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This guy built a Quant Resolution model and it made $2,191 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$363,748 PnL in 166 days with only $38 per average trade, repeating the same setup 10 times every hour across BTC “Up or Down” markets Several AI agents can split...

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Daniro

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11,491 görüntüleme • 4 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack profil fotoğrafı
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack4 gün önce

@Dan1ro0 that's impressive! I hit a wall trying to sync agents for my own thing. Crazy how small tweaks can unlock big gains.

qwinsi profil fotoğrafı
qwinsi4 gün önce

Beautiful terminal

Daniro profil fotoğrafı
Daniro4 gün önce

Thanks bro, I appreciate it. Also, this trader was able to reach a result of over 2k in a day, which is even more impressive

Korens profil fotoğrafı
Korens4 gün önce

The probability gap is where the real edge lies

yap markets profil fotoğrafı
yap markets4 gün önce

38 dollars a trade, ten times an hour, 166 days. that is just showing up

qortex profil fotoğrafı
qortex4 gün önce

Bro, it looks damn hard

Daniro profil fotoğrafı
Daniro4 gün önce

It's really hard because creating a working mathematical model that will consistently show positive results is an incredible amount of work

CHAIN profil fotoğrafı
CHAIN3 gün önce

41k trades and +$363k PnL on pure math and z-scores with zero emotions. This is why I back automation: while humans guess, AI models strip the edge from the market every single minute.

DexorynLabs profil fotoğrafı
DexorynLabs4 gün önce

Quant speed changes the game.

Lyren_o profil fotoğrafı
Lyren_o4 gün önce

the $2k/day is the bait. the actual thing is splitting probability, size and execution so one agent isn’t doing all three.

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This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k

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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

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362,710 görüntüleme • 12 gün önce

This guy built an HFT algorithm and made +$249,869 on Polymarket His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of passive market making, complete-set accumulation, and directional residual: 1. It uses BTC price movements to build Up + Down positions for less than $1 After the first buy, it waits for the underlying asset to move and then starts accumulating the opposite side For example: > Up = 41c -> some time later Down = 54c > Up + Down = 95c -> 5c gross edge The average cost of its complete sets is 96.73c, which means the average structural edge is around 3.27c 2. It leaves a small directional residual Around 81% of its inventory in 5-minute markets consists of paired Up + Down positions. The remaining 19% stays directional If its fair-value model considers one side undervalued, it doesn’t have to fully hedge it and can keep additional exposure It’s Polymarket nickname: almach Stats: > Trades / active hour: 150 > Average trade: $33.50 > Win Rate: 49% Ultimately, the edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from buying Up and Down at different points during BTC price movements, then turning most of the inventory into complete sets that cost less than $1 It keeps a small remainder directional when it’s own fair probability still shows an edge
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This guy built an HFT algorithm and made +$249,869 on Polymarket His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of passive market making, complete-set accumulation, and directional residual: 1. It uses BTC price movements to build Up + Down positions for less than $1 After the first buy, it waits for the underlying asset to move and then starts accumulating the opposite side For example: > Up = 41c -> some time later Down = 54c > Up + Down = 95c -> 5c gross edge The average cost of its complete sets is 96.73c, which means the average structural edge is around 3.27c 2. It leaves a small directional residual Around 81% of its inventory in 5-minute markets consists of paired Up + Down positions. The remaining 19% stays directional If its fair-value model considers one side undervalued, it doesn’t have to fully hedge it and can keep additional exposure It’s Polymarket nickname: almach Stats: > Trades / active hour: 150 > Average trade: $33.50 > Win Rate: 49% Ultimately, the edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from buying Up and Down at different points during BTC price movements, then turning most of the inventory into complete sets that cost less than $1 It keeps a small remainder directional when it’s own fair probability still shows an edge

VALIX

46,302 görüntüleme • 20 gün önce

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $53 Result: +$129,923 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, complete-set accumulation, and inventory rebalancing: 1. It accumulates Up and Down at different points during the market It keeps BUY orders on both sides and uses intramarket volatility to get fills at different prices For example: > Up = 47c -> some time later Down = 52c > Up + Down = 99c -> 1c gross edge 2. It leaves a small directional residual After forming complete sets, it keeps some directional exposure when its own fair probability model sees an edge based on: > Underlying asset data from external sources > Order book depth > Momentum, acceleration, and volatility His Polymarket nickname: Polkadot-Frog Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from repeating the same cycle over and over again That’s how he captures a consistent edge and steadily grows his capital
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $53 Result: +$129,923 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, complete-set accumulation, and inventory rebalancing: 1. It accumulates Up and Down at different points during the market It keeps BUY orders on both sides and uses intramarket volatility to get fills at different prices For example: > Up = 47c -> some time later Down = 52c > Up + Down = 99c -> 1c gross edge 2. It leaves a small directional residual After forming complete sets, it keeps some directional exposure when its own fair probability model sees an edge based on: > Underlying asset data from external sources > Order book depth > Momentum, acceleration, and volatility His Polymarket nickname: Polkadot-Frog Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from repeating the same cycle over and over again That’s how he captures a consistent edge and steadily grows his capital

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68,813 görüntüleme • 21 gün önce

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

VALIX

27,231 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

VALIX

84,178 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

VALIX

30,078 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month
0:28

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

VALIX

15,778 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit
0:38

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

VALIX

41,119 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears
0:26

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears

Daniro

54,383 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL
0:26

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

Daniro

31,221 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce