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Gold Accumulation Is Not De-Dollarization In this Short video, Brent Johnson Santiago Capital and I break down the relationship between #gold, Treasury #bonds, and central bank reserves, explaining why gold accumulation is often a portfolio management decision rather than a de-dollarization signal. Many investors interpret rising central bank gold...

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Lance Roberts

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15,366 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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The Structural Case For Continued Dollar Strength $DXYZ In this Short video, Brent Johnson Santiago Capital and I break down the structural forces supporting continued #USdollar dominance, from global trade and debt markets to reserve holdings and crisis-driven demand. Despite years of predictions about the dollar’s demise, the global financial system remains deeply dependent on it. The key reason is that the #dollar is far more than a currency—it is the backbone of global trade, credit, funding markets, and financial infrastructure. The dollar market outside the United States is actually much larger than the one inside it. Trillions of dollars of debt are owed by foreign governments, corporations, and banks. Much of that borrowing occurs between non-U.S. entities, yet it is still denominated in dollars. That means the rest of the world owes enormous amounts in a currency it cannot create or control. Roughly 58% of allocated global foreign exchange reserves are held in dollars, compared with about 20% in euros. Around half of global trade is invoiced in dollars, including transactions where the United States is not involved. The eurodollar system, the Treasury market, the SWIFT network, and the global banking infrastructure all reinforce the dollar’s dominant position. Many investors point to central banks increasing their #gold $GLD holdings as evidence that the dollar is losing relevance. Gold has indeed become a larger share of reserves, but part of that shift reflects higher gold prices and lower Treasury prices as #interestrates have risen. Foreign ownership of U.S. #Treasuries remains near all-time highs, suggesting the world has not abandoned dollar assets. The most overlooked point is what happens during a crisis. Countries may hold gold as a neutral reserve asset, but when they need liquidity, they often sell gold to obtain dollars. During periods of stress (like the Iran war), demand for dollars frequently rises because global trade, debt servicing, and commodity purchases still rely on them. So, de-dollarization may be happening at the margins, but replacing the dollar is far more difficult than many assume. The structural foundations supporting dollar demand remain firmly in place, and in moments of uncertainty, the world still turns to dollars first. Check out our comprehensive "15 Trading Rules" guide ▶️ This guide includes practical rules for managing positions, taking profits, controlling risk, and avoiding the emotional mistakes that often hurt returns during major market corrections. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show:
2:59

The Structural Case For Continued Dollar Strength $DXYZ In this Short video, Brent Johnson Santiago Capital and I break down the structural forces supporting continued #USdollar dominance, from global trade and debt markets to reserve holdings and crisis-driven demand. Despite years of predictions about the dollar’s demise, the global financial system remains deeply dependent on it. The key reason is that the #dollar is far more than a currency—it is the backbone of global trade, credit, funding markets, and financial infrastructure. The dollar market outside the United States is actually much larger than the one inside it. Trillions of dollars of debt are owed by foreign governments, corporations, and banks. Much of that borrowing occurs between non-U.S. entities, yet it is still denominated in dollars. That means the rest of the world owes enormous amounts in a currency it cannot create or control. Roughly 58% of allocated global foreign exchange reserves are held in dollars, compared with about 20% in euros. Around half of global trade is invoiced in dollars, including transactions where the United States is not involved. The eurodollar system, the Treasury market, the SWIFT network, and the global banking infrastructure all reinforce the dollar’s dominant position. Many investors point to central banks increasing their #gold $GLD holdings as evidence that the dollar is losing relevance. Gold has indeed become a larger share of reserves, but part of that shift reflects higher gold prices and lower Treasury prices as #interestrates have risen. Foreign ownership of U.S. #Treasuries remains near all-time highs, suggesting the world has not abandoned dollar assets. The most overlooked point is what happens during a crisis. Countries may hold gold as a neutral reserve asset, but when they need liquidity, they often sell gold to obtain dollars. During periods of stress (like the Iran war), demand for dollars frequently rises because global trade, debt servicing, and commodity purchases still rely on them. So, de-dollarization may be happening at the margins, but replacing the dollar is far more difficult than many assume. The structural foundations supporting dollar demand remain firmly in place, and in moments of uncertainty, the world still turns to dollars first. Check out our comprehensive "15 Trading Rules" guide ▶️ This guide includes practical rules for managing positions, taking profits, controlling risk, and avoiding the emotional mistakes that often hurt returns during major market corrections. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show:

Lance Roberts

13,688 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Keep your hands off our gold “In the rush to hoard stuff for a rainy day, there’s been scant discussion about the future of our existing mineral stockpile; the 80 tonnes of gold the Reserve Bank of Australia has sitting in vaults. The rapid surge in gold prices means the value of the RBA’s gold has doubled in Australian dollar terms over the past two years and more than tripled over the past seven years. Which makes it a great time to sell those 80 tonnes of gold for just over $18 billion of cash. The analogy extends to physical capital; what’s the point of having a gold stockpile if you never sell it?” ••••••••••••••• The AFR (no doubt acting as a proxy for Treasury) is arguing that Australia should sell its gold. This is a very dangerous thing to do. Some time in the future the U.S. dollar will stop being the world’s reserve currency and there will be reset of the monetary system. It’s highly likely that when this happens the new currency will be backed by gold. Those countries with the largest gold reserves will in the strongest financial position after reset. Gold is an appreciating asset, unlike bonds which depreciate due to inflation. That’s why central banks manipulate the gold price by artificially shorting it via paper contracts on the Comex to prevent individuals from accumulating it. Let’s not forget the U.S. outlawed the possession of gold in 1932 to prop up the paper markets. Articles like this remind us that the world’s financial system is on very shaky ground. Western government debt levels are unsustainable and the bond markets are on very shaky ground. Gold has always been insurance against reckless government spending/borrowing. Rather than sell our gold, the Australian government should be accumulating it. Any attempt by central banks to take our gold needs to be stopped stone cold dead. That includes bringing our gold back home, away from the clutches of the Bank of England.
3:34

Keep your hands off our gold “In the rush to hoard stuff for a rainy day, there’s been scant discussion about the future of our existing mineral stockpile; the 80 tonnes of gold the Reserve Bank of Australia has sitting in vaults. The rapid surge in gold prices means the value of the RBA’s gold has doubled in Australian dollar terms over the past two years and more than tripled over the past seven years. Which makes it a great time to sell those 80 tonnes of gold for just over $18 billion of cash. The analogy extends to physical capital; what’s the point of having a gold stockpile if you never sell it?” ••••••••••••••• The AFR (no doubt acting as a proxy for Treasury) is arguing that Australia should sell its gold. This is a very dangerous thing to do. Some time in the future the U.S. dollar will stop being the world’s reserve currency and there will be reset of the monetary system. It’s highly likely that when this happens the new currency will be backed by gold. Those countries with the largest gold reserves will in the strongest financial position after reset. Gold is an appreciating asset, unlike bonds which depreciate due to inflation. That’s why central banks manipulate the gold price by artificially shorting it via paper contracts on the Comex to prevent individuals from accumulating it. Let’s not forget the U.S. outlawed the possession of gold in 1932 to prop up the paper markets. Articles like this remind us that the world’s financial system is on very shaky ground. Western government debt levels are unsustainable and the bond markets are on very shaky ground. Gold has always been insurance against reckless government spending/borrowing. Rather than sell our gold, the Australian government should be accumulating it. Any attempt by central banks to take our gold needs to be stopped stone cold dead. That includes bringing our gold back home, away from the clutches of the Bank of England.

Gerard Rennick

23,880 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨Afshin Rattansi: BRICS Is BETTING on Gold And the Western Financial System Has No Answer to That. 'Jim Rickards was talking about the fact that everything comes down to gold, which, of course, is great for India. As he said, no central bank has the gold reserves that Indian families hold privately in their homes. Surely, they will still be buying gold rather than any particular BRICS currency. But then again, the BRICS currency could somehow be tied to gold in a way that NATO nation currencies are not.' Have a question for Afshin Rattansi that you want answered on the next episode of New Order? Reply to this with your question about BRICS or the global south, and the city you are from!
0:41

🚨Afshin Rattansi: BRICS Is BETTING on Gold And the Western Financial System Has No Answer to That. 'Jim Rickards was talking about the fact that everything comes down to gold, which, of course, is great for India. As he said, no central bank has the gold reserves that Indian families hold privately in their homes. Surely, they will still be buying gold rather than any particular BRICS currency. But then again, the BRICS currency could somehow be tied to gold in a way that NATO nation currencies are not.' Have a question for Afshin Rattansi that you want answered on the next episode of New Order? Reply to this with your question about BRICS or the global south, and the city you are from!

New Order with Afshin Rattansi

16,607 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

The Coming Gold Repricing & The New Financial System In this Short video, Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals and Adam Taggart break down the case for a future gold $GLD repricing, the shift away from U.S. Treasuries, and the quiet transformation taking place in the global monetary system. For decades, the global financial system has revolved around the U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, and Western-controlled payment networks. But a quiet shift is taking place beneath the surface. BRICS nations and other emerging economies are steadily building an alternative framework for trade and settlement. Instead of selling commodities for dollars, countries can increasingly transact in local currencies, settle imbalances with #gold, and move value through new financial infrastructure outside the traditional Western system. The most overlooked part of this trend may be the rapid expansion of gold vaults and settlement hubs across Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, Dubai, Mumbai, and other regions. Combined with payment systems such as CIPS, these networks could eventually allow countries to trade with one another without relying on the dollar as an intermediary. Andy Schectman also argues that gold and #silver $SLV have never been allowed to fully reflect their true market value. While the West continues to set global precious metals prices through paper markets, physical demand has been rising as central banks and sovereign buyers accumulate metal and increasingly stand for delivery. At the same time, the traditional safe-haven asset – U.S. Treasuries – has suffered one of the worst drawdowns in modern history. The argument is that many countries are quietly reducing Treasury exposure and reallocating reserves toward gold. If these trends continue, the world could be moving toward a more multipolar financial system where physical gold plays a much larger role in trade, reserve management, and international settlement. The big question is whether gold's current price reflects that future—or whether a major repricing still lies ahead. ⬇️Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with Andy Schectman by visiting my Substack (link below) ⬇️
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The Coming Gold Repricing & The New Financial System In this Short video, Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals and Adam Taggart break down the case for a future gold $GLD repricing, the shift away from U.S. Treasuries, and the quiet transformation taking place in the global monetary system. For decades, the global financial system has revolved around the U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, and Western-controlled payment networks. But a quiet shift is taking place beneath the surface. BRICS nations and other emerging economies are steadily building an alternative framework for trade and settlement. Instead of selling commodities for dollars, countries can increasingly transact in local currencies, settle imbalances with #gold, and move value through new financial infrastructure outside the traditional Western system. The most overlooked part of this trend may be the rapid expansion of gold vaults and settlement hubs across Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, Dubai, Mumbai, and other regions. Combined with payment systems such as CIPS, these networks could eventually allow countries to trade with one another without relying on the dollar as an intermediary. Andy Schectman also argues that gold and #silver $SLV have never been allowed to fully reflect their true market value. While the West continues to set global precious metals prices through paper markets, physical demand has been rising as central banks and sovereign buyers accumulate metal and increasingly stand for delivery. At the same time, the traditional safe-haven asset – U.S. Treasuries – has suffered one of the worst drawdowns in modern history. The argument is that many countries are quietly reducing Treasury exposure and reallocating reserves toward gold. If these trends continue, the world could be moving toward a more multipolar financial system where physical gold plays a much larger role in trade, reserve management, and international settlement. The big question is whether gold's current price reflects that future—or whether a major repricing still lies ahead. ⬇️Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with Andy Schectman by visiting my Substack (link below) ⬇️

Thoughtful Money®

11,731 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD JUST HAPPENED Japan has dumped $71 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries - its biggest sell-off in decades. But that's not even the scary part. Japan is still sitting on a massive ¥15.3 TRILLION in bond losses. And now, they've hit the panic button. Here's what's really happening right now: Japan is constantly selling U.S. Treasuries to support the yen and prevent a much larger market crash. And at the exact same time, Japan's gold holdings have hit an ALL-TIME HIGH. That is not a coincidence. Japan is selling dollar-denominated assets while keeping all their gold. The reason is simple. Japan needs to defend the yen. So they're using their massive foreign reserves to intervene. And U.S. Treasuries are one of the biggest assets they can sell. But here's where things get MUCH bigger. China is doing the same thing. China has been dumping U.S. Treasuries while its gold reserves continue reaching new ALL-TIME HIGHS. Now we're watching two of the world's largest economies move in the same direction. → Japan is selling U.S. Treasuries → Japan is increasing its gold holdings → China is selling U.S. Treasuries → China is increasing its gold holdings Both countries are reducing their dependence on dollar assets. This is no longer an isolated Treasury sale. It is a much bigger shift in how major economies manage their reserves. Japan is trying to support the yen. China is building greater independence from the U.S. dollar. And GOLD is becoming increasingly important to both strategies. And this is where things get dangerous. If Japan has to keep selling Treasuries to defend the yen, the selling pressure will continue. And China is doing the same thing. The implications are enormous. → More Treasury selling → More pressure on bond markets → More currency intervention → More gold accumulation → Less dollar dependence Japan isn't trying to crash the market. They're trying to support the yen and prevent a much larger financial crisis. But the actions they're taking will have consequences across global markets. And if other countries follow, the pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury market will accelerate. This is exactly how global financial systems begin to change. Not overnight. But gradually. Then suddenly. And the global reserve system is changing right in front of us. I've studied markets for over 12 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I'm warning you now. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn on notifications. A lot of people will wish they had started paying attention earlier.
0:27

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD JUST HAPPENED Japan has dumped $71 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries - its biggest sell-off in decades. But that's not even the scary part. Japan is still sitting on a massive ¥15.3 TRILLION in bond losses. And now, they've hit the panic button. Here's what's really happening right now: Japan is constantly selling U.S. Treasuries to support the yen and prevent a much larger market crash. And at the exact same time, Japan's gold holdings have hit an ALL-TIME HIGH. That is not a coincidence. Japan is selling dollar-denominated assets while keeping all their gold. The reason is simple. Japan needs to defend the yen. So they're using their massive foreign reserves to intervene. And U.S. Treasuries are one of the biggest assets they can sell. But here's where things get MUCH bigger. China is doing the same thing. China has been dumping U.S. Treasuries while its gold reserves continue reaching new ALL-TIME HIGHS. Now we're watching two of the world's largest economies move in the same direction. → Japan is selling U.S. Treasuries → Japan is increasing its gold holdings → China is selling U.S. Treasuries → China is increasing its gold holdings Both countries are reducing their dependence on dollar assets. This is no longer an isolated Treasury sale. It is a much bigger shift in how major economies manage their reserves. Japan is trying to support the yen. China is building greater independence from the U.S. dollar. And GOLD is becoming increasingly important to both strategies. And this is where things get dangerous. If Japan has to keep selling Treasuries to defend the yen, the selling pressure will continue. And China is doing the same thing. The implications are enormous. → More Treasury selling → More pressure on bond markets → More currency intervention → More gold accumulation → Less dollar dependence Japan isn't trying to crash the market. They're trying to support the yen and prevent a much larger financial crisis. But the actions they're taking will have consequences across global markets. And if other countries follow, the pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury market will accelerate. This is exactly how global financial systems begin to change. Not overnight. But gradually. Then suddenly. And the global reserve system is changing right in front of us. I've studied markets for over 12 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I'm warning you now. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn on notifications. A lot of people will wish they had started paying attention earlier.

0xNobler

356,149 просмотров • 17 дней назад

AFRICA'S GOLD BANK JUST WENT LIVE: THE DOLLAR IS BEING CUT OUT Africa just made a quiet but seismic move. Central banks are building their own gold bank and a continent-wide payment system that deliberately bypasses the US dollar while opening a direct gold corridor straight to China. The masses still have no idea this is happening. THE AFRICAN AWAKENING ➡️ On July 20 the central banks of Egypt and Eswatini sat down to advance both PAPSS and a pan-African gold bank. ➡️ The driving force is identical to China’s: escape dollar dependence before the next sanctions hammer falls. ➡️ Russia’s frozen reserves and the deliberate dollar squeeze on Iran taught them the lesson. They are acting on it. THE PAPSS BREAKTHROUGH ➡️ Afreximbank’s Pan-African Payment and Settlement System already links banks in 28 countries. ➡️ The Central Bank of the Central African States just joined, bringing the six CFA-franc nations with it. ➡️ Transactions now clear in roughly seven seconds. Western dollar banks lose real-time visibility. ➡️ Daily settlement still runs through Afreximbank in dollars. That is exactly where gold can replace the dollar as the final settlement asset. THE GOLD BANK PLAN ➡️ On 29 December Afreximbank and the Egyptian central bank formally decided to create a pan-African gold bank. ➡️ Goal: strengthen central-bank reserves, build African refineries and trading hubs, and keep physical gold on the continent. ➡️ A gold refinery is scheduled to open in an Egyptian free-trade zone by year-end. McKinsey is writing the feasibility study right now. THE CHINA CONNECTION ➡️ China’s CIPS system has already signed partnerships with Afreximbank and other regional banks to create offshore yuan centers. ➡️ Hong Kong’s Christopher Hui is personally building gold corridors with Ghana and Laos. ➡️ A joint venture between the Hong Kong Gold Exchange and Alibaba’s AGTech is preparing a digital platform so gold can serve as collateral and tokenized payment. ➡️ The design is clear: African gold stays in African vaults under Chinese-linked oversight while settlement shifts into yuan. THE RESERVE REALITY ➡️ China imported 196 tonnes net in May and 180 tonnes in June. ➡️ Official PBOC purchases were only 10 and 15 tonnes. Analysts at Goldman Sachs estimate the real May figure closer to 50 tonnes. ➡️ Physical gold is being pulled into a new system that the West still pretends does not exist. THE BOTTOM LINE Africa is no longer waiting for permission. It is building the rails, the vaults and the corridors that let physical gold settle trade outside the dollar. The quiet reconstruction of the monetary order is already underway. The window to understand it is still open. Most people will notice only after the door has closed. HT: Rohstoff Investor #AfricaGold #PAPSS #GoldCorridor #DeDollarization #ChinaAfrica #GoldBank #PhysicalGold
1:17

AFRICA'S GOLD BANK JUST WENT LIVE: THE DOLLAR IS BEING CUT OUT Africa just made a quiet but seismic move. Central banks are building their own gold bank and a continent-wide payment system that deliberately bypasses the US dollar while opening a direct gold corridor straight to China. The masses still have no idea this is happening. THE AFRICAN AWAKENING ➡️ On July 20 the central banks of Egypt and Eswatini sat down to advance both PAPSS and a pan-African gold bank. ➡️ The driving force is identical to China’s: escape dollar dependence before the next sanctions hammer falls. ➡️ Russia’s frozen reserves and the deliberate dollar squeeze on Iran taught them the lesson. They are acting on it. THE PAPSS BREAKTHROUGH ➡️ Afreximbank’s Pan-African Payment and Settlement System already links banks in 28 countries. ➡️ The Central Bank of the Central African States just joined, bringing the six CFA-franc nations with it. ➡️ Transactions now clear in roughly seven seconds. Western dollar banks lose real-time visibility. ➡️ Daily settlement still runs through Afreximbank in dollars. That is exactly where gold can replace the dollar as the final settlement asset. THE GOLD BANK PLAN ➡️ On 29 December Afreximbank and the Egyptian central bank formally decided to create a pan-African gold bank. ➡️ Goal: strengthen central-bank reserves, build African refineries and trading hubs, and keep physical gold on the continent. ➡️ A gold refinery is scheduled to open in an Egyptian free-trade zone by year-end. McKinsey is writing the feasibility study right now. THE CHINA CONNECTION ➡️ China’s CIPS system has already signed partnerships with Afreximbank and other regional banks to create offshore yuan centers. ➡️ Hong Kong’s Christopher Hui is personally building gold corridors with Ghana and Laos. ➡️ A joint venture between the Hong Kong Gold Exchange and Alibaba’s AGTech is preparing a digital platform so gold can serve as collateral and tokenized payment. ➡️ The design is clear: African gold stays in African vaults under Chinese-linked oversight while settlement shifts into yuan. THE RESERVE REALITY ➡️ China imported 196 tonnes net in May and 180 tonnes in June. ➡️ Official PBOC purchases were only 10 and 15 tonnes. Analysts at Goldman Sachs estimate the real May figure closer to 50 tonnes. ➡️ Physical gold is being pulled into a new system that the West still pretends does not exist. THE BOTTOM LINE Africa is no longer waiting for permission. It is building the rails, the vaults and the corridors that let physical gold settle trade outside the dollar. The quiet reconstruction of the monetary order is already underway. The window to understand it is still open. Most people will notice only after the door has closed. HT: Rohstoff Investor #AfricaGold #PAPSS #GoldCorridor #DeDollarization #ChinaAfrica #GoldBank #PhysicalGold

Mark

129,255 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW Today, Japan is HIKING interest rates to their highest level in 31 YEARS. But that's not even the scary part. Japan just dumped over $135 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries. And they're still sitting on a massive ¥15.3 TRILLION in bond losses. Nobody is prepared for what comes next: Japan is constantly selling U.S. Treasuries to support the yen and prevent a much larger market crash. And at the exact same time, Japan's gold holdings have hit an ALL-TIME HIGH. That is not a coincidence. Japan is selling dollar-denominated assets while keeping all their gold. The reason is simple. Japan needs to defend the yen. So they're using their massive foreign reserves to intervene. And U.S. Treasuries are one of the biggest assets they can sell. But here's where things get MUCH bigger. Japan is now heading into a rate hike that will push interest rates to their highest level in 31 YEARS. That means the entire global financial system is entering a completely different interest-rate environment. And it will put even more pressure on currencies, bonds and capital flows around the world. But China is doing the same thing. China has been dumping U.S. Treasuries while its gold reserves continue reaching new ALL-TIME HIGHS. Now we're watching two of the world's largest economies move in the same direction. → Japan is selling U.S. Treasuries → Japan is increasing its gold holdings → China is selling U.S. Treasuries → China is increasing its gold holdings Both countries are reducing their dependence on dollar assets. This is no longer an isolated Treasury sale. It is a much bigger shift in how major economies manage their reserves. Japan is trying to support the yen. China is building greater independence from the U.S. dollar. And GOLD is becoming increasingly important to both strategies. And this is where things get dangerous. If Japan has to keep selling Treasuries to defend the yen, the selling pressure will continue. And now Japan is simultaneously moving toward much higher interest rates. The implications are enormous. → More Treasury selling → More pressure on bond markets → More currency intervention → More gold accumulation → Less dollar dependence Japan isn't trying to crash the market. They're trying to support the yen and prevent a much larger financial crisis. But the actions they're taking will have consequences across global markets. And if other countries follow, the pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury market will accelerate. This is exactly how global financial systems begin to change. Not overnight. But gradually. Then suddenly. And the global reserve system is changing right in front of us. I've studied markets for over 10 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I'm warning you now. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn on notifications. A lot of people will wish they had started paying attention earlier.
0:26

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW Today, Japan is HIKING interest rates to their highest level in 31 YEARS. But that's not even the scary part. Japan just dumped over $135 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries. And they're still sitting on a massive ¥15.3 TRILLION in bond losses. Nobody is prepared for what comes next: Japan is constantly selling U.S. Treasuries to support the yen and prevent a much larger market crash. And at the exact same time, Japan's gold holdings have hit an ALL-TIME HIGH. That is not a coincidence. Japan is selling dollar-denominated assets while keeping all their gold. The reason is simple. Japan needs to defend the yen. So they're using their massive foreign reserves to intervene. And U.S. Treasuries are one of the biggest assets they can sell. But here's where things get MUCH bigger. Japan is now heading into a rate hike that will push interest rates to their highest level in 31 YEARS. That means the entire global financial system is entering a completely different interest-rate environment. And it will put even more pressure on currencies, bonds and capital flows around the world. But China is doing the same thing. China has been dumping U.S. Treasuries while its gold reserves continue reaching new ALL-TIME HIGHS. Now we're watching two of the world's largest economies move in the same direction. → Japan is selling U.S. Treasuries → Japan is increasing its gold holdings → China is selling U.S. Treasuries → China is increasing its gold holdings Both countries are reducing their dependence on dollar assets. This is no longer an isolated Treasury sale. It is a much bigger shift in how major economies manage their reserves. Japan is trying to support the yen. China is building greater independence from the U.S. dollar. And GOLD is becoming increasingly important to both strategies. And this is where things get dangerous. If Japan has to keep selling Treasuries to defend the yen, the selling pressure will continue. And now Japan is simultaneously moving toward much higher interest rates. The implications are enormous. → More Treasury selling → More pressure on bond markets → More currency intervention → More gold accumulation → Less dollar dependence Japan isn't trying to crash the market. They're trying to support the yen and prevent a much larger financial crisis. But the actions they're taking will have consequences across global markets. And if other countries follow, the pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury market will accelerate. This is exactly how global financial systems begin to change. Not overnight. But gradually. Then suddenly. And the global reserve system is changing right in front of us. I've studied markets for over 10 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I'm warning you now. If you want to survive the 2026-2027 cycle, follow and turn on notifications. A lot of people will wish they had started paying attention earlier.

0xNobler

99,200 просмотров • 5 дней назад

Chamath Explains Gold's All-Time High “I think it's a mixture of things. There's no panacea explanation.” 1) Net new buyers like Tether Gold 2) Macro funds buying gold instead of bonds or currencies (b/c they don't trust central bank policy) 3) Central bank rebalancing “Why is gold up?” “Gold is up because there are many more net new buyers.” “Who is the most important net new buyer? It's Tether.” “Tether has been issuing a stablecoin called Tether Gold, where they'll actually custody the gold on your behalf, and volumes of it are rising.” “At the same time, central banks are rebalancing.” “And then yet at the same time, you have a lot of macro funds that have essentially decided that central banks aren't to be trusted and they don't know what to do, and so they're not necessarily long bonds, they're not necessarily long currencies, and so they're long gold.” “So, I think it's a mixture of things. There's no panacea explanation.” “But if you had to put it into a couple buckets, it's net new speculation, net new stablecoin-related issuance, and a loss of confidence in central bank policy around the world.”
0:44

Chamath Explains Gold's All-Time High “I think it's a mixture of things. There's no panacea explanation.” 1) Net new buyers like Tether Gold 2) Macro funds buying gold instead of bonds or currencies (b/c they don't trust central bank policy) 3) Central bank rebalancing “Why is gold up?” “Gold is up because there are many more net new buyers.” “Who is the most important net new buyer? It's Tether.” “Tether has been issuing a stablecoin called Tether Gold, where they'll actually custody the gold on your behalf, and volumes of it are rising.” “At the same time, central banks are rebalancing.” “And then yet at the same time, you have a lot of macro funds that have essentially decided that central banks aren't to be trusted and they don't know what to do, and so they're not necessarily long bonds, they're not necessarily long currencies, and so they're long gold.” “So, I think it's a mixture of things. There's no panacea explanation.” “But if you had to put it into a couple buckets, it's net new speculation, net new stablecoin-related issuance, and a loss of confidence in central bank policy around the world.”

The All-In Podcast

110,991 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

CENTRAL BANKS BUYING 15X MORE GOLD THAN THEY REPORT: THE HIDDEN SUPPLY SHOCK EXPOSED Gold expert Dimitri Speck just laid bare the single most important fact about real gold demand. While official numbers paint a quiet picture, the actual buying by central banks and state funds is running at fifteen times the reported pace. This gap is not a rounding error. It is a deliberate, large-scale accumulation that is draining physical supply far faster than any headline admits. THE OFFICIAL NUMBERS VS REALITY ➡️ The World Gold Council reported just 16 tons of central bank gold purchases for the first quarter. ➡️ Independent estimates based on London flows and reserve movements put true net buying at 244 tons. ➡️ That single quarter alone shows central banks and government funds purchasing fifteen times more gold than they publicly disclose. THE HIDDEN BUYING SYSTEM ➡️ Central banks routinely buy more gold than they ever report in their official reserve statistics. ➡️ These are quiet, often routed purchases that never appear in timely public data. ➡️ Reserves are frequently held through clearing systems or delayed in publication so the true scale stays invisible to markets and the public. WHY THE SECRECY RUNS SO DEEP ➡️ Nations are diversifying reserves without triggering political backlash or sanctions pressure. ➡️ Publishing the real numbers would instantly reveal how little confidence some governments hold in the current monetary order. ➡️ The consistent pattern proves official statistics systematically understate physical gold demand by a massive margin. THE BOTTOM LINE Official gold data is a carefully constructed illusion designed to hide the real pace of accumulation. Central banks are pulling physical metal out of the market at fifteen times the speed they admit, tightening supply while telling the world everything is normal. The charts the public sees are missing the most important buyer in the entire market. HT: YouTube Kettner-Edelmetalle (Gold & Silber) #CentralBankGold #HiddenGold #15xBuying #PhysicalGoldDemand #GoldSupplyShock #ReserveDiversification #RealGoldData
1:05

CENTRAL BANKS BUYING 15X MORE GOLD THAN THEY REPORT: THE HIDDEN SUPPLY SHOCK EXPOSED Gold expert Dimitri Speck just laid bare the single most important fact about real gold demand. While official numbers paint a quiet picture, the actual buying by central banks and state funds is running at fifteen times the reported pace. This gap is not a rounding error. It is a deliberate, large-scale accumulation that is draining physical supply far faster than any headline admits. THE OFFICIAL NUMBERS VS REALITY ➡️ The World Gold Council reported just 16 tons of central bank gold purchases for the first quarter. ➡️ Independent estimates based on London flows and reserve movements put true net buying at 244 tons. ➡️ That single quarter alone shows central banks and government funds purchasing fifteen times more gold than they publicly disclose. THE HIDDEN BUYING SYSTEM ➡️ Central banks routinely buy more gold than they ever report in their official reserve statistics. ➡️ These are quiet, often routed purchases that never appear in timely public data. ➡️ Reserves are frequently held through clearing systems or delayed in publication so the true scale stays invisible to markets and the public. WHY THE SECRECY RUNS SO DEEP ➡️ Nations are diversifying reserves without triggering political backlash or sanctions pressure. ➡️ Publishing the real numbers would instantly reveal how little confidence some governments hold in the current monetary order. ➡️ The consistent pattern proves official statistics systematically understate physical gold demand by a massive margin. THE BOTTOM LINE Official gold data is a carefully constructed illusion designed to hide the real pace of accumulation. Central banks are pulling physical metal out of the market at fifteen times the speed they admit, tightening supply while telling the world everything is normal. The charts the public sees are missing the most important buyer in the entire market. HT: YouTube Kettner-Edelmetalle (Gold & Silber) #CentralBankGold #HiddenGold #15xBuying #PhysicalGoldDemand #GoldSupplyShock #ReserveDiversification #RealGoldData

Mark

37,892 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Silver's squeeze is being driven by gold which in turn is being driven by the dollar. No, not "debasement" or "inflation." Eurodollar deflation. People make the critical mistake believing gold is a substitute for the dollar when it's not even in the same arena. Precious metals instead compete with stocks and other risky financial assets as the safe haven alternative to them. Ledger money separated medium of exchange from store of value 150 years ago (not that you've heard anything about it, but you live it every day each time you use your credit card - medium - and check your 401k - store). Gold is not a medium, but it is superior form of value. Gold's behavior therefore has nothing to do with "the dollar" except when eurodollar conditions drive the exchange value and signal conditions relative to stores of value alternatives. This is why gold has behaved like it has and why all the gold "experts" get it wrong. When the dollar is rising, that's a deflation signal which means increasing chance conditions will be bad for risky stores of value. Gold shines. And that is exactly how it has traded recently, too, from late last year through April, the middle of the year when gold backed off because risk-taking was back at the forefront, and now with flat Beveridge everywhere and credit cockroaches showing up every other minute gold is utterly flying. That deflation would be really bad for risky assets that gold competes with. IT IS NOT DEBASEMENT OR ANYTHING LIKE IT. All the evidence is here: Everything you get from the mainstream is either wrong or backward. Oftentimes on purpose. Misdirection and misinformation is actually the trade of "central banks." Start unlearning the garbage and start learning the truth which has been hiding in plain sight all this time.
0:30

Silver's squeeze is being driven by gold which in turn is being driven by the dollar. No, not "debasement" or "inflation." Eurodollar deflation. People make the critical mistake believing gold is a substitute for the dollar when it's not even in the same arena. Precious metals instead compete with stocks and other risky financial assets as the safe haven alternative to them. Ledger money separated medium of exchange from store of value 150 years ago (not that you've heard anything about it, but you live it every day each time you use your credit card - medium - and check your 401k - store). Gold is not a medium, but it is superior form of value. Gold's behavior therefore has nothing to do with "the dollar" except when eurodollar conditions drive the exchange value and signal conditions relative to stores of value alternatives. This is why gold has behaved like it has and why all the gold "experts" get it wrong. When the dollar is rising, that's a deflation signal which means increasing chance conditions will be bad for risky stores of value. Gold shines. And that is exactly how it has traded recently, too, from late last year through April, the middle of the year when gold backed off because risk-taking was back at the forefront, and now with flat Beveridge everywhere and credit cockroaches showing up every other minute gold is utterly flying. That deflation would be really bad for risky assets that gold competes with. IT IS NOT DEBASEMENT OR ANYTHING LIKE IT. All the evidence is here: Everything you get from the mainstream is either wrong or backward. Oftentimes on purpose. Misdirection and misinformation is actually the trade of "central banks." Start unlearning the garbage and start learning the truth which has been hiding in plain sight all this time.

Jeffrey P. Snider

26,897 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

🚨 Massive Prep for Asset-Backed Currency Is Underway. The City of London Knows Something We Don’t. The City Of London isn’t just a financial district. It’s a separate jurisdiction, with its own police and financial authority, controlled by an elite global network that no government fully oversees… Every central bank, every currency and oil flow answers to them. The famous City Of London banker Lord Belgrave already warned about it months ago. Gold-Backed Money Is Replacing the Dollar Faster Than Anyone Expected! Banks and institutions are buying COMEX Gold options at $15,000 - $20,000 for December 2026. Bank of Korea just restarted GOLD purchases for the FIRST TIME since 2013, the latest nation quietly abandoning the dying greenback! Japan and South Korea, even after immense pressure from the US, started dumping dollar instead of US treasuries to save themselves. BoJ has also ramped up their gold reserves. The London Bullion Market Association was on the brink of collapse earlier due to the shortage of physical gold as compared to leveraged paper market trading. China’s central bank has stacked GOLD for 20 CONSECUTIVE MONTHS straight!! They even banned retail leveraged trading for gold countrywide. Russian and Chinese investors are flooding into U.S. tokenized markets on blockchain. China is also building a BRICS Payment system backed by Gold. The XRP Ledger RWA platform Trensik reported $1,000,000 in tokenized gold volume in a single day after China’s move. Paxos Gold on Ethereum also reported increased activity on tokenized gold. The global shift to ASSET-BACKED currencies is accelerating.
0:22

🚨 Massive Prep for Asset-Backed Currency Is Underway. The City of London Knows Something We Don’t. The City Of London isn’t just a financial district. It’s a separate jurisdiction, with its own police and financial authority, controlled by an elite global network that no government fully oversees… Every central bank, every currency and oil flow answers to them. The famous City Of London banker Lord Belgrave already warned about it months ago. Gold-Backed Money Is Replacing the Dollar Faster Than Anyone Expected! Banks and institutions are buying COMEX Gold options at $15,000 - $20,000 for December 2026. Bank of Korea just restarted GOLD purchases for the FIRST TIME since 2013, the latest nation quietly abandoning the dying greenback! Japan and South Korea, even after immense pressure from the US, started dumping dollar instead of US treasuries to save themselves. BoJ has also ramped up their gold reserves. The London Bullion Market Association was on the brink of collapse earlier due to the shortage of physical gold as compared to leveraged paper market trading. China’s central bank has stacked GOLD for 20 CONSECUTIVE MONTHS straight!! They even banned retail leveraged trading for gold countrywide. Russian and Chinese investors are flooding into U.S. tokenized markets on blockchain. China is also building a BRICS Payment system backed by Gold. The XRP Ledger RWA platform Trensik reported $1,000,000 in tokenized gold volume in a single day after China’s move. Paxos Gold on Ethereum also reported increased activity on tokenized gold. The global shift to ASSET-BACKED currencies is accelerating.

Stern Drew

71,477 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

David Rosenberg sees the gold pullback as another correction inside a long-term bull market, not the end of the move. His thesis remains centred on central banks structurally rebalancing reserves away from the US dollar and into gold, with that process likely only halfway through. In his view, China buying physical metal while Western leveraged money sells shows gold moving from weak hands to stronger hands, and investors should focus on the central bank bid rather than short-term price noise.
8:02

David Rosenberg sees the gold pullback as another correction inside a long-term bull market, not the end of the move. His thesis remains centred on central banks structurally rebalancing reserves away from the US dollar and into gold, with that process likely only halfway through. In his view, China buying physical metal while Western leveraged money sells shows gold moving from weak hands to stronger hands, and investors should focus on the central bank bid rather than short-term price noise.

TheGladiator

29,616 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🇨🇳 INTERVIEW: “CHINA IS USING GOLD TO CREATE A TRADE LOOP THAT STRENGTHENS ITS ECONOMY” Luke Gromen, Macroeconomic Strategist “China has built a system that rewards its trading partners for holding gold instead of dollars. As gold rises in yuan terms, it preserves and even grows purchasing power for their creditors, which encourages more trade in yuan. At the same time, China restricts physical gold from leaving the mainland. Gold can flow through Hong Kong or Shanghai’s free trade zone, but once it enters China, it stays there. That setup pushes global gold demand higher without depleting their reserves, while also improving domestic balance sheets for Chinese citizens and banks holding gold. It’s a strategic financial loop that boosts trade, strengthens collateral, and reduces dependence on the U.S. dollar.”
2:00

🇨🇳 INTERVIEW: “CHINA IS USING GOLD TO CREATE A TRADE LOOP THAT STRENGTHENS ITS ECONOMY” Luke Gromen, Macroeconomic Strategist “China has built a system that rewards its trading partners for holding gold instead of dollars. As gold rises in yuan terms, it preserves and even grows purchasing power for their creditors, which encourages more trade in yuan. At the same time, China restricts physical gold from leaving the mainland. Gold can flow through Hong Kong or Shanghai’s free trade zone, but once it enters China, it stays there. That setup pushes global gold demand higher without depleting their reserves, while also improving domestic balance sheets for Chinese citizens and banks holding gold. It’s a strategic financial loop that boosts trade, strengthens collateral, and reduces dependence on the U.S. dollar.”

Mario Nawfal

39,885 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

Ray Dalio: I Keep About 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin, but I Prefer Gold Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio Ray Dalio said on The Diary Of A CEO that roughly 1% of his portfolio is in Bitcoin. He counts it as "money that can't be printed" and suggests most people hold 5–15% of their portfolio in hard money, but within that bucket he prefers gold. Dalio argued Bitcoin is exposed to quantum computing, government surveillance and taxation, and said central banks will never hold it in size because they need privacy and control — pointing to Russia, whose reserves were frozen while its gold could not be touched.
1:38

Ray Dalio: I Keep About 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin, but I Prefer Gold Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio Ray Dalio said on The Diary Of A CEO that roughly 1% of his portfolio is in Bitcoin. He counts it as "money that can't be printed" and suggests most people hold 5–15% of their portfolio in hard money, but within that bucket he prefers gold. Dalio argued Bitcoin is exposed to quantum computing, government surveillance and taxation, and said central banks will never hold it in size because they need privacy and control — pointing to Russia, whose reserves were frozen while its gold could not be touched.

Wu Blockchain

22,414 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

The Fed Is Trapped — And Gold Knows It $GLD #gold Please ❤️like, bookmark🔖, and 🔁share with fellow investors In this Short video, Andy Schectman Andy Schectman and Adam Taggart discuss why the breakout in gold and #silver $SLV may have real legs — and why the most important signal isn’t simply that precious metals are rising, but that they’re doing it despite higher interest rates and higher oil prices. * Normally, rising Treasury yields should be a headwind for gold. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset and should attract global capital into U.S. Treasuries and the dollar. But that’s not what’s happening. Yields are rising. Gold is rising. And the dollar is falling. Andy sees that combination as a potential warning that investors are demanding higher yields to own U.S. government debt rather than viewing those yields as an increasingly attractive safe-haven return. In other words, this could be less about economic strength and more about declining confidence in Treasuries. * That leads to the bigger thesis: the Fed may be trapped. Years of suppressed interest rates created distortions in asset prices, capital allocation and leverage. Allow rates to rise too far, and those vulnerabilities begin to surface. But cap yields or inject liquidity to keep the financial system stable, and the pressure doesn’t disappear — it can instead show up through higher inflation and a weaker currency. * Andy argues that the era of genuine balance-sheet normalization may already be over. He points to roughly $40 billion per month of liquidity/purchases and what he views as de facto yield-curve control through efforts to prevent Japan from selling Treasuries. * Meanwhile, #crudeoil adds another problem. Higher energy prices eventually feed through transportation, manufacturing, food and other costs, and Andy argues that the full inflationary impact can take roughly six months to appear. That may explain why gold is moving now. His view is that sophisticated traders are “skating to where the puck is going”: front-running the possibility that policymakers ultimately cannot allow rates to keep rising and will eventually have to suppress yields or provide additional liquidity. * That’s why the current relationship matters so much: – Treasury yields up – Gold up – Dollar down If higher yields alone were restoring confidence in U.S. assets, gold should face much stronger competition from Treasuries. Instead, precious metals continue to attract buyers. * And Andy sees another major difference versus the 2011 gold peak: persistent record buying by major strategic players. That structural demand gives him more confidence that this isn’t simply a dead-cat bounce. * Bottom line: Andy believes this is a real breakout. Gold may be front-running a world in which the Fed faces an increasingly difficult choice between allowing rates to rise and exposing financial vulnerabilities, or suppressing rates and risking even greater inflationary pressure. The Fed is trapped — and gold may already know which way this ends. #yields $TLT $BND 💡 Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with Andy Schectman by visiting my Substack (link below)⬇️
2:59

The Fed Is Trapped — And Gold Knows It $GLD #gold Please ❤️like, bookmark🔖, and 🔁share with fellow investors In this Short video, Andy Schectman Andy Schectman and Adam Taggart discuss why the breakout in gold and #silver $SLV may have real legs — and why the most important signal isn’t simply that precious metals are rising, but that they’re doing it despite higher interest rates and higher oil prices. * Normally, rising Treasury yields should be a headwind for gold. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset and should attract global capital into U.S. Treasuries and the dollar. But that’s not what’s happening. Yields are rising. Gold is rising. And the dollar is falling. Andy sees that combination as a potential warning that investors are demanding higher yields to own U.S. government debt rather than viewing those yields as an increasingly attractive safe-haven return. In other words, this could be less about economic strength and more about declining confidence in Treasuries. * That leads to the bigger thesis: the Fed may be trapped. Years of suppressed interest rates created distortions in asset prices, capital allocation and leverage. Allow rates to rise too far, and those vulnerabilities begin to surface. But cap yields or inject liquidity to keep the financial system stable, and the pressure doesn’t disappear — it can instead show up through higher inflation and a weaker currency. * Andy argues that the era of genuine balance-sheet normalization may already be over. He points to roughly $40 billion per month of liquidity/purchases and what he views as de facto yield-curve control through efforts to prevent Japan from selling Treasuries. * Meanwhile, #crudeoil adds another problem. Higher energy prices eventually feed through transportation, manufacturing, food and other costs, and Andy argues that the full inflationary impact can take roughly six months to appear. That may explain why gold is moving now. His view is that sophisticated traders are “skating to where the puck is going”: front-running the possibility that policymakers ultimately cannot allow rates to keep rising and will eventually have to suppress yields or provide additional liquidity. * That’s why the current relationship matters so much: – Treasury yields up – Gold up – Dollar down If higher yields alone were restoring confidence in U.S. assets, gold should face much stronger competition from Treasuries. Instead, precious metals continue to attract buyers. * And Andy sees another major difference versus the 2011 gold peak: persistent record buying by major strategic players. That structural demand gives him more confidence that this isn’t simply a dead-cat bounce. * Bottom line: Andy believes this is a real breakout. Gold may be front-running a world in which the Fed faces an increasingly difficult choice between allowing rates to rise and exposing financial vulnerabilities, or suppressing rates and risking even greater inflationary pressure. The Fed is trapped — and gold may already know which way this ends. #yields $TLT $BND 💡 Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with Andy Schectman by visiting my Substack (link below)⬇️

Thoughtful Money®

11,038 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Former BlackRock fund manager Ed Dowd on the death of the dollar 💵☠️ "we're in a stealth bull market in the dollar... [but] the bad news is there's a new monetary system coming" "I've always been of the opinion the dollar is going to fail up... Then they reset stuff" "The dollar system is designed for constant credit creation... [and] put simply more credit creation, lower dollar, less credit creation, higher dollar" "so de-dollarization is actually bullish for the dollar in the short term because... there's always people scrambling for dollar liquidity" "if the dollar goes up too fast, too quick, it squeezes other nations and causes serious economic pain" "The dollar is very much a financial weapon and it is used as such" "So the good news is I don't think the dollar is going away anytime soon. The bad news is there's a new monetary system coming" "I don't know when, but it's going to involve gold because the signal is going to involve gold because central banks are acquiring gold...[and] commercial banks are acquiring gold because they made it a tier-one capital again, which is essentially the ability to create money from your gold" "So I'm bullish the dollar long term until I see the charts break. And they haven't broken yet" "that's why when people ask me, What should I be doing with the stock market?, I go, Take some of your money and put it in the cash— They go, but inflation's killing me. Well, inflation may be killing you, but if the stock market deflates 50%, your cash is... a lot better" Shannon Joy Edward Dowd
2:22

Former BlackRock fund manager Ed Dowd on the death of the dollar 💵☠️ "we're in a stealth bull market in the dollar... [but] the bad news is there's a new monetary system coming" "I've always been of the opinion the dollar is going to fail up... Then they reset stuff" "The dollar system is designed for constant credit creation... [and] put simply more credit creation, lower dollar, less credit creation, higher dollar" "so de-dollarization is actually bullish for the dollar in the short term because... there's always people scrambling for dollar liquidity" "if the dollar goes up too fast, too quick, it squeezes other nations and causes serious economic pain" "The dollar is very much a financial weapon and it is used as such" "So the good news is I don't think the dollar is going away anytime soon. The bad news is there's a new monetary system coming" "I don't know when, but it's going to involve gold because the signal is going to involve gold because central banks are acquiring gold...[and] commercial banks are acquiring gold because they made it a tier-one capital again, which is essentially the ability to create money from your gold" "So I'm bullish the dollar long term until I see the charts break. And they haven't broken yet" "that's why when people ask me, What should I be doing with the stock market?, I go, Take some of your money and put it in the cash— They go, but inflation's killing me. Well, inflation may be killing you, but if the stock market deflates 50%, your cash is... a lot better" Shannon Joy Edward Dowd

Sense Receptor

109,227 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

In a crisis, people do not sell dollars to get gold. They sell gold to get dollars. The Middle East conflict made this plain. When commodity prices spiked and liquidity tightened, countries across the Gulf, Turkey, Russia, and beyond did not reach for gold. They sold it because dollars are still the only thing that settles the world's obligations. That is not a bearish case for gold. Gold accumulated over the years is still a powerful asset. But the sequence matters. Gold is accumulated in calm. Dollars are demanded in a crisis. Until the underlying system changes, that is the order of operations every gold holder needs to understand. Santiago Capital
2:09

In a crisis, people do not sell dollars to get gold. They sell gold to get dollars. The Middle East conflict made this plain. When commodity prices spiked and liquidity tightened, countries across the Gulf, Turkey, Russia, and beyond did not reach for gold. They sold it because dollars are still the only thing that settles the world's obligations. That is not a bearish case for gold. Gold accumulated over the years is still a powerful asset. But the sequence matters. Gold is accumulated in calm. Dollars are demanded in a crisis. Until the underlying system changes, that is the order of operations every gold holder needs to understand. Santiago Capital

Monetary Metals

28,334 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER
1:25

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER

George Noble

11,852 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

While Bitcoin gets a lot of attention, it hasn’t played the safe-haven role many expected. In my view, there are a few reasons why. First, Bitcoin lacks privacy. Transactions can be monitored and potentially controlled, which is why central banks aren’t looking to hold it. Second, it also has a high correlation with tech stocks. When investors get squeezed in other areas of their portfolio, they sell their Bitcoin to cover it. Third, it’s a relatively small and controllable market, whereas gold stands alone. There is only one gold. Ultimately, gold is more widely held, deeply established, and still plays a central role in the global system.
1:28

While Bitcoin gets a lot of attention, it hasn’t played the safe-haven role many expected. In my view, there are a few reasons why. First, Bitcoin lacks privacy. Transactions can be monitored and potentially controlled, which is why central banks aren’t looking to hold it. Second, it also has a high correlation with tech stocks. When investors get squeezed in other areas of their portfolio, they sell their Bitcoin to cover it. Third, it’s a relatively small and controllable market, whereas gold stands alone. There is only one gold. Ultimately, gold is more widely held, deeply established, and still plays a central role in the global system.

Ray Dalio

761,489 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад