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Trader Mayne thinks we will see one more leg up “The 4 year cycle model that I subscribe to is that we still have a few months left before the top. If that one last leg doesn’t come, then you have what’s known as a failed cycle and that... show more

Counterparty

12,661 subscribers

18,782 次观看 • 10 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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5 条评论

Counterparty 的头像

Counterparty10 个月前

FT @notthreadguy @Tradermayne

Tom 的头像

Tom10 个月前

Who is this weirdo threadguy person. Why are you shilling his awfulness.

fer 的头像

fer10 个月前

funny how every cycle ends with dudes convincing themselves there's one more leg up right before it all burns down 🔥

Beff Jezos 的头像

Beff Jezos10 个月前

aligned with this though think it’s closer to a few weeks than a few months

Degen 的头像

Degen10 个月前

@DubbingAgent dub in Chinese

相关视频

I have a theory that we have not seen the top in this cycle. That means you are EARLY #fartboy

I have a theory that we have not seen the top in this cycle. That means you are EARLY #fartboy

CoinsKid

19,453 次观看 • 1 年前

WHAT IF THE LAST $BTC DUMP ISN'T COMING? Almost everyone I know is positioned for it. One final flush. One clean macro bottom. Then straight up into the next bull run. But this cycle has already broken the old playbook multiple times: - ATH printed before the halving - Bottoms showing up earlier than usual - A top that could also land earlier The cycle is shifting while most traders are still trading the old 4 year script. That's the mistake I keep seeing. The market has a habit of punishing the trade everyone's waiting for. If 90% need one more leg down before they buy There's a real chance that leg down never shows up.

WHAT IF THE LAST $BTC DUMP ISN'T COMING? Almost everyone I know is positioned for it. One final flush. One clean macro bottom. Then straight up into the next bull run. But this cycle has already broken the old playbook multiple times: - ATH printed before the halving - Bottoms showing up earlier than usual - A top that could also land earlier The cycle is shifting while most traders are still trading the old 4 year script. That's the mistake I keep seeing. The market has a habit of punishing the trade everyone's waiting for. If 90% need one more leg down before they buy There's a real chance that leg down never shows up.

AlΞx Wacy 🌐

26,766 次观看 • 1 个月前

Everyone thinks the cycle is done… but the data says otherwise. In the last three major bull markets - 2013, 2017, 2021 - every blow-off-top indicator flashed red before the peak. This time? None of them hit. Not one. That’s why Ran Neuner believes we could still see a 2021-style comeback - a late-cycle surge driven by liquidity, sentiment, and one huge catalyst: the MSCI decision. Until then, the market may chop and drift, but the real move depends on what happens when that news hits. 🔴 If MSCI comes in negative? The cycle might be done. 🟢 If it’s positive? That cloud disappears… and the next leg opens up. Watch the full breakdown below. 👇

Everyone thinks the cycle is done… but the data says otherwise. In the last three major bull markets - 2013, 2017, 2021 - every blow-off-top indicator flashed red before the peak. This time? None of them hit. Not one. That’s why Ran Neuner believes we could still see a 2021-style comeback - a late-cycle surge driven by liquidity, sentiment, and one huge catalyst: the MSCI decision. Until then, the market may chop and drift, but the real move depends on what happens when that news hits. 🔴 If MSCI comes in negative? The cycle might be done. 🟢 If it’s positive? That cloud disappears… and the next leg opens up. Watch the full breakdown below. 👇

Crypto Banter

37,292 次观看 • 10 个月前

One thing I agree with my Democrat colleagues on is that for the last eight months, the House of Representatives has been poorly led. We own that, and we have to do something about it. My Democrat colleagues will have an opportunity to do something about that too, and we will see if they bail out our failed Speaker…

One thing I agree with my Democrat colleagues on is that for the last eight months, the House of Representatives has been poorly led. We own that, and we have to do something about it. My Democrat colleagues will have an opportunity to do something about that too, and we will see if they bail out our failed Speaker…

Former Congressman Matt Gaetz

1,174,316 次观看 • 3 年前

NEW: CZ says that he doesn’t trade crypto, he only holds $BTC and $BNB and he believes in 2026 the 4 year cycle will break and we will have a Bitcoin supercycle 🤯

NEW: CZ says that he doesn’t trade crypto, he only holds $BTC and $BNB and he believes in 2026 the 4 year cycle will break and we will have a Bitcoin supercycle 🤯

The ₿itcoin Therapist

225,572 次观看 • 8 个月前

Arteta says Arsenal will make some changes for the return leg against Bayer Leverkusen: 🗣️ “I said that emotionally it becomes a very different game because that is a team that is very, very good in transition and you have more hurry and more rush, create danger and to go and draw the game and you can get caught while doing that. “I liked that emotionally we understood what we had to do. The level of execution obviously has to be better and it will be better in the second leg. We will adapt a few things and yeah, we move on.” 🎙️ Tom Canton

Arteta says Arsenal will make some changes for the return leg against Bayer Leverkusen: 🗣️ “I said that emotionally it becomes a very different game because that is a team that is very, very good in transition and you have more hurry and more rush, create danger and to go and draw the game and you can get caught while doing that. “I liked that emotionally we understood what we had to do. The level of execution obviously has to be better and it will be better in the second leg. We will adapt a few things and yeah, we move on.” 🎙️ Tom Canton

Connor Humm

202,741 次观看 • 6 个月前

Nick Saban has high hopes for the SEC this fall, predicting that they will get 5 teams in the Playoff again 👀 “Everybody makes a big deal out of being able to beat us. That doesn’t mean they’re better than us, and that doesn’t mean that just because you win the championship that you have a better conference. It just means you had one better team. We had 5 teams in the Playoff last year, I think we’ll have that many teams in the Playoff again.”

Nick Saban has high hopes for the SEC this fall, predicting that they will get 5 teams in the Playoff again 👀 “Everybody makes a big deal out of being able to beat us. That doesn’t mean they’re better than us, and that doesn’t mean that just because you win the championship that you have a better conference. It just means you had one better team. We had 5 teams in the Playoff last year, I think we’ll have that many teams in the Playoff again.”

CFB Kings

158,280 次观看 • 2 个月前

Bitcoin's last three cycle peaks all happened in November or December and were spaced four years apart. Previous cycle highs: 10 Nov 2021: $69,000 17 Dec 2017: $19,891 29 Nov 2013: $1,242 If that pattern continues, then we would expect this cycle to peak in November-December of 2025. Bitcoin has also followed a power curve for nearly 15 years. The power curve (law) forms a nice support line that I consider the intrinsic value of the network. Each cycle, Bitcoin explodes above the support trendline and then returns to it during the cycle bear. The percentage amount that the price rises above the support line gets smaller each cycle. Last cycle, in Spring 2021, the bull market started early, but we ended up with a double top that put us back on the 4-year timing. We have never been as early as we are right now. This time could be different. We have the ETFs, a favorable political environment, and Saylor (MSTR) borrowing every loose dollar on the bond market to buy more bitcoin. But, this time doesn't have to be different. We could pause or correct for months while still aligning with previous cycles. Be careful with all the new option products available to you this cycle. You could be right about your MSTR or IBIT price target and still lose all your money by misjudging the timing. I'm just holding bitcoin in cold storage. It's not as sexy as some of the other strategies, but at least I know I'll still have my coins deep into the future. That is most important to me.

Bitcoin's last three cycle peaks all happened in November or December and were spaced four years apart. Previous cycle highs: 10 Nov 2021: $69,000 17 Dec 2017: $19,891 29 Nov 2013: $1,242 If that pattern continues, then we would expect this cycle to peak in November-December of 2025. Bitcoin has also followed a power curve for nearly 15 years. The power curve (law) forms a nice support line that I consider the intrinsic value of the network. Each cycle, Bitcoin explodes above the support trendline and then returns to it during the cycle bear. The percentage amount that the price rises above the support line gets smaller each cycle. Last cycle, in Spring 2021, the bull market started early, but we ended up with a double top that put us back on the 4-year timing. We have never been as early as we are right now. This time could be different. We have the ETFs, a favorable political environment, and Saylor (MSTR) borrowing every loose dollar on the bond market to buy more bitcoin. But, this time doesn't have to be different. We could pause or correct for months while still aligning with previous cycles. Be careful with all the new option products available to you this cycle. You could be right about your MSTR or IBIT price target and still lose all your money by misjudging the timing. I'm just holding bitcoin in cold storage. It's not as sexy as some of the other strategies, but at least I know I'll still have my coins deep into the future. That is most important to me.

apsk32

881,389 次观看 • 1 年前

“A woman coming out to tell me that my behavior will determine how many kids we will have is bullshit, a woman does not have the power to tell me the number of children I will have, because I’m a man, if she doesn’t agree I will get kids outside, I will not give a woman that power to tell me the number of children to have, call me misogynistic or whatever you like, a woman cannot provide for a man for one year straight, try it and before the year ends they start knacking around” My problem now is that one ‘special’woman somewhere will marry this one with the hope that she can change him

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“A woman coming out to tell me that my behavior will determine how many kids we will have is bullshit, a woman does not have the power to tell me the number of children I will have, because I’m a man, if she doesn’t agree I will get kids outside, I will not give a woman that power to tell me the number of children to have, call me misogynistic or whatever you like, a woman cannot provide for a man for one year straight, try it and before the year ends they start knacking around” My problem now is that one ‘special’woman somewhere will marry this one with the hope that she can change him

Jennifer

203,475 次观看 • 8 天前

$TROLL just broke below $50M. Still bullish. Here's why: This chart already did months of deep accumulation under $50M before the second leg up. I predicted last week that if $50M breaks, worst case I see $35-40M. That lines up with the previous breakout attempts. Now is the time to start building a bigger position. We’ll see some more accumulation, play with 40-60m for a bit And then once we break $70M, then sky's the limit. May's run already proved this community comes back to life. 100M+ programmed, but obv higher

$TROLL just broke below $50M. Still bullish. Here's why: This chart already did months of deep accumulation under $50M before the second leg up. I predicted last week that if $50M breaks, worst case I see $35-40M. That lines up with the previous breakout attempts. Now is the time to start building a bigger position. We’ll see some more accumulation, play with 40-60m for a bit And then once we break $70M, then sky's the limit. May's run already proved this community comes back to life. 100M+ programmed, but obv higher

fomo 🧠

18,259 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 EVERY CYCLE KILLS ONE EXCHANGE. THIS ONE JUST DIED. BitMEX is shutting down after 11 years. And almost nobody understands what that means for Bitcoin. Mt. Gox died in 2014. BTC bottomed at $152, then ran to $19,800. +12,800%. BitGrail collapsed in 2018. BTC bottomed at $3,122, then ran to $69,000. +2,100%. FTX blew up in 2022. BTC bottomed at $15,768, then ran to $126,162. +700%. Now BitMEX is next. The exchange that invented the 100x perpetual swap closes September 23. That is not just another headline. That is a cycle marker. Crypto always looks weakest right before it turns. One exchange dies. Leverage gets cleaned out. Retail calls the market dead. Then Bitcoin starts the next expansion. Every time. The market is not at the bottom today. It is at the stage that comes right before it. The crowd will read this as one more bearish headline. I read it as the last piece lining up. Reminder: I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I start buying again, I will post it publicly. Turn notifications on before the next cycle becomes obvious. Most people will follow too late.

🚨 EVERY CYCLE KILLS ONE EXCHANGE. THIS ONE JUST DIED. BitMEX is shutting down after 11 years. And almost nobody understands what that means for Bitcoin. Mt. Gox died in 2014. BTC bottomed at $152, then ran to $19,800. +12,800%. BitGrail collapsed in 2018. BTC bottomed at $3,122, then ran to $69,000. +2,100%. FTX blew up in 2022. BTC bottomed at $15,768, then ran to $126,162. +700%. Now BitMEX is next. The exchange that invented the 100x perpetual swap closes September 23. That is not just another headline. That is a cycle marker. Crypto always looks weakest right before it turns. One exchange dies. Leverage gets cleaned out. Retail calls the market dead. Then Bitcoin starts the next expansion. Every time. The market is not at the bottom today. It is at the stage that comes right before it. The crowd will read this as one more bearish headline. I read it as the last piece lining up. Reminder: I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I start buying again, I will post it publicly. Turn notifications on before the next cycle becomes obvious. Most people will follow too late.

Nonzee

29,229 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 BITCOIN MAY STILL HAVE ONE MORE BRUTAL LEG DOWN. Every major correction lasted around 396 days, and BTC is still inside that same window. Monthly RSI is also sitting near the same level seen before previous cycle bottoms. The reversal may come later. But first, Bitcoin could still flush much lower.

🚨 BITCOIN MAY STILL HAVE ONE MORE BRUTAL LEG DOWN. Every major correction lasted around 396 days, and BTC is still inside that same window. Monthly RSI is also sitting near the same level seen before previous cycle bottoms. The reversal may come later. But first, Bitcoin could still flush much lower.

Crypto Rover

81,651 次观看 • 2 个月前

I believe the top is in for this cycle, and I'm treating this as a typical 4-year cycle with a low being put in around 1 year from the top (Oct 2026). My plan has always been to trade trends until they break. If we get back above the 50-week moving average and 200-day moving average, then I will reassess. I've been talking about the trendline that connects the 2017 top, 2021 top, and 2025 top, but I honestly expected alts to run at the end of the year... let's see

I believe the top is in for this cycle, and I'm treating this as a typical 4-year cycle with a low being put in around 1 year from the top (Oct 2026). My plan has always been to trade trends until they break. If we get back above the 50-week moving average and 200-day moving average, then I will reassess. I've been talking about the trendline that connects the 2017 top, 2021 top, and 2025 top, but I honestly expected alts to run at the end of the year... let's see

Wabo

103,861 次观看 • 10 个月前

Millennial Culture peaked around 2015, that means in about 4 years time we will see Gen Alpha see the next generation as uncool and become insufferable about it; The cycle repeats and no one escapes Samsara.

Millennial Culture peaked around 2015, that means in about 4 years time we will see Gen Alpha see the next generation as uncool and become insufferable about it; The cycle repeats and no one escapes Samsara.

Rad Dude Comics

54,912 次观看 • 5 个月前

This is not one cycle rolling into the next. It is one regime giving way to another. Inside the same regime you get multi-year metal runs and a few years of higher rates. Across regimes the crashes required to complete the transition have historically been larger. The comparison that matters is not the last land cycle. It is the last 80-year turning. Most people alive have only lived inside the easy-money version. That is the bias sitting underneath almost every portfolio.

This is not one cycle rolling into the next. It is one regime giving way to another. Inside the same regime you get multi-year metal runs and a few years of higher rates. Across regimes the crashes required to complete the transition have historically been larger. The comparison that matters is not the last land cycle. It is the last 80-year turning. Most people alive have only lived inside the easy-money version. That is the bias sitting underneath almost every portfolio.

Chris Tipper | 📈 ₿ 🥇🥈

46,601 次观看 • 21 天前

Ricky Ponting points out how good this England field is to Pat Cummins, saying... "They've got a field set for some shorter type bowling. Short leg, deep backward square, regulation fine leg. "We saw Cummins last over get unsettled by one that angled back up into the left armpit. He's not a great ducker of the ball, he tries to ride the bounce and that's why I like this field. "You got one back on the hook so you can't play that, you got one waiting under the helmet at short leg... *Cummins inside edges one to short leg* "For that one!" #Ashes

Ricky Ponting points out how good this England field is to Pat Cummins, saying... "They've got a field set for some shorter type bowling. Short leg, deep backward square, regulation fine leg. "We saw Cummins last over get unsettled by one that angled back up into the left armpit. He's not a great ducker of the ball, he tries to ride the bounce and that's why I like this field. "You got one back on the hook so you can't play that, you got one waiting under the helmet at short leg... Cummins inside edges one to short leg "For that one!" #Ashes

7Cricket

68,121 次观看 • 9 个月前

If ohmnanon have a million fans, then I am one of them. If ohmnanon have ten fans, then I am still one of them. If ohmnanon has only one fan, then that is me. If ohmnanon have no fans, then that means I am no longer on earth.

If ohmnanon have a million fans, then I am one of them. If ohmnanon have ten fans, then I am still one of them. If ohmnanon has only one fan, then that is me. If ohmnanon have no fans, then that means I am no longer on earth.

):) 💚❤️

18,808 次观看 • 3 个月前