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🚨 THIS HAS NEVER HAPPENED BEFORE 🚨 🚨NOBODY UNDERSTANDS WHAT THEY JUST TRIGGERED. 🚨 🚨 People always talk about Iranian oil in terms of barrels, but rarely about what’s actually inside them. That’s the key difference—and the reason Western refineries have quietly relied on back-channel networks through places like...

3,645,659 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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The problems in Russia’s oil and gas sector are already becoming systemic. Russia is refining less oil, transporting it at a higher cost, facing problems with export infrastructure, and already losing oil and gas revenues. Let’s take a look at what exactly is happening inside Russia. First, the Russian authorities themselves are no longer treating the shortage as a short-term disruption. A complete ban on diesel exports was introduced in early July, and it is quite likely to be extended through the end of the year. Gasoline exports are banned until January 31, 2027, and jet fuel exports until the end of November. Russia has also started importing additional petroleum products from Asia and Belarus. Second, Russia is physically refining less and less oil. According to Kpler, Russian refineries processed around 3.8 million barrels per day in July - the lowest level in more than two decades. EA Analytics estimates the figure even lower, at approximately 3.6 million barrels per day. For comparison, the normal level for this period in 2020-2025 was 5.3-5.6 million barrels per day. Third, Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries are continuing. A cycle has effectively formed: strike - repairs - partial recovery - another strike. Following the August 21 attack, the Perm Oil Refinery, with an annual capacity of 13.1 million tonnes, was completely shut down. Since August 2025, at least 25 Russian oil refineries have been targeted. Fourth, the diesel shortage is making the economy more expensive - increasing the cost of harvesting, reducing the resilience of Russia’s logistics system, and consequently affecting prices overall. Fifth, even the oil Russia manages to produce is becoming more difficult and expensive to export. In the first half of August, exports from western ports amounted to around 2.3 million barrels per day instead of the planned 2.7 million. Novorossiysk was particularly affected: shipments fell to around 400,000 barrels per day, compared with 800,000-1 million in June-July. Previously, problems at refineries could be partially offset by increasing crude oil exports. But when refineries, ports, terminals and tankers are all being targeted simultaneously, this becomes much harder. Exports have not collapsed, but they have become more expensive and less predictable. The same applies to petroleum products: in July, seaborne exports of fuel oil and vacuum gasoil fell by around 12%, to 2.4 million tonnes. The situation with gas is structurally worse. The Power of Siberia pipeline has already nearly reached its contractual ceiling - around 38.8 billion cubic meters per year. Power of Siberia 2 is primarily constrained by price: China wants gas at a significantly lower price than Russia is willing to sell it for. LNG faces even more problems: the EU has already begun phasing out imports, while redirecting supplies to Asia means longer and more expensive logistics. China is increasing its purchases of Russian gas, but it has not replaced Europe and will not replace it quickly. The most serious problem is the budget. In the first half of the year, Russia’s oil and gas revenues fell by 22.7% year-on-year, and by 16.8% over the first seven months. By January-April alone, the federal budget deficit had reached 5.88 trillion rubles, exceeding the planned deficit for the entire year. On top of this come the costs of refinery repairs, air defense, fuel imports, alternative routes, freight and insurance. Despite all these losses, we can see that Russian oil and gas revenues have not yet collapsed, although adaptation is becoming increasingly expensive. For now, the Kremlin is being helped by the crisis around the Strait of Hormuz, which is keeping oil prices high. At the same time, Russia’s ability to refine and export this oil is deteriorating. So far, high prices are offsetting these losses. If the situation around Hormuz stabilizes and Brent prices fall, the current logistical and fuel problems could become much more serious for Russia.

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When a spacecraft leaves Earth, it doesn’t just fire its engines and head straight to its destination. In many missions, especially those going beyond low Earth orbit, there’s a more subtle and elegant strategy at play, one that uses gravity itself as part of the navigation system. This is often called a gravity assist, or a slingshot maneuver. But in the case of missions like #Artemis II, what’s being used is a closely related idea known as a free-return trajectory. At first glance, it might sound simple: the spacecraft goes to the Moon, loops around it, and comes back. But the physics behind it is anything but simple. Instead of relying on continuous propulsion, the spacecraft follows a carefully calculated path through the gravitational field of the Earth–Moon system. It is launched with just the right speed and direction so that, as it approaches the Moon, the Moon’s gravity bends its trajectory. The spacecraft is effectively flung around the Moon, redirected onto a path that naturally brings it back toward Earth. No major engine burn is needed for the return. Small trajectory corrections may still be required, but gravity does the heavy lifting. That’s the key. This kind of trajectory is not just efficient, it’s also safe. If something goes wrong with the spacecraft’s engines or onboard systems, gravity itself ensures the return. It’s an inherent backup plan, built into the trajectory from the very beginning. The same fundamental idea appears in gravity assists used across the Solar System. When a spacecraft flies past a planet, it can gain or lose speed by exchanging momentum with that planet. From the spacecraft’s point of view, it’s as if it has been accelerated without using fuel. In reality, it has borrowed a tiny amount of orbital energy from the planet itself. That’s how missions like Voyager reached the outer planets, and how probes continue to explore regions far beyond what their onboard fuel alone would allow. But there’s an important distinction. An interplanetary gravity assist is typically used to change speed and direction, often increasing the spacecraft’s energy. A free-return trajectory, like the one used in Artemis II, is designed for something more specific: a path that naturally loops back to Earth without requiring additional propulsion. It’s less about gaining energy, and more about shaping a trajectory that guarantees a return. To understand why this works, it helps to stop thinking in straight lines. In space, motion follows curves defined by gravity. The spacecraft is constantly falling, first toward Earth, then toward the Moon, and then back toward Earth again. What looks like a loop is really a continuous free fall through a changing gravitational landscape. This way of navigating space reveals something deeper. We tend to think of engines as the drivers of motion, but once a spacecraft is on its way, gravity does most of the work. The art of spaceflight is not just about thrust. It’s about knowing when not to use it. #GoodLuck #Artemis NASA Artemis

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⛽ HERE'S THE PART NOBODY EXPLAINS TO YOU ABOUT GAS PRICES! Trump is right: Oil companies are playing both ends against the middle! A gas station owner does not set his own fuel cost. He buys his gasoline wholesale from a refiner or distributor, often locked into a supply contract with a major oil company brand. That wholesale price is set upstream. By the refiners. By the majors. Not by the guy running the register. So why is wholesale still high when crude is sitting at $68 a barrel. The industry's answer is inventory lag. Refiners are still selling fuel made from oil they bought weeks ago at higher prices. Chevron's own CFO has said publicly that lower crude prices take time to work through the supply chain before drivers see real savings. Fine. But here is the question that breaks that excuse wide open. If stations are selling old inventory bought at yesterday's price, why does the pump price jump the second crude spikes, before that expensive new oil has even been delivered. You cannot have it both ways. Slow to fall because of old cheap inventory, but instant to rise before the new expensive inventory even arrives. The real answer is something called replacement cost pricing. Retailers price gas based on what it will cost to refill the tank tomorrow, not what they paid for the gas sitting in the ground today. That is why prices jump like lightning when crude rises. But somehow that same forward looking logic disappears the moment crude falls. Suddenly everybody remembers the inventory they are still working through. That is not a supply chain mystery. That is a choice. Economists call the pattern rockets and feathers. Prices shoot up like rockets the second crude spikes. They drift down like feathers when crude falls. The same companies pricing forward on the way up are mysteriously pricing backward on the way down. Trump named the companies directly. ExxonMobil. Chevron. Shell. BP. He said it plainly in the Oval Office, that they are the ones not passing along the savings they should already be passing along. California gets singled out too. Gas there averages over five dollars a gallon, with state taxes piling on top of everything else. This is not Trump bullying small business. This is Trump asking the companies holding the lever why the logic only runs in one direction. Lower oil should mean lower gas, with the same speed it took to raise it.

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521,230 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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But really. This is overwhelming. I can’t imagine what that must feel like. 50k is no small number. And that’s from one city. I completely understand yoongi crying back then bc of how big bts was getting. This type of pressure could crush anyone if they didn’t have the right support system. And we have seen this happen with a lot of artists. Just collapsing under the pressures of their fame and global reach. It’s what’s makes bts stand out I think. It’s the way they’re constantly and acutely aware of their impact. Humility runs in their veins. And never once have they ever taken even 1% of this global level phenomenon for granted. It’s so easy to get swept up in this type of power. So easy. We’ve seen empires fall bc of something like this. But BTS are just built different. They surround themselves and each other with unwavering support. They don’t fall complacent. Don’t let fame dampen their passion. They’ve never lost sight of what’s important. Never taken advantage of the love their fans have to give them. It’s why they feel different. It’s why their success feels monumental. It’s why people will always want to replicate everything about who they are or where they came from and their story of how they reached the top. Bc they think bts cracked the “formula” towards success. But there is no formula. No “science” behind it. Just an unexplainable truth that there are certain things in this world that come around but once in a lifetime. BTS are one of those things. Their groundbreaking success has no secret. No shortcuts. Just 7 separate lives that lined up perfectly on that one fateful day. That’s it. And the rest is Bangtan history.

Livheartt⁷ met hobi | ㉧㉣㉣ | 🦢🤍

56,739 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Two days ago the United States bombed Iran. Ten days earlier, the same two countries had signed a peace deal whose one core promise was safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran drone-struck a ship in that exact strait, the US hit Iranian missile sites in return, and oil did the unthinkable. It fell. Crude is now under $70. That reaction rewrites a rule. For fifty years, a missile fired near Hormuz meant oil spiking. This week the signatories of a ceasefire shot at each other inside the world's most important oil chokepoint, and the price went down. The market looked at live fire in the strait that carries a fifth of the world's crude and decided it did not care. The deal did not crack at the edges. It broke at its center, the single clause it existed to deliver, tested by a drone and answered by an airstrike ten days after the ink dried. And the same afternoon the bombs fell, the choreography of peace rolled on. The Secretary of State stood in Washington signing a separate Israel-Lebanon framework, calling it the start of lasting peace. The President told a room of farmers the Strait of Hormuz was open. America signed a peace, declared a waterway open, and bombed a treaty partner, all inside one day. So the war did not end. It moved into the paperwork. Iran's strait authority now says any ship on the American route loses its insurance. Trump says the strait is open. Each side has claimed the same narrow channel as its own, in writing, and is firing to prove it. The market has already placed its bet, oil under $70, that the flood of barrels is more real than the war over who controls them.

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