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This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Arbitrage system that made $8,045 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$1,262,999 PnL in 157 days with about $873 per average trade, repeating the same setup 41 times every hour across crypto "Up or Down" markets Several AI...

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Daniro

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20,672 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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15 Kommentare

Profilbild von lvnbbs_bnb
lvnbbs_bnbvor 8 Tagen

41 times an hour is pure grind. executing that cleanly is the real flex here

Profilbild von Daniro
Danirovor 8 Tagen

This software is very fast, to execute almost 1000 trades a day, it need to have very powerful computing power

Profilbild von Humanity Wasted
Humanity Wastedvor 7 Tagen

$8K/day from crypto Up/Down markets sounds crazy until you look at the structure. Small inefficiencies + automation + repetition can become a serious P&L engine.

Profilbild von qwinsi
qwinsivor 8 Tagen

The clever part is tracking the combined cost of both sides. It turns dozens of small fills into one measurable arb signal

Profilbild von Daniro
Danirovor 8 Tagen

Yes, exactly, the bot holds limit orders on both sides, building up a position in such a way that yes+no<100

Profilbild von M.
M.vor 7 Tagen

100% Bullsh*t. Don't believe it.

Profilbild von Bartosz Milewski
Bartosz Milewskivor 7 Tagen

I love these pointless and doing nothing animations

Profilbild von TechN0rd
TechN0rdvor 7 Tagen

if this really worked you wouldn’t be posting about it

Profilbild von Alex Lee
Alex Leevor 7 Tagen

41 times an hour is the part that got me 😭

Profilbild von Tommy Tamoio
Tommy Tamoiovor 7 Tagen

@pjdallmann ?

Profilbild von 𖥧 sophie ᯓ★
𖥧 sophie ᯓ★vor 7 Tagen

Interesting perspective

Profilbild von VALIX
VALIXvor 8 Tagen

Looks like AI agent systems are the new meta in algorithmic trading

Profilbild von Daniro
Danirovor 8 Tagen

It seems that the advantage of agents is that they are already filled, each one performs its own task, and they are controlled by a single brain

Profilbild von Vitor Denis
Vitor Denisvor 7 Tagen

Soft fictício e fake

Profilbild von techDecoded
techDecodedvor 7 Tagen

Good job

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $34.90 Result: +$129,827 Nearly 99% of its volume comes from 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets, where it combines asynchronous pairing, MERGE, and a directional residual: 1. Accumulates both sides of the same market It bought both Up and Down in 79.6% of markets. The median gap between its first purchases of of the two outcomes is 8 seconds It uses price movements within each market to buy both sides at different times and prices 2. Frees up capital through MERGE It merges an equal number of shares from each side of the market For example: 100 Up + 80 Down 80 Up + 80 Down -> MERGE -> $80 If those matched pairs cost less than $1 each, the difference becomes a structural edge regardless of how the market resolves MERGE immediately frees up capital so it can be used again 3. Holds unpaired inventory until resolution In the example above, 20 Up shares remain after the MERGE This portion is unhedged and acts as a directional residual Its final pnl therefore depends on the edge from matched pairs, how efficiently it reuses capital, and the performance of its directional residual Its Polymarket account: flippingsharks Stats: > Trades per active hour: 73.18 > Average trade size: $34.90 > Win rate: 50.33% The bot’s main edge comes from a BUY -> pairing -> MERGE cycle: merging matched inventory frees up capital and locks in the edge on pairs bought for less than $1, while the unpaired portion stays directional until resolution

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $38.62 Result: +$489,494 The bot trades 5 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets using two-sided accumulation, complete sets, and a directional residual: 1. Starts accumulating both sides almost immediately The bot first buys one side and begins buying the opposite outcome almost immediately The median delay between its first Up and Down purchases is 7.5 seconds It then continues accumulating both sides as prices change within the market 2. Builds complete sets below $1 The main goal of the paired inventory is to achieve: VWAP(Up) + VWAP(Down) < $1 Its average combined VWAP is 97.93c, giving it an edge of 2.07c 3. Keeps a directional residual on top of the hedge The bot does not try to maintain a 1:1 balance between Up and Down In paired markets, the median ratio between the larger and smaller sides of its inventory is 1.44× If its fair probability leans more strongly toward Up or Down, the algorithm increases its inventory on that side while keeping the opposite outcome as a hedge leg Its Polymarket account: x-MoneyForWhiskas The bot’s main edge comes from combining complete sets with directional skew: the core position is hedged through Up + Down below $1, while additional inventory remains on the side its model considers underpriced

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL

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This trader built a bot with Claude Fable 5 and made $96,000 on Polymarket. Average trade size: $3. The bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading. The strategy has 5 steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets continuously The bot tracks BTC, ETH, and SOL price action in real-time across different time windows. 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down No reliance on Polymarket prices. The bot builds its own model and compares it to the order book. 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 This is the arbitrage edge. If Up costs 0.52 and Down costs 0.49, total is 1.01. The bot waits. When total drops below 1.00, it enters. 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position After capturing arbitrage, the bot actively manages remaining exposure instead of holding passively. 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued When the bot sees clear mispricing, it leans into the undervalued side and holds until the edge closes. The entire edge is repeating small wins thousands of times. With an average trade size of $3, the bot captures micro-edges that manual traders ignore. No emotions. No hesitation. Just calculated entries repeated at scale until they compound into serious profit. Most people try to make big bets and predict major moves. This system just identifies tiny mispricings, enters with $3 average positions, and repeats the process until it grows the account. $96K profit built on thousands of $3 trades. The system runs autonomous: → Claude Fable 5 handles 5-step decision logic → Monitors multiple crypto markets 24/7 → Calculates fair probability independent of Polymarket prices → Enters when combined Up + Down cost drops below $1 → Manages unhedged positions actively → Holds directional exposure when model sees clear edge No manual trading. No guessing. Just finding micro-edges and exploiting them thousands of times. 💡 I'm sharing the complete Claude Fable 5 prompt and 5-step hybrid trading workflow. Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1️⃣ Comment the "Claude" 2️⃣ Like and Repost 3️⃣ Follow Himanshu Kumar I'll DM you the setup.

Himanshu Kumar

103,129 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23.59 Result: +$246,578 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using dynamic hedging and a directional residual: 1. First buys the outcome its model considers underpriced It continuously estimates the fair probabilities of Up and Down and compares them with prices on Polymarket The bot builds a position whenever it detects a mispricing 2. Buys the opposite side when the signal changes If the underlying asset reverses, it does not close its initial position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome It bought both sides in 90% of markets 3. Turns part of the position into complete sets below $1 In two-sided markets, the median combined cost of Up and Down is 94.5c But this is not pure arbitrage The median inventory imbalance is 40%, so after pairing both sides, the algorithm is left with a directional residual Its Polymarket account: pspspsps5 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial is available after signing up) The main edge of this HFT algorithm comes from continuously shifting directional exposure as its fair probability estimates change, while purchases of the opposite outcome function either as a hedge or as part of a complete set
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23.59 Result: +$246,578 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using dynamic hedging and a directional residual: 1. First buys the outcome its model considers underpriced It continuously estimates the fair probabilities of Up and Down and compares them with prices on Polymarket The bot builds a position whenever it detects a mispricing 2. Buys the opposite side when the signal changes If the underlying asset reverses, it does not close its initial position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome It bought both sides in 90% of markets 3. Turns part of the position into complete sets below $1 In two-sided markets, the median combined cost of Up and Down is 94.5c But this is not pure arbitrage The median inventory imbalance is 40%, so after pairing both sides, the algorithm is left with a directional residual Its Polymarket account: pspspsps5 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial is available after signing up) The main edge of this HFT algorithm comes from continuously shifting directional exposure as its fair probability estimates change, while purchases of the opposite outcome function either as a hedge or as part of a complete set

VALIX

77,671 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23 Result: +$216,633 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and partial complete-set accumulation: 1. It looks for directional edge using its own fair probability It constantly compares its estimated probability of Up and Down with current Polymarket prices and enters positions when it sees mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it buys the opposite outcome Instead of closing the original position, it starts accumulating the other side. Part of the inventory gradually turns into paired Up + Down positions The median cost of a pair is around $0.945 3. It keeps a directional residual The median inventory imbalance is around 40% of total shares The matched part of the position captures structural edge, while the remaining inventory continues working in the direction of the model’s current signal His Polymarket nickname: pspspsps5 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from combining two mechanics: First, it accumulates the outcome that its model considers undervalued. Then, when the market changes, it uses the opposite side as a dynamic hedge and builds complete sets
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23 Result: +$216,633 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and partial complete-set accumulation: 1. It looks for directional edge using its own fair probability It constantly compares its estimated probability of Up and Down with current Polymarket prices and enters positions when it sees mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it buys the opposite outcome Instead of closing the original position, it starts accumulating the other side. Part of the inventory gradually turns into paired Up + Down positions The median cost of a pair is around $0.945 3. It keeps a directional residual The median inventory imbalance is around 40% of total shares The matched part of the position captures structural edge, while the remaining inventory continues working in the direction of the model’s current signal His Polymarket nickname: pspspsps5 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from combining two mechanics: First, it accumulates the outcome that its model considers undervalued. Then, when the market changes, it uses the opposite side as a dynamic hedge and builds complete sets

VALIX

36,397 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit
0:35

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit

VALIX

56,687 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$162,512 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets, using a hybrid of 3 elements: 1. Uses limit orders 2. Buys opposite outcomes at different moments so that Up + Down is below $1 3. When his algorithm gives a strong signal, it builds a directional position by overweighting one side His Polymarket username: gansinimen Using this strategy and clean execution, he made +$162k with an average buy size of $33
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He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$162,512 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets, using a hybrid of 3 elements: 1. Uses limit orders 2. Buys opposite outcomes at different moments so that Up + Down is below $1 3. When his algorithm gives a strong signal, it builds a directional position by overweighting one side His Polymarket username: gansinimen Using this strategy and clean execution, he made +$162k with an average buy size of $33

VALIX

47,336 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

VALIX

152,711 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Amy Klobuchar says the average family's cost of living is up $2400 -- and, in her telling, 100% of that is from Trump taking office less than 7 months ago.
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Amy Klobuchar says the average family's cost of living is up $2400 -- and, in her telling, 100% of that is from Trump taking office less than 7 months ago.

Breitbart News

410,791 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The average cost of full coverage car insurance is up 26% this year — to about $2,500. AnnaWerner breaks down the factors contributing to the sharp rise in auto insurance rates and shares tips on how to keep rates low.
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The average cost of full coverage car insurance is up 26% this year — to about $2,500. AnnaWerner breaks down the factors contributing to the sharp rise in auto insurance rates and shares tips on how to keep rates low.

CBS Mornings

17,979 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

VALIX

370,823 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat