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There are five major forces that together, operate in a big cycle: - Financial force – money, debts, markets, economy - Domestic political force – internal order and disorder, wealth gaps, and conflict between the left and the right - International world order force – great power conflicts as...

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Ray Dalio

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87,546 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Ray Dalio warns of "something worse than recession" and points to 5 forces converging right now: The billionaire investor isn't worried about a typical downturn. He's mapping something bigger. "There's a financial problem. There's an imbalance problem," Dalio explains. "There are basically five big forces through history that drive everything." Force #1: The debt cycle "First, there's the money, credit, debt, economic cycle in which there's a building up of debt in a cyclical way that becomes too large and we're going to have problems. We're going to have a government debt problem." In Dalio's framing, this is what's changing our monetary order. Force #2: Internal conflict "The second big force through time is the internal conflict force. The left and the right. Differences in wealth and values causing a conflict that we're seeing it changing our political order." This is what's changing our political order internally. Force #3: The great world order "How countries deal with each other. When there's a rising power challenging existing power." Dalio sees a major shift underway: "Now we are going from multilateralism which is largely an American world order type of thing to a unilateral world order in which there's great conflict." Force #4: Acts of nature "Droughts, floods, and pandemics." The historical wildcard that compounds every other pressure. Force #5: Technology "Technology changing and how they are coming together are the main forces behind this." Dalio's core warning is about convergence. No single force is the whole story: "There can't be imbalances anymore in that environment."
1:31

Ray Dalio warns of "something worse than recession" and points to 5 forces converging right now: The billionaire investor isn't worried about a typical downturn. He's mapping something bigger. "There's a financial problem. There's an imbalance problem," Dalio explains. "There are basically five big forces through history that drive everything." Force #1: The debt cycle "First, there's the money, credit, debt, economic cycle in which there's a building up of debt in a cyclical way that becomes too large and we're going to have problems. We're going to have a government debt problem." In Dalio's framing, this is what's changing our monetary order. Force #2: Internal conflict "The second big force through time is the internal conflict force. The left and the right. Differences in wealth and values causing a conflict that we're seeing it changing our political order." This is what's changing our political order internally. Force #3: The great world order "How countries deal with each other. When there's a rising power challenging existing power." Dalio sees a major shift underway: "Now we are going from multilateralism which is largely an American world order type of thing to a unilateral world order in which there's great conflict." Force #4: Acts of nature "Droughts, floods, and pandemics." The historical wildcard that compounds every other pressure. Force #5: Technology "Technology changing and how they are coming together are the main forces behind this." Dalio's core warning is about convergence. No single force is the whole story: "There can't be imbalances anymore in that environment."

Big Brain Investing

29,120 views • 4 months ago

It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order, the domestic political order, and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down, so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below.
3:32

It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order, the domestic political order, and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down, so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below.

Ray Dalio

742,354 views • 7 months ago

It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order, the domestic political order, and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down, so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below.
4:52

It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order, the domestic political order, and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down, so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below.

Ray Dalio

411,866 views • 7 months ago

The Commander of the Ground Force of the IRGC: All ground forces of the IRGC are at the peak of authority and full readiness, and the US, Israel, and our country's enemies will receive a crushing response in case of any threat or aggression. We are not afraid of any power and we rely on divine power. The IRGC ground forces stationed in Khuzestan have a strong spirit and will, and are fully ready.
2:19

The Commander of the Ground Force of the IRGC: All ground forces of the IRGC are at the peak of authority and full readiness, and the US, Israel, and our country's enemies will receive a crushing response in case of any threat or aggression. We are not afraid of any power and we rely on divine power. The IRGC ground forces stationed in Khuzestan have a strong spirit and will, and are fully ready.

True Promise - الوعد الصادق ✪🇮🇷

67,415 views • 5 months ago

If you follow the news, it’s probably clear to you that the current monetary order, domestic political order, and international geopolitical order are all on the brink of breaking down. We are headed for great conflicts and disruptive changes. That’s because the world order is now changing in a way that I described in my book and video Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. Put simply, there is a pattern of cause-effect relationships that drive the rise and decline of empires. Changes like these occur in a Big Cycle that we can understand by examining how they have occurred across countries throughout history. And you don’t have to take my word for it — the underlying metrics are measurable and show us how a typical cycle transpires. I hope you’ll read the book — or watch the full animated video at the link in the comments — and learn about it so that you understand what we’re dealing with, and what you can do to navigate the interesting times ahead.
4:52

If you follow the news, it’s probably clear to you that the current monetary order, domestic political order, and international geopolitical order are all on the brink of breaking down. We are headed for great conflicts and disruptive changes. That’s because the world order is now changing in a way that I described in my book and video Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. Put simply, there is a pattern of cause-effect relationships that drive the rise and decline of empires. Changes like these occur in a Big Cycle that we can understand by examining how they have occurred across countries throughout history. And you don’t have to take my word for it — the underlying metrics are measurable and show us how a typical cycle transpires. I hope you’ll read the book — or watch the full animated video at the link in the comments — and learn about it so that you understand what we’re dealing with, and what you can do to navigate the interesting times ahead.

Ray Dalio

215,592 views • 1 year ago

The foundations of a successful country are simpler than most people think–productive citizens, a civil environment, and peace. If you understand that framework, you should be able to understand where we are in the big cycle of political and social order and disorder. History shows us that when the causes people are willing to fight for are more important to them than the system, the system is in jeopardy.
1:48

The foundations of a successful country are simpler than most people think–productive citizens, a civil environment, and peace. If you understand that framework, you should be able to understand where we are in the big cycle of political and social order and disorder. History shows us that when the causes people are willing to fight for are more important to them than the system, the system is in jeopardy.

Ray Dalio

125,618 views • 2 months ago

Fifty years of Brute Force 👊⚡️! We are beyond thrilled to announce the JFR and PEAK John Force Brute Force Throwback Livery! This car honors the legacy of John Force, from his humble beginning to a drag racing icon. John ran this car in the mid 1970’s, and we are now celebrating 50 years of Brute Force!
0:41

Fifty years of Brute Force 👊⚡️! We are beyond thrilled to announce the JFR and PEAK John Force Brute Force Throwback Livery! This car honors the legacy of John Force, from his humble beginning to a drag racing icon. John ran this car in the mid 1970’s, and we are now celebrating 50 years of Brute Force!

John Force Racing

16,475 views • 1 year ago

#Indonesia: We are following closely the spate of violence in the context of nationwide protests over parliamentary allowances, austerity measures, and alleged use of unnecessary or disproportionate force by security forces. We stress the importance of dialogue to address the public’s concerns. The authorities must uphold the rights to peaceful assembly and freedom of expression while maintaining order, in line with international norms and standards, in relation to the policing of public assemblies. All security forces, including the military when deployed in a law enforcement capacity, must comply with the basic principles on the use of force and firearms by law enforcement officials. We call for prompt, thorough, and transparent investigations into all alleged violations of international human rights law, including with respect to use of force. It is also important that the media is permitted to report on events freely and independently. ➡️
0:55

#Indonesia: We are following closely the spate of violence in the context of nationwide protests over parliamentary allowances, austerity measures, and alleged use of unnecessary or disproportionate force by security forces. We stress the importance of dialogue to address the public’s concerns. The authorities must uphold the rights to peaceful assembly and freedom of expression while maintaining order, in line with international norms and standards, in relation to the policing of public assemblies. All security forces, including the military when deployed in a law enforcement capacity, must comply with the basic principles on the use of force and firearms by law enforcement officials. We call for prompt, thorough, and transparent investigations into all alleged violations of international human rights law, including with respect to use of force. It is also important that the media is permitted to report on events freely and independently. ➡️

UN Human Rights

4,591,444 views • 1 year ago

Myth: The President of the United States has limited power to order layoffs due to 5 USC § 7513a, which creates a for-cause requirement for firings. Truth: “Reductions in force” are not covered by for-cause requirements. 5 U.S. Code § 3502 expressly states that “reductions in force” are subject only to 60-day notice requirements and order-of-retention rules. The power to prescribe the “reduction in force” rules governing the “reductions in force” rest with the Office Personnel Management (OPM), and the current OPM rules give the power to effect “reductions in force” to agency heads. I will appoint agency heads who will execute large “reductions in force.” If agency heads do not cooperate, 5 U.S. Code § 3302 empowers the President to override the OPM rules and drive the reductions in force directly. Note that the U.S. President is not an agency and thus not covered by the Administrative Procedures Act.
4:11

Myth: The President of the United States has limited power to order layoffs due to 5 USC § 7513a, which creates a for-cause requirement for firings. Truth: “Reductions in force” are not covered by for-cause requirements. 5 U.S. Code § 3502 expressly states that “reductions in force” are subject only to 60-day notice requirements and order-of-retention rules. The power to prescribe the “reduction in force” rules governing the “reductions in force” rest with the Office Personnel Management (OPM), and the current OPM rules give the power to effect “reductions in force” to agency heads. I will appoint agency heads who will execute large “reductions in force.” If agency heads do not cooperate, 5 U.S. Code § 3302 empowers the President to override the OPM rules and drive the reductions in force directly. Note that the U.S. President is not an agency and thus not covered by the Administrative Procedures Act.

Vivek Ramaswamy

194,808 views • 3 years ago

At the Munich Security Conference earlier this month, the post-1945 world order was pronounced dead by most leaders. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said, “The world order as it has stood for decades no longer exists,” and that we are in a period “great power politics.” French President Emmanuel Macron echoed Merz’s assessment and said that Europe’s old security structures tied to the previous world order don't exist and that Europe must prepare for war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that we are in a “new geopolitics era” because the “old world” is gone. The way I see it, we are in the Stage 6 part of the Big Cycle in which there is great disorder arising from being in a period in which there are no rules, might is right, and there is a clash of great powers. How Stage 6 works is explained in detail in Chapter 6, “The Big Cycle of External Order and Disorder,” in my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. Last week, I shared all of Chapter 6 online for people to understand how this dynamic works, and it proved very popular, with more than 75 million views. You can find here: Given the now nearly universal agreement that the post-1945 world order has broken down and that we are entering a new world order, I think it would be worth your time to read.
1:00

At the Munich Security Conference earlier this month, the post-1945 world order was pronounced dead by most leaders. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said, “The world order as it has stood for decades no longer exists,” and that we are in a period “great power politics.” French President Emmanuel Macron echoed Merz’s assessment and said that Europe’s old security structures tied to the previous world order don't exist and that Europe must prepare for war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that we are in a “new geopolitics era” because the “old world” is gone. The way I see it, we are in the Stage 6 part of the Big Cycle in which there is great disorder arising from being in a period in which there are no rules, might is right, and there is a clash of great powers. How Stage 6 works is explained in detail in Chapter 6, “The Big Cycle of External Order and Disorder,” in my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. Last week, I shared all of Chapter 6 online for people to understand how this dynamic works, and it proved very popular, with more than 75 million views. You can find here: Given the now nearly universal agreement that the post-1945 world order has broken down and that we are entering a new world order, I think it would be worth your time to read.

Ray Dalio

150,022 views • 6 months ago

Rubio: The Ukrainian Armed Forces are currently the strongest and most powerful military force in all of Europe.
0:36

Rubio: The Ukrainian Armed Forces are currently the strongest and most powerful military force in all of Europe.

WarTranslated

37,381 views • 3 months ago

Stephen Miller: “This is the first time in American history that there is an all-of-government effort to dismantle left-wing terrorism, to dismantle Antifa…We are now going to use the entire force of the federal government to uproot these organizations root and branch.”
1:34

Stephen Miller: “This is the first time in American history that there is an all-of-government effort to dismantle left-wing terrorism, to dismantle Antifa…We are now going to use the entire force of the federal government to uproot these organizations root and branch.”

The Bulwark

774,073 views • 11 months ago

The United States is strong thanks to the strength of our Armed Forces. President Trump and I want excellence in America’s military, and we are going to make sure our Marines are the best, most lethal fighting force in the world 🇺🇸
0:43

The United States is strong thanks to the strength of our Armed Forces. President Trump and I want excellence in America’s military, and we are going to make sure our Marines are the best, most lethal fighting force in the world 🇺🇸

Vice President JD Vance

1,430,902 views • 1 year ago

[WATCH] TRUMP AGGRESSION AGAINST SOUTH AFRICA AND THE ANC WILL BE FOUGHT AND MOBILISED AGAINST. With regards to the Trump led administration, the ANC as the leading force of the left we are anti-imperialist. We advance multilateralism and a rules based system around the world. We are for reform in institutional mechanisms in world bodies. This notion that we must be controlled by the Trump administration, we reject. We are advancing a multipolar world order. The aggression we are facing by the Trump administration will be fought and mobilised against.
1:25

[WATCH] TRUMP AGGRESSION AGAINST SOUTH AFRICA AND THE ANC WILL BE FOUGHT AND MOBILISED AGAINST. With regards to the Trump led administration, the ANC as the leading force of the left we are anti-imperialist. We advance multilateralism and a rules based system around the world. We are for reform in institutional mechanisms in world bodies. This notion that we must be controlled by the Trump administration, we reject. We are advancing a multipolar world order. The aggression we are facing by the Trump administration will be fought and mobilised against.

ANC SECRETARY GENERAL | Fikile Mbalula

99,466 views • 8 months ago

Chilean President Allende at the UN, 1972: "We are facing forces that operate in the dark, without flags, with powerful weapons planted in every place where power sits." "Global organizations that depend on no state, that answer to no parliament, to no institution representing the collective interest. In a word, the entire political structure of the world is being hollowed out." "In the face of this danger, the developed peoples are no safer than we are." Nine months later the air force bombed the presidential palace.
2:46

Chilean President Allende at the UN, 1972: "We are facing forces that operate in the dark, without flags, with powerful weapons planted in every place where power sits." "Global organizations that depend on no state, that answer to no parliament, to no institution representing the collective interest. In a word, the entire political structure of the world is being hollowed out." "In the face of this danger, the developed peoples are no safer than we are." Nine months later the air force bombed the presidential palace.

COMBATE |🇵🇷

45,415 views • 10 days ago

Now, we are on the cusp of becoming a world leader in ending the nexus between money and political power.
0:41

Now, we are on the cusp of becoming a world leader in ending the nexus between money and political power.

Peter Malinauskas

16,985 views • 2 years ago

Eric Weinstein says UFOs, atomic weapons and Epstein “are going to merge into one story about power that we don’t understand” “There’s a private Air Force that seems to come down from the skies and destroy equipment of people observing UFOs that I think turned out to be the CIA Office of Global Access.” “I think Wright-Patterson Air Force Base is going to be very important. There’s a site in Indiana. Several in New Mexico. New Mexico is going to be the hub that connects atomic weapons, UFOs, and Jeffrey Epstein — and they’re all going to merge into one story about power that we don’t understand.”
2:53

Eric Weinstein says UFOs, atomic weapons and Epstein “are going to merge into one story about power that we don’t understand” “There’s a private Air Force that seems to come down from the skies and destroy equipment of people observing UFOs that I think turned out to be the CIA Office of Global Access.” “I think Wright-Patterson Air Force Base is going to be very important. There’s a site in Indiana. Several in New Mexico. New Mexico is going to be the hub that connects atomic weapons, UFOs, and Jeffrey Epstein — and they’re all going to merge into one story about power that we don’t understand.”

UAP James

656,253 views • 5 months ago