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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Why are ships avoiding the Strait of Hormuz? Because U.S. sanctions make it illegal to pay Iran's transit fee, even voluntarily. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says even if a deal is signed tomorrow, shipping won't return unless the sanctions framework itself changes. Policymakers are assuming it will... They're wrong....

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
3:17

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

63,655 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 1 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Houthis want to be part of the axis of resistance comeback, and the pro-Iran wing inside Yemen is being emboldened by every Iranian success. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says the Houthis are junior partners who were likely pressured by Iran to act, giving Trump another reason to rein in Israel. They are not going to close the Bab el-Mandeb, because they would get pounded if they tried. Compared to the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea is a manageable problem... but any disruption there is bound to affect the markets. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi
7:10

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Houthis want to be part of the axis of resistance comeback, and the pro-Iran wing inside Yemen is being emboldened by every Iranian success. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says the Houthis are junior partners who were likely pressured by Iran to act, giving Trump another reason to rein in Israel. They are not going to close the Bab el-Mandeb, because they would get pounded if they tried. Compared to the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea is a manageable problem... but any disruption there is bound to affect the markets. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi

Mario Nawfal

22,591 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 1 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท There is no agreed ceasefire... everyone is operating from a completely different version of one. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu understands something Trump doesn't want to admit: every escalation in Lebanon gives Trump an excuse not to unfreeze Iranian assets and look weaker than Obama. So part of Trump is relieved when talks collapse. At this point, Lebanon is a sideshow and the frozen assets are the real fight. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi
13:24

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท There is no agreed ceasefire... everyone is operating from a completely different version of one. Analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu understands something Trump doesn't want to admit: every escalation in Lebanon gives Trump an excuse not to unfreeze Iranian assets and look weaker than Obama. So part of Trump is relieved when talks collapse. At this point, Lebanon is a sideshow and the frozen assets are the real fight. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim, Azi

Mario Nawfal

41,382 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 1 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Western intelligence completely missed the mark on how rapidly a heavily sanctioned military base can rebuild itself during active warfare. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim reveals that advanced Chinese technology, chips, and GPS systems are actively driving Iranโ€™s unexpected precision strikes against U.S. installations. Ben-Ephraim warns that this deep-tech collaboration is making Tehran far stronger and more dangerous than it was before the initial conflict started. "Russia and China are upset at how things are going in Ukraine; this is their way to tip the balance to get the U.S. involved in something similar." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
8:34

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Western intelligence completely missed the mark on how rapidly a heavily sanctioned military base can rebuild itself during active warfare. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim reveals that advanced Chinese technology, chips, and GPS systems are actively driving Iranโ€™s unexpected precision strikes against U.S. installations. Ben-Ephraim warns that this deep-tech collaboration is making Tehran far stronger and more dangerous than it was before the initial conflict started. "Russia and China are upset at how things are going in Ukraine; this is their way to tip the balance to get the U.S. involved in something similar." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

70,225 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The IDF is facing an absolute nightmare scenario as it continues to sustain daily losses from relentless drone attacks. Geopolitical analyst and former IDF captain Shaiel Ben-Ephraim warns that if Israel is forced to withdraw under this kind of military pressure, it will be remembered as a catastrophic defeat. According to Ben-Ephraim, the complete lack of a coherent foreign policy strategy is pushing the country deeper into a self-defeating cycle just to protect domestic political interests. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
9:05

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The IDF is facing an absolute nightmare scenario as it continues to sustain daily losses from relentless drone attacks. Geopolitical analyst and former IDF captain Shaiel Ben-Ephraim warns that if Israel is forced to withdraw under this kind of military pressure, it will be remembered as a catastrophic defeat. According to Ben-Ephraim, the complete lack of a coherent foreign policy strategy is pushing the country deeper into a self-defeating cycle just to protect domestic political interests. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

53,010 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A major diplomatic collision is brewing over the secret U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. Fmr. IDF soldier Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argues that while a stabilization deal is in Israelโ€™s actual security interest, it represents total political suicide for Benjamin Netanyahu. The fmr. soldier emphasizes that the entire war in Lebanon is being driven by Netanyahu's desperate need for political survival, which relies entirely on maintaining a perpetual conflict with Tehran. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
5:21

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A major diplomatic collision is brewing over the secret U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. Fmr. IDF soldier Shaiel Ben-Ephraim argues that while a stabilization deal is in Israelโ€™s actual security interest, it represents total political suicide for Benjamin Netanyahu. The fmr. soldier emphasizes that the entire war in Lebanon is being driven by Netanyahu's desperate need for political survival, which relies entirely on maintaining a perpetual conflict with Tehran. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

26,604 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Wiping out your identity online, hijacking your locks, your car, your communication, and making repression so total it would make Nazi Germany look like a walk in the park. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Because of human nature of always competing, it makes it inevitable that we're screwed. Pretty much." And he's not even optimistic an international treaty would fix it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
2:58

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Wiping out your identity online, hijacking your locks, your car, your communication, and making repression so total it would make Nazi Germany look like a walk in the park. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Because of human nature of always competing, it makes it inevitable that we're screwed. Pretty much." And he's not even optimistic an international treaty would fix it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

31,947 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Most people compare it to Mossad. They're completely wrong. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim breaks down what the unit actually does and why no single American agency comes close. "The Israeli military is so small and concentrated that you basically would have one unit doing what several organizations would be doing in the U.S." One small country and one unit, doing the work of the entire U.S. intel community. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
2:24

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Most people compare it to Mossad. They're completely wrong. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim breaks down what the unit actually does and why no single American agency comes close. "The Israeli military is so small and concentrated that you basically would have one unit doing what several organizations would be doing in the U.S." One small country and one unit, doing the work of the entire U.S. intel community. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

48,867 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A massive explosion rocked central Israel, journalists were blocked from posting footage, and the public got no warning. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says don't expect answers. "Whenever there is some sort of screw up, you do anything you can to pretend that it never happened or pretend that it was planned and it wasn't a screw up at all." Unless a foreign journalist cracks it open, the truth stays buried. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
4:03

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A massive explosion rocked central Israel, journalists were blocked from posting footage, and the public got no warning. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says don't expect answers. "Whenever there is some sort of screw up, you do anything you can to pretend that it never happened or pretend that it was planned and it wasn't a screw up at all." Unless a foreign journalist cracks it open, the truth stays buried. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

130,816 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The demographics are already locked in, and no election can reverse them. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Everyone I know in Israel who is educated and who votes liberally is either has either left or is thinking of leaving or has resigned themselves to living in a country that's fascist." When the consequences finally hit, Israel will realize how good it had it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
8:49

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The demographics are already locked in, and no election can reverse them. Fmr. IDF's Unit 8200 Shaiel Ben-Ephraim just laid it all out. "Everyone I know in Israel who is educated and who votes liberally is either has either left or is thinking of leaving or has resigned themselves to living in a country that's fascist." When the consequences finally hit, Israel will realize how good it had it. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

91,609 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mainstream Israeli commentators who used to champion Trump are now calling him a loser and incompetent, and cabinet leaks are exposing open revolt inside Netanyahu's own government. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu's public praise of Trump is pure political theater: A strategy to keep American backing ahead of elections while viewing the emerging deal as worse than the JCPOA. "Israelis have lost confidence in Trump and his ability to run this war, his ability to run these negotiations on a very deep level." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
3:19

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mainstream Israeli commentators who used to champion Trump are now calling him a loser and incompetent, and cabinet leaks are exposing open revolt inside Netanyahu's own government. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim says Netanyahu's public praise of Trump is pure political theater: A strategy to keep American backing ahead of elections while viewing the emerging deal as worse than the JCPOA. "Israelis have lost confidence in Trump and his ability to run this war, his ability to run these negotiations on a very deep level." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

82,371 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 1 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Another day, another generic comment by Trump that portrays Iran as a helpless adversary that's desperate for a deal. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim talked about the prospect of Iran soon hitting U.S. bases across Europe to find out what else Trump might come up with. While Tehran might lack the capability for a sustained siege on the Mediterranean, their capacity to hit high-value targets is undeniably real. Especially if advanced Russian or Chinese military tech has entered the equation, U.S. facilities in Greece, Romania, and Germany could be facing genuine threats. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
2:12

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Another day, another generic comment by Trump that portrays Iran as a helpless adversary that's desperate for a deal. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim talked about the prospect of Iran soon hitting U.S. bases across Europe to find out what else Trump might come up with. While Tehran might lack the capability for a sustained siege on the Mediterranean, their capacity to hit high-value targets is undeniably real. Especially if advanced Russian or Chinese military tech has entered the equation, U.S. facilities in Greece, Romania, and Germany could be facing genuine threats. Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

38,862 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says the Strait of Hormuz is not international waters. It is the internal waters of Iran and Oman. "Closed only to those who are at war with Iran." Everyone else, make a deal.
1:03

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says the Strait of Hormuz is not international waters. It is the internal waters of Iran and Oman. "Closed only to those who are at war with Iran." Everyone else, make a deal.

Mario Nawfal

72,834 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 4 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท THE U.S. NAVY CANNOT GUARANTEE SAFE PASSAGE IN HORMUZ U.S. Major General Randy Manner says drone and missile swarms make it nearly impossible to protect ships in the Strait of Hormuz. When even one successful strike can shut down global oil traffic and bring much of the global economy to its knees, Iran's leverage is permanent.
12:51

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท THE U.S. NAVY CANNOT GUARANTEE SAFE PASSAGE IN HORMUZ U.S. Major General Randy Manner says drone and missile swarms make it nearly impossible to protect ships in the Strait of Hormuz. When even one successful strike can shut down global oil traffic and bring much of the global economy to its knees, Iran's leverage is permanent.

Mario Nawfal

57,394 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 3 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ "Security will not return to its previous state because of the Zionist regime" โ€” Iran's parliament speaker on the Strait of Hormuz "In the future, it will be part of a new security framework that is not dictated by the Americans"
0:42

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ "Security will not return to its previous state because of the Zionist regime" โ€” Iran's parliament speaker on the Strait of Hormuz "In the future, it will be part of a new security framework that is not dictated by the Americans"

Lord Bebo

64,894 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 4 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Strait of Hormuz is Iran's nuclear weapon, and it will never give it up for free. Lawyer and analyst Dimitri Lascaris breaks down why Washington's sequencing kills any deal before it starts. "Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz without massive concessions from the United States." Rubio is setting terms, Iran is setting terms, but nobody is budging. Dimitri Lascaris, Azi
6:56

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Strait of Hormuz is Iran's nuclear weapon, and it will never give it up for free. Lawyer and analyst Dimitri Lascaris breaks down why Washington's sequencing kills any deal before it starts. "Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz without massive concessions from the United States." Rubio is setting terms, Iran is setting terms, but nobody is budging. Dimitri Lascaris, Azi

Mario Nawfal

41,472 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's FM spox. Baghaei says Tehran is NOT negotiating with Washington right now... "The negotiations are with Oman, focused on a temporary route that would ensure safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz." It feels like Iran just will NEVER admit to negotiating with the U.S., even if photographs showed the two sides shaking hands... Writer: Michael
1:13

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's FM spox. Baghaei says Tehran is NOT negotiating with Washington right now... "The negotiations are with Oman, focused on a temporary route that would ensure safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz." It feels like Iran just will NEVER admit to negotiating with the U.S., even if photographs showed the two sides shaking hands... Writer: Michael

Mario Nawfal

62,204 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 3 ๅคฉๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's FM Spox. Baghaei:says the U.S. has agreed to: - Unfreeze Iranian assets - Lift all sanctions - Deal with compensation for war damage Iran says the remaining nuclear and sanctions talks should be sorted out within 60 days, and its oil sales are expected to restart right after the MOU is signed. That's a lot of sanctions relief packed into one deal. Writers: Daniyal, Samuel
3:06

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's FM Spox. Baghaei:says the U.S. has agreed to: - Unfreeze Iranian assets - Lift all sanctions - Deal with compensation for war damage Iran says the remaining nuclear and sanctions talks should be sorted out within 60 days, and its oil sales are expected to restart right after the MOU is signed. That's a lot of sanctions relief packed into one deal. Writers: Daniyal, Samuel

Mario Nawfal

18,417 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 1 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท U.S. signals that an Iran deal is close, but is it? The final details are allegedly being worked out. U.S. forces will remain in the region for 30 days to strike Iran if it violates the deal, while Iran gets oil sanctions waivers and billions in frozen funds. -> Iran denies the full toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, as stated by the Trump Administration. Will there be a deal? Am I wrong in my assessment that U.S.-Iran tensions will remain in an Iran-like situation for a longer time?
2:06

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท U.S. signals that an Iran deal is close, but is it? The final details are allegedly being worked out. U.S. forces will remain in the region for 30 days to strike Iran if it violates the deal, while Iran gets oil sanctions waivers and billions in frozen funds. -> Iran denies the full toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, as stated by the Trump Administration. Will there be a deal? Am I wrong in my assessment that U.S.-Iran tensions will remain in an Iran-like situation for a longer time?

Lord Bebo

12,162 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 2 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A deal framework is on the table, and nothing in it is actually resolved yet. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the enrichment freeze duration, sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and where to transfer highly enriched uranium are all still open. The deeper problem is that Washington still refuses to accept the Islamic Republic as a legitimate government that isn't going anywhere, and until that changes, there is no foundation for any deal. "The more the West tries to create separation between the Iranian people and their government, the more it drives them together." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
8:17

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A deal framework is on the table, and nothing in it is actually resolved yet. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the enrichment freeze duration, sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and where to transfer highly enriched uranium are all still open. The deeper problem is that Washington still refuses to accept the Islamic Republic as a legitimate government that isn't going anywhere, and until that changes, there is no foundation for any deal. "The more the West tries to create separation between the Iranian people and their government, the more it drives them together." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

24,770 ๆฌก่ง‚็œ‹ โ€ข 3 ไธชๆœˆๅ‰