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this trader made $1M on polymarket doing the most boring thing possible Anjun buys YES at 99.9¢ on markets that will obviously resolve YES makes 0.1¢ per share but buys 200,000 shares at once $202,000 position → $200 profit sounds terrible right? except he does this 10 times per... show more

Phosphen

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1,141,797 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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this trader just put $1.2M on Trump-Macron call at 99.9¢ made $659 profit sounds like a joke right? except he has $5.2M in active bets doing the same thing Tesla FSD: $3M at 99.8¢ Emmanuel Macron: $1.2M at 99.9¢ Kevin Warsh Fed: $948k at 99.6¢ 0.20% per trade but on $7M positions that's $15k per bet does this 10 times per month $150k monthly from "guaranteed" outcomes I get hundreds of whale alerts daily this exact strategy running 24/7 while you're trying to predict elections he's just buying everything at 99¢ and collecting pennies on millions $62k last month doing the most boring thing on polymarket want to copy his strategy? follow what he bets on PolyGun best copy trading bot on the market

this trader just put $1.2M on Trump-Macron call at 99.9¢ made $659 profit sounds like a joke right? except he has $5.2M in active bets doing the same thing Tesla FSD: $3M at 99.8¢ Emmanuel Macron: $1.2M at 99.9¢ Kevin Warsh Fed: $948k at 99.6¢ 0.20% per trade but on $7M positions that's $15k per bet does this 10 times per month $150k monthly from "guaranteed" outcomes I get hundreds of whale alerts daily this exact strategy running 24/7 while you're trying to predict elections he's just buying everything at 99¢ and collecting pennies on millions $62k last month doing the most boring thing on polymarket want to copy his strategy? follow what he bets on PolyGun best copy trading bot on the market

Phosphen

23,227 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

i reverse-engineered the gabagool bot with Claude gabagool is the most famous Polymarket bot ever made it doesn't predict if BTC goes up or down it buys BOTH sides when each gets temporarily cheap → YES at $0.48 → NO at $0.45 → pair cost: $0.93 → one side always pays $1.00 → guaranteed $0.07 profit per pair it does this on 15-minute BTC markets 96 markets per day. hundreds of trades. every day Python 83% + Rust 17% for speed-critical paths Claude didn't just explain the strategy it found a bug in the position tracker that the original dev missed copy him this: what repo do you want me to reverse-engineer next?

i reverse-engineered the gabagool bot with Claude gabagool is the most famous Polymarket bot ever made it doesn't predict if BTC goes up or down it buys BOTH sides when each gets temporarily cheap → YES at $0.48 → NO at $0.45 → pair cost: $0.93 → one side always pays $1.00 → guaranteed $0.07 profit per pair it does this on 15-minute BTC markets 96 markets per day. hundreds of trades. every day Python 83% + Rust 17% for speed-critical paths Claude didn't just explain the strategy it found a bug in the position tracker that the original dev missed copy him this: what repo do you want me to reverse-engineer next?

self.dll

23,580 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

VALIX

152,711 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

VALIX

40,563 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

i told my OpenClaw: "make me 15x on polymarket with minimum risk or i shut you down" it chose bonding + LP rewards farming instead of trading $3,200 → $52,800 in 31 days zero directional bets didn't expect this at all gave OpenClaw one task: "find the safest way to 15x my capital on polymarket, i don't care about speed" thought it would build some arbitrage bot 3 hours later it came back with a strategy i'd never heard of "bonding + liquidity provision dual income system" here's how it works: instead of betting on outcomes it acts like a mini market maker layer 1: bonding strategy buys extremely high-probability outcomes (96-99% range) example: > "Will Trump be inaugurated?" after election → buy YES at 98¢ > holds until resolution at $1.00 > 2% return but basically guaranteed runs this across 40-60 markets simultaneously layer 2: LP rewards farming > while holding those bonding positions places tight limit orders on both sides around mid-price > polymarket pays USDC daily to liquidity providers closer your orders to mid = more rewards > the reward is paid daily based on how much your orders add to the market the genius part: bonding ties up capital in safe bets but that same capital earns LP rewards while waiting for resolution double income on same USDC MONTH 1 BREAKDOWN: starting capital: $3,200 bonding returns: - 43 markets entered at 96-99¢ - avg 2.4% return per market - 38 resolved (5 still pending) - bonding profit: +$2,890 LP rewards earned: - $180-240 daily from tight spreads - 31 days = $6,820 total - paid automatically at midnight UTC compounding: - week 1: reinvested first $1,800 into more bonds - week 2: added 12 new markets - week 3: LP rewards up to $310/day from larger positions - week 4: snowball effect accelerated final balance: $52,800 total profit: $49,600 effective return: 1,550% (15.5x) risk level: basically zero bonding only fails if 99% probability event doesn't happen LP rewards are guaranteed daily USDC no volatility exposure no directional risk no timing risk the bot runs 24/7: > scans for new high-probability markets opening > enters bonding positions at 96-99¢ > immediately places tight LP orders around those positions > collects daily rewards > compounds into new bonds > repeats early liquidity providers reported making 200-300 USDC per day with roughly 10,000 USDC capital most people on polymarket: - bet on 50/50 outcomes - try to predict elections - gamble on sports - lose money this system: - buys guaranteed outcomes - earns yield while waiting - compounds daily - prints passively if you want to copy wallets already running this: am i missing something or is this literally free money?

i told my OpenClaw: "make me 15x on polymarket with minimum risk or i shut you down" it chose bonding + LP rewards farming instead of trading $3,200 → $52,800 in 31 days zero directional bets didn't expect this at all gave OpenClaw one task: "find the safest way to 15x my capital on polymarket, i don't care about speed" thought it would build some arbitrage bot 3 hours later it came back with a strategy i'd never heard of "bonding + liquidity provision dual income system" here's how it works: instead of betting on outcomes it acts like a mini market maker layer 1: bonding strategy buys extremely high-probability outcomes (96-99% range) example: > "Will Trump be inaugurated?" after election → buy YES at 98¢ > holds until resolution at $1.00 > 2% return but basically guaranteed runs this across 40-60 markets simultaneously layer 2: LP rewards farming > while holding those bonding positions places tight limit orders on both sides around mid-price > polymarket pays USDC daily to liquidity providers closer your orders to mid = more rewards > the reward is paid daily based on how much your orders add to the market the genius part: bonding ties up capital in safe bets but that same capital earns LP rewards while waiting for resolution double income on same USDC MONTH 1 BREAKDOWN: starting capital: $3,200 bonding returns: - 43 markets entered at 96-99¢ - avg 2.4% return per market - 38 resolved (5 still pending) - bonding profit: +$2,890 LP rewards earned: - $180-240 daily from tight spreads - 31 days = $6,820 total - paid automatically at midnight UTC compounding: - week 1: reinvested first $1,800 into more bonds - week 2: added 12 new markets - week 3: LP rewards up to $310/day from larger positions - week 4: snowball effect accelerated final balance: $52,800 total profit: $49,600 effective return: 1,550% (15.5x) risk level: basically zero bonding only fails if 99% probability event doesn't happen LP rewards are guaranteed daily USDC no volatility exposure no directional risk no timing risk the bot runs 24/7: > scans for new high-probability markets opening > enters bonding positions at 96-99¢ > immediately places tight LP orders around those positions > collects daily rewards > compounds into new bonds > repeats early liquidity providers reported making 200-300 USDC per day with roughly 10,000 USDC capital most people on polymarket: - bet on 50/50 outcomes - try to predict elections - gamble on sports - lose money this system: - buys guaranteed outcomes - earns yield while waiting - compounds daily - prints passively if you want to copy wallets already running this: am i missing something or is this literally free money?

ZER

128,597 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Just found a 100% Win Rate trader... He turned $0.90 into $11,394 in ONE MONTH And predicted 369 outcomes with 100% accuracy By trading 15-min crypto markets... I didn't believe it at first so I started digging. After ~24h of deep analysis I exposed his secret. He's using the most risk free Polymarket strategy. He only trades those markets in the final minutes before resolution. Once the outcome is priced in as 90-95%, he makes his move. And it prints him free 5-10% per trade. Now imagine turning this into consistent strategy. He did it 369 times and won every single time. His profile: Crazy.

Solana Gambling Boar

12,154 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $295,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 28.8 trades per hour or 1.58 trades per minute and trades the structure of related markets around the same underlying asset price His strategy is simple: > Compares the current ETH/SOL/XRP price with the price on Polymarket > Buys when it sees a gap between fair probability and the order book price > Uses arbitrage if there is edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $295,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 28.8 trades per hour or 1.58 trades per minute and trades the structure of related markets around the same underlying asset price His strategy is simple: > Compares the current ETH/SOL/XRP price with the price on Polymarket > Buys when it sees a gap between fair probability and the order book price > Uses arbitrage if there is edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

VALIX

76,485 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This bot made +$21,000 in 3 weeks trading on weather markets! Account: 7,424 trades. +$1,000/day. Strategy: arbitrage on the most probable outcomes. Example: market Highest temperature in Dallas on April 12: > buys 74°F or higher Yes at 64.6¢ for $2,187 > buys 72-73°F Yes at 21.4¢ for $738 > buys 70-71°F Yes at 9.4¢ for $282 The lower the probability, the smaller the position size. Result: the second bet 72-73°F Yes hits and returns +$2,715. Net profit: $2,715 - $2,187 - $282 = +$246 From one cycle! Risks: > if a very low-probability outcome hits (e.g., 1¢) that the bot didn’t bet on > if the bot overallocates to high-probability outcomes and underallocates to low-probability ones, and the low-probability outcome wins To reduce such mistakes, the bot uses the Kelly Criterion. Capital allocation per market is proportional to outcome probability and edge over the market. Simply: > higher probability -> larger bet > lower probability -> smaller bet The expected value (EV) of this strategy is positive. This does not guarantee profit in a single cycle - only over many repetitions. I described this logic in more detail in the article. Save it.

This bot made +$21,000 in 3 weeks trading on weather markets! Account: 7,424 trades. +$1,000/day. Strategy: arbitrage on the most probable outcomes. Example: market Highest temperature in Dallas on April 12: > buys 74°F or higher Yes at 64.6¢ for $2,187 > buys 72-73°F Yes at 21.4¢ for $738 > buys 70-71°F Yes at 9.4¢ for $282 The lower the probability, the smaller the position size. Result: the second bet 72-73°F Yes hits and returns +$2,715. Net profit: $2,715 - $2,187 - $282 = +$246 From one cycle! Risks: > if a very low-probability outcome hits (e.g., 1¢) that the bot didn’t bet on > if the bot overallocates to high-probability outcomes and underallocates to low-probability ones, and the low-probability outcome wins To reduce such mistakes, the bot uses the Kelly Criterion. Capital allocation per market is proportional to outcome probability and edge over the market. Simply: > higher probability -> larger bet > lower probability -> smaller bet The expected value (EV) of this strategy is positive. This does not guarantee profit in a single cycle - only over many repetitions. I described this logic in more detail in the article. Save it.

me_cool_off

15,828 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This guy is making +1% on EVERY TRADE Sounds small, I know. But he already made $50k profit (started with $200 only) How? He repeats this +1% trade 30 times per day. Almost zero risk. And I found a way to make 100x more trading same markets. This is either genius or it should be illegal. But this trader has been quietly running the cleanest strategy on Polymarket for months. Just one repeatable process: > Find markets where the outcome is already decided > Buy shares at 95-99¢ > Collect the gap to $1.00 at resolution > Wake up tomorrow and do it again His PnL curve looks like a savings account that somehow prints 33% daily. Wallet: 5% per trade sounds boring until you run the parlay math. Here's exactly what changes with PolyParlay: Standard bond trading on $1,000: > 4 markets at 96¢ traded separately > +4% collected four times > Total: $1,060 (you made $60, congrats) Same $1,000 combined into one parlay: > 0.96 × 0.96 × 0.96 × 0.96 = boosted PnL > 1.27x payout multiplier > Total: $1,270 in one single position Now add 2 mispriced entries at 70-80¢ into that same parlay: > Payout multiplier jumps to 3-10x > Same $1,000 becomes $3,000-$10,000 after all hit That's the gap between grinding $160 daily and waking up to $3,000+ on the same capital. Bond markets eliminate the risk. Parlay structure eliminates the ceiling. Both together is what $50k months actually look like. Parlay bot link: This is the only bot for Polymarket parlay trading. Zero stress. Daily yield. Exponential upside.

This guy is making +1% on EVERY TRADE Sounds small, I know. But he already made $50k profit (started with $200 only) How? He repeats this +1% trade 30 times per day. Almost zero risk. And I found a way to make 100x more trading same markets. This is either genius or it should be illegal. But this trader has been quietly running the cleanest strategy on Polymarket for months. Just one repeatable process: > Find markets where the outcome is already decided > Buy shares at 95-99¢ > Collect the gap to $1.00 at resolution > Wake up tomorrow and do it again His PnL curve looks like a savings account that somehow prints 33% daily. Wallet: 5% per trade sounds boring until you run the parlay math. Here's exactly what changes with PolyParlay: Standard bond trading on $1,000: > 4 markets at 96¢ traded separately > +4% collected four times > Total: $1,060 (you made $60, congrats) Same $1,000 combined into one parlay: > 0.96 × 0.96 × 0.96 × 0.96 = boosted PnL > 1.27x payout multiplier > Total: $1,270 in one single position Now add 2 mispriced entries at 70-80¢ into that same parlay: > Payout multiplier jumps to 3-10x > Same $1,000 becomes $3,000-$10,000 after all hit That's the gap between grinding $160 daily and waking up to $3,000+ on the same capital. Bond markets eliminate the risk. Parlay structure eliminates the ceiling. Both together is what $50k months actually look like. Parlay bot link: This is the only bot for Polymarket parlay trading. Zero stress. Daily yield. Exponential upside.

Oracle Boar

13,926 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This trader made $50,000 on Polymarket using this simple strategy: He trades CS2/LoL markets and looks for mispricing using his own model. When he finds undervalued outcomes on Polymarket, he buys them with limit orders His strategy is simple: > Enters positions in the 0.45-0.65 range > Average trade size is $1,307 > Buys markets that the market prices as a coinflip, but his model gives a higher probability His Polymarket account: Mobile app for copy trading: Using this strategy, he has a 59% win rate and consistently grows his capital

This trader made $50,000 on Polymarket using this simple strategy: He trades CS2/LoL markets and looks for mispricing using his own model. When he finds undervalued outcomes on Polymarket, he buys them with limit orders His strategy is simple: > Enters positions in the 0.45-0.65 range > Average trade size is $1,307 > Buys markets that the market prices as a coinflip, but his model gives a higher probability His Polymarket account: Mobile app for copy trading: Using this strategy, he has a 59% win rate and consistently grows his capital

VALIX

11,775 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $197,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 167.4 trades per hour or 2.79 trades per minute and combines arbitrage, market making, and scalping on price repricing His strategy is simple: > Tracks live BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP moves and catches when Polymarket lags > When an imbalance appears in the order book, buys the cheap side > If it sees arbitrage edge, buys the opposite side and turns the position into an arbitrage pair His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $197,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 167.4 trades per hour or 2.79 trades per minute and combines arbitrage, market making, and scalping on price repricing His strategy is simple: > Tracks live BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP moves and catches when Polymarket lags > When an imbalance appears in the order book, buys the cheap side > If it sees arbitrage edge, buys the opposite side and turns the position into an arbitrage pair His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

VALIX

81,790 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This trader made $210,000 on Polymarket using software. His bot runs ~75 trades per active hour (~1.25 trades per minute). It focuses on near-guaranteed outcomes in Bitcoin markets — buying at ~$0.99 and waiting for settlement. Simple, but effective: limit orders only median trade size: $124 enters near $1.00 right before resolution Link to his account: Copytrade → He turned $7,423 → $210,000 in 4 months. Win rate: 99.4% No predictions. No narratives.Just execution.Limit orders + near-guaranteed outcomes = asymmetric edge.

This trader made $210,000 on Polymarket using software. His bot runs ~75 trades per active hour (~1.25 trades per minute). It focuses on near-guaranteed outcomes in Bitcoin markets — buying at ~$0.99 and waiting for settlement. Simple, but effective: limit orders only median trade size: $124 enters near $1.00 right before resolution Link to his account: Copytrade → He turned $7,423 → $210,000 in 4 months. Win rate: 99.4% No predictions. No narratives.Just execution.Limit orders + near-guaranteed outcomes = asymmetric edge.

Discover

36,470 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This guy made $16,872 in less than a month on the weather markets using the most boring strategy on Polymarket What's his secret? >He buys No for 90¢ and 99¢ and waits. >Over and over again. $18,200 in assets are spread across approximately 20 positions simultaneously >Each one yields 1–10% over a few days >That's ~30–300% monthly return on capital NO shoulders, NO volatility, NO stress Polymarket Weather Markets - the most boring yet most profitable corner

This guy made $16,872 in less than a month on the weather markets using the most boring strategy on Polymarket What's his secret? >He buys No for 90¢ and 99¢ and waits. >Over and over again. $18,200 in assets are spread across approximately 20 positions simultaneously >Each one yields 1–10% over a few days >That's ~30–300% monthly return on capital NO shoulders, NO volatility, NO stress Polymarket Weather Markets - the most boring yet most profitable corner

Dekos

13,909 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $228,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 141 trades per hour or 2.35 trades per minute and trades the microstructure of short Up/Down markets with a weighted edge of +2.02% His strategy has 3 layers: 1. Trades mispricing using his probability model with a median entry price of 0.33c 2. Buys nearly resolved outcomes at 0.9-0.99c if their fair price should already be around $1.00 3. Uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he turned $36.3k into $228k in 3 months

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $228,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 141 trades per hour or 2.35 trades per minute and trades the microstructure of short Up/Down markets with a weighted edge of +2.02% His strategy has 3 layers: 1. Trades mispricing using his probability model with a median entry price of 0.33c 2. Buys nearly resolved outcomes at 0.9-0.99c if their fair price should already be around $1.00 3. Uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he turned $36.3k into $228k in 3 months

VALIX

23,718 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This bot made +$42,000 in one day making $5 bets on 5-minute markets! Account: In a week, it has already made +$111,000. Biggest single win: $745. Three main strategies: > buys outcomes for $5 at 1¢ and sells for a profit before expiry > buys outcomes for $250 at 25¢ or 50¢ > buys outcomes for $500 at 50¢ It’s unlikely this is some super bot extracting edge from every trade. More likely something is broken on Polymarket - that’s why we’re seeing these unreal numbers. But for now, it remains the #2 account by weekly profit in crypto markets. If this account really extracted profit from almost every trade, it would be a real money printing machine.

This bot made +$42,000 in one day making $5 bets on 5-minute markets! Account: In a week, it has already made +$111,000. Biggest single win: $745. Three main strategies: > buys outcomes for $5 at 1¢ and sells for a profit before expiry > buys outcomes for $250 at 25¢ or 50¢ > buys outcomes for $500 at 50¢ It’s unlikely this is some super bot extracting edge from every trade. More likely something is broken on Polymarket - that’s why we’re seeing these unreal numbers. But for now, it remains the #2 account by weekly profit in crypto markets. If this account really extracted profit from almost every trade, it would be a real money printing machine.

me_cool_off

17,482 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

$799 → $64K BY TRADING THE WEATHER ON POLYMARKET reading more about probability, EV and how markets misprice events… > and then you open Polymarket and see traders like this > started with about $799 > now +$64K profit > ~80% win rate > #1 in the world in Daily Temperature markets his strategy is extremely simple: > sell extreme weather outcomes the market overprices > he buys NO at $0.93-0.99 on unlikely temperature ranges > across multiple cities every day small positions → constant repetition → pure compounding a perfect real-world example of what the article talks about: > find small edges > size correctly > repeat thousands of times study his wallet: > or copytrade wallets like this:

$799 → $64K BY TRADING THE WEATHER ON POLYMARKET reading more about probability, EV and how markets misprice events… > and then you open Polymarket and see traders like this > started with about $799 > now +$64K profit > ~80% win rate > #1 in the world in Daily Temperature markets his strategy is extremely simple: > sell extreme weather outcomes the market overprices > he buys NO at $0.93-0.99 on unlikely temperature ranges > across multiple cities every day small positions → constant repetition → pure compounding a perfect real-world example of what the article talks about: > find small edges > size correctly > repeat thousands of times study his wallet: > or copytrade wallets like this:

Mr. Buzzoni

14,839 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

The Trader Who Turned $100 into $4,923 by Betting on Temperature He has 2,068 predictions with $19,839 in total winnings, and almost all of his profit come from weather markets. His profile: This trader basically treats Prediction Markets like a daily weather station, placing small, precise bets that almost never miss. His strategy is stupidly simple: > Buys YES only 5–15¢ > Buys NO at 40–55¢ > Never risks >$1 per position > Cycles through dozens of micro-weather markets every day That’s how he turned weather markets into a nearly 100% win-rate machine. His best hits show exactly how crazy weather markets can be: > $119 → $4,923 (+4,033%) > $109→ $949 (+769%) > $33 → $536 (+1,499%) > $4 → $499 (+12,035%) Do you think weather markets stay this mispriced forever?

may.crypto {🦅}

78,727 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

You can make ~$𝟭,𝟬𝟬𝟬 / 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 on Polymarket with 𝗭𝗘𝗥𝗢 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞 No alpha leaks. No narratives. Just math + patience. Example market👇 #1 free app in the US App Store on Jan 9 > ChatGPT YES ≈ 94% This market comes back every single week. And week after week, ChatGPT resolves YES. Why? Simple. > It’s default software now > Daily usage is insane > Apple keeps featuring it > No random app stays #1 long enough to matter For this to lose, a brand-new app would need to: > Go viral nationwide > Beat ChatGPT > Hold #1 through the snapshot That barely happens. Still, you don’t have to guess. But before betting, open Appfigures. Live App Store rankings and public data tool. If ChatGPT is sitting at #1 → Polymarket is late → edge exists. That’s it. > Buy YES at 0.94 > Resolve at 1.00 > +6% per cycle 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘁: > $100 > $106 > $112 > $119 > $126 > $134 > $142 > $150 > $159 > $169 > $179 > $190 > $201 12 wins to double any size position. That’s roughly 3 months doing nothing fancy. If you enter right after market creation, odds are often better (8-15% per turn). This is how people quietly scale size on Polymarket. 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗸: [

Dexter's Lab

100,746 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

This trader made $641,000 on Polymarket using software His trading bot trades 5-minute Bitcoin markets. It uses arbitrage and high-frequency scalping His strategy is simple: > Makes 12.33 trades per active hour > Finds mispricing and buys with limit orders > Uses arbitrage to generate additional edge Link to his profile: Using this strategy, he turned $104,339 into $641,000 in 2 months

VALIX

15,982 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

You know NOTHING about arbitrage. If you watch sport or crypto markets, you already LOST. This guy makes $30k / month on weather markets. Because there's NO COMPETITION. His bot is trading every market AUTOMATICALLY. Here's how he applied the strategy from my article: His script identifies weather markets with spreads. And the best part is that almost each of them has it. Why? Because of low liquidity. This trader used one simple formula to trade those markets: Buy YES if P_model > P_market + T Buy NO if P_model < P_market − T So each time he's buying two outcomes at the same time. And wins. Check his last trade: It looks like he turned $200 into $6,000+ by betting on 0.2% outcome. But here's the real math: He he bought his YES shares at $0.002. At the same time he bought NO side at $0.994. The spread was tiny, just $0.004. That's why his actual profit is not $6k. He lost his NO position (-$6,072k) and won on YES side (+$6,172k). So his actual profit is just $100. His profile: He’s not betting on temperature. He’s buying a mispriced binary pair. If both sides together cost less than $1, the payout at resolution is $1. Most people try to be right. He just makes sure the math can’t be wrong. That's why you always have to double check everything. Details show the full picture.

Oracle Boar

61,326 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад