THIS PATTERN HAS NEVER FAILED IN 100 YEARS!! The most overvalued market in a century. But retail is still buying every dip like nothing is wrong. This pattern has never failed once across a hundred years of market history: Dot-com - Bubble crashed Housing bubble - Bubble crashed AI... bubble - Same setup right now SpaceX is the final liquidity event before the whole thing breaks. The pattern doesn't care about your narrative...show more

what do you mean “never failed in 100 years”, it literally failed in your video, you just elegantly skipped 2016.

Everything you post is just click bait slop

Three examples across a hundred years isn't a pattern, it's three examples. And you only counted the ones that crashed.

People have been saying this since the S&P was sub 6,000

Dot-com had massive speculation without comparable cash flows; 2008 was a debt and credit-system collapse. AI is being built on real demand, real computing infrastructure, real customers, and rapidly growing revenue. Valuations can absolutely get excessive but that doesn’t mean the underlying technology is a house of cards.

Probably should delete the last candle and probably chop the 2nd to the last candle in about half. It's impossible for the final crash price can't be lower than the price of 1920's to the 2000's just from inflation alone. The dollar today isn't the same as dollar from back then.

S&P 500 still has 1,000 more points in the tank. Market won’t crash unless Democrats take both branches in 2028 and tax then hell out of the top 20%. Then, there will be market crash or a market crash and civil war simultaneously.

Even if AI is a bubble, there is no way to know when it will burst. We cannot build an investment strategy around trying to predict exact market tops and bottoms. Even genuine bubbles can continue expanding for years before eventually correcting.

been saying this as well. we're seeing way too many parallels to 1999. Literally any company getting into AI is seeing their stock surge like crazy. It's not sustainable. $SNDK has to be the canary in the coal mine. It was like $40 a year ago. It's trading like a memecoin...

The more they print the higher we go. Hard to fight it. Maybe one day the bond market will wake up to the fact that the BLS and FED understate Actual inflation!

@grok how do i delete someone else’s account?

watching very closely

Have you been on the sidelines since 2001? I feel sorry for you.

No Y-axis tells you this is bait + that dumb chart at the bottom has failed to hold true numerous times.

If you’re not showing your short position then this is nothing more than 💩

It did not work in 2019/20.

Retail is retarded.

There’s a reason u eat hot pockets for dinner every night

Theory is that AI traders always buy. They don't care about fundamentals. They only purchase stocks and go for the short term increase. Eventually they run out of money and feed off the system creating hyper inflation.

Wrong and stupid: A (panic) years missed: 1911, 1965 (no panic); 1945 mild; 1927 near 1929; 2019 early for 2020. B (peak) years: 2007 matched GFC top, 1999 near Dot-com, but 2016 no major top as market rose strongly after. Others approximate.

100 year pattern zero failures and the AI bubble printing the same setup as dot-com and housing 📊 SpaceX as the final liquidity event before the break is the most specific top signal in recent memory. The pattern doesn't care about narratives #DTGC

Trouble is your thesis isn't right the dotcom bubble happened due to due companies jumping in on the hype and kost of them where not even profitable and had massive negative cash flow. The housing bubble wasn't really a bubble it was to do with the bamks and lending.

👀

Really like your perspective on this. You bring a lot of clarity to the conversation and make people think deeper. I’ve also been checking out @nickdannunzio.

AI Bubble will crash!

Except AI is not even a tenth of a bubble dot com was, we are seeing actualy revenue being generated

dot-com: bubble housing: bubble your bags: generational wealth, obviously

nah can't compare this market to those. Will we get a pullback/correction in the next 2 months? Absolutely. But you buy that dip for a year end run into 2027 bc earnings continue to be massive

2019?

In the AI bubble debate, fundamentals matter more than patterns. Comparing today’s AI cycle directly with the dot-com or housing bubbles is too simplistic. Unlike purely speculative narratives, AI investment is already translating into real demand for data centers, semiconductors, cloud services, software, and productivity gains. Valuations are certainly elevated and corrections are always possible, but a correction does not automatically mean the AI growth story is over. In fact, market volatility can accelerate the shift of capital toward companies with stronger earnings, cash flow, and real AI-driven demand.

Solid insight here. I like comparing how different investors think about the same opportunity. Also following @thectspot.

А как же 2016?