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Tighten the stop, size up. That isn't aggressive risk-taking; it's the actual math of R-multiple position sizing. Brian Shannon walks through it on TraderLion. The originator of Anchored VWAP and a 35-year professional trader breaks down how a $100K account with $1,000 max risk gets 4,000 shares on a...

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Most swing traders size off a daily chart stop. That wide stop forces a small position to keep risk in check. Shake drops to the 30-minute chart for the entry. The stop tightens, and the math allows three times the shares on the identical risk budget. Same trade idea, same dollar risk — the only difference is where you measured your stop.
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Most swing traders size off a daily chart stop. That wide stop forces a small position to keep risk in check. Shake drops to the 30-minute chart for the entry. The stop tightens, and the math allows three times the shares on the identical risk budget. Same trade idea, same dollar risk — the only difference is where you measured your stop.

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Large losses are devastating — it doesn't matter if you're a beginner trader or one with 10+ years of performance under your belt. Yesterday, we uploaded one of the most in-depth guides to Risk Management on the internet. Here's what we cover: → 3 key levers that control risk: size, stops, & position count → Calculating open risk & protecting your portfolio during corrections → Why tight & logical stops are the foundation of professional trading → Real-world sizing rules for swing traders and position traders → How to survive gap-downs, control drawdowns, and avoid catastrophic losses If you’re building your system or trying to stay consistent in this market, this is the only video you should dedicate time to studying this week! 🦁

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How to set a real stop and size the trade around it. Plan the exit first. Mark where the idea is wrong... that’s your stop. Example: BTC long on an OB retest; stop below invalidation. Check R:R before entry. Size to the stop distance so a loss = your fixed $ risk. If it runs, great. If it doesn’t, you lose exactly what you planned. Nothing more. Full trading course 👇🧵
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How to set a real stop and size the trade around it. Plan the exit first. Mark where the idea is wrong... that’s your stop. Example: BTC long on an OB retest; stop below invalidation. Check R:R before entry. Size to the stop distance so a loss = your fixed $ risk. If it runs, great. If it doesn’t, you lose exactly what you planned. Nothing more. Full trading course 👇🧵

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Mastering the math of position sizing by capping initial risk at exactly 0.4% to 0.5% is the key to executing stress-free add-on buys. Marios Stamatoudis, a disciplined breakout trader known for his strict mathematical approach to risk management, details his precise framework for scaling into winning stocks. By taking strategic early partial profits, traders completely neutralize their initial downside and create the opportunity for a free-roll add, effectively using the market's money to finance a much larger position. Keep risk mathematically small at the initial entry so you can safely bet big when the primary trend is entirely in your favor.
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Mastering the math of position sizing by capping initial risk at exactly 0.4% to 0.5% is the key to executing stress-free add-on buys. Marios Stamatoudis, a disciplined breakout trader known for his strict mathematical approach to risk management, details his precise framework for scaling into winning stocks. By taking strategic early partial profits, traders completely neutralize their initial downside and create the opportunity for a free-roll add, effectively using the market's money to finance a much larger position. Keep risk mathematically small at the initial entry so you can safely bet big when the primary trend is entirely in your favor.

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$13K left in the account. $12K borrowed against credit cards. A $25K minimum at the prop firm. That's how Brian Shannon started his real career on a 20-to-1 leverage trading floor, right after Chantal Pharmaceutical had nearly wiped him out. The founder of says every age has its own math for risk, and at 25 with no kids, betting on himself was the right call. Premiering now on YouTube:

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Most traders obsess over their win rate. Minervini doesn't. He explains why you can strike out seven out of ten times and still win -- as long as the math on risk-reward works in your favor over hundreds of trades. The holy grail isn't a setup. It's asymmetry.

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AMD just sold off on AI demand fears. Three days earlier it was an outlier rip. Martin Luk -- the 2025 U.S. Investing Champion who returned +969% -- bought the breakout off a tight EMA cluster and got a 42R trade after an unexpected gap up. Most traders only think about gap risk to the downside. Luk says outliers cut both ways -- the trick is being positioned with tight risk so the upside outliers actually matter. The gap that hurts you is the same shape as the one that makes your year.

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5) Reducing Risk As price starts to run up, I reduce my risk by pushing my stop-loss up to my entry point. I close half the trade at the first target, and let the rest run. If price comes back to stop me out, I break even on the last contracts. This is how a pro trader manages a position…
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''The Penis is a muscle just like any other muscle, and you can build it.'' Guys, this information is wrong. The penis is not made up of a muscle that you can build and grow, like your chest, like your triceps, like your shoulders. The penis is made up of a spongy tissue. When you are getting hard, this spongy tissue gets filled up with blood. The more blood that flows in there, the harder you become, and you end up with an erection. There are no muscle fibers there that you can train so that they can become bigger and they can grow. Enough with this misunderstanding. At the end of the day, size and shape is determined by one thing, that is genes. The same way it determines size and the shape of your nose, your ears, the broadness of your shoulders, your height as a man, genes. There is little to nothing that you can do to impact and change that. And if you're thinking about doing surgery, please, don't. It is very risky, there is always disappointments, and honestly, it is not worth it. The solution is very simple: - Stop comparing yourself to others - Focus on yourself - Stop watching porn - And above all, stop touching yourself Simple. One percent.
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''The Penis is a muscle just like any other muscle, and you can build it.'' Guys, this information is wrong. The penis is not made up of a muscle that you can build and grow, like your chest, like your triceps, like your shoulders. The penis is made up of a spongy tissue. When you are getting hard, this spongy tissue gets filled up with blood. The more blood that flows in there, the harder you become, and you end up with an erection. There are no muscle fibers there that you can train so that they can become bigger and they can grow. Enough with this misunderstanding. At the end of the day, size and shape is determined by one thing, that is genes. The same way it determines size and the shape of your nose, your ears, the broadness of your shoulders, your height as a man, genes. There is little to nothing that you can do to impact and change that. And if you're thinking about doing surgery, please, don't. It is very risky, there is always disappointments, and honestly, it is not worth it. The solution is very simple: - Stop comparing yourself to others - Focus on yourself - Stop watching porn - And above all, stop touching yourself Simple. One percent.

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I’ve built an order execution tool specifically for IB users. The open-source code is available on GitHub, but since most traders probably prefer something simple and ready to use, I also made an executable (.exe) version and uploaded it to Google Drive. This order execution tool can automatically retrieve your account balance and calculate position size based on your specified risk %. You can choose to set the stop loss at the LOD (low of the day) or enter it manually. The tool automatically places stop orders according to your stop level, one stop or 3 stops Why three stop orders? You can refer to Jeff Sun, CFTe Jeff Sun’s article for the reasoning behind this risk management approach. It also comes with customizable hotkeys for quick and efficient order placement. In the demo video, I used a virtual keyboard to show you how it works in real time. Lastly, this tool is completely free to use. If you find it helpful, you’re welcome to buy me a coffee — your support is what keeps me motivated to keep improving and adding new features. I’ve recorded a demo video showing how to set it up and use it — it’s already posted on X for reference. Github: Googledrive:
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I’ve built an order execution tool specifically for IB users. The open-source code is available on GitHub, but since most traders probably prefer something simple and ready to use, I also made an executable (.exe) version and uploaded it to Google Drive. This order execution tool can automatically retrieve your account balance and calculate position size based on your specified risk %. You can choose to set the stop loss at the LOD (low of the day) or enter it manually. The tool automatically places stop orders according to your stop level, one stop or 3 stops Why three stop orders? You can refer to Jeff Sun, CFTe Jeff Sun’s article for the reasoning behind this risk management approach. It also comes with customizable hotkeys for quick and efficient order placement. In the demo video, I used a virtual keyboard to show you how it works in real time. Lastly, this tool is completely free to use. If you find it helpful, you’re welcome to buy me a coffee — your support is what keeps me motivated to keep improving and adding new features. I’ve recorded a demo video showing how to set it up and use it — it’s already posted on X for reference. Github: Googledrive:

Will Hu

29,715 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Most traders panic on gap-downs and get stopped out immediately. Brian Shannon teaches a method for avoiding premature stop-outs by observing post-gap price action. This allows you to differentiate between a temporary dip and a true breakdown, potentially saving profitable positions. Observe before you react.
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Most traders panic on gap-downs and get stopped out immediately. Brian Shannon teaches a method for avoiding premature stop-outs by observing post-gap price action. This allows you to differentiate between a temporary dip and a true breakdown, potentially saving profitable positions. Observe before you react.

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19,455 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Q showing a 7 star setup on a 5 star scale. "this is like a big big move, goes sideways. builds a tight range, and look at how tight it gets look at this thing, it breaks out and boom. this is like a seven star setup on a five star scale. memorize this this is the basic principle we're trying to like stocks move like stairs. right, you get a leg higher, sideways, leg higher, sideways you get another step higher, sideways, step higher sideways, so we are trying to identify the areas when the next step higher could be formed. you know tight areas we're looking for tight areas so we can get a tight stop so we can get a good risk reward. This is how stocks move. like this one is kind of a perfect one most are not perfect but this is the basic principle this is how stocks have moved in 100 years and there is no reason they should stop moving like this just because you're getting started in trading..."
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Q showing a 7 star setup on a 5 star scale. "this is like a big big move, goes sideways. builds a tight range, and look at how tight it gets look at this thing, it breaks out and boom. this is like a seven star setup on a five star scale. memorize this this is the basic principle we're trying to like stocks move like stairs. right, you get a leg higher, sideways, leg higher, sideways you get another step higher, sideways, step higher sideways, so we are trying to identify the areas when the next step higher could be formed. you know tight areas we're looking for tight areas so we can get a tight stop so we can get a good risk reward. This is how stocks move. like this one is kind of a perfect one most are not perfect but this is the basic principle this is how stocks have moved in 100 years and there is no reason they should stop moving like this just because you're getting started in trading..."

Qullamaggie Wisdom

24,723 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

You have 100 dollars and you want 200. Betting red one dollar at a time, your chance is one in 33,171. Betting the whole 100 on a single spin, it is 47.4 percent. The careful version is fifteen thousand times worse. This is also the arithmetic of your trading account, and it means almost everything you have been taught about managing risk is, in the strict mathematical sense, a method for losing more reliably. An MIT professor works this out on a blackboard in a lecture on random walks. The result is called gambler's ruin. Two and a half points of disadvantage is nothing on one spin. But a dollar at a time you are not making one spin, you are making hundreds, and the edge gets a fresh attempt at you on every one of them. It was never the size of the disadvantage. It is the number of times you agree to face it. One hundred on red, once: 47.4 percent. Twenty dollar bets: 37.3 percent. Five dollar bets: 11.1 percent. One dollar bets: 0.003 percent. Mathematicians call the right answer bold play. It was proved optimal for unfavourable games in 1965. It is not a strategy for winning. It is the least ruinous way to play a game you should not be in. If your edge after spread and fees is negative, and for most active retail accounts it is, then your position sizing rule is not protecting you. Risking one percent per trade is the one dollar bet. It arrives at zero with near certainty, just politely, over a longer period, with a spreadsheet. Discipline does not beat a negative edge. It schedules it. All of this reverses if you have a real edge. Then small and frequent is correct and bold play is madness. So the only question that has ever mattered is whether you have one, and the number of people certain they do has never resembled the number who do. Your broker does not need you to be wrong. It needs you to be frequent.
1:16:13

You have 100 dollars and you want 200. Betting red one dollar at a time, your chance is one in 33,171. Betting the whole 100 on a single spin, it is 47.4 percent. The careful version is fifteen thousand times worse. This is also the arithmetic of your trading account, and it means almost everything you have been taught about managing risk is, in the strict mathematical sense, a method for losing more reliably. An MIT professor works this out on a blackboard in a lecture on random walks. The result is called gambler's ruin. Two and a half points of disadvantage is nothing on one spin. But a dollar at a time you are not making one spin, you are making hundreds, and the edge gets a fresh attempt at you on every one of them. It was never the size of the disadvantage. It is the number of times you agree to face it. One hundred on red, once: 47.4 percent. Twenty dollar bets: 37.3 percent. Five dollar bets: 11.1 percent. One dollar bets: 0.003 percent. Mathematicians call the right answer bold play. It was proved optimal for unfavourable games in 1965. It is not a strategy for winning. It is the least ruinous way to play a game you should not be in. If your edge after spread and fees is negative, and for most active retail accounts it is, then your position sizing rule is not protecting you. Risking one percent per trade is the one dollar bet. It arrives at zero with near certainty, just politely, over a longer period, with a spreadsheet. Discipline does not beat a negative edge. It schedules it. All of this reverses if you have a real edge. Then small and frequent is correct and bold play is madness. So the only question that has ever mattered is whether you have one, and the number of people certain they do has never resembled the number who do. Your broker does not need you to be wrong. It needs you to be frequent.

Verax

85,235 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

Mark Minervini never goes all in on the first entry. Every position starts at a fourth, a fifth, a sixth of full size. He only adds when the trade proves him right -- never when it's going against him. The best trades let you add. The worst ones demand it.
3:16

Mark Minervini never goes all in on the first entry. Every position starts at a fourth, a fifth, a sixth of full size. He only adds when the trade proves him right -- never when it's going against him. The best trades let you add. The worst ones demand it.

TraderLion

39,193 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

> you pay $5,000 a year for AI > and still ration every request > AMD just broke that math > Ryzen AI Max+ 395. 200B on one die. > EVO-X2. Claude Code. one evening. > one variable and Claude Code points at your room > nothing leaves the network. nothing on the meter. > stop paying per token stop rationing > the edge isn't the cloud. it's the meter being off.
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> you pay $5,000 a year for AI > and still ration every request > AMD just broke that math > Ryzen AI Max+ 395. 200B on one die. > EVO-X2. Claude Code. one evening. > one variable and Claude Code points at your room > nothing leaves the network. nothing on the meter. > stop paying per token stop rationing > the edge isn't the cloud. it's the meter being off.

RetroChainer

81,891 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Qullamaggie Shows a 7 Star Setup on a 5 Star Scale “And PRTS, this one we looked at on stream the day it broke out. Someone mentioned it several days before. This is like a 7-star setup on a 5-star scale. This is like a big, big move, goes sideways, builds a tight range, and look at how tight it gets. Look at this thing, it breaks out and boom. This is like a seven star setup on a five star scale. Memorize this. This is the basic principle we're trying to, like stocks move like stairs, right? You get a leg higher, sideways, leg higher, sideways. You get another step higher, sideways, step higher, sideways. So we are trying to identify the areas when the next step higher could be formed. You know, tight areas, we're looking for tight areas so we can get a tight stop, so we can get a good risk reward. This is how stocks move, like, not like this one is kind of a perfect one, most are not perfect, but this is the basic principle. This is how stocks have moved for 100 years, and there's no reason they shouldn't stop moving like this, just because you're getting started.”
1:21

Qullamaggie Shows a 7 Star Setup on a 5 Star Scale “And PRTS, this one we looked at on stream the day it broke out. Someone mentioned it several days before. This is like a 7-star setup on a 5-star scale. This is like a big, big move, goes sideways, builds a tight range, and look at how tight it gets. Look at this thing, it breaks out and boom. This is like a seven star setup on a five star scale. Memorize this. This is the basic principle we're trying to, like stocks move like stairs, right? You get a leg higher, sideways, leg higher, sideways. You get another step higher, sideways, step higher, sideways. So we are trying to identify the areas when the next step higher could be formed. You know, tight areas, we're looking for tight areas so we can get a tight stop, so we can get a good risk reward. This is how stocks move, like, not like this one is kind of a perfect one, most are not perfect, but this is the basic principle. This is how stocks have moved for 100 years, and there's no reason they shouldn't stop moving like this, just because you're getting started.”

Lone

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Every trader who is down believes a bigger account will win it back. There is a proof at MIT that account size changes nothing. Tom Leighton teaches math at MIT. He also founded Akamai. "it is almost certain you will go broke, no matter how much money you bring." roulette pays you 47%. bring $1,000, quit at up $100, and the chance you get there before going broke is under 1 in 37,000. bring a million, or a billion - it does not move. it depends on how much you want to win, never on what you bring. the drift is small and steady, the swings loud and random. over enough bets the drift always wins. capital only buys it more time to finish you. MIT filmed it and left it up for free. 78 minutes. Years online, and almost nobody has ever used a line of it. the edge was never the size of your account. it is the sign of the drift. watch it, and don't forget this.
1:16:39

Every trader who is down believes a bigger account will win it back. There is a proof at MIT that account size changes nothing. Tom Leighton teaches math at MIT. He also founded Akamai. "it is almost certain you will go broke, no matter how much money you bring." roulette pays you 47%. bring $1,000, quit at up $100, and the chance you get there before going broke is under 1 in 37,000. bring a million, or a billion - it does not move. it depends on how much you want to win, never on what you bring. the drift is small and steady, the swings loud and random. over enough bets the drift always wins. capital only buys it more time to finish you. MIT filmed it and left it up for free. 78 minutes. Years online, and almost nobody has ever used a line of it. the edge was never the size of your account. it is the sign of the drift. watch it, and don't forget this.

Di Krass

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Another day, another massacre in Gaza. And for every day that this continues, the risk of a regional war that drags in the US goes up. Only one thing can stop this: A ceasefire. Only one person effectively stands in the way of it: Joe Biden. #CeasefireNOW
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Another day, another massacre in Gaza. And for every day that this continues, the risk of a regional war that drags in the US goes up. Only one thing can stop this: A ceasefire. Only one person effectively stands in the way of it: Joe Biden. #CeasefireNOW

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The pod shops measure risk in factors and volatility. A manager who's compounded ~20% a year defines risk completely differently: Sean D. Emory explains: "Pods think about risk as factors and volatility. I'm in the old-school camp." "Risk isn't a stock price going up and down." "Risk is permanent loss of capital. It's the fundamentals of the business." "We break it into the six M's: management, market, market share, margins, multiple expansion, margin of safety." "You won't find us in overly levered names a left-field shock could kill overnight." "Get that right, and time is on your side."
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The pod shops measure risk in factors and volatility. A manager who's compounded ~20% a year defines risk completely differently: Sean D. Emory explains: "Pods think about risk as factors and volatility. I'm in the old-school camp." "Risk isn't a stock price going up and down." "Risk is permanent loss of capital. It's the fundamentals of the business." "We break it into the six M's: management, market, market share, margins, multiple expansion, margin of safety." "You won't find us in overly levered names a left-field shock could kill overnight." "Get that right, and time is on your side."

Ethan Kho

16,354 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten