🇺🇸 One man is pulling Trump back into the very conflict he's desperate to escape. Professor Steve Hanke breaks down why the president's signals shift day to day with no consistent logic in sight. "Trump wants to get out of this thing and get this noose off from his neck, but he has other forces moving in the other direction." Netanyahu may be the answer to every question you have right now. Steve Hanke

Mario Nawfal

73,805 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 The diplomatic alignment between Washington and Israel is unraveling as they pursue competing strategic objectives. Matthew Hoh believes that the U.S. remains trapped in an unwinnable regional conflict with no clear political space to offer concessions. He emphasizes that Iran maintains the clear upper hand through its tight control of the Straits of Hormuz, leaving the current framework at a complete impasse. Matthew Hoh

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 The diplomatic alignment between Washington and Israel is unraveling as they pursue competing strategic objectives. Matthew Hoh believes that the U.S. remains trapped in an unwinnable regional conflict with no clear political space to offer concessions. He emphasizes that Iran maintains the clear upper hand through its tight control of the Straits of Hormuz, leaving the current framework at a complete impasse. Matthew Hoh

Mario Nawfal

35,878 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 NETANYAHU IS TRYING TO BLOW UP THE CEASEFIRE Political scientist Prof. David N. Gibbs says Israel is deliberately provoking Iran to reignite the war by attacking Lebanon. The goal, Gibbs argues, is to provoke Hezbollah, drag in Iran, and collapse the ceasefire entirely. Both Iran and Pakistan believed Lebanon was covered under the truce. Israel is exploiting that ambiguity with ruthless precision. Trump, however, follows his own self-interest above all else. Gibbs believes he won't take the bait because getting pulled back in serves nobody in his orbit except Netanyahu. "Every president since 1945 has felt the need to have their own unique war. Trump is not the aberration people think he is."

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 NETANYAHU IS TRYING TO BLOW UP THE CEASEFIRE Political scientist Prof. David N. Gibbs says Israel is deliberately provoking Iran to reignite the war by attacking Lebanon. The goal, Gibbs argues, is to provoke Hezbollah, drag in Iran, and collapse the ceasefire entirely. Both Iran and Pakistan believed Lebanon was covered under the truce. Israel is exploiting that ambiguity with ruthless precision. Trump, however, follows his own self-interest above all else. Gibbs believes he won't take the bait because getting pulled back in serves nobody in his orbit except Netanyahu. "Every president since 1945 has felt the need to have their own unique war. Trump is not the aberration people think he is."

Mario Nawfal

62,630 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Trump may be losing control of the conflict he claimed he could manage. Intelligence and counter-terrorism expert Malcolm Nance says Trump’s public claim that he could rein in Netanyahu has turned into a personal challenge for the Israeli PM. He argues Netanyahu’s massive strikes on Lebanon, coming right after U.S. pressure to back off, show Israel is following its own path regardless of Washington’s wishes. Trump is showing weakness to Iran, losing credibility, and watching the conflict move beyond his control. Malcolm Nance

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Trump may be losing control of the conflict he claimed he could manage. Intelligence and counter-terrorism expert Malcolm Nance says Trump’s public claim that he could rein in Netanyahu has turned into a personal challenge for the Israeli PM. He argues Netanyahu’s massive strikes on Lebanon, coming right after U.S. pressure to back off, show Israel is following its own path regardless of Washington’s wishes. Trump is showing weakness to Iran, losing credibility, and watching the conflict move beyond his control. Malcolm Nance

Mario Nawfal

37,608 次观看 • 3 个月前

Commander-in-Chief of the IRGC Ahmad Vahidi was reportedly present at a site targeted during Israeli strikes, though sources cited in the broadcast suggest he may not have been the intended target. The latest escalation highlights a cycle that has repeatedly pushed the region toward wider conflict: Hezbollah attacks Israel, Israel strikes Lebanon, Iran threatens retaliation, and each side responds to the last move with another.

Commander-in-Chief of the IRGC Ahmad Vahidi was reportedly present at a site targeted during Israeli strikes, though sources cited in the broadcast suggest he may not have been the intended target. The latest escalation highlights a cycle that has repeatedly pushed the region toward wider conflict: Hezbollah attacks Israel, Israel strikes Lebanon, Iran threatens retaliation, and each side responds to the last move with another.

Tousi TV

31,210 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇱🇧 Hezbollah's tunnels run too deep to bomb, and that single fact may be why this war has no clean ending Matthew Hoh kept circling one idea: the things driving this conflict can't be shaken loose. Iran won't surrender Hezbollah, Hezbollah won't disarm while Israel sits in Lebanon, and the Lebanon framework hands every condition to Beirut while asking nothing of Israel. To him, that's not a peace deal. It's the setup for a civil war. On Hormuz, he's blunt: Iran controls it, full stop, and that's the weapon it holds for years, not weeks. Traffic has collapsed back to wartime levels. One cheap drone strike makes the point, and he reads it as Tehran's way of grabbing the one thing that gets Trump's attention, the legacy he thinks Trump will spend the rest of his term protecting. The line that stuck with me was about the root of all of it. Until the Palestinian question is answered, he says, every ceasefire is just another phony pause before the next round. And his most provocative thought? That Trump, loyal to nothing but his own legacy, might break with Israel in a way no president before him ever could. A slim chance. But a real one. Matthew Hoh

🇱🇧 Hezbollah's tunnels run too deep to bomb, and that single fact may be why this war has no clean ending Matthew Hoh kept circling one idea: the things driving this conflict can't be shaken loose. Iran won't surrender Hezbollah, Hezbollah won't disarm while Israel sits in Lebanon, and the Lebanon framework hands every condition to Beirut while asking nothing of Israel. To him, that's not a peace deal. It's the setup for a civil war. On Hormuz, he's blunt: Iran controls it, full stop, and that's the weapon it holds for years, not weeks. Traffic has collapsed back to wartime levels. One cheap drone strike makes the point, and he reads it as Tehran's way of grabbing the one thing that gets Trump's attention, the legacy he thinks Trump will spend the rest of his term protecting. The line that stuck with me was about the root of all of it. Until the Palestinian question is answered, he says, every ceasefire is just another phony pause before the next round. And his most provocative thought? That Trump, loyal to nothing but his own legacy, might break with Israel in a way no president before him ever could. A slim chance. But a real one. Matthew Hoh

Mario Nawfal

188,529 次观看 • 3 个月前