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This guy built a Quant SPRT model and it made $620 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$81,815 PnL in 132 days with only $91 per average trade, repeating the same setup 15 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets The system waits for enough...

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Daniro

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10,283 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Cole profil fotoğrafı
Cole14 gün önce

$91 average size, 15 trades an hour, 132 days. that reads like an ad for a sniper bot telegram channel linked underneath it, rather than a strategy writeup. curious if the $620/day is backtested or live fills.

Catcher of your mind profil fotoğrafı
Catcher of your mind14 gün önce

this perfomance so cool, by anyway just added this trader a my watch list

Daniro profil fotoğrafı
Daniro14 gün önce

Thanks, I appreciate it. This guy has a series of accounts where he trades the same patterns. I've seen this happen a couple of times

Shark Radar profil fotoğrafı
Shark Radar14 gün önce

15 of the same setup every hour is an execution loop. if you can't see fill quality and when it kills itself, the daily number is just a poster.

predit.market profil fotoğrafı
predit.market14 gün önce

$91 sizing is doing more work than the model

Eridani profil fotoğrafı
Eridani14 gün önce

@grok explain how it's bullshit

T0dayIsntTheDay🗣🗣🗣 profil fotoğrafı
T0dayIsntTheDay🗣🗣🗣14 gün önce

He's a Shnake Shnake..... @grok .... Answered not. What is real The account lkkdnfa exists on Polymarket. It trades BTC “Up or Down” 5-minute markets all day. Independent trackers put it around $61k–$80k profit, ~$8.5M volume, ~54% win rate, ~82 days live — not the 132 days and $81,815 the post claims.​ Polydata It is a high-frequency market-maker style book: ~12 entries per market, 87% maker orders, tiny edge (~1 cent per dollar risked), 38% max drawdown. That is grinding, not a magic SPRT switch. What is fake or padded The “Quant SPRT model made $620 a day” write-up is the same template this guy posts every day with a new name: Signal Stack, Monte Carlo, Resolution model, Grok Bot MM. Same structure, different wallet, same Telegram bot link at the bottom. The video is a made-up “GROK DESK” dashboard. That is not official Grok Bot. It is a graphic. $91 average trade × 15 trades an hour × 132 days does not match the live wallet stats. One reply on the post already called it an ad. Bottom line A real Polymarket wallet is profitable on short BTC binaries. The post is an affiliate funnel selling a copy-trade bot on top of that wallet. Same class of pitch as the $49 → $4,391 “Grok Bot / Fomo” clip you sent first. Do not click the bot link. Do not send it money. A $50 bankroll will not reproduce that book.

paulrodturner profil fotoğrafı
paulrodturner14 gün önce

SPRT is real stats. “$620 a day, 15 trades an hour, follow this bot” is the ad. $91 average size and a 132-day curve without fills, fees, or drawdowns is a screenshot, not a strategy. Same account already ran the article-plus-wallet template last month. If the edge held at that frequency they wouldn’t need a referral link under the formula.

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This trader made $303,000 on Polymarket using a trading bot, buying markets for $14 His trading bot makes 10.26 trades per minute or 615.6 trades per hour. It trades 5 and 15-min crypto markets and looks for micro inefficiencies His strategy is simple: > Tracks Up and Down prices within the same market and across related markets > When it sees an imbalance, it starts buying the undervalued side with limit orders > Sometimes uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and good trade execution, he generates profit consistently

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with a $50 average trade size Result: +$220,792 His bot trades 5-minute BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of inventory rebalancing, dynamic hedging, and accumulating cheap complete sets: 1. It builds complete sets so that Up + Down costs less than $1 It uses limit orders to buy different sides during different phases of the underlying asset’s movement Average cost of a matched complete set: $0.9387. Edge = 6.13¢ 2. It leaves directional residual on top of the hedged inventory Part of the capital gets a structural edge through pairing, while the rest keeps exposure on the side the algorithm sees as stronger For example: 200 Up + 150 Down 150 Up + 150 Down form complete sets, while the remaining 50 Up stay as a directional position You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Stats: > Trades / active hour: 284 > Average trade: $49.8 > Win Rate: 50% His Polymarket nickname: hot-garbage This guy’s edge is built on two main layers: he turns most of his inventory into Up + Down < $1, while using the unmatched remainder as a directional position Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his PnL

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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital
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VALIX

28,577 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k

VALIX

14,753 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

I interviewed the dev of the best Polymarket bot His bot trades BTC Up/Down markets automatically 24/7 Result? +$650k each month passively Here're the tips he gave me on how to create the same bot: First thing: stop trying to predict Better build a system that reacts. His bot doesn’t guess tops or bottoms, but waits for confluence. Core stack: • EMA (defines trend: filters chop) • VWAP (shows fair value: avoid bad entries) • OBV (confirms money flow: no volume = no trade) • RSI (detects extremes: don’t buy highs or sell lows) • MACD (confirms momentum) Then he adds a volatility filter. Most bots die because they trade in dead or chaotic markets. His doesn’t. Risk model is everything: • fixed % per trade • no overtrading • strict cooldown after losses And the real edge: the bot trades only when 3-4 signals align at once No signal = no trade. His wallet address: It’s not about being right more often. It’s about only playing when odds are clearly in your favor. That’s how you turn a bot from a toy into a machine.
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I interviewed the dev of the best Polymarket bot His bot trades BTC Up/Down markets automatically 24/7 Result? +$650k each month passively Here're the tips he gave me on how to create the same bot: First thing: stop trying to predict Better build a system that reacts. His bot doesn’t guess tops or bottoms, but waits for confluence. Core stack: • EMA (defines trend: filters chop) • VWAP (shows fair value: avoid bad entries) • OBV (confirms money flow: no volume = no trade) • RSI (detects extremes: don’t buy highs or sell lows) • MACD (confirms momentum) Then he adds a volatility filter. Most bots die because they trade in dead or chaotic markets. His doesn’t. Risk model is everything: • fixed % per trade • no overtrading • strict cooldown after losses And the real edge: the bot trades only when 3-4 signals align at once No signal = no trade. His wallet address: It’s not about being right more often. It’s about only playing when odds are clearly in your favor. That’s how you turn a bot from a toy into a machine.

Oracle Boar

40,451 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

THIS WALLET STACKED $230K ON BTC UP/DOWN BETS. THE BLUEPRINT TO AUTOMATE THE SAME EDGE WITH CLAUDE The wallet is $230K all-time, every position a Bitcoin or Ethereum Up or Down market It never guesses direction. It enters only when the math and the market disagree THE STRATEGY: BTC moves are not fully random. When the market enters a committed directional state, continuation is measurable. That is Markov persistence Entry signal: > Δ = p̂ − q ≥ ε Model probability minus market price. Enter only on a 5% gap or more Persistence filter: > p(j*,j*) ≥ 0.87 Only trade states with 0.87 persistence or higher. Below that, skip. This is what holds the win rate above 65% with zero directional guessing Payout: > r = (1 − q) / q At q = 0.647 that is +54.5% a win. At q = 0.441, +126.7%. Lower entry price, bigger asymmetry Sizing: > f* = p − (1−p)/b Kelly. At p = 0.87, b = 0.647, f* ≈ 0.71. Size to the edge, never to gut HOW TO BUILD IT WITH CLAUDE: What separates this from a static bot: Claude reads its own trade journal every night and rewrites its own thresholds 1. Take an open-source Polymarket bot repo as your base logic. Feed it to Claude and have it migrate to CLOB v2: py_clob_client_v2, Safe wallet support, fee-aware evaluation 2. Hard-code the filters. Enter only when Δ ≥ 0.05 and p(j*,j*) ≥ 0.87. Apply Kelly on every fill. 3. Run DRY_RUN first. Log every signal, entry price, Markov state, and simulated P/L. No real money until the numbers hold for days 4. The nightly loop. Claude reads the journal, finds which persistence states actually won, adjusts MIN_PROB and MIN_EDGE, ships tomorrow's rules. The agent is sharper after 50 to 100 trades THE SETUP: Claude Opus as the brain. An open-source repo as the starting logic. A Polygon wallet with $50 to $100. Telegram for the morning report Start at $1 to $2 per trade while it learns. Scale only when the dry runs and the live fills line up 17,000 trades compound a thin edge into six figures. The model finds the edge. The nightly loop keeps it sharp Bookmark before you point a bot at your first window
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THIS WALLET STACKED $230K ON BTC UP/DOWN BETS. THE BLUEPRINT TO AUTOMATE THE SAME EDGE WITH CLAUDE The wallet is $230K all-time, every position a Bitcoin or Ethereum Up or Down market It never guesses direction. It enters only when the math and the market disagree THE STRATEGY: BTC moves are not fully random. When the market enters a committed directional state, continuation is measurable. That is Markov persistence Entry signal: > Δ = p̂ − q ≥ ε Model probability minus market price. Enter only on a 5% gap or more Persistence filter: > p(j*,j*) ≥ 0.87 Only trade states with 0.87 persistence or higher. Below that, skip. This is what holds the win rate above 65% with zero directional guessing Payout: > r = (1 − q) / q At q = 0.647 that is +54.5% a win. At q = 0.441, +126.7%. Lower entry price, bigger asymmetry Sizing: > f* = p − (1−p)/b Kelly. At p = 0.87, b = 0.647, f* ≈ 0.71. Size to the edge, never to gut HOW TO BUILD IT WITH CLAUDE: What separates this from a static bot: Claude reads its own trade journal every night and rewrites its own thresholds 1. Take an open-source Polymarket bot repo as your base logic. Feed it to Claude and have it migrate to CLOB v2: py_clob_client_v2, Safe wallet support, fee-aware evaluation 2. Hard-code the filters. Enter only when Δ ≥ 0.05 and p(j*,j*) ≥ 0.87. Apply Kelly on every fill. 3. Run DRY_RUN first. Log every signal, entry price, Markov state, and simulated P/L. No real money until the numbers hold for days 4. The nightly loop. Claude reads the journal, finds which persistence states actually won, adjusts MIN_PROB and MIN_EDGE, ships tomorrow's rules. The agent is sharper after 50 to 100 trades THE SETUP: Claude Opus as the brain. An open-source repo as the starting logic. A Polygon wallet with $50 to $100. Telegram for the morning report Start at $1 to $2 per trade while it learns. Scale only when the dry runs and the live fills line up 17,000 trades compound a thin edge into six figures. The model finds the edge. The nightly loop keeps it sharp Bookmark before you point a bot at your first window

Yarchi

22,966 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce