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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TOMAHAWKS OVER IRAN: WHY AMERICA PULLS THE TRIGGER AND ISRAEL DOESN’T When the U.S wants to hit something far away without asking a pilot to risk becoming tomorrow’s hostage video, it reaches for the Tomahawk. A Tomahawk cruise missile launches from a submarine or warship, drops down to... skim the earth, navigating mountains, rivers, and cities until it arrives at the exact building someone in Washington decided shouldn’t exist anymore. Then it erases it. No pilot. No warning. Just a very expensive message. That’s why the U.S loves them when dealing with places like Iran. Iran’s nuclear facilities, missile sites, and command bunkers are buried deep inside a country that has spent decades preparing for air attacks. A warship sitting hundreds of miles away in the Persian Gulf or Arabian Sea can launch dozens of them. The missiles slip under radar, snake through terrain, and hit multiple targets almost simultaneously. It’s warfare designed for the age of GPS and satellites: long distance, precise, and politically convenient, because when a pilot gets shot down, you have a crisis. When a missile does the job, you have a press briefing. So if Tomahawks are so useful, why doesn’t Israel have them? Part of the answer is simple: the U.S is extremely picky about who gets its most advanced long-range strike toys. Tomahawks aren’t just weapons, they’re strategic leverage. Handing them out too widely means giving allies the ability to launch deep-strike attacks thousands of miles away without American involvement. Washington prefers to keep that particular button under its own finger, but Israel isn’t exactly defenseless without them. Instead of buying Tomahawks, Israel spent decades building its own strike arsenal. Long-range aircraft, stealth capabilities, submarine-launched cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles that can reach well beyond the Middle East. The difference is that Israeli weapons tend to be designed around regional wars, not global power projection. America fights with a planetary toolbox. Israel fights with a regional one. And when the target sits deep inside Iran, hardened, defended, and politically explosive, the U.S. Navy’s cruise missiles become the cleanest way to start the fight. Which is why when the opening act of a conflict begins with sudden explosions hundreds of miles inland, there’s a good chance the culprit isn’t a jet.show more

Mario Nawfal

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JUST IN: 🇩🇪🇷🇺 Germany Is Building A 2,000+ Km Missile Hammer, Berlin Wants To Strike Deep Into Russia Germany is preparing to spend nearly €12 billion on long range strike weapons as Berlin rebuilds a deep strike capability it has largely lacked for decades. Here’s what Germany is buying, and what it wants to develop: 🇩🇪 German made cruise missiles: From 2027, Berlin plans to acquire cheaper, mass-produced long-range cruise missiles to rapidly expand its stockpile. 🇺🇸 U.S. made Tomahawks: Germany is also moving toward purchasing American Tomahawk cruise missiles, giving the Bundeswehr a proven long range precision strike capability. 🇩🇪🇬🇧 German British future missile: Germany and the UK are developing a next generation long range strike weapon intended to eventually exceed 2,000 km in range. This is the system Berlin wants to develop jointly rather than simply buy off the shelf. 🇺🇦 Ukraine has demonstrated how long range weapons can hit airfields, command centers, ammunition depots and logistics hubs far behind the front lines. German military leaders have warned that Russia could potentially be capable of attacking NATO by the end of the decade. 🔥 Germany is pursuing domestic production, American Tomahawks and a future European 2,000+ km strike weapon, giving Berlin a much longer reach across Europe. The era of Germany having limited long range strike power may be coming to an end.

JUST IN: 🇩🇪🇷🇺 Germany Is Building A 2,000+ Km Missile Hammer, Berlin Wants To Strike Deep Into Russia Germany is preparing to spend nearly €12 billion on long range strike weapons as Berlin rebuilds a deep strike capability it has largely lacked for decades. Here’s what Germany is buying, and what it wants to develop: 🇩🇪 German made cruise missiles: From 2027, Berlin plans to acquire cheaper, mass-produced long-range cruise missiles to rapidly expand its stockpile. 🇺🇸 U.S. made Tomahawks: Germany is also moving toward purchasing American Tomahawk cruise missiles, giving the Bundeswehr a proven long range precision strike capability. 🇩🇪🇬🇧 German British future missile: Germany and the UK are developing a next generation long range strike weapon intended to eventually exceed 2,000 km in range. This is the system Berlin wants to develop jointly rather than simply buy off the shelf. 🇺🇦 Ukraine has demonstrated how long range weapons can hit airfields, command centers, ammunition depots and logistics hubs far behind the front lines. German military leaders have warned that Russia could potentially be capable of attacking NATO by the end of the decade. 🔥 Germany is pursuing domestic production, American Tomahawks and a future European 2,000+ km strike weapon, giving Berlin a much longer reach across Europe. The era of Germany having limited long range strike power may be coming to an end.

War Radar

80,344 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

🚨BREAKING: Massive Explosion Rocks Tehran After U.S.–Israel Strike Raw footage is now circulating showing a massive detonation in Tehran after reported U.S. and Israeli missile strikes on Iranian military infrastructure. The blast is so powerful that the shockwave appears to ripple across multiple city blocks, sending a towering column of fire and smoke into the sky. This is the scale of modern precision warfare. The ongoing campaign against Iranian military targets has already produced repeated explosions across the capital as strike packages hit command centers, missile facilities, and security compounds tied to the regime. Explosions and heavy bombardment have been reported across Tehran as the conflict escalates into its fifth day. Video like this shows the moment a hardened target is hit. A flash… a shockwave… then a rolling fireball expanding outward as the structure collapses and debris erupts into the air. When a strike generates a blast that large, it usually means one of three things was hit A weapons storage facility A missile command site Or a major military compound. Multiple strikes in Tehran over the past several days have already destroyed IRGC facilities and key regime infrastructure as the joint campaign expands. The message behind footage like this is unmistakable. When hostile regimes threaten Americans… launch missiles across the region… and build underground weapons networks… The response from the United States of America and its allies arrives with OVERWHELMING precision and force. That explosion lighting up the Tehran skyline is the sound of military capability meeting its target. DO NOT THREATEN AMERICANS! Because when the United States responds… the entire world hears it. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

🚨BREAKING: Massive Explosion Rocks Tehran After U.S.–Israel Strike Raw footage is now circulating showing a massive detonation in Tehran after reported U.S. and Israeli missile strikes on Iranian military infrastructure. The blast is so powerful that the shockwave appears to ripple across multiple city blocks, sending a towering column of fire and smoke into the sky. This is the scale of modern precision warfare. The ongoing campaign against Iranian military targets has already produced repeated explosions across the capital as strike packages hit command centers, missile facilities, and security compounds tied to the regime. Explosions and heavy bombardment have been reported across Tehran as the conflict escalates into its fifth day. Video like this shows the moment a hardened target is hit. A flash… a shockwave… then a rolling fireball expanding outward as the structure collapses and debris erupts into the air. When a strike generates a blast that large, it usually means one of three things was hit A weapons storage facility A missile command site Or a major military compound. Multiple strikes in Tehran over the past several days have already destroyed IRGC facilities and key regime infrastructure as the joint campaign expands. The message behind footage like this is unmistakable. When hostile regimes threaten Americans… launch missiles across the region… and build underground weapons networks… The response from the United States of America and its allies arrives with OVERWHELMING precision and force. That explosion lighting up the Tehran skyline is the sound of military capability meeting its target. DO NOT THREATEN AMERICANS! Because when the United States responds… the entire world hears it. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

A Gene Robinson

164,159 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

The IDF released this strange cockpit video of a pilot over Tehran striking a target. 💥 It seems pointless on viewing, but if you listen to the audio of the pilot (Hebrew), we begin to understand the significance. The pilot assures he has his 'pickle' locked on target and is releasing.. Meaning he is using his internal systems and Heads Up Display to drop JDAM/conventional iron bombs directly over the target/Tehran. Bombs that will glide down to target. That is the standard way fighter bombers drop bombs - however, it is far too dangerous normally to fly over a defended target in this manner and drop bombs. The majority of Israeli & US Strikes over heavily defended areas use standoff weapons - Missiles fired from planes that travel to the target while the Jet is dozens, if not hundreds of miles away from enemy air-to-air defenses, and safe. This is not a video about a pilot dropping a bomb - It's a video of the historic moment the USA & Israel established full air supremacy over Tehran, the capital of Iran. Thanks for coming to my TED Talk! 😅 *edit the video did not embed. I fixed it.

The IDF released this strange cockpit video of a pilot over Tehran striking a target. 💥 It seems pointless on viewing, but if you listen to the audio of the pilot (Hebrew), we begin to understand the significance. The pilot assures he has his 'pickle' locked on target and is releasing.. Meaning he is using his internal systems and Heads Up Display to drop JDAM/conventional iron bombs directly over the target/Tehran. Bombs that will glide down to target. That is the standard way fighter bombers drop bombs - however, it is far too dangerous normally to fly over a defended target in this manner and drop bombs. The majority of Israeli & US Strikes over heavily defended areas use standoff weapons - Missiles fired from planes that travel to the target while the Jet is dozens, if not hundreds of miles away from enemy air-to-air defenses, and safe. This is not a video about a pilot dropping a bomb - It's a video of the historic moment the USA & Israel established full air supremacy over Tehran, the capital of Iran. Thanks for coming to my TED Talk! 😅 *edit the video did not embed. I fixed it.

Ron M.

1,198,492 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

ATTENTION! Iran Ballistic Missile capacity (SITREP)—how much longer can they sustain these barrages? It’s just past 0200 local in Tel Aviv time now. Iran has over 3,000 ballistic missiles but cannot launch all simultaneously (they’ve already launched 8 waves). Current evidence leans toward a maximum of around 180-200 missiles launched at once in recent attacks. It seems very likely that infrastructure limits simultaneous launches to far below 3,000. Iran possesses a significant ballistic missile arsenal, estimated at over 3,000 missiles, making it the largest in the Middle East. However, the capacity to launch all these missiles at once is constrained by logistical and strategic factors, including the number of launch platforms and the nature of their deployment. Recent military actions show Iran launching up to 180-200 missiles in a single strike. These numbers are significantly lower than 3,000, indicating a limit to simultaneous launch capacity. Iran's infrastructure and launch capacity, including transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) and underground facilities, does not support launching 3,000 missiles at once. The focus on sequential or ripple-fire systems further supports this limitation. My assessment is Iran is getting toward the end of their ballistic missile capacity (for a variety of reasons). They likely still retain hundreds but their ability to launch very large numbers is hindered by infrastructure destruction over the past several days as well as launch capabilities. That said, DO NOT underestimate Iran’s ability to do as much as humanly possible to attempt to destroy Israel. That has been their stated goal for years and until there is regime change to someone more aligned with Israel and the west, expect this war to continue. Iran's ballistic missile program has been a focal point of regional and international security discussions for many years, particularly given its implications for Middle Eastern stability and global non-proliferation efforts. Iran's ballistic missile inventory comprises a diverse array of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). One notable development is an automated missile launch system revealed since 2020, capable of positioning up to five fully fueled ballistic missiles on an underground railcar for sequential ripple-fire through a single vertical shaft. This is what Israel is facing now. Barrages of dozens of these simultaneously and my assessment is more to come. Strategic and Logistical Considerations Launching 3,000 missiles simultaneously would require an unprecedented number of launch platforms and coordination, likely exceeding Iran's current capabilities. Strategically, such an action would deplete Iran's entire arsenal, leaving it vulnerable to counterattacks. Our Israeli allies need to prepare for another round of massive amounts of missiles. Iran—you better get ready for a strategic counteroffensive. The Israelis have planned this war for a long time and my sense is that they are far more ready than you, particularly their population. The Iranian people DO NOT want to suffer any longer under their brutal tyrannical regime. This war will end with a clear victor. Donald J. Trump JD Vance DNI Tulsi Gabbard

ATTENTION! Iran Ballistic Missile capacity (SITREP)—how much longer can they sustain these barrages? It’s just past 0200 local in Tel Aviv time now. Iran has over 3,000 ballistic missiles but cannot launch all simultaneously (they’ve already launched 8 waves). Current evidence leans toward a maximum of around 180-200 missiles launched at once in recent attacks. It seems very likely that infrastructure limits simultaneous launches to far below 3,000. Iran possesses a significant ballistic missile arsenal, estimated at over 3,000 missiles, making it the largest in the Middle East. However, the capacity to launch all these missiles at once is constrained by logistical and strategic factors, including the number of launch platforms and the nature of their deployment. Recent military actions show Iran launching up to 180-200 missiles in a single strike. These numbers are significantly lower than 3,000, indicating a limit to simultaneous launch capacity. Iran's infrastructure and launch capacity, including transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) and underground facilities, does not support launching 3,000 missiles at once. The focus on sequential or ripple-fire systems further supports this limitation. My assessment is Iran is getting toward the end of their ballistic missile capacity (for a variety of reasons). They likely still retain hundreds but their ability to launch very large numbers is hindered by infrastructure destruction over the past several days as well as launch capabilities. That said, DO NOT underestimate Iran’s ability to do as much as humanly possible to attempt to destroy Israel. That has been their stated goal for years and until there is regime change to someone more aligned with Israel and the west, expect this war to continue. Iran's ballistic missile program has been a focal point of regional and international security discussions for many years, particularly given its implications for Middle Eastern stability and global non-proliferation efforts. Iran's ballistic missile inventory comprises a diverse array of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). One notable development is an automated missile launch system revealed since 2020, capable of positioning up to five fully fueled ballistic missiles on an underground railcar for sequential ripple-fire through a single vertical shaft. This is what Israel is facing now. Barrages of dozens of these simultaneously and my assessment is more to come. Strategic and Logistical Considerations Launching 3,000 missiles simultaneously would require an unprecedented number of launch platforms and coordination, likely exceeding Iran's current capabilities. Strategically, such an action would deplete Iran's entire arsenal, leaving it vulnerable to counterattacks. Our Israeli allies need to prepare for another round of massive amounts of missiles. Iran—you better get ready for a strategic counteroffensive. The Israelis have planned this war for a long time and my sense is that they are far more ready than you, particularly their population. The Iranian people DO NOT want to suffer any longer under their brutal tyrannical regime. This war will end with a clear victor. Donald J. Trump JD Vance DNI Tulsi Gabbard

General Mike Flynn

724,748 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨An underground missile manufacturing facility tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard infrastructure has reportedly been taken out. According to the post, the strike destroyed more than 100 partially manufactured long-range missiles before they could ever be deployed. Think about the implications of that. Every missile destroyed in a factory is one that never launches… one that never reaches a city… one that never threatens civilians or military targets later. Facilities like these are not simple workshops. They are the industrial backbone behind missile programs… the places where propulsion systems, guidance packages, and warheads are assembled before deployment. When a production site like that goes offline, it doesn’t just remove existing weapons. It disrupts the entire pipeline. Components… engineers… assembly lines… logistics… everything connected to that network suddenly collapses. If the report is accurate and the factory is truly out of service, that represents a major blow to the ability to produce long-range strike systems. The strategic significance of destroying a missile factory is enormous. Because the most effective way to stop missiles… is to eliminate them before they ever leave the ground. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

🚨An underground missile manufacturing facility tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard infrastructure has reportedly been taken out. According to the post, the strike destroyed more than 100 partially manufactured long-range missiles before they could ever be deployed. Think about the implications of that. Every missile destroyed in a factory is one that never launches… one that never reaches a city… one that never threatens civilians or military targets later. Facilities like these are not simple workshops. They are the industrial backbone behind missile programs… the places where propulsion systems, guidance packages, and warheads are assembled before deployment. When a production site like that goes offline, it doesn’t just remove existing weapons. It disrupts the entire pipeline. Components… engineers… assembly lines… logistics… everything connected to that network suddenly collapses. If the report is accurate and the factory is truly out of service, that represents a major blow to the ability to produce long-range strike systems. The strategic significance of destroying a missile factory is enormous. Because the most effective way to stop missiles… is to eliminate them before they ever leave the ground. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

A Gene Robinson

17,421 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 WHY THE UNITED STATES HALTED A PLANNED STRIKE ON IRAN United States prepared and then halted a military strike on Iran point to a calculated decision rooted in U.S. national interest, risk management, and strategic restraint rather than weakness. 1. Avoiding a Wider War That Would Hurt U.S. Interests U.S. defense planners assessed that a direct strike on Iran could rapidly escalate into a regional conflict. Iran has the ability to retaliate through missile attacks, proxy forces, and disruption of global energy routes. Such an escalation would place U.S. troops, allies, and global markets at serious risk. From a U.S. perspective, a controlled environment is preferable to an open ended war. 2. No Clear Strategic Gain from Immediate Military Action Senior U.S. officials reportedly questioned whether a strike would achieve a decisive outcome. Without a clear path to degrading Iran’s long term capabilities or changing its behavior, a limited attack risked becoming symbolic rather than strategically effective. U.S. military doctrine prioritizes actions that deliver measurable and lasting advantages. 3. Protection of U.S. Forces and Bases in the Region Iran and its aligned groups have demonstrated the capability to strike U.S. bases across the Middle East. Intelligence assessments likely warned that even a limited U.S. strike would trigger retaliation against American personnel. Preventing American casualties remains a top political and military priority in Washington. 4. Pressure from U.S. Partners and Allies Key U.S. partners in the Middle East reportedly urged caution. Gulf states and European allies warned that a strike could destabilize the region, threaten shipping lanes, and damage energy security. The United States weighed these concerns heavily, recognizing that alliance stability is a core pillar of American global power. 5. Strategic Signaling Without Pulling the Trigger By preparing a strike and then halting it, Washington still sent a clear deterrence message. The U.S. demonstrated readiness, capability, and resolve while retaining escalation control. This approach aligns with U.S. strategy of applying pressure without rushing into irreversible military action. The halt was not a retreat. It was a deliberate choice to protect American lives, preserve strategic leverage, and avoid a conflict that could spiral beyond control. The United States kept military options on the table while choosing a timing and method that best serves long term U.S. security interests.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 WHY THE UNITED STATES HALTED A PLANNED STRIKE ON IRAN United States prepared and then halted a military strike on Iran point to a calculated decision rooted in U.S. national interest, risk management, and strategic restraint rather than weakness. 1. Avoiding a Wider War That Would Hurt U.S. Interests U.S. defense planners assessed that a direct strike on Iran could rapidly escalate into a regional conflict. Iran has the ability to retaliate through missile attacks, proxy forces, and disruption of global energy routes. Such an escalation would place U.S. troops, allies, and global markets at serious risk. From a U.S. perspective, a controlled environment is preferable to an open ended war. 2. No Clear Strategic Gain from Immediate Military Action Senior U.S. officials reportedly questioned whether a strike would achieve a decisive outcome. Without a clear path to degrading Iran’s long term capabilities or changing its behavior, a limited attack risked becoming symbolic rather than strategically effective. U.S. military doctrine prioritizes actions that deliver measurable and lasting advantages. 3. Protection of U.S. Forces and Bases in the Region Iran and its aligned groups have demonstrated the capability to strike U.S. bases across the Middle East. Intelligence assessments likely warned that even a limited U.S. strike would trigger retaliation against American personnel. Preventing American casualties remains a top political and military priority in Washington. 4. Pressure from U.S. Partners and Allies Key U.S. partners in the Middle East reportedly urged caution. Gulf states and European allies warned that a strike could destabilize the region, threaten shipping lanes, and damage energy security. The United States weighed these concerns heavily, recognizing that alliance stability is a core pillar of American global power. 5. Strategic Signaling Without Pulling the Trigger By preparing a strike and then halting it, Washington still sent a clear deterrence message. The U.S. demonstrated readiness, capability, and resolve while retaining escalation control. This approach aligns with U.S. strategy of applying pressure without rushing into irreversible military action. The halt was not a retreat. It was a deliberate choice to protect American lives, preserve strategic leverage, and avoid a conflict that could spiral beyond control. The United States kept military options on the table while choosing a timing and method that best serves long term U.S. security interests.

Defense Intelligence

52,246 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Asmongold shows how easy it is to fool MAGA bots that the Iran war is going well. He believed a fake graph of Iranian missile launches. The numbers are made up and the source at the bottom is "IDF Spokesperson". The graph is three days old and predicted Iran would basically be out of missiles by today. The problem is, Iran has launched several waves of missiles TODAY ALONE and they've successfully targeted Israel multiple times along with several US bases. A US base is currently on fire! The building targeted housed a stockpile of patriot missiles which are in very short supply. Satellite imagery shows that over the course of thenl last week, Iran has destroyed a large portion of the radar, communications and air defense installations at most of the largest US bases in the region. None of this is known to Asmongold. He just sees a fake graph and says "these are the facts". The only thing aspect of this graph that's true is that Iran has reduced the total number of missiles and drones launched because the enemy interception rate has plummeted following the destruction of air defense systems and depletion of interceptors. Simply put, it takes fewer and fewer missiles and drones to strike targets, which allows Iran's stockpiles to last MUCH longer. This is very much a GOOD thing for Iran.

Asmongold shows how easy it is to fool MAGA bots that the Iran war is going well. He believed a fake graph of Iranian missile launches. The numbers are made up and the source at the bottom is "IDF Spokesperson". The graph is three days old and predicted Iran would basically be out of missiles by today. The problem is, Iran has launched several waves of missiles TODAY ALONE and they've successfully targeted Israel multiple times along with several US bases. A US base is currently on fire! The building targeted housed a stockpile of patriot missiles which are in very short supply. Satellite imagery shows that over the course of thenl last week, Iran has destroyed a large portion of the radar, communications and air defense installations at most of the largest US bases in the region. None of this is known to Asmongold. He just sees a fake graph and says "these are the facts". The only thing aspect of this graph that's true is that Iran has reduced the total number of missiles and drones launched because the enemy interception rate has plummeted following the destruction of air defense systems and depletion of interceptors. Simply put, it takes fewer and fewer missiles and drones to strike targets, which allows Iran's stockpiles to last MUCH longer. This is very much a GOOD thing for Iran.

Disinformation Tracker

78,219 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇮🇷🇮🇱| A little more to understand... My opinion: The war may end in a few days or last a lot longer—all depending on whether or not the US joins Israel. Israel is not able to fight against Iran for much longer; its interceptors have a certain capability threshold, and reports already suggest it is rationing its interceptor missiles, and we've seen how 12-17 interceptors were launched, yet Iranian missiles still made an impact. It all comes down to whether the US is willing to go to war with Iran or not; it's likely they will if you consider Trump's administrative behavior since he took office. But honestly, if they are smart, they will not. - A little about Iran's missile situation: Israel says it's conducting operations in northwestern and western Iran to prevent the reactivation of missile bases in Tabriz, Kermanshah, and Khorramabad. A significant portion of the Israeli Air Force is now focused on these 3 sites to prevent further missile launches from those locations. This suggests that the sites they claim they destroyed did not suffer strategic damage, and the destroyed hangars were of minimal value. As a result, Israel continuously carries out operations and remains engaged to prevent Iran from reactivating its capabilities in the west. If these 3 regions are abandoned, Israel will move on to target other strategic sites. These 3 missile bases are among Iran's key assets. The missiles are intact and untouched, it's the launchers that are affected, and they can easily be reactivated, but it's difficult under continuous attacks. Other missile bases in the south remain untouched and have so far not been used, as they are probably being reserved for strikes against the US. Missile launches are mainly launched from the center and north of Iran, some from the western regions as well. The reason for limited and isolated launches these past few days has several explanations, mainly that Iran is testing to recognize new patterns everytime a serious attack is carried out, as Israel continuously changes its defensive behavior to prevent Iran's intelligence from learning it; thus, isolated launches, followed by a bigger, deadlier, and more accurate attack with 30 launches as we saw today.

🇮🇷🇮🇱| A little more to understand... My opinion: The war may end in a few days or last a lot longer—all depending on whether or not the US joins Israel. Israel is not able to fight against Iran for much longer; its interceptors have a certain capability threshold, and reports already suggest it is rationing its interceptor missiles, and we've seen how 12-17 interceptors were launched, yet Iranian missiles still made an impact. It all comes down to whether the US is willing to go to war with Iran or not; it's likely they will if you consider Trump's administrative behavior since he took office. But honestly, if they are smart, they will not. - A little about Iran's missile situation: Israel says it's conducting operations in northwestern and western Iran to prevent the reactivation of missile bases in Tabriz, Kermanshah, and Khorramabad. A significant portion of the Israeli Air Force is now focused on these 3 sites to prevent further missile launches from those locations. This suggests that the sites they claim they destroyed did not suffer strategic damage, and the destroyed hangars were of minimal value. As a result, Israel continuously carries out operations and remains engaged to prevent Iran from reactivating its capabilities in the west. If these 3 regions are abandoned, Israel will move on to target other strategic sites. These 3 missile bases are among Iran's key assets. The missiles are intact and untouched, it's the launchers that are affected, and they can easily be reactivated, but it's difficult under continuous attacks. Other missile bases in the south remain untouched and have so far not been used, as they are probably being reserved for strikes against the US. Missile launches are mainly launched from the center and north of Iran, some from the western regions as well. The reason for limited and isolated launches these past few days has several explanations, mainly that Iran is testing to recognize new patterns everytime a serious attack is carried out, as Israel continuously changes its defensive behavior to prevent Iran's intelligence from learning it; thus, isolated launches, followed by a bigger, deadlier, and more accurate attack with 30 launches as we saw today.

Arya - آریا

55,523 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Iran fired two ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia this week. That’s a tiny British-American dot in the Indian Ocean that most people couldn’t find on a map, which is precisely why it matters. The range was 4,000 kilometers. Four thousand. To put that in perspective, 4,000 kilometers from Tehran gets you to Rome. Athens. Cairo. Southern Europe is well within reach. London and Paris are further, but don’t sleep too well either. This is not what Tehran told anyone their missiles could do. So either they’ve been lying, or the intelligence community has been spectacularly wrong. Possibly both. One missile failed mid-flight, which is the kind of thing that happens when you build intercontinental weapons in a country that can’t keep the lights on. The other was shot down by a U.S. warship with an SM-3 interceptor, which Trump has already counted as winning the war. For the third time. Now here’s the bit nobody wants to say out loud: the strike came hours after Britain’s Keir Starmer gave Washington permission to use Diego Garcia to bomb Iranian missile sites. So Iran bombed the base we lent them. With a missile nobody knew they had. The war just acquired a completely new dimension. And the man in the White House is busy declaring victory. Iran decides when this stops. Not him. Gandalv / Gandalv

Iran fired two ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia this week. That’s a tiny British-American dot in the Indian Ocean that most people couldn’t find on a map, which is precisely why it matters. The range was 4,000 kilometers. Four thousand. To put that in perspective, 4,000 kilometers from Tehran gets you to Rome. Athens. Cairo. Southern Europe is well within reach. London and Paris are further, but don’t sleep too well either. This is not what Tehran told anyone their missiles could do. So either they’ve been lying, or the intelligence community has been spectacularly wrong. Possibly both. One missile failed mid-flight, which is the kind of thing that happens when you build intercontinental weapons in a country that can’t keep the lights on. The other was shot down by a U.S. warship with an SM-3 interceptor, which Trump has already counted as winning the war. For the third time. Now here’s the bit nobody wants to say out loud: the strike came hours after Britain’s Keir Starmer gave Washington permission to use Diego Garcia to bomb Iranian missile sites. So Iran bombed the base we lent them. With a missile nobody knew they had. The war just acquired a completely new dimension. And the man in the White House is busy declaring victory. Iran decides when this stops. Not him. Gandalv / Gandalv

Gandalv

5,031,929 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

No,it's not. They can be easily detected The Iran–US–Israel war is now a war of missile inventories, not armies. Here are the hard facts about Iran’s arsenal, underground launches, and how the war is evolving. 1️⃣ Iran’s Missile Arsenal (Before War) • ~2,500–3,000 ballistic missiles total • 14+ missile types • Largest missile stockpile in the Middle East • Ranges up to ~2,000 km (enough to strike Israel and US bases) This includes: • Shahab-3 • Ghadr-H • Sejjil-2 • Kheibar-Shekan • Khorramshahr-4 • Fateh-110 • Haj Qasem precision missiles Many travel Mach 10–15 and carry 500–1,500 kg warheads. 2️⃣ How many missiles Iran still has Estimates vary due to active combat: • ~2,000 heavy ballistic missiles may still remain in the arsenal • Some intelligence estimates put total remaining stock around 1,500–2,000 missiles • Western officials say launch rates are dropping due to destroyed launch sites Iran also has thousands of drones which are cheaper and easier to produce. 3️⃣ What weapons Iran is using now Primary strike systems: 🔹 Ballistic missiles • Kheibar-Shekan • Sejjil • Ghadr • Shahab-3 🔹 Hypersonic systems • Fattah-1 / Fattah-2 reportedly used recently 🔹 Cruise missiles • Soumar • Hoveyzeh 🔹 Drone swarms • Shahed-136 • Arash long-range drones The strategy: Overwhelm air defenses with mass launches. 4️⃣ Underground missile cities Iran launches missiles from: • mountain tunnels • underground depots • mobile TEL launchers Missiles roll out, erect, and launch within minutes — making pre-strike detection extremely difficult. This doctrine was built specifically to survive US air superiority. 5️⃣ How the war is going right now Current battlefield situation: • US-Israel strikes hit 2,000+ Iranian targets including missile bases • Iran launched hundreds of missiles and drones across the Gulf and Israel • IRGC continues retaliation despite leadership losses US and Israeli officials say: ➡ Iran’s missile capability may already be reduced by up to 80%+ in some regions due to strikes on launch infrastructure. But Iran still has enough missiles for sustained attacks. 6️⃣ Important reality Iran does NOT have a confirmed operational ICBM force yet. Most missiles are: • SRBM: 300–700 km • MRBM: 1,000–2,500 km Meaning: ✔ Israel ✔ US bases in Middle East ✔ Gulf oil infrastructure are within range. But continental US is not. 7️⃣ What happens next The war is entering a dangerous phase: • US moving air campaign deeper into Iran • Iran conserving remaining missiles • Drone and proxy attacks increasing This is becoming a long attrition war of missiles vs air defense interceptors. The side that runs out of missiles or interceptors first will lose the strategic edge.

No,it's not. They can be easily detected The Iran–US–Israel war is now a war of missile inventories, not armies. Here are the hard facts about Iran’s arsenal, underground launches, and how the war is evolving. 1️⃣ Iran’s Missile Arsenal (Before War) • ~2,500–3,000 ballistic missiles total • 14+ missile types • Largest missile stockpile in the Middle East • Ranges up to ~2,000 km (enough to strike Israel and US bases) This includes: • Shahab-3 • Ghadr-H • Sejjil-2 • Kheibar-Shekan • Khorramshahr-4 • Fateh-110 • Haj Qasem precision missiles Many travel Mach 10–15 and carry 500–1,500 kg warheads. 2️⃣ How many missiles Iran still has Estimates vary due to active combat: • ~2,000 heavy ballistic missiles may still remain in the arsenal • Some intelligence estimates put total remaining stock around 1,500–2,000 missiles • Western officials say launch rates are dropping due to destroyed launch sites Iran also has thousands of drones which are cheaper and easier to produce. 3️⃣ What weapons Iran is using now Primary strike systems: 🔹 Ballistic missiles • Kheibar-Shekan • Sejjil • Ghadr • Shahab-3 🔹 Hypersonic systems • Fattah-1 / Fattah-2 reportedly used recently 🔹 Cruise missiles • Soumar • Hoveyzeh 🔹 Drone swarms • Shahed-136 • Arash long-range drones The strategy: Overwhelm air defenses with mass launches. 4️⃣ Underground missile cities Iran launches missiles from: • mountain tunnels • underground depots • mobile TEL launchers Missiles roll out, erect, and launch within minutes — making pre-strike detection extremely difficult. This doctrine was built specifically to survive US air superiority. 5️⃣ How the war is going right now Current battlefield situation: • US-Israel strikes hit 2,000+ Iranian targets including missile bases • Iran launched hundreds of missiles and drones across the Gulf and Israel • IRGC continues retaliation despite leadership losses US and Israeli officials say: ➡ Iran’s missile capability may already be reduced by up to 80%+ in some regions due to strikes on launch infrastructure. But Iran still has enough missiles for sustained attacks. 6️⃣ Important reality Iran does NOT have a confirmed operational ICBM force yet. Most missiles are: • SRBM: 300–700 km • MRBM: 1,000–2,500 km Meaning: ✔ Israel ✔ US bases in Middle East ✔ Gulf oil infrastructure are within range. But continental US is not. 7️⃣ What happens next The war is entering a dangerous phase: • US moving air campaign deeper into Iran • Iran conserving remaining missiles • Drone and proxy attacks increasing This is becoming a long attrition war of missiles vs air defense interceptors. The side that runs out of missiles or interceptors first will lose the strategic edge.

Cultslinger07

42,652 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 After reports that a U.S A-10 Warthog crashed near the Strait of Hormuz, it raises the question: how easy is it to shoot down? The A-10 looks like an easy target. It’s slow, flies low, and lacks the sleek defenses of modern jets. But the A-10 wasn’t designed to avoid being shot at, it was designed to survive it. Everything about the aircraft reflects that mindset. The pilot sits inside a titanium armored shell, critical systems are duplicated, and the engines are spaced to reduce the chance of a single strike taking the plane down. Even the fuel system is built to limit catastrophic damage. Combat history shows the result. During the Gulf War, A-10s routinely returned to base with severe damage, shredded wings, failed hydraulics, and systems barely holding together, yet still managed to complete their missions. Modern air defenses can certainly hit an A-10. The challenge is finishing the job. Flying low among terrain and battlefield clutter, the aircraft complicates clean targeting, and its resilience means that a hit is often not enough. That durability is what keeps it relevant. While newer aircraft rely on speed or stealth to stay safe, the A-10 relies on something more old-fashioned: the ability to endure. It isn’t invulnerable, but it was built with a simple assumption that many aircraft avoid, that war will reach it. And when it does, the A-10 is expected to fly home anyway.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 After reports that a U.S A-10 Warthog crashed near the Strait of Hormuz, it raises the question: how easy is it to shoot down? The A-10 looks like an easy target. It’s slow, flies low, and lacks the sleek defenses of modern jets. But the A-10 wasn’t designed to avoid being shot at, it was designed to survive it. Everything about the aircraft reflects that mindset. The pilot sits inside a titanium armored shell, critical systems are duplicated, and the engines are spaced to reduce the chance of a single strike taking the plane down. Even the fuel system is built to limit catastrophic damage. Combat history shows the result. During the Gulf War, A-10s routinely returned to base with severe damage, shredded wings, failed hydraulics, and systems barely holding together, yet still managed to complete their missions. Modern air defenses can certainly hit an A-10. The challenge is finishing the job. Flying low among terrain and battlefield clutter, the aircraft complicates clean targeting, and its resilience means that a hit is often not enough. That durability is what keeps it relevant. While newer aircraft rely on speed or stealth to stay safe, the A-10 relies on something more old-fashioned: the ability to endure. It isn’t invulnerable, but it was built with a simple assumption that many aircraft avoid, that war will reach it. And when it does, the A-10 is expected to fly home anyway.

Mario Nawfal

594,547 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

We continue to analyze the technical details of the war with Iran, and we would like to note the Iranian novelty - subsonic barraging anti-aircraft missiles Missile 358, equipped with compact turbojet engines. To some extent unexpectedly, they showed good effectiveness against Israeli reconnaissance and strike UAVs Hermes-900. The key role is played by the thermal homing head: it is able to reliably detect and track a wide range of heat-contrasting targets, including UAVs with various flight profiles. An additional advantage is the command and telemetry channel, which ensures data transmission and allows for radio correction of the trajectory. This is especially important in situations when the target attempts to disrupt the capture with infrared decoys or other means of counteraction. According to the stated parameters, the range of application of Missile 358 reaches about 100 km. At the same time, the maximum interception altitude is about 8.5 km, and the speed is up to 700 km/h, which expands the capabilities of the complex in covering objects and intercepting medium-altitude UAVs. Of course, this is a niche tool, and compared to solid-fuel missiles, the turbojet engine provides exponentially higher flight energy. This allows to dramatically increase the range at low speed, and the mass of the main units of the ammunition, its warhead and control system. On the other hand, this is a solution of necessity, because classic anti-aircraft missiles perfectly hit such high-altitude and slow-moving targets. But for such ammunition, no radar, complex and expensive beam installations are required, which greatly improves its survivability under constant air strikes. And in its niche of targets, there are enough of them, as such UAVs of Israel and the USA are the basis of UCAV, and are constantly over the territory of Iran. So with the 358th ammunition, you can score quite a lot of frags, and significantly complicate air strikes on Iran for the Epstein coalition. Russian Engineer -

We continue to analyze the technical details of the war with Iran, and we would like to note the Iranian novelty - subsonic barraging anti-aircraft missiles Missile 358, equipped with compact turbojet engines. To some extent unexpectedly, they showed good effectiveness against Israeli reconnaissance and strike UAVs Hermes-900. The key role is played by the thermal homing head: it is able to reliably detect and track a wide range of heat-contrasting targets, including UAVs with various flight profiles. An additional advantage is the command and telemetry channel, which ensures data transmission and allows for radio correction of the trajectory. This is especially important in situations when the target attempts to disrupt the capture with infrared decoys or other means of counteraction. According to the stated parameters, the range of application of Missile 358 reaches about 100 km. At the same time, the maximum interception altitude is about 8.5 km, and the speed is up to 700 km/h, which expands the capabilities of the complex in covering objects and intercepting medium-altitude UAVs. Of course, this is a niche tool, and compared to solid-fuel missiles, the turbojet engine provides exponentially higher flight energy. This allows to dramatically increase the range at low speed, and the mass of the main units of the ammunition, its warhead and control system. On the other hand, this is a solution of necessity, because classic anti-aircraft missiles perfectly hit such high-altitude and slow-moving targets. But for such ammunition, no radar, complex and expensive beam installations are required, which greatly improves its survivability under constant air strikes. And in its niche of targets, there are enough of them, as such UAVs of Israel and the USA are the basis of UCAV, and are constantly over the territory of Iran. So with the 358th ammunition, you can score quite a lot of frags, and significantly complicate air strikes on Iran for the Epstein coalition. Russian Engineer -

𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺🇮🇪

17,874 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇷🇺 “The attack on Cheboksary with a ‘Flamingo’-type missile showed that there are huge holes in Russia’s air defense system.” 🔻 “A simple Ukrainian cruise missile, which does not have the ability to fly along the terrain and is launched directly from Ukrainian territory, spent almost an hour and a half in the air and could not be detected, intercepted by fighter jets, or shot down by anti-aircraft missile systems. That is, without radars, the air defense of the Russian Federation is ineffective.” 🔻 “In the event of an attack by NATO or the United States, they can use hundreds and thousands of Tomahawk, Storm Shadow, and JASSM cruise missiles against us. In such a case, we will not be able to repel such an attack and will suffer enormous damage. As already happened in Iraq, Yugoslavia, and Iran.” — writes Russian imperialist journalist Maxim Kalashnikov. This is another highly critical and realistic assessment from a prominent Russian Z-imperialist voice. Kalashnikov openly acknowledges serious gaps in Russia’s air defense, especially against relatively simple but long-range Ukrainian strikes. His warning about vulnerability to large-scale Western cruise missile attacks highlights the broader strategic risks Russia faces the longer the war continues. Video is generated by grok AI

🇷🇺 “The attack on Cheboksary with a ‘Flamingo’-type missile showed that there are huge holes in Russia’s air defense system.” 🔻 “A simple Ukrainian cruise missile, which does not have the ability to fly along the terrain and is launched directly from Ukrainian territory, spent almost an hour and a half in the air and could not be detected, intercepted by fighter jets, or shot down by anti-aircraft missile systems. That is, without radars, the air defense of the Russian Federation is ineffective.” 🔻 “In the event of an attack by NATO or the United States, they can use hundreds and thousands of Tomahawk, Storm Shadow, and JASSM cruise missiles against us. In such a case, we will not be able to repel such an attack and will suffer enormous damage. As already happened in Iraq, Yugoslavia, and Iran.” — writes Russian imperialist journalist Maxim Kalashnikov. This is another highly critical and realistic assessment from a prominent Russian Z-imperialist voice. Kalashnikov openly acknowledges serious gaps in Russia’s air defense, especially against relatively simple but long-range Ukrainian strikes. His warning about vulnerability to large-scale Western cruise missile attacks highlights the broader strategic risks Russia faces the longer the war continues. Video is generated by grok AI

Visioner

44,563 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

JUST IN: 🇹🇷🇮🇱 If Turkey And Israel Went To War, These 5 Israeli Weapons Could Change The Game If Turkey and Israel ever entered a direct war, Israel could rely on a powerful combination of stealth fighters, long range air launched missiles and layered missile defense: 🇮🇱 1. F-35I Adir, Israel’s stealth fighter could spearhead attacks against heavily defended targets, using low observability and advanced sensors to penetrate hostile airspace. 🇮🇱 2. F-15I + Golden Horizon: This could be one of Israel’s most dangerous long range strike combinations. Golden Horizon is reportedly a highly secretive air launched ballistic missile believed to be designed for deep strikes against hardened and high value targets. Open source reports have linked it to the Sparrow missile family, with some assessments suggesting a range potentially reaching 1,000–2,000 km, although these figures are not officially confirmed. 🇮🇱 3. Rampage / ROCKS: Israel’s air launched ballistic missile family provides another potential stand off strike capability, allowing aircraft to attack from considerable distance rather than relying solely on penetrating aircraft. 🇮🇱 4. Jericho Missile Family: Israel’s strategic missile force provides a long range deterrent capability, although details surrounding its operational configuration remain highly classified. 🇮🇱 5. Arrow 3: If ballistic missiles were launched toward Israel, Arrow 3 would form part of the country’s high altitude missile defense shield, adding another layer to Israel’s already extensive air defense network. 👀 The most dangerous Israeli advantage would not be one weapon, it would be the combination of F-35 stealth, F-15 long range strike, air launched ballistic missiles and layered missile defense. But a Turkey Israel war would be an unprecedented conflict, and no serious analysis could guarantee which side would prevail.

JUST IN: 🇹🇷🇮🇱 If Turkey And Israel Went To War, These 5 Israeli Weapons Could Change The Game If Turkey and Israel ever entered a direct war, Israel could rely on a powerful combination of stealth fighters, long range air launched missiles and layered missile defense: 🇮🇱 1. F-35I Adir, Israel’s stealth fighter could spearhead attacks against heavily defended targets, using low observability and advanced sensors to penetrate hostile airspace. 🇮🇱 2. F-15I + Golden Horizon: This could be one of Israel’s most dangerous long range strike combinations. Golden Horizon is reportedly a highly secretive air launched ballistic missile believed to be designed for deep strikes against hardened and high value targets. Open source reports have linked it to the Sparrow missile family, with some assessments suggesting a range potentially reaching 1,000–2,000 km, although these figures are not officially confirmed. 🇮🇱 3. Rampage / ROCKS: Israel’s air launched ballistic missile family provides another potential stand off strike capability, allowing aircraft to attack from considerable distance rather than relying solely on penetrating aircraft. 🇮🇱 4. Jericho Missile Family: Israel’s strategic missile force provides a long range deterrent capability, although details surrounding its operational configuration remain highly classified. 🇮🇱 5. Arrow 3: If ballistic missiles were launched toward Israel, Arrow 3 would form part of the country’s high altitude missile defense shield, adding another layer to Israel’s already extensive air defense network. 👀 The most dangerous Israeli advantage would not be one weapon, it would be the combination of F-35 stealth, F-15 long range strike, air launched ballistic missiles and layered missile defense. But a Turkey Israel war would be an unprecedented conflict, and no serious analysis could guarantee which side would prevail.

War Radar

117,759 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

🚨🇮🇷 FURY ERUPTS ON THE STREETS OF SOUTHERN IRAN: “KHAMENEI IS A KILLER” In the city of Fasa, southern Iran, protesters have once again done the unthinkable: they’re shouting down the regime by name. “Khamenei is a killer, his rule is illegitimate,” echoed through the streets in video footage, and it wasn't exactly a protest chant, it was a direct call for the end of the regime. This kind of defiance doesn’t happen in a vacuum, Iranians are fed up with decades of authoritarian rule, brutal crackdowns, skyrocketing inflation, and a regime more obsessed with proxy wars than feeding its people. These protests are ultimately about survival, and when people risk prison, torture, or worse just to speak truth out loud, it means something inside the system is breaking. The regime thrives on fear, but when cities like Fasa start chanting publicly for its downfall, that fear starts collapsing, and once it does, the regime’s power goes with it. Source: Iran International English, ايران اينترنشنال

🚨🇮🇷 FURY ERUPTS ON THE STREETS OF SOUTHERN IRAN: “KHAMENEI IS A KILLER” In the city of Fasa, southern Iran, protesters have once again done the unthinkable: they’re shouting down the regime by name. “Khamenei is a killer, his rule is illegitimate,” echoed through the streets in video footage, and it wasn't exactly a protest chant, it was a direct call for the end of the regime. This kind of defiance doesn’t happen in a vacuum, Iranians are fed up with decades of authoritarian rule, brutal crackdowns, skyrocketing inflation, and a regime more obsessed with proxy wars than feeding its people. These protests are ultimately about survival, and when people risk prison, torture, or worse just to speak truth out loud, it means something inside the system is breaking. The regime thrives on fear, but when cities like Fasa start chanting publicly for its downfall, that fear starts collapsing, and once it does, the regime’s power goes with it. Source: Iran International English, ايران اينترنشنال

Mario Nawfal

34,045 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🚨BREAKING: American B-52 Stratofortress bombers are now striking Iranian military targets. When America unleashes the B-52, it means one thing… overwhelming airpower. These aircraft carry some of the largest payloads in military aviation and are designed to dismantle missile sites, launch facilities, and military infrastructure with precision and scale. For decades the B-52 has been a symbol of American reach. It can fly across oceans, deliver massive strike capability, and return home without the enemy ever touching it. Iran’s ballistic missile network has threatened civilians, allies, and U.S. forces across the region. Now the platforms built to neutralize those threats are in the air. American air superiority changes the battlefield. When the Stratofortress shows up, the message is clear… the United States has entered the fight with unmatched force projection. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

🚨BREAKING: American B-52 Stratofortress bombers are now striking Iranian military targets. When America unleashes the B-52, it means one thing… overwhelming airpower. These aircraft carry some of the largest payloads in military aviation and are designed to dismantle missile sites, launch facilities, and military infrastructure with precision and scale. For decades the B-52 has been a symbol of American reach. It can fly across oceans, deliver massive strike capability, and return home without the enemy ever touching it. Iran’s ballistic missile network has threatened civilians, allies, and U.S. forces across the region. Now the platforms built to neutralize those threats are in the air. American air superiority changes the battlefield. When the Stratofortress shows up, the message is clear… the United States has entered the fight with unmatched force projection. #SilentMajoritySpeaks #AStoneGroove

A Gene Robinson

1,982,807 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇺🇦 Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, General Oleksandr Syrskyi, has approved the concept for the development of missile troops and artillery until 2030. 🔺 The document provides for the completion of work and the launch of mass serial production of domestically produced ballistic and cruise missiles. In combination with unmanned systems, this will make it possible to create a balanced long-range fire system capable of destroying targets at distances of up to 2,000 kilometers. This long-term concept is a clear strategic signal. Ukraine is systematically building its own high-precision, long-range strike capabilities. Achieving a 2,000 km range would allow Ukrainian forces to reach virtually any target in European Russia, fundamentally altering the balance of the war and reducing dependence on foreign partners for deep strikes. Video is generated by grok AI

🇺🇦 Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, General Oleksandr Syrskyi, has approved the concept for the development of missile troops and artillery until 2030. 🔺 The document provides for the completion of work and the launch of mass serial production of domestically produced ballistic and cruise missiles. In combination with unmanned systems, this will make it possible to create a balanced long-range fire system capable of destroying targets at distances of up to 2,000 kilometers. This long-term concept is a clear strategic signal. Ukraine is systematically building its own high-precision, long-range strike capabilities. Achieving a 2,000 km range would allow Ukrainian forces to reach virtually any target in European Russia, fundamentally altering the balance of the war and reducing dependence on foreign partners for deep strikes. Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

47,000 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

❗️❗️🇩🇪🇺🇸Germany has officially signaled the end of its post-Cold War military passivity, sealing a historic deal with the United States to acquire nuclear-capable Tomahawk cruise missiles to close a critical strategic gap in its national defense. German political leader Friedrich Merz confirmed the breakthrough agreement, stating that the long-range precision missiles will serve as a vital, immediate stopgap while Germany simultaneously collaborates with regional partners to develop sovereign, next-generation European deep-strike weapon systems. This massive acquisition represents a rapid pivot toward establishing a formidable, independent conventional deterrent designed to project raw military power far beyond NATO's current boundaries and hold hostile capitals at risk. This decision marks a seismic geopolitical shift that permanently upends European security dynamics. By anchoring its military strategy around long-range, offensive Tomahawk cruise missiles, Germany is discarding decades of defensive hesitation and explicitly preparing for high-intensity, deep-theater warfare—sending an unmistakable warning to Russia that Berlin is ready to match Moscow's missile threats stroke for stroke.

❗️❗️🇩🇪🇺🇸Germany has officially signaled the end of its post-Cold War military passivity, sealing a historic deal with the United States to acquire nuclear-capable Tomahawk cruise missiles to close a critical strategic gap in its national defense. German political leader Friedrich Merz confirmed the breakthrough agreement, stating that the long-range precision missiles will serve as a vital, immediate stopgap while Germany simultaneously collaborates with regional partners to develop sovereign, next-generation European deep-strike weapon systems. This massive acquisition represents a rapid pivot toward establishing a formidable, independent conventional deterrent designed to project raw military power far beyond NATO's current boundaries and hold hostile capitals at risk. This decision marks a seismic geopolitical shift that permanently upends European security dynamics. By anchoring its military strategy around long-range, offensive Tomahawk cruise missiles, Germany is discarding decades of defensive hesitation and explicitly preparing for high-intensity, deep-theater warfare—sending an unmistakable warning to Russia that Berlin is ready to match Moscow's missile threats stroke for stroke.

NSTRIKE

32,279 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

What if any preparations have you seen Iran make ahead of the war? Can you discuss It’s missile capabilities? Any intelligence capabilities? Any surprises it might happen in store? When the 12-day war ended, I estimated that Iran would need about six months to recover, including its nuclear program. Contrary to popular belief, Iran did not lose its entire long-range or medium-range air defense network; while some launchers were damaged, the primary targets of the Israeli strikes were the radar systems. Once the radars were neutralized, Iran successfully hid the bulk of its remaining batteries, leaving much of its arsenal intact. In contrast, short-range systems like the Tor-M1 and domestic variants were heavily engaged against cruise missiles, often being lost or damaged only after their ammunition was completely exhausted. Since then, Iran has worked to rebuild its destroyed radar network and, above all, to implement a genuine counterintelligence doctrine. The Mossad operations against Iranian radars and air defense systems have shaped new perimeter defense and counterintelligence doctrines not only in Iran but in other countries as well. If we look at the quantity of weapons and the organization of armed groups during Iran’s most recent protests, I would say the problem of foreign intelligence operations inside the country remains severe. This seriously threatens much of Iran’s capabilities, and I foresee a wave of sabotage operations as a new war draws closer. Iran has begun receiving collaboration from China across multiple areas,from satellites to internal counterintelligence, but it may still take some time for this to produce tangible results. During the last years, the Mossad relied heavily on cell phones, using SMS for recruitment and accessing device GPS for target location. Iran has since focused intensely on preventing any repetition of this, and on this specific issue, the Chinese appear to have provided support. Although foreign intelligence services have operated extensively inside Iran, the scale of any armed opposition groups is negligible compared to the Iranian armed forces, which could still draw on allied paramilitaries and militias in neighboring countries, including the Houthis. Iran has become a missile power with a stockpile far larger than Western estimates suggest. As early as 1998, Iran was already producing missiles with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, and it has continued doing so ever since, developing 12 to 15 different models in that range - meaning all are capable of reaching Israel. That is nearly 30 years of continuous missile production, resulting in a stockpile of several thousands. Another area where Iran has emerged as a global power is drones, including underwater ones. Iran’s UUVs have evolved rapidly into mass-produced models with integrated AI, and I believe they hold some major surprises in reserve. A key point today is that the AN/TPY-2 radars, which played a critical role in tracking Iranian missiles, would be among the first targets to be engaged. These high-powered X-band radars are the backbone of regional missile defense, providing essential data to THAAD and Patriot batteries. However, because they are large, stationary, and emit high-energy signals, they are highly vulnerable to a first-strike or saturation attack, which would effectively 'blind' the entire defensive network. Obviously, a defense budget of nearly one trillion dollars cannot be compared to Iran’s, but the real question is whether the cost and effort are worth the potential casualties. Even without Israel, the Americans maintain an immense advantage in aerial operations over Iran; however, as I have stated before, this superiority does not translate to the maritime theater.

What if any preparations have you seen Iran make ahead of the war? Can you discuss It’s missile capabilities? Any intelligence capabilities? Any surprises it might happen in store? When the 12-day war ended, I estimated that Iran would need about six months to recover, including its nuclear program. Contrary to popular belief, Iran did not lose its entire long-range or medium-range air defense network; while some launchers were damaged, the primary targets of the Israeli strikes were the radar systems. Once the radars were neutralized, Iran successfully hid the bulk of its remaining batteries, leaving much of its arsenal intact. In contrast, short-range systems like the Tor-M1 and domestic variants were heavily engaged against cruise missiles, often being lost or damaged only after their ammunition was completely exhausted. Since then, Iran has worked to rebuild its destroyed radar network and, above all, to implement a genuine counterintelligence doctrine. The Mossad operations against Iranian radars and air defense systems have shaped new perimeter defense and counterintelligence doctrines not only in Iran but in other countries as well. If we look at the quantity of weapons and the organization of armed groups during Iran’s most recent protests, I would say the problem of foreign intelligence operations inside the country remains severe. This seriously threatens much of Iran’s capabilities, and I foresee a wave of sabotage operations as a new war draws closer. Iran has begun receiving collaboration from China across multiple areas,from satellites to internal counterintelligence, but it may still take some time for this to produce tangible results. During the last years, the Mossad relied heavily on cell phones, using SMS for recruitment and accessing device GPS for target location. Iran has since focused intensely on preventing any repetition of this, and on this specific issue, the Chinese appear to have provided support. Although foreign intelligence services have operated extensively inside Iran, the scale of any armed opposition groups is negligible compared to the Iranian armed forces, which could still draw on allied paramilitaries and militias in neighboring countries, including the Houthis. Iran has become a missile power with a stockpile far larger than Western estimates suggest. As early as 1998, Iran was already producing missiles with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, and it has continued doing so ever since, developing 12 to 15 different models in that range - meaning all are capable of reaching Israel. That is nearly 30 years of continuous missile production, resulting in a stockpile of several thousands. Another area where Iran has emerged as a global power is drones, including underwater ones. Iran’s UUVs have evolved rapidly into mass-produced models with integrated AI, and I believe they hold some major surprises in reserve. A key point today is that the AN/TPY-2 radars, which played a critical role in tracking Iranian missiles, would be among the first targets to be engaged. These high-powered X-band radars are the backbone of regional missile defense, providing essential data to THAAD and Patriot batteries. However, because they are large, stationary, and emit high-energy signals, they are highly vulnerable to a first-strike or saturation attack, which would effectively 'blind' the entire defensive network. Obviously, a defense budget of nearly one trillion dollars cannot be compared to Iran’s, but the real question is whether the cost and effort are worth the potential casualties. Even without Israel, the Americans maintain an immense advantage in aerial operations over Iran; however, as I have stated before, this superiority does not translate to the maritime theater.

Patricia Marins

21,142 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

America is not running out of bombs. It is running out of the shield that makes bombing Iran survivable. That is the war's real asymmetry, and it inverts everything. Once US aircraft flattened Iran's fixed air defences, America could swap million-dollar standoff missiles for cheap guided bombs. Offence got cheaper by the night. But there is no cheap way to stop a ballistic missile in flight. Iran's reply burns THAAD, Patriot and Standard Missiles, the scarcest, slowest-built weapons America owns. Tehran / IRGC does not need to out-bomb America. It needs its surviving mobile launchers to keep forcing those interceptors out of the tubes. The numbers are stark. Defending Israel the most closest and the most powerful Ally in the first phase, America fired more than 200 THAAD interceptors, roughly half the Pentagon's entire inventory, + over 100 Standard Missiles from Navy ships. Around 200 remain. No new interceptor has arrived since August 2023, and none is expected until 2027. Output is about 96 a year. Washington signed a 35 billion dollar contract to reach 400, over seven years. Money solved the order. It cannot solve time. One myth is worth correcting. Iran is not firing cheap drones to make THAAD shoot them down. THAAD kills ballistic missiles. The drones stretch radars, fighters and the lower layers, the cruise missiles hunt for gaps, and the ballistic missiles force the expensive shots. Iran is attacking the entire defensive stack, not trading one drone for one interceptor. Then China. It does not run a total embargo, and it does not control 98% of all rare earths. It controls roughly 98% of refined gallium, dominates the magnet chain, and runs a licensing system that quietly denies foreign defence buyers while civilian trade flows. America has received no Chinese yttrium for two months. Beijing can throttle the upstream of the very weapons Washington needs for the next war. Every interceptor fired over the Gulf is one unavailable to Ukraine, Korea or the Pacific. Iran's remaining launcher is worth more than the missile inside it, because it forces America to spend time, and time is the one munition no factory can surge. This war is not a test of which magazine empties first. It is a test of which side makes the other spend the future to survive the present. Oh boy!

America is not running out of bombs. It is running out of the shield that makes bombing Iran survivable. That is the war's real asymmetry, and it inverts everything. Once US aircraft flattened Iran's fixed air defences, America could swap million-dollar standoff missiles for cheap guided bombs. Offence got cheaper by the night. But there is no cheap way to stop a ballistic missile in flight. Iran's reply burns THAAD, Patriot and Standard Missiles, the scarcest, slowest-built weapons America owns. Tehran / IRGC does not need to out-bomb America. It needs its surviving mobile launchers to keep forcing those interceptors out of the tubes. The numbers are stark. Defending Israel the most closest and the most powerful Ally in the first phase, America fired more than 200 THAAD interceptors, roughly half the Pentagon's entire inventory, + over 100 Standard Missiles from Navy ships. Around 200 remain. No new interceptor has arrived since August 2023, and none is expected until 2027. Output is about 96 a year. Washington signed a 35 billion dollar contract to reach 400, over seven years. Money solved the order. It cannot solve time. One myth is worth correcting. Iran is not firing cheap drones to make THAAD shoot them down. THAAD kills ballistic missiles. The drones stretch radars, fighters and the lower layers, the cruise missiles hunt for gaps, and the ballistic missiles force the expensive shots. Iran is attacking the entire defensive stack, not trading one drone for one interceptor. Then China. It does not run a total embargo, and it does not control 98% of all rare earths. It controls roughly 98% of refined gallium, dominates the magnet chain, and runs a licensing system that quietly denies foreign defence buyers while civilian trade flows. America has received no Chinese yttrium for two months. Beijing can throttle the upstream of the very weapons Washington needs for the next war. Every interceptor fired over the Gulf is one unavailable to Ukraine, Korea or the Pacific. Iran's remaining launcher is worth more than the missile inside it, because it forces America to spend time, and time is the one munition no factory can surge. This war is not a test of which magazine empties first. It is a test of which side makes the other spend the future to survive the present. Oh boy!

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

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