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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TOMAHAWKS OVER IRAN: WHY AMERICA PULLS THE TRIGGER AND ISRAEL DOESN’T When the U.S wants to hit something far away without asking a pilot to risk becoming tomorrow’s hostage video, it reaches for the Tomahawk. A Tomahawk cruise missile launches from a submarine or warship, drops down to...

630,015 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨BREAKING: Massive Explosion Rocks Tehran After U.S.–Israel Strike Raw footage is now circulating showing a massive detonation in Tehran after reported U.S. and Israeli missile strikes on Iranian military infrastructure. The blast is so powerful that the shockwave appears to ripple across multiple city blocks, sending a towering column of fire and smoke into the sky. This is the scale of modern precision warfare. The ongoing campaign against Iranian military targets has already produced repeated explosions across the capital as strike packages hit command centers, missile facilities, and security compounds tied to the regime. Explosions and heavy bombardment have been reported across Tehran as the conflict escalates into its fifth day. Video like this shows the moment a hardened target is hit. A flash… a shockwave… then a rolling fireball expanding outward as the structure collapses and debris erupts into the air. When a strike generates a blast that large, it usually means one of three things was hit A weapons storage facility A missile command site Or a major military compound. Multiple strikes in Tehran over the past several days have already destroyed IRGC facilities and key regime infrastructure as the joint campaign expands. The message behind footage like this is unmistakable. When hostile regimes threaten Americans… launch missiles across the region… and build underground weapons networks… The response from the United States of America and its allies arrives with OVERWHELMING precision and force. That explosion lighting up the Tehran skyline is the sound of military capability meeting its target. DO NOT THREATEN AMERICANS! Because when the United States responds… the entire world hears it. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

A Gene Robinson

164,159 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

ATTENTION! Iran Ballistic Missile capacity (SITREP)—how much longer can they sustain these barrages? It’s just past 0200 local in Tel Aviv time now. Iran has over 3,000 ballistic missiles but cannot launch all simultaneously (they’ve already launched 8 waves). Current evidence leans toward a maximum of around 180-200 missiles launched at once in recent attacks. It seems very likely that infrastructure limits simultaneous launches to far below 3,000. Iran possesses a significant ballistic missile arsenal, estimated at over 3,000 missiles, making it the largest in the Middle East. However, the capacity to launch all these missiles at once is constrained by logistical and strategic factors, including the number of launch platforms and the nature of their deployment. Recent military actions show Iran launching up to 180-200 missiles in a single strike. These numbers are significantly lower than 3,000, indicating a limit to simultaneous launch capacity. Iran's infrastructure and launch capacity, including transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) and underground facilities, does not support launching 3,000 missiles at once. The focus on sequential or ripple-fire systems further supports this limitation. My assessment is Iran is getting toward the end of their ballistic missile capacity (for a variety of reasons). They likely still retain hundreds but their ability to launch very large numbers is hindered by infrastructure destruction over the past several days as well as launch capabilities. That said, DO NOT underestimate Iran’s ability to do as much as humanly possible to attempt to destroy Israel. That has been their stated goal for years and until there is regime change to someone more aligned with Israel and the west, expect this war to continue. Iran's ballistic missile program has been a focal point of regional and international security discussions for many years, particularly given its implications for Middle Eastern stability and global non-proliferation efforts. Iran's ballistic missile inventory comprises a diverse array of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). One notable development is an automated missile launch system revealed since 2020, capable of positioning up to five fully fueled ballistic missiles on an underground railcar for sequential ripple-fire through a single vertical shaft. This is what Israel is facing now. Barrages of dozens of these simultaneously and my assessment is more to come. Strategic and Logistical Considerations Launching 3,000 missiles simultaneously would require an unprecedented number of launch platforms and coordination, likely exceeding Iran's current capabilities. Strategically, such an action would deplete Iran's entire arsenal, leaving it vulnerable to counterattacks. Our Israeli allies need to prepare for another round of massive amounts of missiles. Iran—you better get ready for a strategic counteroffensive. The Israelis have planned this war for a long time and my sense is that they are far more ready than you, particularly their population. The Iranian people DO NOT want to suffer any longer under their brutal tyrannical regime. This war will end with a clear victor. Donald J. Trump JD Vance DNI Tulsi Gabbard

General Mike Flynn

724,748 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 WHY THE UNITED STATES HALTED A PLANNED STRIKE ON IRAN United States prepared and then halted a military strike on Iran point to a calculated decision rooted in U.S. national interest, risk management, and strategic restraint rather than weakness. 1. Avoiding a Wider War That Would Hurt U.S. Interests U.S. defense planners assessed that a direct strike on Iran could rapidly escalate into a regional conflict. Iran has the ability to retaliate through missile attacks, proxy forces, and disruption of global energy routes. Such an escalation would place U.S. troops, allies, and global markets at serious risk. From a U.S. perspective, a controlled environment is preferable to an open ended war. 2. No Clear Strategic Gain from Immediate Military Action Senior U.S. officials reportedly questioned whether a strike would achieve a decisive outcome. Without a clear path to degrading Iran’s long term capabilities or changing its behavior, a limited attack risked becoming symbolic rather than strategically effective. U.S. military doctrine prioritizes actions that deliver measurable and lasting advantages. 3. Protection of U.S. Forces and Bases in the Region Iran and its aligned groups have demonstrated the capability to strike U.S. bases across the Middle East. Intelligence assessments likely warned that even a limited U.S. strike would trigger retaliation against American personnel. Preventing American casualties remains a top political and military priority in Washington. 4. Pressure from U.S. Partners and Allies Key U.S. partners in the Middle East reportedly urged caution. Gulf states and European allies warned that a strike could destabilize the region, threaten shipping lanes, and damage energy security. The United States weighed these concerns heavily, recognizing that alliance stability is a core pillar of American global power. 5. Strategic Signaling Without Pulling the Trigger By preparing a strike and then halting it, Washington still sent a clear deterrence message. The U.S. demonstrated readiness, capability, and resolve while retaining escalation control. This approach aligns with U.S. strategy of applying pressure without rushing into irreversible military action. The halt was not a retreat. It was a deliberate choice to protect American lives, preserve strategic leverage, and avoid a conflict that could spiral beyond control. The United States kept military options on the table while choosing a timing and method that best serves long term U.S. security interests.

Defense Intelligence

52,246 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🇮🇷🇮🇱| A little more to understand... My opinion: The war may end in a few days or last a lot longer—all depending on whether or not the US joins Israel. Israel is not able to fight against Iran for much longer; its interceptors have a certain capability threshold, and reports already suggest it is rationing its interceptor missiles, and we've seen how 12-17 interceptors were launched, yet Iranian missiles still made an impact. It all comes down to whether the US is willing to go to war with Iran or not; it's likely they will if you consider Trump's administrative behavior since he took office. But honestly, if they are smart, they will not. - A little about Iran's missile situation: Israel says it's conducting operations in northwestern and western Iran to prevent the reactivation of missile bases in Tabriz, Kermanshah, and Khorramabad. A significant portion of the Israeli Air Force is now focused on these 3 sites to prevent further missile launches from those locations. This suggests that the sites they claim they destroyed did not suffer strategic damage, and the destroyed hangars were of minimal value. As a result, Israel continuously carries out operations and remains engaged to prevent Iran from reactivating its capabilities in the west. If these 3 regions are abandoned, Israel will move on to target other strategic sites. These 3 missile bases are among Iran's key assets. The missiles are intact and untouched, it's the launchers that are affected, and they can easily be reactivated, but it's difficult under continuous attacks. Other missile bases in the south remain untouched and have so far not been used, as they are probably being reserved for strikes against the US. Missile launches are mainly launched from the center and north of Iran, some from the western regions as well. The reason for limited and isolated launches these past few days has several explanations, mainly that Iran is testing to recognize new patterns everytime a serious attack is carried out, as Israel continuously changes its defensive behavior to prevent Iran's intelligence from learning it; thus, isolated launches, followed by a bigger, deadlier, and more accurate attack with 30 launches as we saw today.

Arya - آریا

55,523 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

No,it's not. They can be easily detected The Iran–US–Israel war is now a war of missile inventories, not armies. Here are the hard facts about Iran’s arsenal, underground launches, and how the war is evolving. 1️⃣ Iran’s Missile Arsenal (Before War) • ~2,500–3,000 ballistic missiles total • 14+ missile types • Largest missile stockpile in the Middle East • Ranges up to ~2,000 km (enough to strike Israel and US bases) This includes: • Shahab-3 • Ghadr-H • Sejjil-2 • Kheibar-Shekan • Khorramshahr-4 • Fateh-110 • Haj Qasem precision missiles Many travel Mach 10–15 and carry 500–1,500 kg warheads. 2️⃣ How many missiles Iran still has Estimates vary due to active combat: • ~2,000 heavy ballistic missiles may still remain in the arsenal • Some intelligence estimates put total remaining stock around 1,500–2,000 missiles • Western officials say launch rates are dropping due to destroyed launch sites Iran also has thousands of drones which are cheaper and easier to produce. 3️⃣ What weapons Iran is using now Primary strike systems: 🔹 Ballistic missiles • Kheibar-Shekan • Sejjil • Ghadr • Shahab-3 🔹 Hypersonic systems • Fattah-1 / Fattah-2 reportedly used recently 🔹 Cruise missiles • Soumar • Hoveyzeh 🔹 Drone swarms • Shahed-136 • Arash long-range drones The strategy: Overwhelm air defenses with mass launches. 4️⃣ Underground missile cities Iran launches missiles from: • mountain tunnels • underground depots • mobile TEL launchers Missiles roll out, erect, and launch within minutes — making pre-strike detection extremely difficult. This doctrine was built specifically to survive US air superiority. 5️⃣ How the war is going right now Current battlefield situation: • US-Israel strikes hit 2,000+ Iranian targets including missile bases • Iran launched hundreds of missiles and drones across the Gulf and Israel • IRGC continues retaliation despite leadership losses US and Israeli officials say: ➡ Iran’s missile capability may already be reduced by up to 80%+ in some regions due to strikes on launch infrastructure. But Iran still has enough missiles for sustained attacks. 6️⃣ Important reality Iran does NOT have a confirmed operational ICBM force yet. Most missiles are: • SRBM: 300–700 km • MRBM: 1,000–2,500 km Meaning: ✔ Israel ✔ US bases in Middle East ✔ Gulf oil infrastructure are within range. But continental US is not. 7️⃣ What happens next The war is entering a dangerous phase: • US moving air campaign deeper into Iran • Iran conserving remaining missiles • Drone and proxy attacks increasing This is becoming a long attrition war of missiles vs air defense interceptors. The side that runs out of missiles or interceptors first will lose the strategic edge.

Cultslinger07

42,652 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

We continue to analyze the technical details of the war with Iran, and we would like to note the Iranian novelty - subsonic barraging anti-aircraft missiles Missile 358, equipped with compact turbojet engines. To some extent unexpectedly, they showed good effectiveness against Israeli reconnaissance and strike UAVs Hermes-900. The key role is played by the thermal homing head: it is able to reliably detect and track a wide range of heat-contrasting targets, including UAVs with various flight profiles. An additional advantage is the command and telemetry channel, which ensures data transmission and allows for radio correction of the trajectory. This is especially important in situations when the target attempts to disrupt the capture with infrared decoys or other means of counteraction. According to the stated parameters, the range of application of Missile 358 reaches about 100 km. At the same time, the maximum interception altitude is about 8.5 km, and the speed is up to 700 km/h, which expands the capabilities of the complex in covering objects and intercepting medium-altitude UAVs. Of course, this is a niche tool, and compared to solid-fuel missiles, the turbojet engine provides exponentially higher flight energy. This allows to dramatically increase the range at low speed, and the mass of the main units of the ammunition, its warhead and control system. On the other hand, this is a solution of necessity, because classic anti-aircraft missiles perfectly hit such high-altitude and slow-moving targets. But for such ammunition, no radar, complex and expensive beam installations are required, which greatly improves its survivability under constant air strikes. And in its niche of targets, there are enough of them, as such UAVs of Israel and the USA are the basis of UCAV, and are constantly over the territory of Iran. So with the 358th ammunition, you can score quite a lot of frags, and significantly complicate air strikes on Iran for the Epstein coalition. Russian Engineer -

𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺🇮🇪

17,874 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

What if any preparations have you seen Iran make ahead of the war? Can you discuss It’s missile capabilities? Any intelligence capabilities? Any surprises it might happen in store? When the 12-day war ended, I estimated that Iran would need about six months to recover, including its nuclear program. Contrary to popular belief, Iran did not lose its entire long-range or medium-range air defense network; while some launchers were damaged, the primary targets of the Israeli strikes were the radar systems. Once the radars were neutralized, Iran successfully hid the bulk of its remaining batteries, leaving much of its arsenal intact. In contrast, short-range systems like the Tor-M1 and domestic variants were heavily engaged against cruise missiles, often being lost or damaged only after their ammunition was completely exhausted. Since then, Iran has worked to rebuild its destroyed radar network and, above all, to implement a genuine counterintelligence doctrine. The Mossad operations against Iranian radars and air defense systems have shaped new perimeter defense and counterintelligence doctrines not only in Iran but in other countries as well. If we look at the quantity of weapons and the organization of armed groups during Iran’s most recent protests, I would say the problem of foreign intelligence operations inside the country remains severe. This seriously threatens much of Iran’s capabilities, and I foresee a wave of sabotage operations as a new war draws closer. Iran has begun receiving collaboration from China across multiple areas,from satellites to internal counterintelligence, but it may still take some time for this to produce tangible results. During the last years, the Mossad relied heavily on cell phones, using SMS for recruitment and accessing device GPS for target location. Iran has since focused intensely on preventing any repetition of this, and on this specific issue, the Chinese appear to have provided support. Although foreign intelligence services have operated extensively inside Iran, the scale of any armed opposition groups is negligible compared to the Iranian armed forces, which could still draw on allied paramilitaries and militias in neighboring countries, including the Houthis. Iran has become a missile power with a stockpile far larger than Western estimates suggest. As early as 1998, Iran was already producing missiles with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, and it has continued doing so ever since, developing 12 to 15 different models in that range - meaning all are capable of reaching Israel. That is nearly 30 years of continuous missile production, resulting in a stockpile of several thousands. Another area where Iran has emerged as a global power is drones, including underwater ones. Iran’s UUVs have evolved rapidly into mass-produced models with integrated AI, and I believe they hold some major surprises in reserve. A key point today is that the AN/TPY-2 radars, which played a critical role in tracking Iranian missiles, would be among the first targets to be engaged. These high-powered X-band radars are the backbone of regional missile defense, providing essential data to THAAD and Patriot batteries. However, because they are large, stationary, and emit high-energy signals, they are highly vulnerable to a first-strike or saturation attack, which would effectively 'blind' the entire defensive network. Obviously, a defense budget of nearly one trillion dollars cannot be compared to Iran’s, but the real question is whether the cost and effort are worth the potential casualties. Even without Israel, the Americans maintain an immense advantage in aerial operations over Iran; however, as I have stated before, this superiority does not translate to the maritime theater.

Patricia Marins

21,142 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

First Sen Murphy brags about leaking information from a classified briefing. Then he claims that we are "not going to be able to achieve any of our stated objectives," ignoring our incredible achievements so far...such as those presented today in National Review by Noah Rothman: "To date, U.S. forces alone have conducted strikes on at least 5,500 Iranian targets, according to Admiral Brad Cooper, in accordance with the American military’s objective in this war: eliminating Iran’s capacity to “project power” across its borders. America’s operational tempo is accelerating while Iran’s is in retreat. The Iranian ballistic-missile launch rate is down 92 percent from the first day of hostilities. U.S. forces have entombed much of Iran’s stockpiles in their underground “missile cities.” U.S. drones monitor from the skies the cities that it hasn’t hit, striking them only when they observe Iranian activity. In addition, over 60 percent of Iran’s missile launchers have been disabled... "The Iranian navy is off the chessboard. According to Cooper, 60 vessels have been struck, sunk, or rendered useless to the enemy, including all four of Iran’s Soleimani-class warships. At least 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels have been destroyed. Ten of Iran’s 18 air bases have been hit and rendered inoperable. The U.S. maintains, if not air supremacy, superiority in the skies over Iran. The Iranian air force is a non-entity, as are its air defenses. As was the case in Venezuela, Russian and Chinese technology has proven unequal to U.S. capabilities, allowing the U.S. to transition away from the use of exquisite stand-off munitions (long-range missiles launched from a safe distance) toward cheaper, more abundant, precision-guided gravity munitions." Noah goes on with more, which you should read. But I ask Sen Murphy: What do you have against the real achievements of the U.S. military?

David Asman

28,028 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce