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Traders are dialing back bets on a September Fed rate hike after subdued US underlying inflation last month. The 'hawkish bar has been raised,' economist Odeta Kushi says, but with more key inflation and economic data still to come, the Fed isn’t off the hook just yet

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26,250 views • 1 day ago •via X (Twitter)

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My thoughts on the Fed: "The Fed has put us on a rollercoaster. With COVID, we had an acceleration in the money supply. Then, inflation went up. With that, we had Quantitative Tightening, and inflation came down. Now the Fed has switched back to QE." THE FED = FLIES BLIND.

My thoughts on the Fed: "The Fed has put us on a rollercoaster. With COVID, we had an acceleration in the money supply. Then, inflation went up. With that, we had Quantitative Tightening, and inflation came down. Now the Fed has switched back to QE." THE FED = FLIES BLIND.

Steve Hanke

14,399 views • 6 months ago

🚨 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH JUST MADE IT CLEAR: THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION IS NOT OVER. Key points from the FOMC press conference: • The Fed held rates in a 9–3 vote after a heated internal debate. • Warsh said inflation is still too high and the 2% target is non-negotiable. • The Fed is pulling back from forward guidance and will let markets react directly to incoming data. • Treasury yields have already tightened financial conditions, even without another rate hike. • One soft CPI report will not change policy. The Fed is focused on the broader trend. • The economy and labor market remain solid, while AI investment is driving a major surge in business spending. • A hold does not mean the Fed has paused. Warsh called it “watchful thinking.” • If inflation rises while employment stays strong, the Fed will be more inclined to tighten again. The message was simple: The Fed is not declaring victory, and rate hikes are still on the table.

🚨 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH JUST MADE IT CLEAR: THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION IS NOT OVER. Key points from the FOMC press conference: • The Fed held rates in a 9–3 vote after a heated internal debate. • Warsh said inflation is still too high and the 2% target is non-negotiable. • The Fed is pulling back from forward guidance and will let markets react directly to incoming data. • Treasury yields have already tightened financial conditions, even without another rate hike. • One soft CPI report will not change policy. The Fed is focused on the broader trend. • The economy and labor market remain solid, while AI investment is driving a major surge in business spending. • A hold does not mean the Fed has paused. Warsh called it “watchful thinking.” • If inflation rises while employment stays strong, the Fed will be more inclined to tighten again. The message was simple: The Fed is not declaring victory, and rate hikes are still on the table.

Crypto Rover

117,515 views • 16 days ago

Markets still price an 88% chance of a Fed cut Sept 17. Inflation was as expected (PCE 2.6%, core 2.9%), but today’s PPI came in far below forecasts (headline 2.6% vs 3.3%). Combine that with weak jobs data, and the Fed has every reason to ease. Rate cuts are coming. Why sell before the Fed hands you a rate cut?

Markets still price an 88% chance of a Fed cut Sept 17. Inflation was as expected (PCE 2.6%, core 2.9%), but today’s PPI came in far below forecasts (headline 2.6% vs 3.3%). Combine that with weak jobs data, and the Fed has every reason to ease. Rate cuts are coming. Why sell before the Fed hands you a rate cut?

VirtualBacon

69,282 views • 11 months ago

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 50% of Fed officials now expect a rate hike in 2026. BITCOIN FELL MORE THAN 68% DURING THE LAST FED TIGHTENING CYCLE (2022–2023). 🤯 Prediction markets are already pricing a 62% chance of a hike by September. The consensus going into 2026 was rate cuts and easy money. Then came an energy shock. Inflation reaccelerated. Kevin Warsh vowed to crush it. More volatility ahead. More opportunity to accumulate cheap $BTC.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 50% of Fed officials now expect a rate hike in 2026. BITCOIN FELL MORE THAN 68% DURING THE LAST FED TIGHTENING CYCLE (2022–2023). 🤯 Prediction markets are already pricing a 62% chance of a hike by September. The consensus going into 2026 was rate cuts and easy money. Then came an energy shock. Inflation reaccelerated. Kevin Warsh vowed to crush it. More volatility ahead. More opportunity to accumulate cheap $BTC.

Crypto Rover

91,511 views • 1 month ago

“The odds-on bet is that the Fed’s next move will be a hike.” DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach says incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a difficult economic backdrop as inflation pressures continue to build. more with Maria Bartiromo 👇

“The odds-on bet is that the Fed’s next move will be a hike.” DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach says incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a difficult economic backdrop as inflation pressures continue to build. more with Maria Bartiromo 👇

SundayMorningFutures

20,065 views • 2 months ago

🇺🇸 THE FED IS EXPECTED TO HIKE RATES And this is bad for markets. Just a few months ago, everyone was convinced rate cuts were coming. That “flippening” in expectations has completely shifted the liquidity narrative. The next FOMC meeting on June 17th is also the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets don’t yet have full clarity on how he will prioritize growth vs inflation. The reason for a possible hike is simple: the U.S. economy remains stronger than expected. Job growth is holding up, consumer demand is resilient, and inflation is still running above the Fed’s target. For the Fed, persistent inflation means less urgency to cut rates, and more reason to keep financial conditions tight. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, slow spending, increase costs for businesses, and pressure stock valuations. Markets thrive on liquidity. A Fed focused on fighting inflation becomes a clear headwind for risk assets. Follow and turn on notifications to stay up to date.

🇺🇸 THE FED IS EXPECTED TO HIKE RATES And this is bad for markets. Just a few months ago, everyone was convinced rate cuts were coming. That “flippening” in expectations has completely shifted the liquidity narrative. The next FOMC meeting on June 17th is also the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets don’t yet have full clarity on how he will prioritize growth vs inflation. The reason for a possible hike is simple: the U.S. economy remains stronger than expected. Job growth is holding up, consumer demand is resilient, and inflation is still running above the Fed’s target. For the Fed, persistent inflation means less urgency to cut rates, and more reason to keep financial conditions tight. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, slow spending, increase costs for businesses, and pressure stock valuations. Markets thrive on liquidity. A Fed focused on fighting inflation becomes a clear headwind for risk assets. Follow and turn on notifications to stay up to date.

CryptoGoos

42,378 views • 2 months ago

There's an 80% probability of an interest rate cut from Jerome Powell next month, but he should cut by more than just 0.25%. Why? Since President Trump took office inflation has annualized just 1.9%. When @Pulte says that the Fed is hallucinating about the data, he's right.

There's an 80% probability of an interest rate cut from Jerome Powell next month, but he should cut by more than just 0.25%. Why? Since President Trump took office inflation has annualized just 1.9%. When @Pulte says that the Fed is hallucinating about the data, he's right.

James Fishback

91,458 views • 1 year ago

🚨 U.S. inflation just posted its biggest drop in 6 years That should be bullish for stocks, bearish for the U.S. dollar and supportive for gold. 📉📈 But the market is still waiting on Fed Chair Warsh at 10AM ET Key question is whether he focuses on cooling inflation and keeps the door open to rate cuts, or warns that oil back above $80 could push inflation higher again🔥 That is why there has been limited follow-through after CPI

🚨 U.S. inflation just posted its biggest drop in 6 years That should be bullish for stocks, bearish for the U.S. dollar and supportive for gold. 📉📈 But the market is still waiting on Fed Chair Warsh at 10AM ET Key question is whether he focuses on cooling inflation and keeps the door open to rate cuts, or warns that oil back above $80 could push inflation higher again🔥 That is why there has been limited follow-through after CPI

Kathy Lien

16,552 views • 1 month ago

When asked if Fed rate cuts might signal economic weakness, Tom Lee responded: "The Fed would be cutting for the right reasons, which is as they look at the next 12 months, the tariff inflation impacts are fading, but there's risk on the job market.” Lee expects a December rate cut. But he pushes back on concerns that cuts mean economic trouble. Instead, he says the Fed is acting ahead of time. • Jobless claims are stable • The labor market is holding fine • September's jobs report showed recovery • Tariff-driven inflation pressures are fading over the next 12 months. The Fed wants to stop things from getting worse. Cutting rates would give them room to ease without bringing back price pressures. Lee points out a key fact: "real rates are tightening if they don't cut." Without action, money policy would become more tight. This could hurt economic growth.

When asked if Fed rate cuts might signal economic weakness, Tom Lee responded: "The Fed would be cutting for the right reasons, which is as they look at the next 12 months, the tariff inflation impacts are fading, but there's risk on the job market.” Lee expects a December rate cut. But he pushes back on concerns that cuts mean economic trouble. Instead, he says the Fed is acting ahead of time. • Jobless claims are stable • The labor market is holding fine • September's jobs report showed recovery • Tariff-driven inflation pressures are fading over the next 12 months. The Fed wants to stop things from getting worse. Cutting rates would give them room to ease without bringing back price pressures. Lee points out a key fact: "real rates are tightening if they don't cut." Without action, money policy would become more tight. This could hurt economic growth.

Felix Prehn 🐶

99,050 views • 8 months ago

The Fed has never been independent. With US debt-to-GDP over 120% and interest expense exceeding government receipts, "Fed independence" would mean interest rates define US economic policy, foreign policy and defense. The Fed has never been more dependent. It’s just math.

The Fed has never been independent. With US debt-to-GDP over 120% and interest expense exceeding government receipts, "Fed independence" would mean interest rates define US economic policy, foreign policy and defense. The Fed has never been more dependent. It’s just math.

Jack Mallers

102,344 views • 7 months ago

"We'll continue to see tight labor markets," says Citi Global Chief Economist Nathan Sheets. "Wage growth has been a bit softer but still higher than the Fed would like. That's going to continue putting upward pressure on inflation. We're likely to see that in the CPI tomorrow."

"We'll continue to see tight labor markets," says Citi Global Chief Economist Nathan Sheets. "Wage growth has been a bit softer but still higher than the Fed would like. That's going to continue putting upward pressure on inflation. We're likely to see that in the CPI tomorrow."

Squawk Box

26,712 views • 3 years ago

A 50 basis point rate cut isn’t “a signal of any reason to panic, but I do think it's very important that the Fed and Fed Chair Powell, during the press conference, focus on a forward-looking framework,” EY economist Gregory Daco says. “Data dependency is done.” Full interview:

A 50 basis point rate cut isn’t “a signal of any reason to panic, but I do think it's very important that the Fed and Fed Chair Powell, during the press conference, focus on a forward-looking framework,” EY economist Gregory Daco says. “Data dependency is done.” Full interview:

Yahoo Finance

16,199 views • 1 year ago

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett: "The Fed still, as Chairman Powell kept saying today, is obsessed on the idea that tariffs are going to cause inflation — but they've been saying that, really, since January and it keeps not happening."

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett: "The Fed still, as Chairman Powell kept saying today, is obsessed on the idea that tariffs are going to cause inflation — but they've been saying that, really, since January and it keeps not happening."

Rapid Response 47

164,858 views • 1 year ago

"Based on the fact that the Fed is highly data dependent, I think they will not raise rates this month," says Mohamed A. El-Erian. "But they will keep the door open for at least one more rate hike in the future."

"Based on the fact that the Fed is highly data dependent, I think they will not raise rates this month," says Mohamed A. El-Erian. "But they will keep the door open for at least one more rate hike in the future."

Squawk Box

39,964 views • 2 years ago

🚨 Warsh just dropped his real agenda: a full Fed overhaul. Task forces forming on communications, balance sheet, data sources, jobs/AI productivity, and the inflation framework itself. This isn't a one-meeting hawkish blip it's a structural rewrite of how the Fed operates. 👀 Crypto should care more about this than the dot plot. $BTC $XRP $ETH

🚨 Warsh just dropped his real agenda: a full Fed overhaul. Task forces forming on communications, balance sheet, data sources, jobs/AI productivity, and the inflation framework itself. This isn't a one-meeting hawkish blip it's a structural rewrite of how the Fed operates. 👀 Crypto should care more about this than the dot plot. $BTC $XRP $ETH

Xaif Crypto

64,535 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE SAYS 11 OF THE LAST 13 NEW FED CHAIRS SAW A 10% DRAWDOWN IN YEAR ONE - New Fed chair has different views on inflation sources and how it's measured - Markets will want to see how the Fed reads incoming data - Tom Lee sees turbulence later this year as that gets tested

TOM LEE SAYS 11 OF THE LAST 13 NEW FED CHAIRS SAW A 10% DRAWDOWN IN YEAR ONE - New Fed chair has different views on inflation sources and how it's measured - Markets will want to see how the Fed reads incoming data - Tom Lee sees turbulence later this year as that gets tested

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

53,845 views • 2 months ago

MOHAMED EL-ERIAN: NO FED RATE CUTS THIS YEAR 🇺🇸 Allianz Chief Economic Advisor and former PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian says he expects the Fed to hold interest rates steady for the rest of 2026. He believes the worst of inflation is behind us, but says it's too early to cut rates while the U.S. economy remains resilient.

MOHAMED EL-ERIAN: NO FED RATE CUTS THIS YEAR 🇺🇸 Allianz Chief Economic Advisor and former PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian says he expects the Fed to hold interest rates steady for the rest of 2026. He believes the worst of inflation is behind us, but says it's too early to cut rates while the U.S. economy remains resilient.

CryptosRus

15,588 views • 1 month ago

"A VERY GOOD NUMBER": The latest inflation data shattered expectations once again, with core inflation — often called the best measure of inflation — at its lowest since March 2021. More progress. Inflation is down, gas is down, wages are up — and the best is yet to come.

"A VERY GOOD NUMBER": The latest inflation data shattered expectations once again, with core inflation — often called the best measure of inflation — at its lowest since March 2021. More progress. Inflation is down, gas is down, wages are up — and the best is yet to come.

Rapid Response 47

306,863 views • 7 months ago

🚨FED WATCH: IT’S BULLISH!📈 BlackRock’s Rick Rieder — even floated as a Powell replacement — says the Fed could slash rates by 50bps in September. With inflation cooling and jobs stalling, he argues rates are “priced wrong” and must come down fast.🔥

🚨FED WATCH: IT’S BULLISH!📈 BlackRock’s Rick Rieder — even floated as a Powell replacement — says the Fed could slash rates by 50bps in September. With inflation cooling and jobs stalling, he argues rates are “priced wrong” and must come down fast.🔥

Coin Bureau

120,866 views • 11 months ago