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This money expert says there are no short-term traders consistently outperforming the market over a period of 5+ years. ''It is so rare that anyone can outperform the market. It just doesn't happen.'' ''People that say they swing trade the S&P500 Futures and consistently outperform the market, please go... show more

The Honest Trader

13,049 subscribers

40,393 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Numerai is a crowd-sourced AI hedge fund. They paid $72,002,141 to data scientists to beat the market. Despite these efforts, since 2019, it has underperformed the S&P500. Why is trading the hardest problem in the world?

Numerai is a crowd-sourced AI hedge fund. They paid $72,002,141 to data scientists to beat the market. Despite these efforts, since 2019, it has underperformed the S&P500. Why is trading the hardest problem in the world?

pedma

155,904 次观看 • 2 年前

Moore's Law is Dead says: - Asha and Xbox seem confident they will outperform the PS6. - Says Xbox is building "a bridge out of the console market." - Estimates cost will be 900-1200.

Moore's Law is Dead says: - Asha and Xbox seem confident they will outperform the PS6. - Says Xbox is building "a bridge out of the console market." - Estimates cost will be 900-1200.

Grummz

45,438 次观看 • 6 个月前

"The CEO of Western Union is here because he realizes onchain settlement can save his firm billions on the float." "That is the real Institutional FOMO." Santiago R Santos says we’ve transitioned from a retail-driven "buy the coin" market to an institutional "fix the P&L" market. The pressure is coming from a "basket of public companies" that are already using these rails to outperform the S&P, forcing the old guard to either innovate or be liquidated.

"The CEO of Western Union is here because he realizes onchain settlement can save his firm billions on the float." "That is the real Institutional FOMO." Santiago R Santos says we’ve transitioned from a retail-driven "buy the coin" market to an institutional "fix the P&L" market. The pressure is coming from a "basket of public companies" that are already using these rails to outperform the S&P, forcing the old guard to either innovate or be liquidated.

The Rollup

30,755 次观看 • 6 个月前

Joe Rogan raising awareness that US Congress have become better stock traders and OUTPERFORM both Warren Buffett and George Soros “I’m sure you're aware of the Nancy Pelosi stuff. Absolutely. It's wild — It's 100% insider trading” Nancy Pelosi “We have a free market economy. They (Congress) should be able to participate in that.” “Economists have studied the portfolios of members of Congress and find they systematically outperform the stock market.” “Something fishy is going on when members of congress are doing better in the stock market than Warren Buffett.”

Joe Rogan raising awareness that US Congress have become better stock traders and OUTPERFORM both Warren Buffett and George Soros “I’m sure you're aware of the Nancy Pelosi stuff. Absolutely. It's wild — It's 100% insider trading” Nancy Pelosi “We have a free market economy. They (Congress) should be able to participate in that.” “Economists have studied the portfolios of members of Congress and find they systematically outperform the stock market.” “Something fishy is going on when members of congress are doing better in the stock market than Warren Buffett.”

Wall Street Apes

1,130,688 次观看 • 1 年前

Qullamaggie on Feeling Like a Genius, It's The Market Not You “A melt-up market is when everything is going straight up. And it becomes too easy to make money. You start feeling like a genius — that’s a melt-up market. Trust me, you are not a genius. None of you. It’s the market, not you. No, it’s true. It’s true. Most of my money has come from periods when the market is really good. You just have to line your trading with a period where the market is really good. You know, you gotta be aggressive when the market is really good. Your job is to identify good setups in a good market — and then let the market take care of the rest. Too many people think they are the shit just because they’re making a lot of money. But that’s not really true. It’s the market, not you.”

Qullamaggie on Feeling Like a Genius, It's The Market Not You “A melt-up market is when everything is going straight up. And it becomes too easy to make money. You start feeling like a genius — that’s a melt-up market. Trust me, you are not a genius. None of you. It’s the market, not you. No, it’s true. It’s true. Most of my money has come from periods when the market is really good. You just have to line your trading with a period where the market is really good. You know, you gotta be aggressive when the market is really good. Your job is to identify good setups in a good market — and then let the market take care of the rest. Too many people think they are the shit just because they’re making a lot of money. But that’s not really true. It’s the market, not you.”

Lone

14,021 次观看 • 4 个月前

5.5 billion people on the internet. All of them use money. Lily Liu on the token supercycle. "What we're in the midst of right now is the token supercycle. Everything of value is becoming programmable." "Money, assets, ownership, and markets are always going to move towards the largest market, and that largest market is the internet capital market." "This is not just a market rally or a near-term narrative. It's a structural transformation of global capital markets."

5.5 billion people on the internet. All of them use money. Lily Liu on the token supercycle. "What we're in the midst of right now is the token supercycle. Everything of value is becoming programmable." "Money, assets, ownership, and markets are always going to move towards the largest market, and that largest market is the internet capital market." "This is not just a market rally or a near-term narrative. It's a structural transformation of global capital markets."

Solana

136,272 次观看 • 28 天前

Corporations that are purely AI and robotics will vastly outperform any corporations that have people in the loop You can think of it like how 'computer' used to be a job that humans had. You would go and get a job as a computer where you would do calculations. They had entire skyscrapers full of humans....20, 30 floors of humans...just doing calculations. Now, that entire skyscraper of humans doing calculations can be replaced by a laptop with a spreadsheet. That spreadsheet can do vastly more calculations than an entire building full of human computers So, you think about it: what if only some of the cells in your spreadsheet were calculated by humans? That would be much worse than if all of the cells in your spreadsheet were calculated by the computer. And so, really what will happen is the pure AI, pure robotics corporations or collectives will far outperform any corporations that have humans in the loop. It will happen very quickly

Corporations that are purely AI and robotics will vastly outperform any corporations that have people in the loop You can think of it like how 'computer' used to be a job that humans had. You would go and get a job as a computer where you would do calculations. They had entire skyscrapers full of humans....20, 30 floors of humans...just doing calculations. Now, that entire skyscraper of humans doing calculations can be replaced by a laptop with a spreadsheet. That spreadsheet can do vastly more calculations than an entire building full of human computers So, you think about it: what if only some of the cells in your spreadsheet were calculated by humans? That would be much worse than if all of the cells in your spreadsheet were calculated by the computer. And so, really what will happen is the pure AI, pure robotics corporations or collectives will far outperform any corporations that have humans in the loop. It will happen very quickly

X Freeze

16,850,530 次观看 • 7 个月前

Trader Mayne gives advice to new traders 📈🧠 "I think a lot of people join Crypto and you get lucky a few times, you're a bull in a bull run and you trick yourself into thinking you can outperform the market"

Trader Mayne gives advice to new traders 📈🧠 "I think a lot of people join Crypto and you get lucky a few times, you're a bull in a bull run and you trick yourself into thinking you can outperform the market"

Jack

82,039 次观看 • 1 年前

Warren Buffett won a $1 million bet by proving a simple S&P 500 beats the 100 best hedge funds - the index returned 126%, the hedge funds 36% this is him breaking down why doing nothing beats the smartest managers on Wall Street "these managers get paid $180M/year merely for breathing - it's a compensation scheme that is unbelievable" the greatest investor of all time just explained why you should never give a hedge fund a dollar "the hedge fund industry is a machine for taking your money - I bet anyone $1 million a simple index would beat any 5 funds they picked - nobody dared" "one man finally took it - 200 hedge funds underneath, all charging huge sums for expertise they don't have" "no consultant will tell you to just buy an index and sit -you don't get a fee that way" hedge funds returned 36% - the index returned 126% - he conceded 7 months early "the people you pay to find winners don't know how - they only know how to sell you" bookmark & watch today ↓

Warren Buffett won a $1 million bet by proving a simple S&P 500 beats the 100 best hedge funds - the index returned 126%, the hedge funds 36% this is him breaking down why doing nothing beats the smartest managers on Wall Street "these managers get paid $180M/year merely for breathing - it's a compensation scheme that is unbelievable" the greatest investor of all time just explained why you should never give a hedge fund a dollar "the hedge fund industry is a machine for taking your money - I bet anyone $1 million a simple index would beat any 5 funds they picked - nobody dared" "one man finally took it - 200 hedge funds underneath, all charging huge sums for expertise they don't have" "no consultant will tell you to just buy an index and sit -you don't get a fee that way" hedge funds returned 36% - the index returned 126% - he conceded 7 months early "the people you pay to find winners don't know how - they only know how to sell you" bookmark & watch today ↓

bodila

360,318 次观看 • 2 个月前

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Ryker 🇯🇵

209,123 次观看 • 2 个月前

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You've seen the Big Short? THIS IS THE BIG LONG. The market is not trading the world as it is. The market is in La La Land, and it is handing us a massive opportunity. The strait of Hormuz has been shut for months. On Sunday NOT A SINGLE SHIP PASSED THROUGH THE STRAIT. (Kpler) They clearly don't want you in this trade, and to be in this trade is probably a little distasteful: You're betting against the administration, and you're betting that normal people will have to suffer because the government dug a hole and is now unable to get us out. The jawboning and the inventory draws have tricked the market into a state of complacency. The market is asleep at the wheel, and the trade is ours to be had. Check out my latest report with my 13 stock picks. A big chunk of it is FREE.

Sam Kovacs

123,135 次观看 • 1 个月前

"BlackRock's product, coupled with their options, will not allow a 250% year in $BTC over the next 3 years." Andrew on Bitcoin's mainstream adoption limiting its upside "Based on the fact that BTC is a meaningful asset across the financial system now, BTC will outperform broader markets, but it's not gonna outperform 4-5x to one. It's not going to do that over the next 3 to 5 years." "It will outperform 1.75:1 or 1.95:1, and that's really, really meaningful. But if you're expecting a 4:1, 3:1, a 200% year over the next 3 years, you need to make a mental adjustment." "Just the truth. You may not like it, but that is the truth."

"BlackRock's product, coupled with their options, will not allow a 250% year in $BTC over the next 3 years." Andrew on Bitcoin's mainstream adoption limiting its upside "Based on the fact that BTC is a meaningful asset across the financial system now, BTC will outperform broader markets, but it's not gonna outperform 4-5x to one. It's not going to do that over the next 3 to 5 years." "It will outperform 1.75:1 or 1.95:1, and that's really, really meaningful. But if you're expecting a 4:1, 3:1, a 200% year over the next 3 years, you need to make a mental adjustment." "Just the truth. You may not like it, but that is the truth."

The Wolf Of All Streets

77,941 次观看 • 8 天前

Ahead of big tech earnings next week, Dan Ives of Wedbush tells Nicole Petallides that he sees $MSFT hitting a $5 trillion market cap in the next 18 months as it enters "a golden era" of AI. The "AI party," according to Ives, is going to "power the tech bull market" for the next 2-3 years. His price target on some of the companies set to report: — $TSLA: Outperform, $500 price target — $AAPL: Outperform, $270 price target — $MSFT: Outperform, $600 price target Here's what else he had to say, including his outlook for Tesla and Meta — and why it's time for Apple to "change its DNA" and do "something big."

Ahead of big tech earnings next week, Dan Ives of Wedbush tells Nicole Petallides that he sees $MSFT hitting a $5 trillion market cap in the next 18 months as it enters "a golden era" of AI. The "AI party," according to Ives, is going to "power the tech bull market" for the next 2-3 years. His price target on some of the companies set to report: — $TSLA: Outperform, $500 price target — $AAPL: Outperform, $270 price target — $MSFT: Outperform, $600 price target Here's what else he had to say, including his outlook for Tesla and Meta — and why it's time for Apple to "change its DNA" and do "something big."

Schwab Network

52,873 次观看 • 1 年前

TCG expert explains why you should fully AVOID the modern Pokémon market “Do NOT dabble into the modern Pokémon market, they print 100s of thousands of copies of these cards and they are going for thousands of dollars right off the gate” “If you think that is a smart place to put your money I have no words for you other then “if you wanna swing trade it then swing trade it and try to extract as much as you can, but if you think this is a good investment in the short term SELL them all”

TCG expert explains why you should fully AVOID the modern Pokémon market “Do NOT dabble into the modern Pokémon market, they print 100s of thousands of copies of these cards and they are going for thousands of dollars right off the gate” “If you think that is a smart place to put your money I have no words for you other then “if you wanna swing trade it then swing trade it and try to extract as much as you can, but if you think this is a good investment in the short term SELL them all”

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Stubborn people will always outperform gifted people! Timidity or Shyness is not a fruit of the Spirit, what are you doing with it? - Pastor Dolapo Lawal

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Viral Gospel

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JUST IN: Bitwise European Head of Research says "Bitcoin will continue to outperform the S&P 500." 👀 "It's been outperforming over the past couple of months already, so I think that will likely continue in a volatile environment." 🚀

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Bitcoin Magazine

116,102 次观看 • 2 天前

Chamath and Larry Summers Debate the Market Reaction to Trump's Tariffs Lawrence H. Summers: "If this is such a terrific thing, why do markets think it's so terrible for the American economy?" "Maybe the market's just completely wrong ... but the job of markets is to look forward." "It's to look passed the immediate." "It's to see what the long run consequences are going to be." "And markets are making a pretty devastatingly negative judgment on this step." Chamath Palihapitiya: " Larry, that's not true." " So let's just establish a couple facts about 'the markets.'" "Number one, there are two markets and they behave totally differently, and sometimes inversely to each other." "There's the stock market and there's the bond market." 1) Stocks: mean reversion "With respect to the stock market, what they are debating, and you're right Larry, is what is the effective long-term rate of return a dollar needs to generate in order to pay me back that dollar?" "That is what the fundamental stock market does." "And what we've seen for many years with trade imbalances, trade deficits, and close-to-zero interest rates, of which more of that happened under Democrats than Republicans, we have allowed the stock market to inflate past historical averages." " What we've actually seen happen in the last week is what most people would call mean reversion." "The stock market is still way above where it was last year, two years ago, three years ago." "What has happened is that the forward multiples have compressed. So that's number one. That's a fact." 2) Bonds: it's possible a major trade blew up "And then with respect to bonds, what we are seeing now is there are two very complicated issues." "In the last two days, we saw one part of the bond market totally get out of whack." "And what we know is that the yields changed materially in a very acute way, which is atypical of how the bond market typically digests a philosophical change in approach to policy." " What we heard in the last 24 hours is a lot of this move may have been attributed to an enormous levered bet on US treasuries by a Japanese hedge fund." " It will take three, and four, and five, and six weeks for us to really know." 3) Private credit: something to watch closely " Separately, what we do know, though, where the structural complexity of the market — and this is where, Larry, I agree with you — is acute and important to observe is in the credit markets for private companies." "And that is where you have to pay a lot of attention."

Chamath and Larry Summers Debate the Market Reaction to Trump's Tariffs Lawrence H. Summers: "If this is such a terrific thing, why do markets think it's so terrible for the American economy?" "Maybe the market's just completely wrong ... but the job of markets is to look forward." "It's to look passed the immediate." "It's to see what the long run consequences are going to be." "And markets are making a pretty devastatingly negative judgment on this step." Chamath Palihapitiya: " Larry, that's not true." " So let's just establish a couple facts about 'the markets.'" "Number one, there are two markets and they behave totally differently, and sometimes inversely to each other." "There's the stock market and there's the bond market." 1) Stocks: mean reversion "With respect to the stock market, what they are debating, and you're right Larry, is what is the effective long-term rate of return a dollar needs to generate in order to pay me back that dollar?" "That is what the fundamental stock market does." "And what we've seen for many years with trade imbalances, trade deficits, and close-to-zero interest rates, of which more of that happened under Democrats than Republicans, we have allowed the stock market to inflate past historical averages." " What we've actually seen happen in the last week is what most people would call mean reversion." "The stock market is still way above where it was last year, two years ago, three years ago." "What has happened is that the forward multiples have compressed. So that's number one. That's a fact." 2) Bonds: it's possible a major trade blew up "And then with respect to bonds, what we are seeing now is there are two very complicated issues." "In the last two days, we saw one part of the bond market totally get out of whack." "And what we know is that the yields changed materially in a very acute way, which is atypical of how the bond market typically digests a philosophical change in approach to policy." " What we heard in the last 24 hours is a lot of this move may have been attributed to an enormous levered bet on US treasuries by a Japanese hedge fund." " It will take three, and four, and five, and six weeks for us to really know." 3) Private credit: something to watch closely " Separately, what we do know, though, where the structural complexity of the market — and this is where, Larry, I agree with you — is acute and important to observe is in the credit markets for private companies." "And that is where you have to pay a lot of attention."

The All-In Podcast

98,290 次观看 • 1 年前

"Hedge funds don't even beat the S&P." An ex-Tudor PM says that's a category error: Ex-Tudor quant PM. Ran money at Moore Capital and Caxton. Now CIO at a quant crypto hedge fund. Tom Costello (Tom Coste) explains: "What a hedge fund is always looking for is an uncorrelated return. That's the whole product." "If I have the S&P 500 in one hand, and another asset that goes up as well but is completely uncorrelated, I can combine them, lever it, and get an even higher return than either of them. That's portfolio construction done in the hedge fund style." "A retail investor is a completely different investor class. They're controlling their own beta. So that beta manifests a different set of incentives." "I think it's a category error to say, 'Well, a hedge fund doesn't even beat the S&P.'" "I'm not selling that beta. I'm not selling the S&P, so I don't beat the S&P." "My hedge fund doesn't beat the S&P, but I earn 20% a year. So add my return to the S&P, and guess what? You're beating the S&P."

"Hedge funds don't even beat the S&P." An ex-Tudor PM says that's a category error: Ex-Tudor quant PM. Ran money at Moore Capital and Caxton. Now CIO at a quant crypto hedge fund. Tom Costello (Tom Coste) explains: "What a hedge fund is always looking for is an uncorrelated return. That's the whole product." "If I have the S&P 500 in one hand, and another asset that goes up as well but is completely uncorrelated, I can combine them, lever it, and get an even higher return than either of them. That's portfolio construction done in the hedge fund style." "A retail investor is a completely different investor class. They're controlling their own beta. So that beta manifests a different set of incentives." "I think it's a category error to say, 'Well, a hedge fund doesn't even beat the S&P.'" "I'm not selling that beta. I'm not selling the S&P, so I don't beat the S&P." "My hedge fund doesn't beat the S&P, but I earn 20% a year. So add my return to the S&P, and guess what? You're beating the S&P."

Ethan Kho

139,274 次观看 • 2 天前