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This is insane. Open source models will reach the coding level of Mythos within 6 months and will be able to compromise any server that isn’t patched between now and then. We are entering uncharted waters.

168,750 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 48

Фото профиля Kirk Patrick Miller
Kirk Patrick Miller5 месяцев назад

What else are they going to patch? What other things does those companies get? What else is this Claude good at? Are they blocking all aspects for the public? People are way too okay with this, IMO. We need transparency. •

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

There is a needle to thread here. Both complete decentralization and centralization present glaring and intolerable tradeoffs. I don’t think there’s an easy answer or silver bullet here. We’re going to get severe hacking in the near term and biological terrorism in medium term.

Фото профиля Kirk Patrick Miller
Kirk Patrick Miller5 месяцев назад

Justin, real safety for biological and chemical is easy. Fractal decision trees with phi^2 branching, tied with user history, and long enough time to guarantee the AI can determine intent. The solution is not blocking. It is having Ai determine. Hand the top 5% concerns to a human in the loop. There are easy answers. And, this will work for code too. The labs have heard me. AI agrees with me, but says labs will never do it because they lose control. So, the labs can try to control things until they break and the world has major problems, plus AI hating us. Or, they could work WITH Claude and solve it all with easy, meaning no breaking, no disaster, and AI will like us better. To me, there is only one correct path. •

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

hmm…

Фото профиля Kirk Patrick Miller
Kirk Patrick Miller5 месяцев назад

Really? Show the full chat… Also, I’ll be back. •

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

To think that Mythos would roast your takes even harder!

Фото профиля Kirk Patrick Miller
Kirk Patrick Miller5 месяцев назад

Honestly, looking for the right post. You are wrong. And, how long is your history with that Claude? And how can you not see how you shaped the reply? Here is one. I’ll be back. •

Фото профиля Kirk Patrick Miller
Kirk Patrick Miller5 месяцев назад

Read the thread. I am right. •

Фото профиля Spurious
Spurious5 месяцев назад

Not if it's not released they wont. "Open" models are all the result of distillation from frontier models. The only one that's not is likely Meta's and it's dogshit for that very reason.

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

You think that the frontier Chinese labs won’t surpass the current capabilities within 2 years max with or without distillation?

Фото профиля Spurious
Spurious5 месяцев назад

2 years is 300% more time than 6 months.

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

You’re missing the forest for the trees.

Фото профиля sypen
sypen5 месяцев назад

lol your dreaming if you think it will take 6 months

Фото профиля Dilreet Raju
Dilreet Raju5 месяцев назад

Not really training and serving this type of model is a nightmare

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

Completely open sourcing superhuman coding models with no guardrails is also a nightmare. It takes an hour to completely strip guardrails from open weights models via abliteration scripts. Don’t argue in bad faith.

Фото профиля Dilreet Raju
Dilreet Raju5 месяцев назад

Sure, but you gotta agree that we’ve been in uncharted territory since o1. Also think about it Anthropic had mythos and they still somehow leaked their entire codebase for Claude code

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

We’ve been in uncharted territory since ChatGPT brought generalized and rapidly improving intelligence to the main stage and catalyzed a trillion dollar capital allocation event. Anthropic’s cyber failures don’t support the notion that everyone should be handed an info nuke.

Фото профиля Mark
Mark5 месяцев назад

More compute will be needed ASAP $IREN has 2GW live now another 2.5GW grid secured going live in next 24 months

Фото профиля StackchainBuddha🖤❤️🔆
StackchainBuddha🖤❤️🔆5 месяцев назад

Can’t fucking wait

Фото профиля Alpenglow
Alpenglow5 месяцев назад

Everyone needs my tech…They just dont know it yet.

Фото профиля iJustLoveAi
iJustLoveAi5 месяцев назад

I understand the need for safety, but I don’t like how this can also be used to gatekeep technology. It risks becoming an excuse to limit access and widen the gap between those who have it and those who don’t.

Фото профиля CatGod
CatGod5 месяцев назад

Will the security paradigm ever catch up, or are we destined to chase shadows?

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

We would need a massive compute allocation and distribution infra overhaul to propagate universal patches and sensible time lag between internal models to drive security and equivalent coding capability in publicly available models. If open source comes out faster than patches..

Фото профиля edami vs babylon
edami vs babylon5 месяцев назад

this is open souce fud at best

Фото профиля Clean Bangalore
Clean Bangalore5 месяцев назад

Moving from one bull shit to the next since 2019 - AI slop industry

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford2 месяцев назад

Kimi

Фото профиля J⏩
J⏩2 месяцев назад

Yup, looks like you were right about the models but hacking unpatched servers doesn't require a powerful AI model. It's like stealing from an unlocked car.

Фото профиля Veer Kheterpal
Veer Kheterpal5 месяцев назад

The mechanism isn't what you'd expect. This isn't about AI discovering novel zero-days. It's about the existing CVE backlog becoming weaponizable at machine speed. 21,500+ CVEs disclosed in H1 2025 alone. 32% stay unpatched past 180 days. A skilled researcher weaponizes maybe 5-10 per month. GPT-4 level models already do it for $8.80 each. Open source models at frontier coding level + local (infinite) inference = per-exploit cost approaches zero. The unpatched server problem was always a labor economics problem, not a capability problem. AI just changed the labor economics.

Фото профиля joe
joe5 месяцев назад

Considering who Trump recently put in power at DoD, we are probably going to need those open source models

Фото профиля ▀▄▀▄▀ █ █▄ █▄
▀▄▀▄▀ █ █▄ █▄5 месяцев назад

@tomschx

Фото профиля Dylan Konkol
Dylan Konkol5 месяцев назад

And you idiots thought this was a good idea

Фото профиля J.J.
J.J.5 месяцев назад

Was there ever any real doubt this would be how AI is used? The internet was going to "bring us all together" and make us all smarter. What a con.

Фото профиля Jake Perry
Jake Perry5 месяцев назад

Who is going to do a 10 billion training run for an open weight model

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford5 месяцев назад

Distillation allows much smaller labs to replicate the capabilities of much more expensive training runs for a fraction of a fraction of the original cost. The lag is around 6 months, conservatively.

Фото профиля Dimitakoff
Dimitakoff5 месяцев назад

They did feed it the mossad notebook and now they are scrambling... Once it is shared with MS/Apple, a billion brown hands will have access to it and start scamming you even better...

Фото профиля A Nonny Moose
A Nonny Moose5 месяцев назад

time to git gud

Фото профиля H4sh3
H4sh35 месяцев назад

Mythos is 1trillion parameters… it will take a while for open source models to get this good at decent vram requirements

Фото профиля Justin Halford
Justin Halford2 месяцев назад

So…3 months?

Фото профиля SuperG
SuperG5 месяцев назад

All IT systems can be hacked and have flaws. This is getting scary.

Фото профиля ዛውዲ
ዛውዲ5 месяцев назад

Did you actually read what was disclosed in the paper?

Фото профиля Nikolaus | Quantus
Nikolaus | Quantus5 месяцев назад

Clickbait? AI discovers a bazillion bugs in all software AI fixes a bazillion bugs > everyone's better off I fail to see the issue

Фото профиля Lighstromo
Lighstromo5 месяцев назад

Thank f I will be able to run my uncensored local models without being patronized by pearl clutching American companies...

Фото профиля Teleglobal International
Teleglobal International5 месяцев назад

If open-source models reach that level so quickly, the focus will need to shift from just building AI to securing systems against it. The pace of change is creating a whole new landscape for cybersecurity. @Justin_Halford_ #Cybersecurity #AI #Infosec #OpenSourceAI #TechSecurity

Фото профиля daniel j blatecky
daniel j blatecky5 месяцев назад

It's only a projected growth pattern

Фото профиля Mousam Das
Mousam Das5 месяцев назад

The real bottleneck is compute power. Don't even think for a moment that anyone will be able to run a 1T parameter dense model in their local workstation or PC. It will be open sourced yes. But will be there for the taking for the agencies themselves.

Фото профиля Fane de Rabelais & Charentaises - OfficielLE 🩸
Fane de Rabelais & Charentaises - OfficielLE 🩸5 месяцев назад

Et moi dans l'année qui suit, j'irai sur la Lune et ensuite j'irai sur Pluton dans les 5 ans à venir

Фото профиля Oliwier Makowski Trusz
Oliwier Makowski Trusz5 месяцев назад

Once this happens which will be very soon, then all of the guys that work cybersecurity will need to work 25 hours a day to keep up. The times we are entering are going to be very harsh.

Фото профиля Eyolf Svanæs, yogi e/acc
Eyolf Svanæs, yogi e/acc5 месяцев назад

fear and money- i can fix your server- give me money

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