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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท There is no agreed ceasefire... everyone is operating from a completely different version of one. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu understands something Trump doesn't want to admit: every escalation in Lebanon gives Trump an excuse not to unfreeze Iranian assets and look weaker than Obama. So part of...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Houthis want to be part of the axis of resistance comeback, and the pro-Iran wing inside Yemen is being emboldened by every Iranian success. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says the Houthis are junior partners who were likely pressured by Iran to act, giving Trump another reason to rein in Israel. They are not going to close the Bab el-Mandeb, because they would get pounded if they tried. Compared to the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea is a manageable problem... but any disruption there is bound to affect the markets. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Houthis want to be part of the axis of resistance comeback, and the pro-Iran wing inside Yemen is being emboldened by every Iranian success. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says the Houthis are junior partners who were likely pressured by Iran to act, giving Trump another reason to rein in Israel. They are not going to close the Bab el-Mandeb, because they would get pounded if they tried. Compared to the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea is a manageable problem... but any disruption there is bound to affect the markets. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Why are ships avoiding the Strait of Hormuz? Because U.S. sanctions make it illegal to pay Iran's transit fee, even voluntarily. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says even if a deal is signed tomorrow, shipping won't return unless the sanctions framework itself changes. Policymakers are assuming it will... They're wrong. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Why are ships avoiding the Strait of Hormuz? Because U.S. sanctions make it illegal to pay Iran's transit fee, even voluntarily. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says even if a deal is signed tomorrow, shipping won't return unless the sanctions framework itself changes. Policymakers are assuming it will... They're wrong. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mainstream Israeli commentators who used to champion Trump are now calling him a loser and incompetent, and cabinet leaks are exposing open revolt inside Netanyahu's own government. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu's public praise of Trump is pure political theater: A strategy to keep American backing ahead of elections while viewing the emerging deal as worse than the JCPOA. "Israelis have lost confidence in Trump and his ability to run this war, his ability to run these negotiations on a very deep level." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mainstream Israeli commentators who used to champion Trump are now calling him a loser and incompetent, and cabinet leaks are exposing open revolt inside Netanyahu's own government. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu's public praise of Trump is pure political theater: A strategy to keep American backing ahead of elections while viewing the emerging deal as worse than the JCPOA. "Israelis have lost confidence in Trump and his ability to run this war, his ability to run these negotiations on a very deep level." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธThe reality behind the refusal to take in Palestinian refugees runs far deeper than simple border control politics. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argued Arab nations are deeply concerned of the catastrophic domestic security implications based on historic precedents in Jordan, Lebanon, and Kuwait. "They are worried about taking in people who are Hamas and having security issues. The West also doesn't want them because they are Muslim and increasingly the radical right is strong there." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธThe reality behind the refusal to take in Palestinian refugees runs far deeper than simple border control politics. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argued Arab nations are deeply concerned of the catastrophic domestic security implications based on historic precedents in Jordan, Lebanon, and Kuwait. "They are worried about taking in people who are Hamas and having security issues. The West also doesn't want them because they are Muslim and increasingly the radical right is strong there." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The IDF is facing an absolute nightmare scenario as it continues to sustain daily losses from relentless drone attacks. Geopolitical analyst and former IDF captain Shaiel Ben-Ephraim warns that if Israel is forced to withdraw under this kind of military pressure, it will be remembered as a catastrophic defeat. According to Ben-Ephraim, the complete lack of a coherent foreign policy strategy is pushing the country deeper into a self-defeating cycle just to protect domestic political interests. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The IDF is facing an absolute nightmare scenario as it continues to sustain daily losses from relentless drone attacks. Geopolitical analyst and former IDF captain Shaiel Ben-Ephraim warns that if Israel is forced to withdraw under this kind of military pressure, it will be remembered as a catastrophic defeat. According to Ben-Ephraim, the complete lack of a coherent foreign policy strategy is pushing the country deeper into a self-defeating cycle just to protect domestic political interests. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A major diplomatic collision is brewing over the secret U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. Fmr. IDF soldier Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argues that while a stabilization deal is in Israelโ€™s actual security interest, it represents total political suicide for Benjamin Netanyahu. The fmr. soldier emphasizes that the entire war in Lebanon is being driven by Netanyahu's desperate need for political survival, which relies entirely on maintaining a perpetual conflict with Tehran. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A major diplomatic collision is brewing over the secret U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. Fmr. IDF soldier Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argues that while a stabilization deal is in Israelโ€™s actual security interest, it represents total political suicide for Benjamin Netanyahu. The fmr. soldier emphasizes that the entire war in Lebanon is being driven by Netanyahu's desperate need for political survival, which relies entirely on maintaining a perpetual conflict with Tehran. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Western intelligence completely missed the mark on how rapidly a heavily sanctioned military base can rebuild itself during active warfare. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim reveals that advanced Chinese technology, chips, and GPS systems are actively driving Iranโ€™s unexpected precision strikes against U.S. installations. Ben-Ephraim warns that this deep-tech collaboration is making Tehran far stronger and more dangerous than it was before the initial conflict started. "Russia and China are upset at how things are going in Ukraine; this is their way to tip the balance to get the U.S. involved in something similar." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Western intelligence completely missed the mark on how rapidly a heavily sanctioned military base can rebuild itself during active warfare. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim reveals that advanced Chinese technology, chips, and GPS systems are actively driving Iranโ€™s unexpected precision strikes against U.S. installations. Ben-Ephraim warns that this deep-tech collaboration is making Tehran far stronger and more dangerous than it was before the initial conflict started. "Russia and China are upset at how things are going in Ukraine; this is their way to tip the balance to get the U.S. involved in something similar." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The IDF brass already knows the strikes made Iran more stable, not less. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just separated what Netanyahu will sell from what's actually happening. "This is what you do when you don't have a strategy and you're blowing up a lot of stuff. The average person who follows these events is unsophisticated and thinks that's somehow meaningful." They call him Mr. Security. Now it's sarcasm. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The IDF brass already knows the strikes made Iran more stable, not less. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just separated what Netanyahu will sell from what's actually happening. "This is what you do when you don't have a strategy and you're blowing up a lot of stuff. The average person who follows these events is unsophisticated and thinks that's somehow meaningful." They call him Mr. Security. Now it's sarcasm. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The demographics are already locked in, and no election can reverse them. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Everyone I know in Israel who is educated and who votes liberally is either has either left or is thinking of leaving or has resigned themselves to living in a country that's fascist." When the consequences finally hit, Israel will realize how good it had it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The demographics are already locked in, and no election can reverse them. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Everyone I know in Israel who is educated and who votes liberally is either has either left or is thinking of leaving or has resigned themselves to living in a country that's fascist." When the consequences finally hit, Israel will realize how good it had it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Most people compare it to Mossad. They're completely wrong. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim breaks down what the unit actually does and why no single American agency comes close. "The Israeli military is so small and concentrated that you basically would have one unit doing what several organizations would be doing in the U.S." One small country and one unit, doing the work of the entire U.S. intel community. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Most people compare it to Mossad. They're completely wrong. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim breaks down what the unit actually does and why no single American agency comes close. "The Israeli military is so small and concentrated that you basically would have one unit doing what several organizations would be doing in the U.S." One small country and one unit, doing the work of the entire U.S. intel community. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A massive explosion rocked central Israel, journalists were blocked from posting footage, and the public got no warning. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says don't expect answers. "Whenever there is some sort of screw up, you do anything you can to pretend that it never happened or pretend that it was planned and it wasn't a screw up at all." Unless a foreign journalist cracks it open, the truth stays buried. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A massive explosion rocked central Israel, journalists were blocked from posting footage, and the public got no warning. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says don't expect answers. "Whenever there is some sort of screw up, you do anything you can to pretend that it never happened or pretend that it was planned and it wasn't a screw up at all." Unless a foreign journalist cracks it open, the truth stays buried. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Another day, another generic comment by Trump that portrays Iran as a helpless adversary that's desperate for a deal. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim talked about the prospect of Iran soon hitting U.S. bases across Europe to find out what else Trump might come up with. While Tehran might lack the capability for a sustained siege on the Mediterranean, their capacity to hit high-value targets is undeniably real. Especially if advanced Russian or Chinese military tech has entered the equation, U.S. facilities in Greece, Romania, and Germany could be facing genuine threats. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Another day, another generic comment by Trump that portrays Iran as a helpless adversary that's desperate for a deal. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim talked about the prospect of Iran soon hitting U.S. bases across Europe to find out what else Trump might come up with. While Tehran might lack the capability for a sustained siege on the Mediterranean, their capacity to hit high-value targets is undeniably real. Especially if advanced Russian or Chinese military tech has entered the equation, U.S. facilities in Greece, Romania, and Germany could be facing genuine threats. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

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INTERVIEW: Has Iran drawn a new red line? Hezbollah dismisses the ceasefire. Israel strikes Beirut. Iran responds with ballistic missiles. Trump intervenes. Israel retaliates inside Iran. Hours later, both sides step back. Did we just witness the first test of a new regional doctrine, or a carefully calibrated exchange that all sides intended to contain? Former Unit 8200 officer and political analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim (Shaiel Ben-Ephraim) joins Azi for a candid, in-depth conversation on the strikes, Trump's intervention, the competing interpretations of the ceasefire, the maritime implications, and what comes next. Worth a watch!
49:12

INTERVIEW: Has Iran drawn a new red line? Hezbollah dismisses the ceasefire. Israel strikes Beirut. Iran responds with ballistic missiles. Trump intervenes. Israel retaliates inside Iran. Hours later, both sides step back. Did we just witness the first test of a new regional doctrine, or a carefully calibrated exchange that all sides intended to contain? Former Unit 8200 officer and political analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim (Shaiel Ben-Ephraim) joins Azi for a candid, in-depth conversation on the strikes, Trump's intervention, the competing interpretations of the ceasefire, the maritime implications, and what comes next. Worth a watch!

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง "A ceasefire in Lebanon is a fantasy" โ€” Israel's Nat. Security Minister Ben Gvir "Netanyahu should have said to Trump, 'Mr. President, we love you, but the answer is no. We are not going to agree to a ceasefire with an organization that endangers Israel's security'"
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง "A ceasefire in Lebanon is a fantasy" โ€” Israel's Nat. Security Minister Ben Gvir "Netanyahu should have said to Trump, 'Mr. President, we love you, but the answer is no. We are not going to agree to a ceasefire with an organization that endangers Israel's security'"

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ NETANYAHU IS WINNING HIS GAME OF CHICKEN WITH TRUMP Retired Lt. Col. Daniel Davis says Israel's ability to sabotage ceasefire talks is not a theory, it's a pattern. After the US, Iran, and Pakistan all agreed Lebanon would be part of the ceasefire, Netanyahu called Trump, and the White House reversed course within hours. Before that, a former Iranian official involved in negotiations was assassinated alongside his wife. Davis says this isn't Israel acting in its national interest; it's Netanyahu's decades-long obsession with Iran finally finding its vehicle in Trump. "So far, Netanyahu's winning those battles." One leader keeps rewriting the rules, and another keeps letting him. Daniel Davis Deep Dive
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ NETANYAHU IS WINNING HIS GAME OF CHICKEN WITH TRUMP Retired Lt. Col. Daniel Davis says Israel's ability to sabotage ceasefire talks is not a theory, it's a pattern. After the US, Iran, and Pakistan all agreed Lebanon would be part of the ceasefire, Netanyahu called Trump, and the White House reversed course within hours. Before that, a former Iranian official involved in negotiations was assassinated alongside his wife. Davis says this isn't Israel acting in its national interest; it's Netanyahu's decades-long obsession with Iran finally finding its vehicle in Trump. "So far, Netanyahu's winning those battles." One leader keeps rewriting the rules, and another keeps letting him. Daniel Davis Deep Dive

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Netanyahu: "Trump plans to invite me and the President of Lebanon to move this [peace] agreement forward. I agreed to a temporary ceasefire of 10 days to try to advance this agreement. We remain in Lebanon in an extensive security buffer zone. This is a 10 kilometer security buffer zone. We are not leaving." Source: i24NEWS English
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Netanyahu: "Trump plans to invite me and the President of Lebanon to move this [peace] agreement forward. I agreed to a temporary ceasefire of 10 days to try to advance this agreement. We remain in Lebanon in an extensive security buffer zone. This is a 10 kilometer security buffer zone. We are not leaving." Source: i24NEWS English

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง JD Vance says Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire, and if Iran wants to continue a war in which they were hammered, itโ€™s their choice.
0:49

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง JD Vance says Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire, and if Iran wants to continue a war in which they were hammered, itโ€™s their choice.

Lord Bebo

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€ผ๏ธ๐Ÿšจ Trump: โ€œIran's got a lot of trouble and they want to negotiateโ€ -> An Iranian plane is a route to Oman for presumably for talks โ€ฆ so it could be over soon.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€ผ๏ธ๐Ÿšจ Trump: โ€œIran's got a lot of trouble and they want to negotiateโ€ -> An Iranian plane is a route to Oman for presumably for talks โ€ฆ so it could be over soon.

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๐Ÿšจ BREAKING: President Trump Announces 10-Day CEASEFIRE Between Israel and Lebanon The leaders of Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire, set to begin at 5:00 PM Eastern Time tonight. This is the first direct agreement between the two countries in decades.
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๐Ÿšจ BREAKING: President Trump Announces 10-Day CEASEFIRE Between Israel and Lebanon The leaders of Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire, set to begin at 5:00 PM Eastern Time tonight. This is the first direct agreement between the two countries in decades.

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