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This is where probability matters more than opinion. Right now, the data is very clear on the #SP500. There is a 70% probability we see 682 by Thursday. There is an 85% probability we see 682 by Friday. That doesn’t mean it happens in a straight line. It means...

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TraderJonesy

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59,318 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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The $SPY Moon Boys are celebrating. The $TSLA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $NVDA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $AMD Moon Boys are celebrating. The #Bitcoin Moon Boys are celebrating. And their celebration is about to come to an end. Because while they’re cheering small green candles here near the highs, the signals underneath the surface are quietly doing the opposite. My hourly signal line has already rolled over. The 4 hour is rolling over. And the daily is now starting to turn. This is the exact confirmation I want. Which is why I added size yesterday. I did in fact tell everyone in the community to wait for the daily signal line confirmation to be safe.. These are the same signals that caught the last major legs down before the herd even realized what was happening. The same structure. The same behavior. The same warnings that everyone ignored until it was too late. Yet here we are again. They’re celebrating a small drift higher. They’re mistaking complacency for strength. They’re convincing themselves “this time is different.” It never is. In this video, I break down the signs across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA, $AMD and #Bitcoin and explain why the timeframes are starting to align for the next major move. We need a few more confirmed signals and this is golden for that next leg. The higher timeframe signals hasn’t improved. The trend hasn’t flipped. And the signal lines are all telling the same story. The nuke is getting close. Did we nail this exact top? Now you can all see that I am not perfect by no means.. But when it is all said and done, this tiny squeeze to a new high potentially... This 1% move? Is nothing to the 12% move coming on the #SP500, and 20% move coming on $TSLA. I need to see my signals flip bullish before I consider the alternative move to the upside. And as for $NVDA? I need to see the push to $193 before I get back in from when we exited down in the $170's and $180's. Most traders chase comfort. We position for what comes after it. #SP500 $SPY $TSLA $NVDA $AMD #Bitcoin #Trading
14:28

The $SPY Moon Boys are celebrating. The $TSLA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $NVDA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $AMD Moon Boys are celebrating. The #Bitcoin Moon Boys are celebrating. And their celebration is about to come to an end. Because while they’re cheering small green candles here near the highs, the signals underneath the surface are quietly doing the opposite. My hourly signal line has already rolled over. The 4 hour is rolling over. And the daily is now starting to turn. This is the exact confirmation I want. Which is why I added size yesterday. I did in fact tell everyone in the community to wait for the daily signal line confirmation to be safe.. These are the same signals that caught the last major legs down before the herd even realized what was happening. The same structure. The same behavior. The same warnings that everyone ignored until it was too late. Yet here we are again. They’re celebrating a small drift higher. They’re mistaking complacency for strength. They’re convincing themselves “this time is different.” It never is. In this video, I break down the signs across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA, $AMD and #Bitcoin and explain why the timeframes are starting to align for the next major move. We need a few more confirmed signals and this is golden for that next leg. The higher timeframe signals hasn’t improved. The trend hasn’t flipped. And the signal lines are all telling the same story. The nuke is getting close. Did we nail this exact top? Now you can all see that I am not perfect by no means.. But when it is all said and done, this tiny squeeze to a new high potentially... This 1% move? Is nothing to the 12% move coming on the #SP500, and 20% move coming on $TSLA. I need to see my signals flip bullish before I consider the alternative move to the upside. And as for $NVDA? I need to see the push to $193 before I get back in from when we exited down in the $170's and $180's. Most traders chase comfort. We position for what comes after it. #SP500 $SPY $TSLA $NVDA $AMD #Bitcoin #Trading

TraderJonesy

31,227 次观看 • 9 个月前

Everyone is panicking over Iran. Futures red. Feeds full of “this is the crash.” People convinced the market is about to unravel. I just dropped a full #SP500 breakdown explaining why this likely gets bought. If there is one video you watch this week, make it this one. I’ll say it again clearly. There is a 70% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Wednesday. There is an 85% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Thursday. Those probabilities didn’t disappear because of a headline. I’m in calls for next Friday. My plan was always to add size near 678–675. It looks like I may get that opportunity. And let me stress something most people ignore. Contract selection matters more than direction. You can be completely right about the move and still lose money if your delta is wrong, your gamma is weak or your expiration is too short. I started this short with about $6,000. Less than 0.5% of my total account. Go look at my pinned post. I constantly stress small size and building into positions. No single trade should ever exceed 6% of your total fund. At the open, my goal is simple. Bring strikes down. Improve delta and gamma. That way a partial move back up repairs the position quickly and continuation expands it. This is where opportunity meets preparation. Most will FOMO at the open. Most will react to emotion. Very few will execute a plan. I originally dropped this video for the Discord but I’m sharing it here because this week matters. I am not worried. I do not believe this is the true move. And that’s coming from someone who has been positioned for the larger unwind. If there is one thing I recommend you do, it is watch this video. Important things are about to happen. Those who prepare will be the ones who capitalize. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!! — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket
27:01

Everyone is panicking over Iran. Futures red. Feeds full of “this is the crash.” People convinced the market is about to unravel. I just dropped a full #SP500 breakdown explaining why this likely gets bought. If there is one video you watch this week, make it this one. I’ll say it again clearly. There is a 70% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Wednesday. There is an 85% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Thursday. Those probabilities didn’t disappear because of a headline. I’m in calls for next Friday. My plan was always to add size near 678–675. It looks like I may get that opportunity. And let me stress something most people ignore. Contract selection matters more than direction. You can be completely right about the move and still lose money if your delta is wrong, your gamma is weak or your expiration is too short. I started this short with about $6,000. Less than 0.5% of my total account. Go look at my pinned post. I constantly stress small size and building into positions. No single trade should ever exceed 6% of your total fund. At the open, my goal is simple. Bring strikes down. Improve delta and gamma. That way a partial move back up repairs the position quickly and continuation expands it. This is where opportunity meets preparation. Most will FOMO at the open. Most will react to emotion. Very few will execute a plan. I originally dropped this video for the Discord but I’m sharing it here because this week matters. I am not worried. I do not believe this is the true move. And that’s coming from someone who has been positioned for the larger unwind. If there is one thing I recommend you do, it is watch this video. Important things are about to happen. Those who prepare will be the ones who capitalize. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!! — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket

TraderJonesy

48,286 次观看 • 6 个月前

There is a lot of questions about where the #SP500 is going. I decided to shoot a video on it. I go over in the video what needs to happen for us to expand to $750. At the same time I go over what needs to happen to see a rejection to head down towards $610. $SPY #SPX #SP500
13:32

There is a lot of questions about where the #SP500 is going. I decided to shoot a video on it. I go over in the video what needs to happen for us to expand to $750. At the same time I go over what needs to happen to see a rejection to head down towards $610. $SPY #SPX #SP500

TraderJonesy

28,599 次观看 • 5 个月前

We called the $ENPH bottom and it’s now up 100% from that level. In today’s video I break down: • The exact setup • Why I took the trade • Where I plan to take profits • How I’m managing risk from here If you trade $ENPH, watch this before you chase.
6:25

We called the $ENPH bottom and it’s now up 100% from that level. In today’s video I break down: • The exact setup • Why I took the trade • Where I plan to take profits • How I’m managing risk from here If you trade $ENPH, watch this before you chase.

Peter DiCarlo

67,640 次观看 • 3 个月前

$MU is up over +50% since we called the bottom at $320. In this video I break down why our Combined Signal System triggered the entry How long I expect this breakout to last, and the exact tool you can use to find a high probability exit on the move.
8:40

$MU is up over +50% since we called the bottom at $320. In this video I break down why our Combined Signal System triggered the entry How long I expect this breakout to last, and the exact tool you can use to find a high probability exit on the move.

Peter DiCarlo

30,415 次观看 • 4 个月前

Something big is forming in this market and most traders are completely blind to it. Everyone sees the bounce. Almost nobody understands why it’s happening. This push isn’t accumulation. It’s distribution. And when the big money steps back in after the holiday lull, they’re not coming back to buy this. They’re coming back to sell it. Here’s exactly what I laid out in the video. For the #SP500, we rode the entire move down. 686 to 675 and trimmed… 675 to 664 and trimmed… 664 to 651 and trimmed again. Now we’re sitting in the small core position we kept intentionally, waiting for strength to reload into. My plan hasn’t changed. I’m looking to size back in at 683 and we added some at 670 yesterday because the market doesn’t always hand you the perfect level. February already proved that. No bounce, no mercy, just four straight weeks of pain. You prepare for both paths. That’s discipline. For #Tesla, nothing in the structure has shifted. We shorted at $436, rode it to the $390s, added back at $424, took profit on those at $386 and held the core the whole time. Yesterday we added again at $418. Next level is $433. This isn’t a reversal. It’s a lower high forming inside a red SuperTrend. For #Nvidia, the plan played out perfectly. Short at $195 on the earnings pop, trimmed in the $180s, trimmed again in the $170s, now holding 5 contracts out of the original 25. Heavy de risking into weakness, dry powder ready for strength. My levels haven’t changed. $180 and $193 are where I’ll load size again. #Bitcoin is showing the same exact behavior. Im expecting a push into the low $100Ks to form the lower high, then a drop toward $70K heading into January. Same trend. Same structure. Same macro pressure. And here’s the part hardly anyone is talking about. This entire bounce is happening on light holiday volume. This isn’t institutions building positions. This is drift. When real liquidity returns next week, this gets sold. Not bought. My daily, weekly and monthly Signal Lines are all still rolling over. My SuperTrend is still red across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA and #Bitcoin. Liquidity is dropping. Credit is tightening. Breadth is thinning. Nothing in the bigger picture has improved. This isn’t bias. It’s the trend. This isn’t a feeling. It’s the data. And the truth is simple. You don’t get generational opportunities unless the market sets a generational trap first. This bounce is the trap. The lower high is the trap. And most of this feed is walking straight into it just like they always do. Conviction isn’t recklessness. I keep dry powder. I hold the core. I trim into weakness and add into strength. Over and over again. That’s why I’m still in the game while others panic over a 2% wiggle and miss the real move entirely. If the signals flip green, I’ll flip long without hesitation. If they stay red, I stay short without emotion. I don’t trade what I want. I trade what the system tells me. You’re going to look back at this moment and realize you either stood with the signals or you chased the lower high with the moon boys. Your choice.
9:13

Something big is forming in this market and most traders are completely blind to it. Everyone sees the bounce. Almost nobody understands why it’s happening. This push isn’t accumulation. It’s distribution. And when the big money steps back in after the holiday lull, they’re not coming back to buy this. They’re coming back to sell it. Here’s exactly what I laid out in the video. For the #SP500, we rode the entire move down. 686 to 675 and trimmed… 675 to 664 and trimmed… 664 to 651 and trimmed again. Now we’re sitting in the small core position we kept intentionally, waiting for strength to reload into. My plan hasn’t changed. I’m looking to size back in at 683 and we added some at 670 yesterday because the market doesn’t always hand you the perfect level. February already proved that. No bounce, no mercy, just four straight weeks of pain. You prepare for both paths. That’s discipline. For #Tesla, nothing in the structure has shifted. We shorted at $436, rode it to the $390s, added back at $424, took profit on those at $386 and held the core the whole time. Yesterday we added again at $418. Next level is $433. This isn’t a reversal. It’s a lower high forming inside a red SuperTrend. For #Nvidia, the plan played out perfectly. Short at $195 on the earnings pop, trimmed in the $180s, trimmed again in the $170s, now holding 5 contracts out of the original 25. Heavy de risking into weakness, dry powder ready for strength. My levels haven’t changed. $180 and $193 are where I’ll load size again. #Bitcoin is showing the same exact behavior. Im expecting a push into the low $100Ks to form the lower high, then a drop toward $70K heading into January. Same trend. Same structure. Same macro pressure. And here’s the part hardly anyone is talking about. This entire bounce is happening on light holiday volume. This isn’t institutions building positions. This is drift. When real liquidity returns next week, this gets sold. Not bought. My daily, weekly and monthly Signal Lines are all still rolling over. My SuperTrend is still red across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA and #Bitcoin. Liquidity is dropping. Credit is tightening. Breadth is thinning. Nothing in the bigger picture has improved. This isn’t bias. It’s the trend. This isn’t a feeling. It’s the data. And the truth is simple. You don’t get generational opportunities unless the market sets a generational trap first. This bounce is the trap. The lower high is the trap. And most of this feed is walking straight into it just like they always do. Conviction isn’t recklessness. I keep dry powder. I hold the core. I trim into weakness and add into strength. Over and over again. That’s why I’m still in the game while others panic over a 2% wiggle and miss the real move entirely. If the signals flip green, I’ll flip long without hesitation. If they stay red, I stay short without emotion. I don’t trade what I want. I trade what the system tells me. You’re going to look back at this moment and realize you either stood with the signals or you chased the lower high with the moon boys. Your choice.

TraderJonesy

138,432 次观看 • 9 个月前

breakdown. - the short film is out now 🖤🖤🖤 “The universe is very, very big and we are so very, very small, and that used to terrify me, until I realised something. You see we are the only thing that gives meaning to the cosmos. We decide what matters. We can be cruel or kind, brave or fearful. We can decide that love is the most important thing in the world, and just like that it is. We can always choose – at least if we slow down enough to see where we’re going.”
3:12

breakdown. - the short film is out now 🖤🖤🖤 “The universe is very, very big and we are so very, very small, and that used to terrify me, until I realised something. You see we are the only thing that gives meaning to the cosmos. We decide what matters. We can be cruel or kind, brave or fearful. We can decide that love is the most important thing in the world, and just like that it is. We can always choose – at least if we slow down enough to see where we’re going.”

YUNGBLUD

49,604 次观看 • 2 年前

OK SO FINALLY I have a means to show you what I have been saying for a while.......Watch this clip, share it, so people understand what we are saying here!!! In this Clip, JLR© is having a discussion with Watching the World , and we get to see that front door lock!! Here is what I have been saying.....The Front door is a material called EXPANDED METAL, YOU CAN SEE THROUGH IT. The Door IS a Security Door, that you would have to cut through with two locks. A Lock that can be unlocked via a key on the handle, and a DEADbolt lock that would be locked on the inside of the door. This PREVENTS someone from being able to attack you when you OPEN the HOUSE door that is inside it, and behind this screen door. That door only opens when that deadbolt is unlocked from inside! ALso notice we see NO damage to the door or frame in this video!!
2:59

OK SO FINALLY I have a means to show you what I have been saying for a while.......Watch this clip, share it, so people understand what we are saying here!!! In this Clip, JLR© is having a discussion with Watching the World , and we get to see that front door lock!! Here is what I have been saying.....The Front door is a material called EXPANDED METAL, YOU CAN SEE THROUGH IT. The Door IS a Security Door, that you would have to cut through with two locks. A Lock that can be unlocked via a key on the handle, and a DEADbolt lock that would be locked on the inside of the door. This PREVENTS someone from being able to attack you when you OPEN the HOUSE door that is inside it, and behind this screen door. That door only opens when that deadbolt is unlocked from inside! ALso notice we see NO damage to the door or frame in this video!!

Capt KEVman!!!

46,092 次观看 • 6 个月前

Arteta on the players battling a physical strain: “Yes, but when I see them track back, when we lose the ball and the habits that they have, it's just amazing. That's why I know what they are doing, these players. There is a reason why we are the only English team in the competition, because this league and this schedule takes the hell out of you and it's very difficult to do what we've done. “We are not perfect, we need to improve things, that's for sure, we recognise that, but let's value what these players have done because they deserve it.”
0:36

Arteta on the players battling a physical strain: “Yes, but when I see them track back, when we lose the ball and the habits that they have, it's just amazing. That's why I know what they are doing, these players. There is a reason why we are the only English team in the competition, because this league and this schedule takes the hell out of you and it's very difficult to do what we've done. “We are not perfect, we need to improve things, that's for sure, we recognise that, but let's value what these players have done because they deserve it.”

Connor Humm

55,160 次观看 • 4 个月前

Winnie Akoth: Today, we are not here to praise the president; we are here to look at the gaps and the changes we can have in different ministries and spaces. I have been running a salon for the past 5 years. As I stand here today, I am about to close down, I cannot open my shop every day, and closing it in the evening with losses instead of interest. I am there to make money, but that money is no longer here, and what that means is that everyone around me does not have money to make their hair. If we are to talk about the economy, let us break it down and look at whether Kenyans can afford to live today #CitizenMondayReport
2:25

Winnie Akoth: Today, we are not here to praise the president; we are here to look at the gaps and the changes we can have in different ministries and spaces. I have been running a salon for the past 5 years. As I stand here today, I am about to close down, I cannot open my shop every day, and closing it in the evening with losses instead of interest. I am there to make money, but that money is no longer here, and what that means is that everyone around me does not have money to make their hair. If we are to talk about the economy, let us break it down and look at whether Kenyans can afford to live today #CitizenMondayReport

Citizen TV Kenya

71,858 次观看 • 5 个月前

VIDEO | Delhi: BJP MP and national spokesperson Sambit Patra, at a press conference, says, "This press conference is serious because I want to say from the bottom of my heart that we need to think very seriously about where we want to take the country, what direction the country is moving in and what India's future is. When we were teenagers, whenever we saw pictures of places abroad, we used to wonder why India could not be like that and why it was the way it was. The American dream became a benchmark for us. India can also have a goal, and on August 15, 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi outlined that goal before the country from the Red Fort." (Full video available on PTI Videos -
3:03

VIDEO | Delhi: BJP MP and national spokesperson Sambit Patra, at a press conference, says, "This press conference is serious because I want to say from the bottom of my heart that we need to think very seriously about where we want to take the country, what direction the country is moving in and what India's future is. When we were teenagers, whenever we saw pictures of places abroad, we used to wonder why India could not be like that and why it was the way it was. The American dream became a benchmark for us. India can also have a goal, and on August 15, 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi outlined that goal before the country from the Red Fort." (Full video available on PTI Videos -

Press Trust of India

505,396 次观看 • 17 天前

Sharing here that I plan to leave my role at @nycplanning in the coming weeks. After 4 productive years, this is the right moment for me to take on new challenges. I’m very proud of what we achieved, and I believe NYC is on a stronger path because of it.
0:58

Sharing here that I plan to leave my role at @nycplanning in the coming weeks. After 4 productive years, this is the right moment for me to take on new challenges. I’m very proud of what we achieved, and I believe NYC is on a stronger path because of it.

Dan Garodnick

47,763 次观看 • 8 个月前

#F1 | Lewis Hamilton believes the team is very well equipped to take on the 2026 season: “Just to be in Fiorano, you know, to be at Ferrari, to be here, to know that this is a start of a long journey, but one that I know that it just feels right, I think the team is in the best place it’s been, I think, for the time I’ve been here. And seeing everyone so motivated and driven, I think we’re really on it.” “We’ve got a lot of work to do to really make sure we do all the diligence and we really understand this car and we really have to be quick to react, be very dynamic but I feel like all hands are on deck so I’m sure we can do that.”
0:43

#F1 | Lewis Hamilton believes the team is very well equipped to take on the 2026 season: “Just to be in Fiorano, you know, to be at Ferrari, to be here, to know that this is a start of a long journey, but one that I know that it just feels right, I think the team is in the best place it’s been, I think, for the time I’ve been here. And seeing everyone so motivated and driven, I think we’re really on it.” “We’ve got a lot of work to do to really make sure we do all the diligence and we really understand this car and we really have to be quick to react, be very dynamic but I feel like all hands are on deck so I’m sure we can do that.”

deni

23,078 次观看 • 7 个月前

Our leadership must take ownership of the words they speak. But it doesn’t end there. It continues with you and I owning what we say too. This is why I took time tonight to get things straight about the tense exchange I had with Kristi Noem. The truth matters and should be enough for us to let those in power know that we have had enough. This is why I am calling on all of you to get loud on social media and let both the left AND right know that we have had enough #doyourjob #nomore
10:37

Our leadership must take ownership of the words they speak. But it doesn’t end there. It continues with you and I owning what we say too. This is why I took time tonight to get things straight about the tense exchange I had with Kristi Noem. The truth matters and should be enough for us to let those in power know that we have had enough. This is why I am calling on all of you to get loud on social media and let both the left AND right know that we have had enough #doyourjob #nomore

Christopher C. Cuomo

66,601 次观看 • 2 年前

STOP TAKING THE WRONG TRADES This is the secret you are MISSING and why you keep losing. Today We used it to take $META +268% I break down how I use: • Market Structure Reclaims • Trend Confirmation • High-Probability Entries Together we will become Profitable.
13:33

STOP TAKING THE WRONG TRADES This is the secret you are MISSING and why you keep losing. Today We used it to take $META +268% I break down how I use: • Market Structure Reclaims • Trend Confirmation • High-Probability Entries Together we will become Profitable.

Justin Banks

46,432 次观看 • 2 个月前

We mapped this exact trade out live this morning and here is the live execution video with text explanations mapping the rationale for the trades This video showcases a video I did a while back showing how we use stats and align them with live price / manage risk! I often troll people that talk down on negative RR style trading but tbh I share my executions with everyone here all the time and I very rarely actually position myself in a "negative" less than 1 RR in most trades. The fact of the matter is, I just simply dont trade with RR being the goal for my risk but instead the statistical invalidation. The area on the chart that has the LOWEST objective probability of going to, then I analyze the remaining stats for the day and IF my target is sufficient for my risk, I take the trade. This gives me the freedom to not put alot of pressure on being perfect, and being very process oriented vs outcome oriented. In addition to this you even get to see how I take a loss! Have a great weekend 🤟
4:43

We mapped this exact trade out live this morning and here is the live execution video with text explanations mapping the rationale for the trades This video showcases a video I did a while back showing how we use stats and align them with live price / manage risk! I often troll people that talk down on negative RR style trading but tbh I share my executions with everyone here all the time and I very rarely actually position myself in a "negative" less than 1 RR in most trades. The fact of the matter is, I just simply dont trade with RR being the goal for my risk but instead the statistical invalidation. The area on the chart that has the LOWEST objective probability of going to, then I analyze the remaining stats for the day and IF my target is sufficient for my risk, I take the trade. This gives me the freedom to not put alot of pressure on being perfect, and being very process oriented vs outcome oriented. In addition to this you even get to see how I take a loss! Have a great weekend 🤟

Austin Clark

16,704 次观看 • 10 个月前

Ben Johnson on the fourth down incomplete pass between Caleb Williams and DJ Moore: "For that particular play, he's running the back line. He does have the ability to shut it down in an open window. You know, it's a unique look where there happens to be a second-level defender in the area that he shut it down. Do I wish he would have stayed on the move? Sure, but I also know at this level that that's open and we have two really good players right there and we can find a way to hook up."
0:32

Ben Johnson on the fourth down incomplete pass between Caleb Williams and DJ Moore: "For that particular play, he's running the back line. He does have the ability to shut it down in an open window. You know, it's a unique look where there happens to be a second-level defender in the area that he shut it down. Do I wish he would have stayed on the move? Sure, but I also know at this level that that's open and we have two really good players right there and we can find a way to hook up."

Nicholas Moreano

37,378 次观看 • 10 个月前

$AMD is up 500%+ since we called the bottom last year. I stopped trading it months ago. In this video I break down how we spotted the bottom, why I would NOT start a new position here, where I think the top is, and when I plan to trade it again. Watch Now 👇
6:06

$AMD is up 500%+ since we called the bottom last year. I stopped trading it months ago. In this video I break down how we spotted the bottom, why I would NOT start a new position here, where I think the top is, and when I plan to trade it again. Watch Now 👇

Peter DiCarlo

65,042 次观看 • 1 个月前