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🎥 There is active debate inside Tehran over whether Iran halted fighting too soon, academic Hassan Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill. Scahill noted some experts believe the pause may have cost Iran tactical leverage by giving the U.S. time to restock. Ahmadian said there may be some merit...

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🎥 Western coverage has zeroed in on Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the central figure in Iran’s talks with the U.S. — but that framing misreads how decision-making works in Tehran, academic Hassan Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill. “He brings the authority that the Supreme National Security Council, with the blessing of the Supreme Leader, gives him. Absent those two, he is a regular politician,” he said. jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان

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🎥 University of Tehran professor Hassan Ahmadian predicts another round of war between Iran and its allies and Israel is likely. And rather than allowing Israel to separate Iran’s support for Lebanon, Tehran’s strategy will be to “decouple” Israel from the United States by focusing future confrontation on Israel. “What can it alone, with solely its own power, achieve by attacking Iran and its allies? I think that would be another losing bet for the Israelis,” Ahmadian said. Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان | jeremy scahill
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🎥 University of Tehran professor Hassan Ahmadian predicts another round of war between Iran and its allies and Israel is likely. And rather than allowing Israel to separate Iran’s support for Lebanon, Tehran’s strategy will be to “decouple” Israel from the United States by focusing future confrontation on Israel. “What can it alone, with solely its own power, achieve by attacking Iran and its allies? I think that would be another losing bet for the Israelis,” Ahmadian said. Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان | jeremy scahill

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⭕️ Iran enters ceasefire talks with no trust in the Trump administration and no faith in the international community as a security guarantor, Hassan Ahmadian told Drop Site's Jeremy Scahill. "The Iranians learned the hard way. It's about power. If you don't have power, you will be subject to annihilation." The combined US-Israeli air power is "way beyond" what Iran possesses, Ahmadian noted. But he argued Iran has nonetheless forced a stalemate through asymmetric means. It has inserted a balance on the ground with a combination of military power and leverage over shipping control through the Strait of Hormuz, he told Drop Site. jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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⭕️ Iran enters ceasefire talks with no trust in the Trump administration and no faith in the international community as a security guarantor, Hassan Ahmadian told Drop Site's Jeremy Scahill. "The Iranians learned the hard way. It's about power. If you don't have power, you will be subject to annihilation." The combined US-Israeli air power is "way beyond" what Iran possesses, Ahmadian noted. But he argued Iran has nonetheless forced a stalemate through asymmetric means. It has inserted a balance on the ground with a combination of military power and leverage over shipping control through the Strait of Hormuz, he told Drop Site. jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان

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🎥 Hassan Ahmadian on GCC denial of its role in the war, and a coming strategic reckoning “It has been really surreal to listen to those discussions in the absence of any acknowledgment of the aggression that unfolded — from both the United States and from Israel,” Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill, describing some of the dominant narratives he debates with Gulf analysts on Al Jazeera Arabic. He said public denial persists even as the reality is widely understood behind the scenes. Ahmadian said a reckoning is underway as Gulf neighbors begin to recognize: “These spaces did not protect us. The defenses that we purchased and paid heavily for were used to defend those bases. And those bases are not for the security of the region — they are for the security of Israel.” jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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🎥 Hassan Ahmadian on GCC denial of its role in the war, and a coming strategic reckoning “It has been really surreal to listen to those discussions in the absence of any acknowledgment of the aggression that unfolded — from both the United States and from Israel,” Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill, describing some of the dominant narratives he debates with Gulf analysts on Al Jazeera Arabic. He said public denial persists even as the reality is widely understood behind the scenes. Ahmadian said a reckoning is underway as Gulf neighbors begin to recognize: “These spaces did not protect us. The defenses that we purchased and paid heavily for were used to defend those bases. And those bases are not for the security of the region — they are for the security of Israel.” jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان

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🎥 Iranian academic Hassan Ahmadian on U.S. President Trump’s claims of victory and why Iran’s system is built to withstand collapse: Trump has overstated his achievements in the war with Iran, Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill. “I’ve been following U.S.-Iran relations for decades, and I can see that he didn’t achieve anything. He was forced out of the war and was trying to claim an achievement.“ Ahmadian dismissed U.S. and Israeli claims that assassinating Iranian leaders amounted to a strategic win. He said Iran’s system is deliberately structured with parallel institutions at every level—parliament and Guardian Council, army and IRGC, dual intelligence bodies—so no single strike can bring it down. “For every institution in Iran, there’s a parallel institution. Wipe out entire institutions, the system will not collapse. It’s basically designed to withstand these kinds of shocks… That is not understood at all in U.S. political debates.” jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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🎥 Iranian academic Hassan Ahmadian on U.S. President Trump’s claims of victory and why Iran’s system is built to withstand collapse: Trump has overstated his achievements in the war with Iran, Ahmadian told Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill. “I’ve been following U.S.-Iran relations for decades, and I can see that he didn’t achieve anything. He was forced out of the war and was trying to claim an achievement.“ Ahmadian dismissed U.S. and Israeli claims that assassinating Iranian leaders amounted to a strategic win. He said Iran’s system is deliberately structured with parallel institutions at every level—parliament and Guardian Council, army and IRGC, dual intelligence bodies—so no single strike can bring it down. “For every institution in Iran, there’s a parallel institution. Wipe out entire institutions, the system will not collapse. It’s basically designed to withstand these kinds of shocks… That is not understood at all in U.S. political debates.” jeremy scahill | Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that Israeli anger over the reported U.S.-Iran agreement is not confined to Netanyahu’s far-right allies, but reflects a broader consensus inside Israel’s political class to continue the war in Lebanon. Scahill said Iranian officials and analysts believe another war with Israel is likely, and that Lebanon remains the key test of whether the emerging US-Iran deal holds. “The massive question looming over this,” Scahill said, is whether Iran will refuse nuclear negotiations unless Israel’s “scorched-earth bombing or siege of Lebanon stops.” jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti
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🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that Israeli anger over the reported U.S.-Iran agreement is not confined to Netanyahu’s far-right allies, but reflects a broader consensus inside Israel’s political class to continue the war in Lebanon. Scahill said Iranian officials and analysts believe another war with Israel is likely, and that Lebanon remains the key test of whether the emerging US-Iran deal holds. “The massive question looming over this,” Scahill said, is whether Iran will refuse nuclear negotiations unless Israel’s “scorched-earth bombing or siege of Lebanon stops.” jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 A potential peace deal is on the horizon, but it requires a total reimagining of U.S. support for its regional allies. Professor Hassan Ahmadian suggests that Iran will only consider stepping back from its "Axis of Resistance" if the U.S. ceases its military backing of Israeli operations. Prof. Hassan warns that as long as the U.S. continues to fund regional conflicts, Tehran will maintain its aggressive defensive network as a necessary balance of power. "They say we are close to signing a deal, then a war erupts." Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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🚨🇮🇷 🇦🇪 The devastating strikes on the Fujairah oil refinery have exposed the high cost of the UAE's deepening military ties with Israel. Professor Hassan Ahmadian said that while the official line denies involvement, the strategic reality points to a direct response against regional players hosting Israeli defense systems. Hassan suggests that the intensity of these attacks signals a major shift in how regional rivalries are now being settled on the battlefield. "This is very much new, the way Iran looked at the UAE." Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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🎥 Jeremy Scahill on the opening of the Iran-U.S. 60-day talks Scahill says the first day of negotiations in Switzerland unfolded against fierce debate inside Iran over whether officials should meet with the Trump administration after the war. Israel attempted to undermine the talks by escalating its assault on Lebanon, while Iran used the Strait of Hormuz as leverage before its delegation arrived. Scahill discusses Tehran’s brief walkout, describing it not as a collapse of negotiations but a calculated signal that it still holds leverage. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill Breaks Down the Current State of the War and Negotiations President Trump is trying to spin the emerging U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding as a victory, but the core U.S. demands have fallen away, Jeremy Scahill said. “The 2015 JCPOA already said Iran would not seek, develop, or acquire nuclear weapons,” Scahill said. “The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war began.” Iran’s key demands now are lifting the U.S. military blockade on Hormuz, withdrawing U.S. forces amassed in the region, repatriating billions in frozen assets, and importantly, securing an end to Israel’s war on Lebanon, he explains. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim
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🎥 Jeremy Scahill Breaks Down the Current State of the War and Negotiations President Trump is trying to spin the emerging U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding as a victory, but the core U.S. demands have fallen away, Jeremy Scahill said. “The 2015 JCPOA already said Iran would not seek, develop, or acquire nuclear weapons,” Scahill said. “The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war began.” Iran’s key demands now are lifting the U.S. military blockade on Hormuz, withdrawing U.S. forces amassed in the region, repatriating billions in frozen assets, and importantly, securing an end to Israel’s war on Lebanon, he explains. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim

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🎥 Top Iranian analyst Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان spoke with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill to break down how US President Trump, after failing militarily, grew desperate for a diplomatic exit — and ended up capitulating to the very framework Iran had been pushing all along. Ahmadian says a deal covering two core Iranian demands was within reach. It included an end to the war, including Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, and the unfreezing of Iranian assets and lifting of the oil embargo. In return, the U.S. was promised freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. But Trump tried to revise the agreed framework after it had already been finalized with mediators, pushing Iran to walk away from direct talks entirely. When the U.S. escalated militarily, Iran struck back harder. “The Iranians not only didn’t respond to President Trump — they actually showed that they are willing to engage in another war if need be and not succumb to what he was demanding.” That’s when Trump realized he couldn’t turn a military failure into a diplomatic win, and ultimately capitulated, Ahmadian told Drop Site. 🔗 Watch the full interview on Drop Sites’ YouTube channel
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🎥 Top Iranian analyst Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان spoke with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill to break down how US President Trump, after failing militarily, grew desperate for a diplomatic exit — and ended up capitulating to the very framework Iran had been pushing all along. Ahmadian says a deal covering two core Iranian demands was within reach. It included an end to the war, including Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, and the unfreezing of Iranian assets and lifting of the oil embargo. In return, the U.S. was promised freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. But Trump tried to revise the agreed framework after it had already been finalized with mediators, pushing Iran to walk away from direct talks entirely. When the U.S. escalated militarily, Iran struck back harder. “The Iranians not only didn’t respond to President Trump — they actually showed that they are willing to engage in another war if need be and not succumb to what he was demanding.” That’s when Trump realized he couldn’t turn a military failure into a diplomatic win, and ultimately capitulated, Ahmadian told Drop Site. 🔗 Watch the full interview on Drop Sites’ YouTube channel

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⚡️🎥 “Israeli wars don’t come to an end.” As talks of a potential deal between the U.S. and Iran continue to circulate this week, Drop Site’s jeremy scahill says there should be no expectation that Israel’s wars across the region are nearing an end. He argued that while Israel succeeded in getting the U.S. to wage a massive bombing campaign against Iran, it failed to achieve its goals of destroying the Iranian government and eliminating Tehran’s deterrent capacity. Scahill says the U.S. not only can’t restrain Israel’s broader expansionist “Greater Israel” project, but wouldn’t even if it could — arguing that many American politicians support its regional military conquests.
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⚡️🎥 “Israeli wars don’t come to an end.” As talks of a potential deal between the U.S. and Iran continue to circulate this week, Drop Site’s jeremy scahill says there should be no expectation that Israel’s wars across the region are nearing an end. He argued that while Israel succeeded in getting the U.S. to wage a massive bombing campaign against Iran, it failed to achieve its goals of destroying the Iranian government and eliminating Tehran’s deterrent capacity. Scahill says the U.S. not only can’t restrain Israel’s broader expansionist “Greater Israel” project, but wouldn’t even if it could — arguing that many American politicians support its regional military conquests.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has turned Gulf nations with military bases into targets who had no say in the war. Professor Hassan Ahmadian explains that GCC countries are now forced to ask if the U.S. presence is depriving them of the very security it promised. Prof. Ahmadian notes that Iran’s proposal for collective regional security is gaining traction as the limitations of the American security umbrella become impossible to ignore. "The strategic discussion after the war is what Iran wants. Why do we have these bases? Are they to protect us or are they to deprive us of security?" Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has turned Gulf nations with military bases into targets who had no say in the war. Professor Hassan Ahmadian explains that GCC countries are now forced to ask if the U.S. presence is depriving them of the very security it promised. Prof. Ahmadian notes that Iran’s proposal for collective regional security is gaining traction as the limitations of the American security umbrella become impossible to ignore. "The strategic discussion after the war is what Iran wants. Why do we have these bases? Are they to protect us or are they to deprive us of security?" Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان

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Donald Trump claimed today that “a massive Armada is heading to Iran,” warning that the US is “ready, willing, and able to rapidly fulfill its mission, with speed and violence, if necessary.” On the Drop Site News livestream, jeremy scahill noted that Iran is signalling a shift in its rules of engagement. Iranian officials are indicating that the traditional policy of calibrated retaliation may change if the U.S. or Israel target Iran’s top leadership. Scahill noted that discussions inside Iran’s national security circles reportedly include the possibility of larger-scale retaliation against U.S. forces if Iran is attacked again. He also cut through the political rhetoric in Washington: This is not about “supporting the Iranian people,” Scahill said. “This is about U.S. imperial aims. It’s about oil. It’s about gas. It’s about geopolitical war.” From the 1953 CIA-backed coup and support for the Shah, to decades of sanctions that have devastated ordinary Iranians, to June’s 12-day U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign that killed more than 1,000 people, Scahill argued that U.S. policy toward Iran has consistently been about imperial aims — not democracy.
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Donald Trump claimed today that “a massive Armada is heading to Iran,” warning that the US is “ready, willing, and able to rapidly fulfill its mission, with speed and violence, if necessary.” On the Drop Site News livestream, jeremy scahill noted that Iran is signalling a shift in its rules of engagement. Iranian officials are indicating that the traditional policy of calibrated retaliation may change if the U.S. or Israel target Iran’s top leadership. Scahill noted that discussions inside Iran’s national security circles reportedly include the possibility of larger-scale retaliation against U.S. forces if Iran is attacked again. He also cut through the political rhetoric in Washington: This is not about “supporting the Iranian people,” Scahill said. “This is about U.S. imperial aims. It’s about oil. It’s about gas. It’s about geopolitical war.” From the 1953 CIA-backed coup and support for the Shah, to decades of sanctions that have devastated ordinary Iranians, to June’s 12-day U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign that killed more than 1,000 people, Scahill argued that U.S. policy toward Iran has consistently been about imperial aims — not democracy.

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💢 University of Tehran professor Hassan Ahmadian told Al Jazeera Arabic that the reported U.S.-Iran agreement would create a new regional security framework with Washington acting as the guarantor of Israeli compliance on Lebanon. 🔹According to Ahmadian, one of the key provisions of the draft agreement is the “unity of the fronts,” meaning Israel would be barred from attacking the Lebanese resistance. 🔹“The United States guarantees that Israel will not move against the resistance,” he said, describing it as the first time Washington would serve as the guarantor of such an arrangement. 🔹Ahmadian suggested the latest Israeli strike on Beirut was aimed at disrupting that emerging framework and signaling that Israel intends to preserve its operational freedom. 🔹Ahmadian added that, unlike the 2015 nuclear deal, the proposed agreement is structured as a single package of commitments, allowing Iran to halt the entire arrangement if any clause is violated.
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💢 University of Tehran professor Hassan Ahmadian told Al Jazeera Arabic that the reported U.S.-Iran agreement would create a new regional security framework with Washington acting as the guarantor of Israeli compliance on Lebanon. 🔹According to Ahmadian, one of the key provisions of the draft agreement is the “unity of the fronts,” meaning Israel would be barred from attacking the Lebanese resistance. 🔹“The United States guarantees that Israel will not move against the resistance,” he said, describing it as the first time Washington would serve as the guarantor of such an arrangement. 🔹Ahmadian suggested the latest Israeli strike on Beirut was aimed at disrupting that emerging framework and signaling that Israel intends to preserve its operational freedom. 🔹Ahmadian added that, unlike the 2015 nuclear deal, the proposed agreement is structured as a single package of commitments, allowing Iran to halt the entire arrangement if any clause is violated.

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🎥 Lebanon, Hezbollah, and the Separate Negotiating Track Jeremy Scahill tells Al Jazeera that Israel and the U.S. underestimated how firmly Iran would defend Lebanon as a red line in negotiations. While U.S. and Israel sought to move Lebanon onto an entirely separate negotiating track through President Joseph Aoun and the Lebanese Army, Iran and Hezbollah worked to tie Lebanon directly to the broader U.S.-Iran agreement, and as a result, separate the United States from Israel. Full discussion on why Iran made an end to the war in Lebanon a core condition of the deal below. ⬇️ Steve Clemons | jeremy scahill
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🎥 Lebanon, Hezbollah, and the Separate Negotiating Track Jeremy Scahill tells Al Jazeera that Israel and the U.S. underestimated how firmly Iran would defend Lebanon as a red line in negotiations. While U.S. and Israel sought to move Lebanon onto an entirely separate negotiating track through President Joseph Aoun and the Lebanese Army, Iran and Hezbollah worked to tie Lebanon directly to the broader U.S.-Iran agreement, and as a result, separate the United States from Israel. Full discussion on why Iran made an end to the war in Lebanon a core condition of the deal below. ⬇️ Steve Clemons | jeremy scahill

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Ryan Grim and Emily Jashinsky spoke with Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill about the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire and Tehran’s 10-point plan. Scahill explains Donald Trump was “desperate for an off-ramp,” after Tehran used the Strait of Hormuz to show it could cause “absolute global economic havoc.” He said Iran is treating the deal as a pause, with its “finger firmly on the trigger.” The pause now could be cover to “rearm Israel” before new strikes, especially as attacks in Lebanon continue. Both sides claim victory, but the truce is unstable and could unravel quickly, Scahill told Breaking Points. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky
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Ryan Grim and Emily Jashinsky spoke with Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill about the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire and Tehran’s 10-point plan. Scahill explains Donald Trump was “desperate for an off-ramp,” after Tehran used the Strait of Hormuz to show it could cause “absolute global economic havoc.” He said Iran is treating the deal as a pause, with its “finger firmly on the trigger.” The pause now could be cover to “rearm Israel” before new strikes, especially as attacks in Lebanon continue. Both sides claim victory, but the truce is unstable and could unravel quickly, Scahill told Breaking Points. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky

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🎥 Top Iranian analyst Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان spoke with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill to break down how US President Trump, after failing militarily, grew desperate for a diplomatic exit — and ended up capitulating to the very framework Iran had been pushing all along. Ahmadian says a deal covering two core Iranian demands was within reach. It included an end to the war, including Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, and the unfreezing of Iranian assets and lifting of the oil embargo. In return, the U.S. was promised freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. But Trump tried to revise the agreed framework after it had already been finalized with mediators, pushing Iran to walk away from direct talks entirely. When the U.S. escalated militarily, Iran struck back harder. “The Iranians not only didn’t respond to President Trump — they actually showed that they are willing to engage in another war if need be and not succumb to what he was demanding.” That’s when Trump realized he couldn’t turn a military failure into a diplomatic win and ultimately capitulated. 🔗 Watch the full interview on Drop Sites’ YouTube channel
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🎥 Top Iranian analyst Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان spoke with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill to break down how US President Trump, after failing militarily, grew desperate for a diplomatic exit — and ended up capitulating to the very framework Iran had been pushing all along. Ahmadian says a deal covering two core Iranian demands was within reach. It included an end to the war, including Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, and the unfreezing of Iranian assets and lifting of the oil embargo. In return, the U.S. was promised freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. But Trump tried to revise the agreed framework after it had already been finalized with mediators, pushing Iran to walk away from direct talks entirely. When the U.S. escalated militarily, Iran struck back harder. “The Iranians not only didn’t respond to President Trump — they actually showed that they are willing to engage in another war if need be and not succumb to what he was demanding.” That’s when Trump realized he couldn’t turn a military failure into a diplomatic win and ultimately capitulated. 🔗 Watch the full interview on Drop Sites’ YouTube channel

Drop Site

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🎥 "Iran has no intention of capitulating,” reports Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill on Democracy Now! He said Iran’s view is that it’s “Trump who has the clock, with sweat increasingly pouring down his face.” Scahill reported that a senior Iranian official told him the most likely long-term scenario is not a major deal but a continued low-intensity tension — with Iran believing time is on its side. Scahill also says Israel has "thoroughly contaminated" US intelligence on Iran, feeding the Trump administration "completely cooked" assessments that “regime change” would be easy. jeremy scahill | Democracy Now!
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🎥 "Iran has no intention of capitulating,” reports Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill on Democracy Now! He said Iran’s view is that it’s “Trump who has the clock, with sweat increasingly pouring down his face.” Scahill reported that a senior Iranian official told him the most likely long-term scenario is not a major deal but a continued low-intensity tension — with Iran believing time is on its side. Scahill also says Israel has "thoroughly contaminated" US intelligence on Iran, feeding the Trump administration "completely cooked" assessments that “regime change” would be easy. jeremy scahill | Democracy Now!

Drop Site

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⚡️Jeremy Scahill says Tehran has sent a clear message: Iran will not end the war on Trump’s terms. Scahill told a Zeteo town hall that Iranian officials are demanding reparations for war damage and international guarantees that Iran’s sovereignty will be respected before any ceasefire. He also discussed Iran’s strikes on hotels and other sites allegedly housing U.S. or Israeli personnel, saying Tehran argues those locations lose civilian protection once combatants operate from them. The United States and Israel have set the rules of engagement, Scahill said, referring to the past two and a half years of Israel’s genocide in Gaza, where Israel argued it could bomb churches, mosques, clinics, and hospitals because fighters were using “human shields.” jeremy scahill | Zeteo
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⚡️Jeremy Scahill says Tehran has sent a clear message: Iran will not end the war on Trump’s terms. Scahill told a Zeteo town hall that Iranian officials are demanding reparations for war damage and international guarantees that Iran’s sovereignty will be respected before any ceasefire. He also discussed Iran’s strikes on hotels and other sites allegedly housing U.S. or Israeli personnel, saying Tehran argues those locations lose civilian protection once combatants operate from them. The United States and Israel have set the rules of engagement, Scahill said, referring to the past two and a half years of Israel’s genocide in Gaza, where Israel argued it could bomb churches, mosques, clinics, and hospitals because fighters were using “human shields.” jeremy scahill | Zeteo

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