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Everyone thinks the cycle is done… but the data says otherwise. In the last three major bull markets - 2013, 2017, 2021 - every blow-off-top indicator flashed red before the peak. This time? None of them hit. Not one. That’s why Ran Neuner believes we could still see a... show more

Crypto Banter

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37,263 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

28,699 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Trader Mayne thinks we will see one more leg up “The 4 year cycle model that I subscribe to is that we still have a few months left before the top. If that one last leg doesn’t come, then you have what’s known as a failed cycle and that likely means we’ll enter a bearish trend”

Trader Mayne thinks we will see one more leg up “The 4 year cycle model that I subscribe to is that we still have a few months left before the top. If that one last leg doesn’t come, then you have what’s known as a failed cycle and that likely means we’ll enter a bearish trend”

Counterparty

18,768 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨 BTC LOOKS IDENTICAL TO THE 2021 CYCLE. The structure couldn't be much clearer. Double Top → Dump → Bounce → Capitulation. That's exactly how the last cycle played out. If Bitcoin follows the same path again, this bounce is not the beginning of a new Bull Run. It’s the final trap before one more major FLUSH. Next target: $50K–$53K. That’s where I expect the real cycle bottom to form. After that, I believe Bitcoin begins the move toward $130K–$150K by 2029. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

🚨 BTC LOOKS IDENTICAL TO THE 2021 CYCLE. The structure couldn't be much clearer. Double Top → Dump → Bounce → Capitulation. That's exactly how the last cycle played out. If Bitcoin follows the same path again, this bounce is not the beginning of a new Bull Run. It’s the final trap before one more major FLUSH. Next target: $50K–$53K. That’s where I expect the real cycle bottom to form. After that, I believe Bitcoin begins the move toward $130K–$150K by 2029. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

63,302 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Bitcoin's last three cycle peaks all happened in November or December and were spaced four years apart. Previous cycle highs: 10 Nov 2021: $69,000 17 Dec 2017: $19,891 29 Nov 2013: $1,242 If that pattern continues, then we would expect this cycle to peak in November-December of 2025. Bitcoin has also followed a power curve for nearly 15 years. The power curve (law) forms a nice support line that I consider the intrinsic value of the network. Each cycle, Bitcoin explodes above the support trendline and then returns to it during the cycle bear. The percentage amount that the price rises above the support line gets smaller each cycle. Last cycle, in Spring 2021, the bull market started early, but we ended up with a double top that put us back on the 4-year timing. We have never been as early as we are right now. This time could be different. We have the ETFs, a favorable political environment, and Saylor (MSTR) borrowing every loose dollar on the bond market to buy more bitcoin. But, this time doesn't have to be different. We could pause or correct for months while still aligning with previous cycles. Be careful with all the new option products available to you this cycle. You could be right about your MSTR or IBIT price target and still lose all your money by misjudging the timing. I'm just holding bitcoin in cold storage. It's not as sexy as some of the other strategies, but at least I know I'll still have my coins deep into the future. That is most important to me.

Bitcoin's last three cycle peaks all happened in November or December and were spaced four years apart. Previous cycle highs: 10 Nov 2021: $69,000 17 Dec 2017: $19,891 29 Nov 2013: $1,242 If that pattern continues, then we would expect this cycle to peak in November-December of 2025. Bitcoin has also followed a power curve for nearly 15 years. The power curve (law) forms a nice support line that I consider the intrinsic value of the network. Each cycle, Bitcoin explodes above the support trendline and then returns to it during the cycle bear. The percentage amount that the price rises above the support line gets smaller each cycle. Last cycle, in Spring 2021, the bull market started early, but we ended up with a double top that put us back on the 4-year timing. We have never been as early as we are right now. This time could be different. We have the ETFs, a favorable political environment, and Saylor (MSTR) borrowing every loose dollar on the bond market to buy more bitcoin. But, this time doesn't have to be different. We could pause or correct for months while still aligning with previous cycles. Be careful with all the new option products available to you this cycle. You could be right about your MSTR or IBIT price target and still lose all your money by misjudging the timing. I'm just holding bitcoin in cold storage. It's not as sexy as some of the other strategies, but at least I know I'll still have my coins deep into the future. That is most important to me.

apsk32

881,335 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where it was during the last two bear entries. And then there's Midnight. A regulated UK bank is tokenizing $250M in retail deposits directly on chain. Insane news for the day! I really do not think this cycle is going to follow the old playbook. We will see.

Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where it was during the last two bear entries. And then there's Midnight. A regulated UK bank is tokenizing $250M in retail deposits directly on chain. Insane news for the day! I really do not think this cycle is going to follow the old playbook. We will see.

Dan Gambardello

32,387 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

WHAT IF THE LAST $BTC DUMP ISN'T COMING? Almost everyone I know is positioned for it. One final flush. One clean macro bottom. Then straight up into the next bull run. But this cycle has already broken the old playbook multiple times: - ATH printed before the halving - Bottoms showing up earlier than usual - A top that could also land earlier The cycle is shifting while most traders are still trading the old 4 year script. That's the mistake I keep seeing. The market has a habit of punishing the trade everyone's waiting for. If 90% need one more leg down before they buy There's a real chance that leg down never shows up.

WHAT IF THE LAST $BTC DUMP ISN'T COMING? Almost everyone I know is positioned for it. One final flush. One clean macro bottom. Then straight up into the next bull run. But this cycle has already broken the old playbook multiple times: - ATH printed before the halving - Bottoms showing up earlier than usual - A top that could also land earlier The cycle is shifting while most traders are still trading the old 4 year script. That's the mistake I keep seeing. The market has a habit of punishing the trade everyone's waiting for. If 90% need one more leg down before they buy There's a real chance that leg down never shows up.

AlΞx Wacy 🌐

26,680 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

🚨 NOW WE KNOW WHERE THE NEXT BULL RUN WILL START No ragebait or any other shit, just look The history of the last 3 cycles shows that the previous cycle ATH becomes the bottom zone of the next cycle: 2017 ATH ~ $20K 2021 BOTTOM ~ $19K 2021 ATH ~ $69K 2026 BOTTOM ~ $57K And besides that, the reaction from this zone is also identical A tap of the zone, a fake pump from it and then a new cycle low On top of that, macro factors are literally SCREAMING correction right now So be ready for a new low Do you believe in this outcome? Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 NOW WE KNOW WHERE THE NEXT BULL RUN WILL START No ragebait or any other shit, just look The history of the last 3 cycles shows that the previous cycle ATH becomes the bottom zone of the next cycle: 2017 ATH ~ $20K 2021 BOTTOM ~ $19K 2021 ATH ~ $69K 2026 BOTTOM ~ $57K And besides that, the reaction from this zone is also identical A tap of the zone, a fake pump from it and then a new cycle low On top of that, macro factors are literally SCREAMING correction right now So be ready for a new low Do you believe in this outcome? Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

24,766 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

Wimar.X

37,197 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨 IS CRYPTO IN TROUBLE? The SEC just dropped its biggest bomb in years…and the market immediately turned red. $BTC hit $114K… then tanked. Traders panicked. Funds froze. Is this the beginning of a collapse or the start of a new cycle? Here’s what really happened, what the SEC just changed, and the on-chain signals that could reveal what comes next. Full breakdown…WATCH now 👇

🚨 IS CRYPTO IN TROUBLE? The SEC just dropped its biggest bomb in years…and the market immediately turned red. $BTC hit $114K… then tanked. Traders panicked. Funds froze. Is this the beginning of a collapse or the start of a new cycle? Here’s what really happened, what the SEC just changed, and the on-chain signals that could reveal what comes next. Full breakdown…WATCH now 👇

Kyle Chassé 🐸

141,629 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

🐂 "I think that we are still in a Bull Market" - Ran Neuner 🧵 If there's one thread you pay attention to in 2026, it's this. Ran breaks down his FULL THESIS on WHY the data now points to a high-probability bull-market setup, The spot-driven signals behind it, And the key level that defines the path forward. Here's the roadmap. 👇

🐂 "I think that we are still in a Bull Market" - Ran Neuner 🧵 If there's one thread you pay attention to in 2026, it's this. Ran breaks down his FULL THESIS on WHY the data now points to a high-probability bull-market setup, The spot-driven signals behind it, And the key level that defines the path forward. Here's the roadmap. 👇

Crypto Banter

19,136 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

🚨 BITCOIN ALREADY HAS ITS NEXT BOTTOM DATE Every major $BTC bull market lasted 1064 days. Every following bear market lasted 364 days. 2015 ➜ 2017: 1064 days up 2017 ➜ 2018: 364 days down 2018 ➜ 2021: 1064 days up 2021 ➜ 2022: 364 days down 2022 ➜ 2025: 1064 days up If the cycle repeats, the next $BTC bottom comes on October 5. Save the date. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

🚨 BITCOIN ALREADY HAS ITS NEXT BOTTOM DATE Every major $BTC bull market lasted 1064 days. Every following bear market lasted 364 days. 2015 ➜ 2017: 1064 days up 2017 ➜ 2018: 364 days down 2018 ➜ 2021: 1064 days up 2021 ➜ 2022: 364 days down 2022 ➜ 2025: 1064 days up If the cycle repeats, the next $BTC bottom comes on October 5. Save the date. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

65,866 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨 IF YOU’RE UNDER 60, READ THIS CAREFULLY The next 6–12 months could be one of the most important financial windows of your lifetime. We may be approaching one of the biggest wealth shifts in market history. First, stocks could surge into a final euphoric peak. Then crypto could enter a powerful rally that convinces everyone the bull market will never end. And just when confidence reaches its highest point… The recession arrives. That’s when massive fortunes could be created — and wiped out. The coming months may produce a record number of new millionaires, but most people will still get the timing wrong. They’ll hesitate when opportunity appears, then FOMO in when the risk is highest. These setups don’t come around often. If you’re seeing this now, there may still be time. I don’t only watch price action. I watch market psychology and sentiment. And right now, the opportunity hasn’t disappeared. But the window won’t stay open forever. Reminder: I’ve publicly called major market tops and bottoms over the past 15 years, including Bitcoin’s $16K bottom and $126K top. The next call could be the most important one yet. I’ll post it publicly here, as always. Turn on notifications and follow along — you won’t want to miss what comes next.

🚨 IF YOU’RE UNDER 60, READ THIS CAREFULLY The next 6–12 months could be one of the most important financial windows of your lifetime. We may be approaching one of the biggest wealth shifts in market history. First, stocks could surge into a final euphoric peak. Then crypto could enter a powerful rally that convinces everyone the bull market will never end. And just when confidence reaches its highest point… The recession arrives. That’s when massive fortunes could be created — and wiped out. The coming months may produce a record number of new millionaires, but most people will still get the timing wrong. They’ll hesitate when opportunity appears, then FOMO in when the risk is highest. These setups don’t come around often. If you’re seeing this now, there may still be time. I don’t only watch price action. I watch market psychology and sentiment. And right now, the opportunity hasn’t disappeared. But the window won’t stay open forever. Reminder: I’ve publicly called major market tops and bottoms over the past 15 years, including Bitcoin’s $16K bottom and $126K top. The next call could be the most important one yet. I’ll post it publicly here, as always. Turn on notifications and follow along — you won’t want to miss what comes next.

Bitcoin Intelligence

51,612 görüntüleme • 5 gün önce

I'm done waiting on news & headlines to drop. We attribute crypto bull and bear markets to headlines way too much. We sit around waiting on Clarity Act to pass or supreme court to rule on tariffs like it's going to be the most important bull market catalyst. News events can be big short term catalysts, but they're not the things that move capital at scale from macro perspective. The macro catalyst has been the same exact thing every single cycle, and I don't think that's going to change this cycle. It's liquidity and business activity...

I'm done waiting on news & headlines to drop. We attribute crypto bull and bear markets to headlines way too much. We sit around waiting on Clarity Act to pass or supreme court to rule on tariffs like it's going to be the most important bull market catalyst. News events can be big short term catalysts, but they're not the things that move capital at scale from macro perspective. The macro catalyst has been the same exact thing every single cycle, and I don't think that's going to change this cycle. It's liquidity and business activity...

Dan Gambardello

67,042 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

🚨 This is exactly what I told you would happen. $BTC is following the same cycle every time. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 The pattern is identical. Most people still believe this is just another healthy correction. That's exactly what they believed in every previous cycle. The dangerous part isn't the crash. It's the false hope that comes before it. I called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025 before most people saw them. I'll call the next market bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't be late this time.

🚨 This is exactly what I told you would happen. $BTC is following the same cycle every time. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 The pattern is identical. Most people still believe this is just another healthy correction. That's exactly what they believed in every previous cycle. The dangerous part isn't the crash. It's the false hope that comes before it. I called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025 before most people saw them. I'll call the next market bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't be late this time.

Lofty

35,013 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Bitcoin has only 60 days left. Bitcoin’s macro cycle is repeating perfectly: 2015 ➜ 2017 bull market: 1064 days 2017 ➜ 2018 bear market: 364 days 2018 ➜ 2021 bull market: 1064 days 2021 ➜ 2022 bear market: 364 days 2022 ➜ 2025 bull market: 1064 days If this pattern repeats once more: 2025 ➜ 2026 bear market: 364 days Cycle bottom: October 2026. Save this tweet. Reminder: I’ve called every major Bitcoin top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, the next 60 days will show you why that was a mistake.

Bitcoin has only 60 days left. Bitcoin’s macro cycle is repeating perfectly: 2015 ➜ 2017 bull market: 1064 days 2017 ➜ 2018 bear market: 364 days 2018 ➜ 2021 bull market: 1064 days 2021 ➜ 2022 bear market: 364 days 2022 ➜ 2025 bull market: 1064 days If this pattern repeats once more: 2025 ➜ 2026 bear market: 364 days Cycle bottom: October 2026. Save this tweet. Reminder: I’ve called every major Bitcoin top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, the next 60 days will show you why that was a mistake.

Alex Mason 👁△

136,550 görüntüleme • 11 gün önce

There Never Was A 4 Year Crypto Cycle This is just my opinion, but I think selling because of a "4-year cycle" is a colossal mistake. Every major crypto rally...2013, 2017, 2020, lined up with liquidity expansion. Every crash lined up with liquidity tightening. It wasn't the halving that drove the market. It was liquidity. QT ends in 2 weeks. I'm not saying that post-QT = QE. But I'm saying that post-QT removes the liquidity drain. And that is the big deal for crypto.

There Never Was A 4 Year Crypto Cycle This is just my opinion, but I think selling because of a "4-year cycle" is a colossal mistake. Every major crypto rally...2013, 2017, 2020, lined up with liquidity expansion. Every crash lined up with liquidity tightening. It wasn't the halving that drove the market. It was liquidity. QT ends in 2 weeks. I'm not saying that post-QT = QE. But I'm saying that post-QT removes the liquidity drain. And that is the big deal for crypto.

Dan Gambardello

108,919 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨 PAY ATTENTION NOW Bitcoin just entered the second and final Bull Trap of this cycle. The structure is repeating perfectly. Initial dump → complete Relief rally → complete Final bull trap → now Capitulation → next This is where most people get it wrong. This is where they think the bottom is in. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands is market psychology. Every cycle follows the same script. Hope returns → people get confident again → the market punishes them one last time. That’s exactly where we are right now. This phase exists for one reason: To trap as many people as possible before the real bottom forms. And before that happens, there has to be pain: 1⃣ Forced selling 2⃣ Liquidations 3⃣ Panic 4⃣ Sentiment collapse When people stop buying dips… When every rally gets sold… When everyone turns bearish… That’s when the bottom forms. We’re not there yet. One final move remains. Bitcoin is heading for one last aggressive dump. The kind that wipes out the last bit of optimism. The kind that makes people quit. That’s where the real bottom is formed. Around $52K. Ignore this if you want. But don’t act like you weren’t warned. Bookmark this and turn on notifications. I'll warn you when it's time to go ALL-IN.

🚨 PAY ATTENTION NOW Bitcoin just entered the second and final Bull Trap of this cycle. The structure is repeating perfectly. Initial dump → complete Relief rally → complete Final bull trap → now Capitulation → next This is where most people get it wrong. This is where they think the bottom is in. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands is market psychology. Every cycle follows the same script. Hope returns → people get confident again → the market punishes them one last time. That’s exactly where we are right now. This phase exists for one reason: To trap as many people as possible before the real bottom forms. And before that happens, there has to be pain: 1⃣ Forced selling 2⃣ Liquidations 3⃣ Panic 4⃣ Sentiment collapse When people stop buying dips… When every rally gets sold… When everyone turns bearish… That’s when the bottom forms. We’re not there yet. One final move remains. Bitcoin is heading for one last aggressive dump. The kind that wipes out the last bit of optimism. The kind that makes people quit. That’s where the real bottom is formed. Around $52K. Ignore this if you want. But don’t act like you weren’t warned. Bookmark this and turn on notifications. I'll warn you when it's time to go ALL-IN.

Lofty

66,193 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨 EVERY MEGA IPO HAS MARKED THE END OF A BUBBLE This pattern has repeated for almost 100 YEARS. 1928 → Goldman Sachs IPO → 1929 crash: -86% 1971 → Intel IPO → 1973 crash: -53% 2000 → AT&T Wireless IPO → dot-com crash: -51% 2026 → Anthropic IPO → 2026 crash: **% Every time, one of the biggest IPO of the era arrived near the peak of a major market cycle. Euphoria peaks → liquidity gets distributed → the market breaks. Now Anthropic is preparing to go public in the middle of the biggest AI boom in history. If this cycle repeats, the Anthropic IPO could be the FINAL liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks. And the old market cycle below is pointing at 2026 too. Coincidence? I don't think so. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 EVERY MEGA IPO HAS MARKED THE END OF A BUBBLE This pattern has repeated for almost 100 YEARS. 1928 → Goldman Sachs IPO → 1929 crash: -86% 1971 → Intel IPO → 1973 crash: -53% 2000 → AT&T Wireless IPO → dot-com crash: -51% 2026 → Anthropic IPO → 2026 crash: **% Every time, one of the biggest IPO of the era arrived near the peak of a major market cycle. Euphoria peaks → liquidity gets distributed → the market breaks. Now Anthropic is preparing to go public in the middle of the biggest AI boom in history. If this cycle repeats, the Anthropic IPO could be the FINAL liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks. And the old market cycle below is pointing at 2026 too. Coincidence? I don't think so. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

77,034 görüntüleme • 11 gün önce

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING EUPHORIA ZONE... The index just printed a fresh ATH near 7,600 50+ days of straight uptrend No meaningful pullbacks. No rebalancing. Just relentless grinding higher This is what the late stage of a cycle looks like And most people won't recognize it until it's already too late Here's what I actually think happens next First, the melt-up continues A push toward 7,700-7,800 is still on the table That's when distribution begins Smart money starts quietly exiting while retail is still buying the narrative Then comes the first sell-off Not big one - just enough to shake weak hands and breed complacency "See? It bounced. Everything's fine" That's the trap Because after the complacency phase ends, the real move starts And the real move goes toward 4,000-3,500 That's not a typo That's a 50%+ drawdown from current levels Now here's what makes this cycle different Three of the most hyped companies in the world - SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic - are all expected to go public in 2026 History is clear on what happens when the biggest IPOs in a generation arrive at same time 1999-2000: dot-com peak 2021: SPAC and tech euphoria peak Every time IPO pipeline floods at cycle highs, it's because insiders need liquidity They know something retail doesn't Add historically stretched valuations on top of that Add slowing buybacks - single biggest source of equity demand for past decade And you have a market that's priced for perfection in a world that stopped being perfect a long time ago Euphoria doesn't feel like risk That's exactly what makes it dangerous I've mapped this cycle for months When I see the distribution phase begin, I'll post the signal here - same as always Turn on notifs. You'll want to be early on this one

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING EUPHORIA ZONE... The index just printed a fresh ATH near 7,600 50+ days of straight uptrend No meaningful pullbacks. No rebalancing. Just relentless grinding higher This is what the late stage of a cycle looks like And most people won't recognize it until it's already too late Here's what I actually think happens next First, the melt-up continues A push toward 7,700-7,800 is still on the table That's when distribution begins Smart money starts quietly exiting while retail is still buying the narrative Then comes the first sell-off Not big one - just enough to shake weak hands and breed complacency "See? It bounced. Everything's fine" That's the trap Because after the complacency phase ends, the real move starts And the real move goes toward 4,000-3,500 That's not a typo That's a 50%+ drawdown from current levels Now here's what makes this cycle different Three of the most hyped companies in the world - SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic - are all expected to go public in 2026 History is clear on what happens when the biggest IPOs in a generation arrive at same time 1999-2000: dot-com peak 2021: SPAC and tech euphoria peak Every time IPO pipeline floods at cycle highs, it's because insiders need liquidity They know something retail doesn't Add historically stretched valuations on top of that Add slowing buybacks - single biggest source of equity demand for past decade And you have a market that's priced for perfection in a world that stopped being perfect a long time ago Euphoria doesn't feel like risk That's exactly what makes it dangerous I've mapped this cycle for months When I see the distribution phase begin, I'll post the signal here - same as always Turn on notifs. You'll want to be early on this one

Aralez 🐕

63,381 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 I JUST FOUND A 90-YEAR S&P 500 PATTERN I compared the long-term CRE cycle with the S&P 500. The same setup appeared before every major market regime shift: 1949, 1974, 2009, 2036? Each time the CRE cycle reached a major bottom, stocks eventually entered a period of weaker growth, violent corrections and long-term stagnation. Now CRE appears to be forming its biggest cycle bottom yet. This doesn’t mean the S&P 500 crashes tomorrow. It means the market may be entering the final stage of a much larger cycle - one that could continue higher for years before reaching its real breaking point around 2036. Most investors are only watching the next FED meeting. I’m watching the cycle that has repeated for almost a century. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

🚨 I JUST FOUND A 90-YEAR S&P 500 PATTERN I compared the long-term CRE cycle with the S&P 500. The same setup appeared before every major market regime shift: 1949, 1974, 2009, 2036? Each time the CRE cycle reached a major bottom, stocks eventually entered a period of weaker growth, violent corrections and long-term stagnation. Now CRE appears to be forming its biggest cycle bottom yet. This doesn’t mean the S&P 500 crashes tomorrow. It means the market may be entering the final stage of a much larger cycle - one that could continue higher for years before reaching its real breaking point around 2036. Most investors are only watching the next FED meeting. I’m watching the cycle that has repeated for almost a century. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

38,373 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce