Загрузка видео...

Не удалось загрузить видео

На главную

The Structural Case For Continued Dollar Strength $DXYZ In this Short video, Brent Johnson Santiago Capital and I break down the structural forces supporting continued #USdollar dominance, from global trade and debt markets to reserve holdings and crisis-driven demand. Despite years of predictions about the dollar’s demise, the global...

13,688 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 0

Нет доступных комментариев

Здесь появятся комментарии из оригинального поста

Похожие видео

Gold Accumulation Is Not De-Dollarization In this Short video, Brent Johnson Santiago Capital and I break down the relationship between #gold, Treasury #bonds, and central bank reserves, explaining why gold accumulation is often a portfolio management decision rather than a de-dollarization signal. Many investors interpret rising central bank gold purchases as evidence that the world is abandoning the U.S. dollar, but the reality is far more nuanced. Central banks hold reserve assets to facilitate international trade, manage liquidity, and preserve purchasing power. For decades, U.S. Treasuries have been a cornerstone of those reserves because they provide both safety and interest income. Gold serves a similar reserve function, but its return depends primarily on price appreciation rather than #yields. When #interestrates rise, bond prices fall, making gold relatively more attractive. In that environment, reserve managers may choose to increase gold holdings while reducing Treasury exposure. That does not necessarily signal a rejection of the dollar system. It is often a response to changing market conditions and portfolio management considerations. Geopolitics also plays a role. Following the freezing of Russian assets in 2022, many countries reassessed the risks associated with holding reserves that could potentially be subject to sanctions. Gold offers advantages because it is harder to freeze or confiscate. China, for example, increased its gold holdings while also restructuring parts of its Treasury exposure to reduce perceived sanction risk. So, gold accumulation is not the same thing as de-dollarization. Gold and #Treasuries are both reserve assets, and central banks regularly adjust the balance between them based on yields, market conditions, and geopolitical considerations. Brent Santiago Capital also challenges a common contradiction among critics of central banking. Many argue that central bankers are responsible for excessive money creation, debt expansion, and financial distortions, yet often praise their gold purchases as evidence of foresight. He argues that while central bankers may be misguided or overly confident, they are not unintelligent. Managing the modern global financial system is extraordinarily complex, and the fact that the system continues to function despite repeated predictions of collapse suggests a level of skill that should not be ignored. Gold buying may be increasing, but the broader message is not that the dollar is dying. It is that central banks are adapting to a changing financial and geopolitical landscape while continuing to operate within a dollar-centric global system. Check out our comprehensive "15 Trading Rules" guide ▶️ This guide includes practical rules for managing positions, taking profits, controlling risk, and avoiding the emotional mistakes that often hurt returns during major market corrections. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show:

Lance Roberts

15,366 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Most people read the dollar exactly backwards. A rising dollar looks like strength. Strong America, good economy, the Fed doing its job. A falling dollar looks like weakness. Inflation, debasement, the end of dollar dominance. It is the other way around. A rising dollar usually means global funding is tightening. The world is short of dollars and scrambling to find them. That is not strength. That is stress. Think of a hurricane coming and everyone rushing to buy bottled water. The price spikes. That does not mean the water got stronger. It means people are scared and desperate. The dollar works the same way. When it surges against everything at once, it is telling you dollars are getting scarce, not that America is winning. That is why the dollar spikes in crises. The 1997 Asian crisis. 2008. The 2015 emerging market squeeze. March 2020. The 2024 carry trade blow up. The pattern is not random. None of this is really about the Fed or money printing. The dollar's exchange value is mechanical. It runs on the eurodollar system, the offshore dollar funding made of bank balance sheets, collateral, repo, and swaps. The biggest driver is dealer balance sheets. When dealers expand, dollars flow and the world feels calm. When they pull back, dollars get scarce and the dollar climbs. And this is the part everyone gets wrong. When foreign central banks sell US treasuries, the headlines scream that they are dumping America. They are not. They are using their reserves exactly as designed. When their markets are short of dollars, they sell treasuries to supply them. Sell treasuries, the dollar goes up. That is stress, not rejection. Which is why the dollar doom story keeps failing. They said QE would destroy the dollar after 2008. They said the deficits would collapse it. It never happened, because the problem was never too many dollars. It was not enough usable ones in the right places. So when someone tells you a strong dollar means America is strong, be careful. The strongest looking dollar is often the biggest warning sign. And a falling dollar is usually just the storm passing.

Jeffrey P. Snider

103,944 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground

Afshin Rattansi

107,856 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

🚨 Historic: China Internationalizes the Gold-Backed Yuan and Payment System for the First Time Ever For the first time, the People’s Bank of China has explicitly made expanding the RMB’s global role a core priority: More use in trade and investment, stronger offshore markets, better cross-border payment systems, and solidifying Hong Kong as a key hub with physical gold vaults, clearing, and trading infrastructure. State institutions are also heavily bullish on gold. At the same time, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon just warned that if the U.S. is no longer the world’s strongest economy and military in 25 years, the dollar will lose its reserve-currency status. History shows reserve status follows the dominant power. Dimon’s point is straightforward: keep the edge or lose the privilege. China is moving on multiple fronts to challenge that dominance: • Building gold-linked infrastructure and credibility for the yuan (vaults, trading, physical delivery options) so the currency feels more “hard-asset backed” to the rest of the world. • Expanding CIPS and pushing the new BRICS payment system (BRICS Pay / Bridge) as a real alternative to SWIFT, allowing countries to settle trade in local currencies without going through the dollar system. And don’t forget the real-world leverage: China still dominates the rare-earth supply chain (roughly 70% of mining, over 90% of processing, and the vast majority of permanent magnets). These materials are essential for EVs, wind turbines, defense systems, electronics, and more. That gives Beijing serious bargaining power in any shift away from dollar-centric trade. None of this means the dollar collapses tomorrow. It still settles the bulk of global trade and holds the majority of reserves. But the direction of travel is clear: China is systematically building the plumbing (gold, payments, commodities control) for a multipolar currency world, while the U.S. is being told by one of its own top bankers that the clock is running if it loses its edge. Soon as China banned retail paper gold market, Chinese investors turned to tokenized gold on blockchains. The game is long. The pieces are moving.

Stern Drew

249,591 просмотров • 13 дней назад

🚨NEW: Adam Curry nicely breaks down how Stablecoins work, Tether, and the likely future of the US Digital Dollar system. (Worth a watch if you don't know about this subject) "A stablecoin is a digital dollar thats pegged to the dollar so it's always a dollar. It's already being used all over the internet and the world. The only reason it's worth a dollar is because the stablecoin company that creates it has debt and paper to back it up. They buy America's debt, they buy treasury bonds or T-bills that pay a dividend that gives interest, and for each dollar they've bought in treasury they can create stablecoins. If you look at the company Tether they've bought more of the US debt than most countries. They have $160B worth of US debt. For each of those dollars they have a stablecoin. There's like 50 people in the company. They have $160B at 4% interest annually, they're making BANK just for holding this debt. I think that President Trump is very smart in seeing that we can flood the world with our stablecoin and we get a 2-for-1. We create a dollar of debt and we create another dollar that can be used all over the world as a reserve currency and that should result in some new monetary system that we need to come up with to have our dollar valued properly but also still remain the reserve currency and remain a strong export country. We don't make anything that we sell abroad, we can't all serve each other burgers and fries -- we have to build something. All of that went overseas. There's something big coming, and it has to happen. Trump is a meta guy. He's going to re-finance the country. It'll be digital and he Bitcoiners don't like this because they want Bitcoin to be the one currency that everyone uses but its now more like a digital gold that's much easier to move around. It's useful but it isn't money or currency the way it was originally intended -- but it is still very important and will be part of the US' strategic reserve. It looks to me like Stablecoins and Tether in particular will be the future of the US dollar payments. A lot of people on the right are afraid of being controlled on a grid because you can stop stablecoins -- but it seems there's no way of getting around some form of a digital dollar. I still like Bitcoin as a backup to protect from that control." Great breakdown Adam Curry - curryirc.com

Autism Capital 🧩

365,538 просмотров • 1 год назад

In 1971, the U.S. literally ran out of money. Back then, the dollar was backed by gold, which meant every paper dollar represented real gold sitting in U.S. reserves. The problem was the country was spending way more than it earned, printing dollars that didn’t have enough gold to back them. As other countries realized this, they started trading their dollars in for gold. The gold reserves began to drain fast. That Sunday night, President Nixon went on TV and told the world the U.S. was “suspend temporarily convertibility” of dollars into gold. What that really meant was the U.S. couldn’t pay what it owed in real money anymore. At that time, Ray Dalio was a young clerk on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. He thought markets would collapse the next day. Instead, stocks soared. The U.S. had just made money worth less, and when that happens, asset prices usually rise. He later found out the same thing had happened in 1933 when FDR also cut the gold link. Both times, the U.S. printed more paper money to keep spending, and each dollar ended up buying less. That moment in 1971 changed the entire global system. From then on, money wasn’t something you could exchange for gold, it became a promise backed only by trust. And that’s where the connection to today comes in. Trust in that promise is fading again. Inflation is running above target, the dollar is sliding, and people are moving into things that don’t rely on faith in any government such as gold and bitcoin. Foreign investors aren’t pulling away from America, but they are protecting themselves. They’re still buying U.S. assets, just not without hedging the risk. They don’t want to be caught holding paper that keeps losing value. Dalio’s story shows how this cycle keeps repeating. The system runs on confidence until it doesn’t. And every time it slips, people turn back to hard assets, not because they want to, but because they have to.

StockMarket.News

95,018 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад