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These big players loaded up heavy on $Bitcoin using leverage. Cheap debt and aggressive bets. Now the music is slowing. Private credit markets, the shadow banking monster that's been fueling everything, are showing massive stress. Over-leveraged positions, hidden risks, interconnected debt that no one fully understands until it cracks....

13,653 görüntüleme • 24 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Most people think about Bitcoin treasury companies incorrectly Here is why I think they are good for Bitcoin & why they are misunderstood: 1) Treasury companies are capitalizing the Bitcoin industry for a century to come 2) They are future Bitcoin Banks 3) However, they are developing in the reverse order compared to everything else - monetization first and then later on core business activities -- Bitcoin has traditionally received $1 for every $100 in funds that Crypto took in - it has historically been challenging to raise money for Bitcoin focused businesses. My view is that Treasury companies are changing this, and while the first phase will simply be acquiring as much Bitcoin as possible - they will later need to ensure the value of Bitcoin grows and find ways to use BTC as capital in a larger marketplace. These firms will become the future Bitcoin Banks and also Bitcoin conglomerates. In this exact moment in time the best use of capital is simply buying Bitcoin. It's hard to meaningfully outperform BTC, and as such all these businesses will do for a while is acquire BTC. But eventually that shifts, and these firms will see more incentive to both grow and deploy Bitcoin. They then will provide capital which, among other things, supports Bitcoin businesses and projects. Many people struggle to contextualize the current "land rush" phase with what will come later. You need to take a longer view to understand these firms. The order of operations is also reversed here. Typically you build a business or technology and then as a final step monetize it via an IPO. With Bitcoin, stage 1 is looking more like direct monetization prior to creating value via products, etc. This is deeply counter intuitive to many people in traditional finance, and also to many Bitcoiners. However, because Bitcoin is primarily money at a base level it makes sense the developmental path it is taking differs significantly from other tech. The amount of time it will take for other investors to understand this presents an opportunity for those who see it sooner. More thoughts below 👇

Steven Lubka ☀️

29,280 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Catherine Fitts: "There's been a huge effort to encourage retail to go into crypto...because they're trying to prototype... programmable money... [and] keep people away from the real assets... the game of growing the debt is over...[now] we're all [scrambling for] real assets" This clip of Fitts, an investment banker, former Assistant Secretary of HUD, and founder of the Solari Report (The Solari Report | Catherine Austin Fitts), is taken from an interview with Greg Hunter (Greg Hunter) posted to Rumble on October 18, 2025. ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "There's been a huge effort to encourage retail to go into crypto, partly because they're trying to prototype the programmable money and make it attractive and profitable for people to go into programmable money. So part of it was that, but they wanted to keep people away from the real assets. "If you are the big equity holders and, managers and the central banks, you want to buy gold and you want to buy land without interference from, you know, retail buyers. So if you can get the retail investors going off and buying, you know, helping you prototype your programmable money, then they're not competing with you to buy the land and to buy the real estate. "The more you can suck them over into helping build your control grid and away from getting control of the real assets, which you, you know, now that you've printed so much money, you want to get control of the real assets. That's what they've been doing. "We've been issuing more and more paper, more and more debt, more and more derivatives, more and more financial assets, but that doesn't mean we're making that. You know, the acceleration of paper, is greater than the creation of new real assets. So we are creating new real assets because we're creating new businesses, new technology, but you're creating far more financial assets. "It's very interesting. The German finance minister at the meeting in Shanghai in 2018 said, very astute comment. He said, the debt growth model is over. There are no reforms now that are not real reforms. And what he meant by that is the game of growing the debt is over. And now, like in the game of musical chairs, we're all going to scramble to get control of the real assets. "Of course, that's when all the enormous profits started attracting people into distributive ledger programmable money, because you're trying to suck them out of the real assets over here to create your control grid while you jump in and get control of the real assets."

Sense Receptor

14,823 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce