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This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Linear Regression system and it made $4,065 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$508,183 PnL in 125 days with about $258 per average trade, repeating the same setup 33 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets... Several AI agents work together as one algorithm: 1. Linear Regression measures the direction and speed of the current move Instead of reacting to a single tick, the bot fits a line through the latest BTC or ETH data: Slope = Cov(Time, Level) / Var(Time) Positive slope → Up bias Negative slope → Down bias The steeper the slope, the stronger the short-term directional move 2. R² measures whether that move is clean enough to trust A strong slope means little if the underlying is moving randomly around it The system calculates: R² = 1 - SSE / SST Where: SSE = movement not explained by the regression SST = total movement High R² → the move follows a consistent direction Low R² → the move is mostly noise The bot acts when the regression shows both a strong slope and high consistency This is the first agent that will create a trading bot strategy for you and then build it: This trader’s Polymarket account: mo-money Most profitable trades: $1,666 → $4,175 (+$2,509) $1,120 → $3,556 (+$2,436) $587 → $2,609 (+$2,022) The system uses regression slope to find direction and R² to filter out noisy movesshow more

Daniro

8,623 subscribers

79,354 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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7 Kommentare

Profilbild von swapcherry

swapcherryvor 1 Monat

33 times an hour is insane

Profilbild von Ai Turning Futures

Ai Turning Futuresvor 1 Monat

This is an inaccurate post.

Profilbild von niko tesle

niko teslevor 1 Monat

@grok v’est vrai ? Et commét faire de l'argent sur polymarket

Profilbild von Teraliq Quant

Teraliq Quantvor 1 Monat

$258/trade × 33 setups/hr ≈ $8.5k/hr, but you cite $4,065/day — which is it? Is the $508k live or backtested? Would love to see the losing days.

Profilbild von otaku monarch

otaku monarchvor 1 Monat

This is fake news just paste it on grok.. grok will tell u is fake nes

Profilbild von S0SA

S0SAvor 1 Monat

@JJChagerben357 que opinas de la IA para ganar dinero?

Profilbild von Rocky S

Rocky Svor 1 Monat

@grok clone this

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mathsy.io

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27,376 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

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Daniro

54,383 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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VALIX

98,892 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,500 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets and buys outcomes at an average order size of $26.40 His strategy is simple: > Buys both sides to build a balanced position with a combined Up + Down cost below $1 > Tracks the asset’s current price, price velocity, time remaining, and exchange quotes > When its probability model detects a strong signal, it increases exposure to one side and builds a directional position This guy’s Polymarket account: By combining arbitrage with directional trading, he consistently grows his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,500 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets and buys outcomes at an average order size of $26.40 His strategy is simple: > Buys both sides to build a balanced position with a combined Up + Down cost below $1 > Tracks the asset’s current price, price velocity, time remaining, and exchange quotes > When its probability model detects a strong signal, it increases exposure to one side and builds a directional position This guy’s Polymarket account: By combining arbitrage with directional trading, he consistently grows his capital

VALIX

16,526 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

quant funds spend millions hiring people who know a formula you learned in 10th grade and never applied to a price chart y = mx + b. that's it linear regression - same math from high school most traders learned, ignored, and forgot existed what quants actually figured out: asset prices don't move randomly, they drift and revert with measurable slope regression separates signal from noise. slope tracks trend, residuals measure the deviation when deviation gets large enough, that's the trade - prices tend to snap back to the line quants call it "mean reversion." retail calls it "a dip" actual workflow: > pull 5 years of daily returns > run OLS, extract beta and residuals > z-score the residuals > entries at -2 standard deviations, exits at 0 retail draws trend lines by hand and calls it analysis Bookmark this ^ data is public, math is free, approach has been in papers since the 1980s 99% of traders have never built one signal this way it was never an information gap - always been a methodology gap, and that's the kind that compounds

quant funds spend millions hiring people who know a formula you learned in 10th grade and never applied to a price chart y = mx + b. that's it linear regression - same math from high school most traders learned, ignored, and forgot existed what quants actually figured out: asset prices don't move randomly, they drift and revert with measurable slope regression separates signal from noise. slope tracks trend, residuals measure the deviation when deviation gets large enough, that's the trade - prices tend to snap back to the line quants call it "mean reversion." retail calls it "a dip" actual workflow: > pull 5 years of daily returns > run OLS, extract beta and residuals > z-score the residuals > entries at -2 standard deviations, exits at 0 retail draws trend lines by hand and calls it analysis Bookmark this ^ data is public, math is free, approach has been in papers since the 1980s 99% of traders have never built one signal this way it was never an information gap - always been a methodology gap, and that's the kind that compounds

Livsun

28,936 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

PUTTING IQ TEST 🤓 Two 10 footers, one is down the slope, one is up the slope. If both of these putts are hit at the exact same time, which putt is going to get to the hole first?

PUTTING IQ TEST 🤓 Two 10 footers, one is down the slope, one is up the slope. If both of these putts are hit at the exact same time, which putt is going to get to the hole first?

Brad Faxon

797,633 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)

VALIX

19,500 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten