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This guy built a Quant Resolution model and it made $2,191 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$363,748 PnL in 166 days with only $38 per average trade, repeating the same setup 10 times every hour across BTC “Up or Down” markets Several AI agents can split... the workflow between probability, sizing and execution: 1. The model measures how far BTC is from the reference price A simplified version looks like: z = (S - K) / (σ√T) Where: S = current BTC price K = reference price σ = volatility T = time left That z-score is converted into the probability of BTC finishing Up or Down 2. It trades the gap between model probability and Polymarket Model Up = 64% Market Up = 54¢ Edge = 10¢ If the gap is large enough, the system enters As the market catches up to the model estimate, the edge disappears This trader’s Polymarket account: powerwinner Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: 41,268 predictions with a 51% win rate Most profitable trades: $683 → $3,420 (+$2,737) $396 → $3,040 (+$2,644) $531 → $3,040 (+$2,509) A setup like this can be coordinated with Grok Bot, while external feeds provide live BTC data and executionshow more

Daniro

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11,491 просмотров • 4 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Комментарии: 10

Фото профиля Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack

Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack3 дней назад

@Dan1ro0 that's impressive! I hit a wall trying to sync agents for my own thing. Crazy how small tweaks can unlock big gains.

Фото профиля qwinsi

qwinsi4 дней назад

Beautiful terminal

Фото профиля Daniro

Daniro4 дней назад

Thanks bro, I appreciate it. Also, this trader was able to reach a result of over 2k in a day, which is even more impressive

Фото профиля Korens

Korens4 дней назад

The probability gap is where the real edge lies

Фото профиля yap markets

yap markets4 дней назад

38 dollars a trade, ten times an hour, 166 days. that is just showing up

Фото профиля qortex

qortex4 дней назад

Bro, it looks damn hard

Фото профиля Daniro

Daniro4 дней назад

It's really hard because creating a working mathematical model that will consistently show positive results is an incredible amount of work

Фото профиля CHAIN

CHAIN3 дней назад

41k trades and +$363k PnL on pure math and z-scores with zero emotions. This is why I back automation: while humans guess, AI models strip the edge from the market every single minute.

Фото профиля DexorynLabs

DexorynLabs4 дней назад

Quant speed changes the game.

Фото профиля Lyren_o

Lyren_o4 дней назад

the $2k/day is the bait. the actual thing is splitting probability, size and execution so one agent isn’t doing all three.

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46,302 просмотров • 20 дней назад

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84,178 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

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30,078 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

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15,778 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

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VALIX

41,119 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears

Daniro

54,383 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

Daniro

31,221 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад