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This guy built a Quant Resolution model and it made $2,191 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$363,748 PnL in 166 days with only $38 per average trade, repeating the same setup 10 times every hour across BTC “Up or Down” markets Several AI agents can split...

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Daniro

5,508 subscribers

11,491 次观看 • 4 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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10 条评论

Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack 的头像
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack3 天前

@Dan1ro0 that's impressive! I hit a wall trying to sync agents for my own thing. Crazy how small tweaks can unlock big gains.

qwinsi 的头像
qwinsi4 天前

Beautiful terminal

Daniro 的头像
Daniro4 天前

Thanks bro, I appreciate it. Also, this trader was able to reach a result of over 2k in a day, which is even more impressive

Korens 的头像
Korens4 天前

The probability gap is where the real edge lies

yap markets 的头像
yap markets4 天前

38 dollars a trade, ten times an hour, 166 days. that is just showing up

qortex 的头像
qortex4 天前

Bro, it looks damn hard

Daniro 的头像
Daniro4 天前

It's really hard because creating a working mathematical model that will consistently show positive results is an incredible amount of work

CHAIN 的头像
CHAIN3 天前

41k trades and +$363k PnL on pure math and z-scores with zero emotions. This is why I back automation: while humans guess, AI models strip the edge from the market every single minute.

DexorynLabs 的头像
DexorynLabs4 天前

Quant speed changes the game.

Lyren_o 的头像
Lyren_o4 天前

the $2k/day is the bait. the actual thing is splitting probability, size and execution so one agent isn’t doing all three.

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46,302 次观看 • 20 天前

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

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84,178 次观看 • 1 个月前

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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

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30,078 次观看 • 3 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

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15,778 次观看 • 1 个月前

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit
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This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

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41,119 次观看 • 3 个月前

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears
0:26

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears

Daniro

54,383 次观看 • 3 个月前

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL
0:26

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

Daniro

31,221 次观看 • 3 个月前