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Today's inflation data, largely in-line with consensus expectations, but still well above the Fed's target, is a reminder rising prices will still be a major issue for investors & voters in this midterm election cycle. 🗳️ But what comes after the midterms is what long-term investors should try to... stay focused on. Since 1938, the 12 months following a midterm has always generated positive returns for the S&P 500. It's less about who wins and more about lifting the cloud of uncertainty - the purple haze as I like to call it - that may be hanging over markets. We expect the headline noise to get louder the closer we get to the election, so what's an investor do to?! Stay diversified and buckle up, because there's typically volatility heading into November. But soon enough it'll all be in the rearview mirror! My latest PNC Bank Adding Alpha breaks it down.show more

Amanda Agati

3,202 subscribers

863,342 views • 17 days ago •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

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10 Comments

John F. Kennedy10 days ago

Why should we "expect" inflation? Why never deflation?

JWV10 days ago

The 2 largest uses of American public is fuel & groceries which aren’t even factored in figuring inflation!

Carl-hermann Freese🏴‍☠️🇺🇸🏁🐲38/C(Drake/Dragon)10 days ago

Above the 3% over print of money fed does to pad federal spending.

DJ Jay Bee 🇺🇸9 days ago

The US economy has never been stronger there are less poor than ever in the United States. Median income is higher than ever. Energy and gas prices are lower than when Joe Biden was president. So why do some people continue to complain because they're propagandists for the left.

htown_mark_196113 days ago

People are dumb.

ChristIsKing7 days ago

Thank your local Jew for higher gas prices.

RodAdair10 days ago

BS

Kevin Chambers7 days ago

It shouldn't be an issue in voting! You don't vote for communist no matter what's happening!

phil c.12 days ago

If you really cared about the client, you would recommend Bitcoin as the best asymmetric investment strategy. The hardest money on the planet that doesnt suffer from devaluation like the USD.

Dre Wise6 days ago

This isn't the place to talk about this tho ma'am

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Thanks to all of you who have asked about the latest on my cancer treatment. We did get the pathology report back and it wasn’t what we hoped for, but still a lot to be thankful for!

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Megan Basham

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WOW: Hakeem Jeffries just accused REPUBLICANS of trying to RIG the midterms and SUPPRESS a “free and fair” election in Texas. Oh, the irony. That is rich. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries went on national TV and straight-up claimed that GOP redistricting efforts in Texas are part of a plot to steal the midterm elections. “They still moved forward with their efforts to try to suppress the possibility of a free and fair election in Texas.” “This is what they do.” “But the Texas Democrats were successful in reducing the extreme nature of what was being proposed.” “But this moment does require an extraordinary response, because this is an extraordinary act that Republicans have been ordered to undertake, to try to gerrymander the Texas Congressional map as part of an effort to RIG the midterm elections.” “That’s what this is all about, because Donald Trump, House Republicans and the Texas Republican party, they’re all running scared because they have failed the American people.” Projection: activated.

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Vigilant Fox 🦊

85,586 views • 1 year ago

AOC: What is extremely disturbing about what has happened in Virginia is this court overturned the will of three million Virginians. They can say what they want about the ballot initiative, but they explicitly chose to issue this ruling after the election happened. They had all the time in the world to issue an opinion or an injunction before allowing this election to happen. They did not overturn a map—they overturned an election. It is the power of the American people that should be the ultimate check on all three branches. The court’s ability to overturn an election that was clear in its result should be something that is called into question.

AOC: What is extremely disturbing about what has happened in Virginia is this court overturned the will of three million Virginians. They can say what they want about the ballot initiative, but they explicitly chose to issue this ruling after the election happened. They had all the time in the world to issue an opinion or an injunction before allowing this election to happen. They did not overturn a map—they overturned an election. It is the power of the American people that should be the ultimate check on all three branches. The court’s ability to overturn an election that was clear in its result should be something that is called into question.

Acyn

784,483 views • 4 months ago

What is happening in crypto right now is a resolution of the dislocation between expectations and fair value since the election in November. This is something we discussed and warned on the roundup on November 16th and ever since price has been flat/down and there's no signs of an SBR which is very different vs the expectations that were baked in. It is because of this concern for a potential dislocation that I/we have been on defence ever since the election after being disgustingly bullish in the lead up to it. The good news is this post-election premium is now being unwound, especially in alts. The bad news is this is happening during a time of relative equity strength. As traders, it is crucial to understand that markets are forward looking and you always need to be comparing expectations baked in vs reality, and not headlines on a standalone basis. Anyway. I'm sad to see the state of things right now and hopefully not too many people were carried out here. I do think that now that a lot of this dislocation has been resolved that the worst is over, but that is dependent on a positive macro environment which I'm not sure of. Godspeed. Forward Guidance Quinn Thompson Tyler Neville

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fejau

133,844 views • 1 year ago

"You have such wonky data right now, it's just too uncertain to know what this means for rates. If things stay this course, inflation comes in hot next month" Ryan Rasmussen, Head of Research at Bitwise, on why the Fed can't read this economy right now "What's tough right now is you have such wonky data, because there's so much uncertainty around what's happening with oil prices and the knock-on effects to the supply chain. You get a read like this which is lower than estimates, but last month inflation came in hot. Month to month there's just a lot of uncertainty around where we're actually headed" "That makes it difficult for Warsh and the other members of the Fed to really have an idea of what the new normal is. Are we at war with Iran or not? Is the Strait open or closed? What does that do to prices, the supply chain, and other inputs that make things more or less expensive?" "There was clearly a mandate from President Trump when he nominated Warsh that he wanted rates cut, a lot of that ahead of the US midterms so Republicans could tout that they've brought down the cost of living. But that's not happening, over the long term we're still running a bit hot. It's good to have this lower print, but with the escalation in the Middle East, I'd guess inflation comes in hot next month"

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The Wolf Of All Streets

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James Comey responds to his latest bogus indictment: “Well, they’re back. This time about a picture of seashells on a North Carolina beach a year ago. This won’t be the end of it, but nothing has changed with me. I am still innocent, I am still not afraid, and I still believe in the independent federal judiciary, so let’s go. But it’s really important that all of us remember: this is not who we are as a country, this is not how the DOJ is supposed to be, and the good news is we get closer every day to restoring those values. Keep the faith”

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Coinvo Trading

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This is chilling and uncomfortable. But, I get it. In a weird but compelling way, I get it. As a people, we move on. We move to the next headline quickly. We are shocked, we lament, protest, etc but eventually ... WE MOVE ON. This AI rendering of a story is morbid and uncomfortable... And even triggering. But, dammit, maybe this is what is needed. Evil gets shielded and protected by our need to not want to be confronted by truths that make us uncomfortable. How many stories of families hiding traumas and crimes of familial culprits because they don't want to expose the shame of umdeni? What does that do but protect perpetrators? Our discomfort about our reality can be a hindrance to accountability. The shame and discomfort should be reserved for the culprit. We are surprised how recidivism is so high in Mzansi, but we forget that we protect criminals' dignity more than the victims'. There is a lot that is cringe-y about AI and it should be regulated. This, though chilling, I feel it is a necessary evil if it will make Olorato and many like her not to become old news because today we have moved on to a new shocking headline. Remember her and live with the reality that you or someone you love and/or know may be next.

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"We Need to Employ $50 Trillion": Larry Fink on Why the Private Sector Must Lead the Green Transition "Well, if they don't get it done, then we are going to have more risk as societies, we're going to have more issues related to rising climate and importantly, which will create more societal issues." "Already we're seeing an impact in society right now from climate risk and climate change. are seeing insurance premiums going up 18 % a year right now. So we're seeing a real impact from what climate risk is doing from flooding, from fires. So we're seeing a big impact." "And so the faster that we could find ways to mitigating the rising temperatures, I would say the more just society could be. And so to me, we don't have much time. And this is why when I learned about catalyst and I learned about what Bill was doing was very clear to me why we needed to be a part of this, why we needed to invest the time and the money." "And the key is also the time because we need to be learning about these new the new technologies and how to move forward. And we need to then inform our investors ultimately where we think the next opportunities are going to be too as Bill in his book wrote about, we need to employ $50 trillion to get to a green world." "With the rising deficits that we see in governments, from our perspective, the 50 trillion is mostly going to have to come from the private sector. And I do believe that money will be well spent, well spent for returns. It will transform our economies. It will build new jobs. will build new cities and new opportunities." "So I look at this as an optimist. I don't look at this as a pessimist. But the key is to be that optimist. We have to jump on it now. We have to be investing today. We need to talk about it today, although much of the problems in the future but we're seeing more and more evidence of the problem today."

Camus

55,484 views • 1 year ago

JUST IN: Former FBI Director James Comey releases new video. "Well, they're back. This time about a picture of seashells on a North Carolina beach a year ago, and this won't be the end of it. But nothing has changed with me. I'm still innocent, I'm still not afraid, and I still believe in the independent federal judiciary, so let's go. But it's really important that all of us remember this is not who we are as a country. This is not how the Department of Justice is supposed to be. And the good news is we get closer every day to restoring those values. Keep the faith."

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AZ Intel

55,002 views • 5 months ago

Oil is the only commodity that is used in every single sector of the US economy. It is a commodity like no other. So it really matters how long it stays elevated, and when I say elevated, anything north of $70. The danger zone for gasoline is keeping oil at $90 to $100 for more than 90 days. That's when you see gasoline prices spike up past $3. So this affordability speech, it'll be about housing, it'll be about protein, but the granddaddy issue's going to be energy. That immediately affects every American family and is a visceral element in any midterm election.

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Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

36,343 views • 6 months ago