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Treasury companies keep buying more Bitcoin while their shareholders quietly own less of it "The strategy contained the seeds of its own destruction. The more companies copied it, the less unique each company became. The less unique each became, the harder it was to justify its premium. And when...

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The Wolf Of All Streets

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The real story with Strategy isn't a margin call, it's that buying Bitcoin is now only one of the many things it has to manage "Strategy is not facing an automatic Bitcoin margin call or the imminent liquidation of its treasury. The significance is much subtler. Even the company that created the model has entered a new and more complicated phase" "Strategy is no longer simply raising dollars to buy Bitcoin. It's issuing common and preferred securities, holding billions of dollars, paying dividends, servicing debt, managing liquidity, considering repurchases" "And selling Bitcoin when management believes that is less damaging than issuing more securities. That may be entirely rational"
0:42

The real story with Strategy isn't a margin call, it's that buying Bitcoin is now only one of the many things it has to manage "Strategy is not facing an automatic Bitcoin margin call or the imminent liquidation of its treasury. The significance is much subtler. Even the company that created the model has entered a new and more complicated phase" "Strategy is no longer simply raising dollars to buy Bitcoin. It's issuing common and preferred securities, holding billions of dollars, paying dividends, servicing debt, managing liquidity, considering repurchases" "And selling Bitcoin when management believes that is less damaging than issuing more securities. That may be entirely rational"

The Wolf Of All Streets

33,147 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Strategy's share price increased by almost 400% in a single year, it owns more bitcoin than any other company and, for some investors, it feels 'less like a stock and more like a belief system'. But is leader Michael Saylor's strategy sustainable if the price of bitcoin falls?
27:36

Strategy's share price increased by almost 400% in a single year, it owns more bitcoin than any other company and, for some investors, it feels 'less like a stock and more like a belief system'. But is leader Michael Saylor's strategy sustainable if the price of bitcoin falls?

Financial Times

359,538 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Owning MSTR means owning whatever is left after every other claim gets paid, which is not the same as owning Bitcoin "Financial engineering does not eliminate the need for cash flow, it rearranges claims on future capital. Strategy will survive precisely because it is Strategy. That does not mean its model was broadly repeatable" "When you own Bitcoin directly, you own Bitcoin. There's no management team, preferred dividend, convertible debt or senior shareholders standing between you and the asset" "When you own common stock at a treasury company, you own the residual value remaining after the company satisfies every claim ahead of you. That residual can be extremely valuable, but it is not Bitcoin"
0:37

Owning MSTR means owning whatever is left after every other claim gets paid, which is not the same as owning Bitcoin "Financial engineering does not eliminate the need for cash flow, it rearranges claims on future capital. Strategy will survive precisely because it is Strategy. That does not mean its model was broadly repeatable" "When you own Bitcoin directly, you own Bitcoin. There's no management team, preferred dividend, convertible debt or senior shareholders standing between you and the asset" "When you own common stock at a treasury company, you own the residual value remaining after the company satisfies every claim ahead of you. That residual can be extremely valuable, but it is not Bitcoin"

The Wolf Of All Streets

34,684 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
2:33

$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

13,766 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The Metaplanet Inc. acquisition of Siibo Securities is the biggest Bitcoin story so far in 2026 No other Bitcoin Company can replicate Metaplanet's unique position: > 40,000 BTC Treasury 🟠 > Yield Starved Market 🇯🇵 > Type-1 Securities License ✅ I bought the stock back in 2024 when they first pivoted to Bitcoin and I'm buying again here today. This is the most asymmetric opportunity in the Bitcoin Treasury Ecosystem
16:14

The Metaplanet Inc. acquisition of Siibo Securities is the biggest Bitcoin story so far in 2026 No other Bitcoin Company can replicate Metaplanet's unique position: > 40,000 BTC Treasury 🟠 > Yield Starved Market 🇯🇵 > Type-1 Securities License ✅ I bought the stock back in 2024 when they first pivoted to Bitcoin and I'm buying again here today. This is the most asymmetric opportunity in the Bitcoin Treasury Ecosystem

Mitchell Askew

12,312 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

It was time for a True North-Coin Stories hangout! Thanks for taking the time to share more about the powerful movement you've created Jeff Walton Tim Kotzman We talk about the origin story of , corporate Bitcoin treasuries, the revolution in credit markets, the "digital transformation of investor relations," which companies make them most bullish and much more. Let us know what you think! Timecodes: 00:00 What is True North? 3:49 Creating a New Media Platform in the Bitcoin Space 7:46 What Makes a Great Bitcoin Treasury Company? 10:16 What Is mNAV? How to Evaluate Bitcoin Companies Using mNAV 19:33 How Bitcoin Treasury Companies Differentiate Themselves 21:14 How Companies Gain Liquidity to Buy More Bitcoin 24:55 What Are $STRF, $STRK & $STRD? New Bitcoin-Backed Instrument from Strategy 34:03 Are Bitcoin Treasuries a Bubble? 38:20 Bullish on These Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries 43:27 Top Companies Leading the Bitcoin Treasury Movement 47:17 Semler Scientific: Healthcare Innovation Meets Bitcoin 52:17 True North’s Vision for the Future of Bitcoin & Finance
57:23

It was time for a True North-Coin Stories hangout! Thanks for taking the time to share more about the powerful movement you've created Jeff Walton Tim Kotzman We talk about the origin story of , corporate Bitcoin treasuries, the revolution in credit markets, the "digital transformation of investor relations," which companies make them most bullish and much more. Let us know what you think! Timecodes: 00:00 What is True North? 3:49 Creating a New Media Platform in the Bitcoin Space 7:46 What Makes a Great Bitcoin Treasury Company? 10:16 What Is mNAV? How to Evaluate Bitcoin Companies Using mNAV 19:33 How Bitcoin Treasury Companies Differentiate Themselves 21:14 How Companies Gain Liquidity to Buy More Bitcoin 24:55 What Are $STRF, $STRK & $STRD? New Bitcoin-Backed Instrument from Strategy 34:03 Are Bitcoin Treasuries a Bubble? 38:20 Bullish on These Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries 43:27 Top Companies Leading the Bitcoin Treasury Movement 47:17 Semler Scientific: Healthcare Innovation Meets Bitcoin 52:17 True North’s Vision for the Future of Bitcoin & Finance

Natalie Brunell ⚡️

123,426 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

"There's 6% of the world's value in the UK, 9% of global equities, 10% of the world's money... I think it makes it the perfect jurisdiction to repeat the Strategy playbook of what a Bitcoin treasury company can be." The UK asset landscape presented at the Bitcoin Treasuries Unconference UK by Jesse Myres, Head of Bitcoin Strategy at The Smarter Web Company. Jesse Myers LSE: #SWC | OTCQB: $TSWCF | FRA: $3M8
10:00

"There's 6% of the world's value in the UK, 9% of global equities, 10% of the world's money... I think it makes it the perfect jurisdiction to repeat the Strategy playbook of what a Bitcoin treasury company can be." The UK asset landscape presented at the Bitcoin Treasuries Unconference UK by Jesse Myres, Head of Bitcoin Strategy at The Smarter Web Company. Jesse Myers LSE: #SWC | OTCQB: $TSWCF | FRA: $3M8

The Smarter Web Company

10,170 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Strategy CEO: Bitcoin Accumulation to Resume This Year According to FOX Business, Strategy CEO Phong Le Phong Le stated that the company plans to resume accumulating Bitcoin later this year, despite recent sales of portions of its holdings that drew market scrutiny. Le noted that Strategy has purchased around 175,000 Bitcoin since the beginning of the year while selling roughly 7,000 BTC, making its buying volume about 25 times greater than its sales. He emphasized that proceeds from recent sales were used to support preferred stock dividends, share repurchases, and US dollar reserves, and the company will return to buying more Bitcoin throughout the course of the year.
1:12

Strategy CEO: Bitcoin Accumulation to Resume This Year According to FOX Business, Strategy CEO Phong Le Phong Le stated that the company plans to resume accumulating Bitcoin later this year, despite recent sales of portions of its holdings that drew market scrutiny. Le noted that Strategy has purchased around 175,000 Bitcoin since the beginning of the year while selling roughly 7,000 BTC, making its buying volume about 25 times greater than its sales. He emphasized that proceeds from recent sales were used to support preferred stock dividends, share repurchases, and US dollar reserves, and the company will return to buying more Bitcoin throughout the course of the year.

Wu Blockchain

37,617 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen

“There was never any talk of the risk.” Peter Schiff is just lying at this point. The risk of $STRC was always obvious: it is preferred equity issued by a Bitcoin Treasury Company. Saylor said it clearly: if Bitcoin goes down long term or forever, that is the risk. And what are we seeing now? Bitcoin under pressure. Liquidity rotated into AI and IPOs. Maximum fear. STRC down. That is not some hidden scandal. That is risk premium repricing. Strategy does not magically control STRC’s market price. They can adjust the dividend rate, but the market prices the risk of Bitcoin and Strategy’s ability to keep paying dividends. And when Bitcoin starts going up again, what do you think happens? The same risk premium reprices in the other direction. If you buy preferred equity in a Bitcoin company, you are making one core assumption: Bitcoin goes up over the long term. That was never hidden.
0:42

“There was never any talk of the risk.” Peter Schiff is just lying at this point. The risk of $STRC was always obvious: it is preferred equity issued by a Bitcoin Treasury Company. Saylor said it clearly: if Bitcoin goes down long term or forever, that is the risk. And what are we seeing now? Bitcoin under pressure. Liquidity rotated into AI and IPOs. Maximum fear. STRC down. That is not some hidden scandal. That is risk premium repricing. Strategy does not magically control STRC’s market price. They can adjust the dividend rate, but the market prices the risk of Bitcoin and Strategy’s ability to keep paying dividends. And when Bitcoin starts going up again, what do you think happens? The same risk premium reprices in the other direction. If you buy preferred equity in a Bitcoin company, you are making one core assumption: Bitcoin goes up over the long term. That was never hidden.

Alex 👽

21,220 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The Bitcoin Journey with Adam Back Welcome back to The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Powered by Onramp. Today's guest is Adam Back, Co-Founder and CEO of & Co-Founder and CEO of The Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. We are joined by co-hosts Ed Juline and Nithu Sezni BIP110 Suit. We discuss the journey of Bitcoin Treasury companies to date, how Adam allocates his time these days, the first time Adam saw the Bitcoin whitepaper, and much more. Here's our conversation with Adam Back. 0:00 - Intro 0:18 - If Bitcoin were a sport, which one would it be? 2:10 - How long will this cycle be? 7:00 - The journey of Bitcoin Treasury companies to date 19:41 - How does Adam allocate his time these days? 23:23 - When Adam first saw the Bitcoin Whitepaper 28:23 - Do Bitcoin Treasury companies need to be aware of code changes? 38:01 - Will everyone be developers in the future? 41:37 - Can the taproot upgrade be patched? 51:10 - Can all nodes be prunable? 55:00 - Is there any hope for Treasury companies building on Altcoins?
1:03:03

The Bitcoin Journey with Adam Back Welcome back to The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Powered by Onramp. Today's guest is Adam Back, Co-Founder and CEO of & Co-Founder and CEO of The Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. We are joined by co-hosts Ed Juline and Nithu Sezni BIP110 Suit. We discuss the journey of Bitcoin Treasury companies to date, how Adam allocates his time these days, the first time Adam saw the Bitcoin whitepaper, and much more. Here's our conversation with Adam Back. 0:00 - Intro 0:18 - If Bitcoin were a sport, which one would it be? 2:10 - How long will this cycle be? 7:00 - The journey of Bitcoin Treasury companies to date 19:41 - How does Adam allocate his time these days? 23:23 - When Adam first saw the Bitcoin Whitepaper 28:23 - Do Bitcoin Treasury companies need to be aware of code changes? 38:01 - Will everyone be developers in the future? 41:37 - Can the taproot upgrade be patched? 51:10 - Can all nodes be prunable? 55:00 - Is there any hope for Treasury companies building on Altcoins?

Tim Kotzman

13,129 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Making Sense Of Bitcoin Treasury Companies If you've been following me on X you’ll know that I have recently been floating a lot of my updated thoughts on the Bitcoin Treasury space. Here I have synthesised all of my ideas and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can find the link in the comments. If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to do is acknowledge an important fact which is that Strategy, as a Bitcoin Treasury Company, is an anomaly. What do I mean by that? Strategy’s success has been defined by a number of unique factors and circumstances, most of which cannot be replicated again by other Bitcoin Treasury Companies. Specifically, there are 6 things that stand out to me. 1. Before adopting Bitcoin, Strategy was a billion dollar company with an operating business that was generating roughly $50M in cash a year. 2. Until the introduction of the ETF's in January 2024, Strategy was the only way for the average investor to gain passive exposure to Bitcoin. 3. Until this year, Strategy was the only way for the average investor to gain leveraged exposure to Bitcoin. 4. Strategy was issuing multiple, billion dollar, zero coupon, unsecured convertible notes at +50% conversion premiums. 5. Strategy has Michael Saylor, who, you don’t need me to tell you, is in a league of his own. 6. For many reasons, including those I’ve just mentioned, Strategy has benefitted disproportionately from the broader sentiment around Bitcoin. In other words, for the best part of 4 years, Strategy had zero competition for either capital or attention. As a result, it became a magnet for capital from anyone who wanted exposure to Bitcoin and it attracted inflows that were beyond what fundamentals alone would maybe justify. Therefore, using Strategy as a blueprint for the performance that you can expect from other Bitcoin Treasury Companies is a bad idea. Using Strategy as a blueprint for how to operate a Bitcoin Treasury Company is a good idea. Now let’s break down what’s unfolded over the last 6 months or so. Between May and June of this year, when we witnessed a flood of new Bitcoin Treasury Companies, we entered what I refer to as the frenzy phase. The frenzy phase was driven almost entirely by sentiment. By sentiment I simply mean emotion. Since then, as sentiment has slowly faded, the market has increasingly priced Bitcoin Treasury Companies based more on fundamentals. By fundamentals I simply mean facts. So where as sentiment is driven by emotion and hype, fundamentals are driven by facts and reason. The problem is that when you price Bitcoin Treasury Companies on fundamentals, you realise that many of them are almost entirely dependent on sentiment in order to expand mNAV so they can raise capital via the common stock ATM to buy Bitcoin and generate Bitcoin Yield. However, for me, raising capital via the common stock ATM and recycling it into Bitcoin is not genuine value creation — it’s value transfer. That’s not to say you shouldn’t leverage the ATM as and when necessary — you should. However, if your business model as a Bitcoin Treasury Company no longer works when “sentiment is low” then you have neither a business model nor a business. You’re the equivalent of a meme stock except with Bitcoin on your balance sheet. On that basis, companies shouldn’t expect to trade at a premium if the common stock ATM is the only way they raise capital. I’m not saying they won’t trade at a premium — I’m saying that companies shouldn’t expect to. Now, between July and now, we’ve obviously seen mNAVs compress substantially and so the frenzy phase is over which means that the days of automatically being granted generous mNAV multiples is also over. So now we are in the maturity phase. The maturity phase is going to be defined by being able to offer a differentiated value proposition and having a sustainable business model that can generate Bitcoin Yield in any environment independent of sentiment. In other words, they can generate Bitcoin Yield when trading at or below 1 mNAV. So essentially now, Bitcoin Treasury Companies have to work for their mNAV multiples — as it should be. Following the maturity phase will be the consolidation phase where capital, Bitcoin and ultimately market share will converge towards a small number of Bitcoin Treasury Companies that will dominate the entire industry. I should clarify that I am referring predominantly to pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Companies — companies who are valued based solely on their Bitcoin strategy. Now, with everything that I’ve said, how should you evaluate Bitcoin Treasury Companies? Hopefully over the next few weeks I’m going to string together a video with my valuation framework. In the meantime, a basic test is that I use is this: How much Bitcoin Yield can the company generate over X period of time — you decide what that period of time is — if it traded at 1x mNAV over that entire period? If the answer is 0, then they are probably entirely dependent on raising capital via the common stock ATM which means they likely don’t deserve a premium. If the answer is >0, then they are probably innovating through the use of other instruments — like converts and preferred products — which means they likely do deserve a premium and so whatever number you come up with should be used as the base for your valuation. Now, don’t be fooled. The Bitcoin Treasury Company space is, not entirely, but to a large degree, a zero-sum game. Every Dollar raised by one Bitcoin Treasury Company is at the expense of every other Bitcoin Treasury Company. Every Bitcoin purchased by one Bitcoin Treasury Company is at the expense of every other Bitcoin Treasury Company. It’s only because we are early that everyone is incentivised to essentially hold hands and cheer each other on. However, make no mistake, everyone involved is tacitly well aware that they are all competing for the same finite amount of capital and the same fixed amount of Bitcoin. Thus, the reality is that, by definition, not every Bitcoin Treasury Company is going to succeed. So choose your horses and jockeys wisely. As a side note, with the amount of Bitcoin Treasury Companies now desperately chasing and competing for the same capital from institutions, who do you think has the leverage; the Bitcoin Treasury Companies or the institutions? I’ll let you decide. Before I close, I want to leave you guys with this. There is a small subset of people invested in Bitcoin Treasury Companies who are desperately clinging on to their bags because they believe “sentiment will return.” These people are completely missing the point. My friends, if your investing philosophy is based on sentiment, you are simply not going to last. You want to base your decisions, as far as possible, on fundamentals. As investors, you either adapt and update your mental models based on how things are and not how you want them to be — or you get left behind. With that in mind: Never get caught up in tribalism. Never get attached to your beliefs. Always think critically. Always think independently. Always seek Truth.
10:20

Making Sense Of Bitcoin Treasury Companies If you've been following me on X you’ll know that I have recently been floating a lot of my updated thoughts on the Bitcoin Treasury space. Here I have synthesised all of my ideas and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can find the link in the comments. If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to do is acknowledge an important fact which is that Strategy, as a Bitcoin Treasury Company, is an anomaly. What do I mean by that? Strategy’s success has been defined by a number of unique factors and circumstances, most of which cannot be replicated again by other Bitcoin Treasury Companies. Specifically, there are 6 things that stand out to me. 1. Before adopting Bitcoin, Strategy was a billion dollar company with an operating business that was generating roughly $50M in cash a year. 2. Until the introduction of the ETF's in January 2024, Strategy was the only way for the average investor to gain passive exposure to Bitcoin. 3. Until this year, Strategy was the only way for the average investor to gain leveraged exposure to Bitcoin. 4. Strategy was issuing multiple, billion dollar, zero coupon, unsecured convertible notes at +50% conversion premiums. 5. Strategy has Michael Saylor, who, you don’t need me to tell you, is in a league of his own. 6. For many reasons, including those I’ve just mentioned, Strategy has benefitted disproportionately from the broader sentiment around Bitcoin. In other words, for the best part of 4 years, Strategy had zero competition for either capital or attention. As a result, it became a magnet for capital from anyone who wanted exposure to Bitcoin and it attracted inflows that were beyond what fundamentals alone would maybe justify. Therefore, using Strategy as a blueprint for the performance that you can expect from other Bitcoin Treasury Companies is a bad idea. Using Strategy as a blueprint for how to operate a Bitcoin Treasury Company is a good idea. Now let’s break down what’s unfolded over the last 6 months or so. Between May and June of this year, when we witnessed a flood of new Bitcoin Treasury Companies, we entered what I refer to as the frenzy phase. The frenzy phase was driven almost entirely by sentiment. By sentiment I simply mean emotion. Since then, as sentiment has slowly faded, the market has increasingly priced Bitcoin Treasury Companies based more on fundamentals. By fundamentals I simply mean facts. So where as sentiment is driven by emotion and hype, fundamentals are driven by facts and reason. The problem is that when you price Bitcoin Treasury Companies on fundamentals, you realise that many of them are almost entirely dependent on sentiment in order to expand mNAV so they can raise capital via the common stock ATM to buy Bitcoin and generate Bitcoin Yield. However, for me, raising capital via the common stock ATM and recycling it into Bitcoin is not genuine value creation — it’s value transfer. That’s not to say you shouldn’t leverage the ATM as and when necessary — you should. However, if your business model as a Bitcoin Treasury Company no longer works when “sentiment is low” then you have neither a business model nor a business. You’re the equivalent of a meme stock except with Bitcoin on your balance sheet. On that basis, companies shouldn’t expect to trade at a premium if the common stock ATM is the only way they raise capital. I’m not saying they won’t trade at a premium — I’m saying that companies shouldn’t expect to. Now, between July and now, we’ve obviously seen mNAVs compress substantially and so the frenzy phase is over which means that the days of automatically being granted generous mNAV multiples is also over. So now we are in the maturity phase. The maturity phase is going to be defined by being able to offer a differentiated value proposition and having a sustainable business model that can generate Bitcoin Yield in any environment independent of sentiment. In other words, they can generate Bitcoin Yield when trading at or below 1 mNAV. So essentially now, Bitcoin Treasury Companies have to work for their mNAV multiples — as it should be. Following the maturity phase will be the consolidation phase where capital, Bitcoin and ultimately market share will converge towards a small number of Bitcoin Treasury Companies that will dominate the entire industry. I should clarify that I am referring predominantly to pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Companies — companies who are valued based solely on their Bitcoin strategy. Now, with everything that I’ve said, how should you evaluate Bitcoin Treasury Companies? Hopefully over the next few weeks I’m going to string together a video with my valuation framework. In the meantime, a basic test is that I use is this: How much Bitcoin Yield can the company generate over X period of time — you decide what that period of time is — if it traded at 1x mNAV over that entire period? If the answer is 0, then they are probably entirely dependent on raising capital via the common stock ATM which means they likely don’t deserve a premium. If the answer is >0, then they are probably innovating through the use of other instruments — like converts and preferred products — which means they likely do deserve a premium and so whatever number you come up with should be used as the base for your valuation. Now, don’t be fooled. The Bitcoin Treasury Company space is, not entirely, but to a large degree, a zero-sum game. Every Dollar raised by one Bitcoin Treasury Company is at the expense of every other Bitcoin Treasury Company. Every Bitcoin purchased by one Bitcoin Treasury Company is at the expense of every other Bitcoin Treasury Company. It’s only because we are early that everyone is incentivised to essentially hold hands and cheer each other on. However, make no mistake, everyone involved is tacitly well aware that they are all competing for the same finite amount of capital and the same fixed amount of Bitcoin. Thus, the reality is that, by definition, not every Bitcoin Treasury Company is going to succeed. So choose your horses and jockeys wisely. As a side note, with the amount of Bitcoin Treasury Companies now desperately chasing and competing for the same capital from institutions, who do you think has the leverage; the Bitcoin Treasury Companies or the institutions? I’ll let you decide. Before I close, I want to leave you guys with this. There is a small subset of people invested in Bitcoin Treasury Companies who are desperately clinging on to their bags because they believe “sentiment will return.” These people are completely missing the point. My friends, if your investing philosophy is based on sentiment, you are simply not going to last. You want to base your decisions, as far as possible, on fundamentals. As investors, you either adapt and update your mental models based on how things are and not how you want them to be — or you get left behind. With that in mind: Never get caught up in tribalism. Never get attached to your beliefs. Always think critically. Always think independently. Always seek Truth.

Chris Millas

34,483 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

WHY I AM MORE BULLISH THAN EVER ON BITCOIN TREASURY COMPANIES 36 MINUTE DEEP DIVE. I’m going to explain why Bitcoin Treasury Companies are monetary war machines wrapped in ticker symbols. Why leverage isn’t risk... it’s the holy spirit of capital. And why mNAV compression isn’t bearish, it’s the market holding its breath before it screams. You’ll learn why Metaplanet, Strategy, and the rest of the Bitcoin Treasury cohort are quietly rewiring global finance, turning fiat liquidity into sound money like financial monks. By the end, you’ll understand that we’re not investing anymore, we’re watching civilization reprice truth itself. Sit back. Light a candle. Mute CNBC. This is the gospel according to Bitcoin.
36:47

WHY I AM MORE BULLISH THAN EVER ON BITCOIN TREASURY COMPANIES 36 MINUTE DEEP DIVE. I’m going to explain why Bitcoin Treasury Companies are monetary war machines wrapped in ticker symbols. Why leverage isn’t risk... it’s the holy spirit of capital. And why mNAV compression isn’t bearish, it’s the market holding its breath before it screams. You’ll learn why Metaplanet, Strategy, and the rest of the Bitcoin Treasury cohort are quietly rewiring global finance, turning fiat liquidity into sound money like financial monks. By the end, you’ll understand that we’re not investing anymore, we’re watching civilization reprice truth itself. Sit back. Light a candle. Mute CNBC. This is the gospel according to Bitcoin.

Adam Livingston

26,353 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

📺 The Bitcoin For Corporations Show Episode 8 now live — hosted by Pierre Rochard Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, shares how MSTR became the world’s first Bitcoin-native public company—and why it’s more than just a software stock. From capital markets to balance sheet strategy, Phong lays out the new rules of valuation in the #Bitcoin era. 00:00 – Intro: How to Value a Bitcoin Treasury Company 01:28 – Phong Le on Strategy’s Bitcoin Thesis 04:45 – Why MSTR Isn’t Just a Tech Stock Anymore 08:12 – The Role of FASB Accounting in Bitcoin Adoption 11:39 – Capital Markets: Equity, Debt & Bitcoin 15:20 – Convertible Bonds & Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure 19:05 – What Investors Miss When Valuing MSTR 23:34 – How Institutions View Bitcoin 27:48 – Risks, Volatility, and Shareholder Expectations 32:15 – Bitcoin’s Role in Long-Term Corporate Strategy 36:20 – Advice for Other Bitcoin Treasury Companies 39:12 – Building a Bitcoin-Backed Capital Market 43:10 – Addressing Bitcoin Volatility 46:00 – Why STRF Is Gaining Market Traction 48:30 – Final Thoughts from Phong Le
1:05:02

📺 The Bitcoin For Corporations Show Episode 8 now live — hosted by Pierre Rochard Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, shares how MSTR became the world’s first Bitcoin-native public company—and why it’s more than just a software stock. From capital markets to balance sheet strategy, Phong lays out the new rules of valuation in the #Bitcoin era. 00:00 – Intro: How to Value a Bitcoin Treasury Company 01:28 – Phong Le on Strategy’s Bitcoin Thesis 04:45 – Why MSTR Isn’t Just a Tech Stock Anymore 08:12 – The Role of FASB Accounting in Bitcoin Adoption 11:39 – Capital Markets: Equity, Debt & Bitcoin 15:20 – Convertible Bonds & Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure 19:05 – What Investors Miss When Valuing MSTR 23:34 – How Institutions View Bitcoin 27:48 – Risks, Volatility, and Shareholder Expectations 32:15 – Bitcoin’s Role in Long-Term Corporate Strategy 36:20 – Advice for Other Bitcoin Treasury Companies 39:12 – Building a Bitcoin-Backed Capital Market 43:10 – Addressing Bitcoin Volatility 46:00 – Why STRF Is Gaining Market Traction 48:30 – Final Thoughts from Phong Le

Bitcoin For Corporations

237,146 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

MICHAEL SAYLOR: “Our entree into Bitcoin was first defensive, then it was opportunistic, then it was strategic, and finally it became transformational.” Bitcoin is raw digital energy. Treasury companies are the refineries.
1:36

MICHAEL SAYLOR: “Our entree into Bitcoin was first defensive, then it was opportunistic, then it was strategic, and finally it became transformational.” Bitcoin is raw digital energy. Treasury companies are the refineries.

Swan

25,454 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

🔥HOW I'M GETTING FILTHY, DISGUSTINGLY RICH WITH MSTR + ASST CALLS - 7X BITCOIN RETURNS?!?🔥 MSTR is the giant capital markets war machine. ASST is the smaller creature in the basement discovering preferred stock and screaming “ACCUMULATE”. The trade is simple in concept: Bitcoin reverts higher. Treasury companies keep buying. Common equity exposure compounds. LEAPS turn the whole thing into financial plutonium. This is absolutely not financial advice. Options can and do expire worthless. I am a man on the internet with charts, caffeine, and a dangerous emotional relationship with Bitcoin treasury companies. But the math is fascinating. And if the market is underpricing the rate of BTC accumulation, the CEBE-adjusted common-equity exposure, and the reflexive premium expansion of these companies, this could be one of the most asymmetric setups in the entire Bitcoin ecosystem. MSTR is the cannon. ASST is the compressed spring. BITCOIN IS THE TRIGGER:
26:19

🔥HOW I'M GETTING FILTHY, DISGUSTINGLY RICH WITH MSTR + ASST CALLS - 7X BITCOIN RETURNS?!?🔥 MSTR is the giant capital markets war machine. ASST is the smaller creature in the basement discovering preferred stock and screaming “ACCUMULATE”. The trade is simple in concept: Bitcoin reverts higher. Treasury companies keep buying. Common equity exposure compounds. LEAPS turn the whole thing into financial plutonium. This is absolutely not financial advice. Options can and do expire worthless. I am a man on the internet with charts, caffeine, and a dangerous emotional relationship with Bitcoin treasury companies. But the math is fascinating. And if the market is underpricing the rate of BTC accumulation, the CEBE-adjusted common-equity exposure, and the reflexive premium expansion of these companies, this could be one of the most asymmetric setups in the entire Bitcoin ecosystem. MSTR is the cannon. ASST is the compressed spring. BITCOIN IS THE TRIGGER:

Adam Livingston

25,559 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

I’m excited to share that I’ve been appointed to Director of Bitcoin Strategy at Semler Scientific ($SMLR). Semler Scientific was the second U.S. public company to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy, and now we’re just getting started. With a plan to own at least 10,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2025 and 105,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2027 through accretive equity and debt financings and cash flow from operations, we are determined to build one of the largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries in the world. Grateful to Eric Semler, Renae Cormier, Natalie Brunell ⚡️, and the team for the opportunity. I’m excited for this new beginning. Stay tuned. There’s a lot more to come.
1:09

I’m excited to share that I’ve been appointed to Director of Bitcoin Strategy at Semler Scientific ($SMLR). Semler Scientific was the second U.S. public company to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy, and now we’re just getting started. With a plan to own at least 10,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2025 and 105,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2027 through accretive equity and debt financings and cash flow from operations, we are determined to build one of the largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries in the world. Grateful to Eric Semler, Renae Cormier, Natalie Brunell ⚡️, and the team for the opportunity. I’m excited for this new beginning. Stay tuned. There’s a lot more to come.

Joe Burnett, MSBA

201,906 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

👾 IT IS FINALLY HERE. 👾 The Legendary Adam Back (Adam Back) joined Richard Byworth ∞/21M on our 3rd episode of the BTCTCs subseries. We touch on his early days pre-Bitcoin, his interactions with Satoshi, what he looks for in Bitcoin Treasury Companies, and also BSTR, the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Links in the comments.
0:50

👾 IT IS FINALLY HERE. 👾 The Legendary Adam Back (Adam Back) joined Richard Byworth ∞/21M on our 3rd episode of the BTCTCs subseries. We touch on his early days pre-Bitcoin, his interactions with Satoshi, what he looks for in Bitcoin Treasury Companies, and also BSTR, the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Links in the comments.

Account Pending

101,697 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Michael Saylor may have just revealed the future of Bitcoin treasury companies… and Strive is already building it. In this conversation with Strive's Chief Strategy Officer Avik Roy, we break down: • Why Strategy’s latest earnings call changed the game • The rise of digital credit ($STRC, $SATA & beyond) • Why some Bitcoin treasury firms failed • Why selling Bitcoin can actually be bullish • The next phase of institutional $BTC adoption One of the most insightful discussions we’ve had on Bitcoin treasury strategy. 00:00 Avik Roy’s Bitcoin Origin Story 14:26 What Avik Actually Does at Strive 17:39 Why Strive Wants to Become a PURE Bitcoin Company 20:19 Will Bitcoin Treasury Companies Start Consolidating? 27:14 Europe vs US Bitcoin Treasury Markets 29:00 Michael Saylor’s BIGGEST Earnings Call Hint 30:25 Why STRC Is Dominating the Market 33:22 The Most Shocking Part of Strategy’s Earnings Call 37:32 “Bitcoin Is Fungible… But Not for Taxes” 41:19 The Credit Rating Catalyst That Could Change Everything 44:18 Why Some Smaller Bitcoin Treasury Companies Failed 48:19 Will SATA & STRC Keep Paying Huge Yields? 52:35 Which Bitcoin Treasury Company Is Next? 56:44 “Bitcoin Treasuries Are Like Private Equity in the 1980s” 01:01:18 Macro Outlook: Bitcoin, Inflation & The Fed 01:05:08 Final Thoughts & Where to Follow Avik Roy Full episode 👇
1:05:54

Michael Saylor may have just revealed the future of Bitcoin treasury companies… and Strive is already building it. In this conversation with Strive's Chief Strategy Officer Avik Roy, we break down: • Why Strategy’s latest earnings call changed the game • The rise of digital credit ($STRC, $SATA & beyond) • Why some Bitcoin treasury firms failed • Why selling Bitcoin can actually be bullish • The next phase of institutional $BTC adoption One of the most insightful discussions we’ve had on Bitcoin treasury strategy. 00:00 Avik Roy’s Bitcoin Origin Story 14:26 What Avik Actually Does at Strive 17:39 Why Strive Wants to Become a PURE Bitcoin Company 20:19 Will Bitcoin Treasury Companies Start Consolidating? 27:14 Europe vs US Bitcoin Treasury Markets 29:00 Michael Saylor’s BIGGEST Earnings Call Hint 30:25 Why STRC Is Dominating the Market 33:22 The Most Shocking Part of Strategy’s Earnings Call 37:32 “Bitcoin Is Fungible… But Not for Taxes” 41:19 The Credit Rating Catalyst That Could Change Everything 44:18 Why Some Smaller Bitcoin Treasury Companies Failed 48:19 Will SATA & STRC Keep Paying Huge Yields? 52:35 Which Bitcoin Treasury Company Is Next? 56:44 “Bitcoin Treasuries Are Like Private Equity in the 1980s” 01:01:18 Macro Outlook: Bitcoin, Inflation & The Fed 01:05:08 Final Thoughts & Where to Follow Avik Roy Full episode 👇

One Chair

26,877 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚀ASST TO $700 PER SHARE?!?🚀 YOU THINK I'M JOKING? THINK AGAIN, BUCKO. Current ASST snapshot: BTC holdings: 15,000.5 BTC BTC price: $80,593 Bitcoin NAV: $1.21B Total debt: $10M Preferred outstanding: $495.95M Debt + preferred: $505.95M Amplification ratio: 41.9% Current stock price: $15.85 Now here’s the model, and this isn't MOONBOY NONSENSE, kids. This is with Bitcoin at $750k in 2036, not $1 million in 2034. ASST maintains their current 41.9% amplification ratio for 10 years. Translation for normal people: For every $1.00 of Bitcoin NAV, ASST keeps roughly $0.419 of senior claims through debt/preferred financing. The bears hear that and immediately start sweating through a Men’s Wearhouse suit. But this is the actual machine. As Bitcoin rises, the Bitcoin NAV rises. When the NAV rises, the old preferred stack becomes smaller relative to the treasury. So ASST issues more SATA to keep amplification at 41.9%. That new SATA capital buys more Bitcoin. Then Bitcoin goes up again. Then the NAV goes up again. Then the amplification ratio drops again. Then they issue more SATA again. Then they buy more Bitcoin again. This is how you turn a balance sheet into a legally registered orange crocodile. Now we add the funding mix: 75% of new Bitcoin accumulation comes from SATA. 25% comes from issuing common stock. And the common stock is issued at 1.2x EV mNAV. Meaning they are selling equity at a 20% premium to the enterprise value of the Bitcoin stack. That matters. Because issuing common below NAV is financial self-harm. Issuing common above NAV is accretive treasury sorcery. Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 25% per year for 10 years. BTC price goes from: $80,593 today to roughly: $750,579 in year 10 That is a 9.3x move in Bitcoin. Now what happens to ASST? Starting BTC stack: 15,000.5 BTC Projected year 10 BTC stack: 143,425 BTC That is 9.6x more Bitcoin. Starting Bitcoin NAV: $1.21B Projected year 10 Bitcoin NAV: $107.65B That is 89x larger. Now the bears will say: “BUT THE PREFERREDS!” Yes, Carl. The preferreds are the point. Senior claims rise from $505.95M to $45.11B because the model intentionally keeps amplification at 41.9%. That sounds terrifying until you remember the Bitcoin NAV grew to $107.65B. The stack got bigger. The senior claims got bigger. The common equity claim got bigger too. This is where CEBE comes in. CEBE = Common Equity Bitcoin Exposure. It answers the only question that matters: After debt and preferred holders get their claim, how much Bitcoin exposure does the common shareholder really own? Today: Gross BPS: 20,222 sats CEBE/share: 11,759 sats Year 10: Gross BPS: 95,380 sats CEBE/share: 55,416 sats That means common-equity Bitcoin exposure per share rises about 4.7x. Even after common issuance. Even after maintaining the preferred stack. Even after the bears finish their sacred ritual of screaming “DILUTION” into a spreadsheet they opened sideways. Now the share count. Current implied diluted shares: 74.2M Projected year 10 shares: 150.4M So yes, the share count roughly doubles in this model. But the Bitcoin stack goes 9.6x. This is the entire game. If Bitcoin holdings grow much faster than shares outstanding, the common shareholder’s Bitcoin exposure goes up. The bears think all issuance is bad because they learned finance from a Yahoo message board during a divorce. The actual question is: Does issuance increase Bitcoin per share after senior claims? In this model, yes. Now the stock price. Strict 1.2x EV mNAV model gets ASST to about: $559/share But if we anchor the model to today’s actual ASST price of $15.85, the same growth path gets you to roughly: $696/share Call it $700. There it is. ASST to $700 per share is not “vibes.” It is a model. BTC compounds at 25%. SATA funds 75% of accumulation. Common funds 25% at 1.2x EV mNAV. Amplification stays at 41.9%. BTC stack grows from 15,000 BTC to 143,425 BTC. Bitcoin NAV goes from $1.21B to $107.65B. CEBE/share goes from 11,759 sats to 55,416 sats. The stock goes from $15.85 to roughly $700. This is why small Bitcoin treasury companies are so insane. Strategy is the Death Star. ASST is the weird little orange lab experiment in the basement where someone accidentally discovers corporate finance methamphetamine. Tiny denominator. Preferred financing. Bitcoin accumulation. Premium equity issuance. CEBE expansion. A compounding treasury loop. The bear case is that dilution kills the common. The bull case is that accretive dilution plus preferred financing creates a Bitcoin-per-share machine that eats capital markets and leaves behind a pile of traumatized short sellers asking why their model still says “book value.” ASST to $700? If the machine works, yes. If Bitcoin does 25% CAGR, absolutely possible. If SATA scales and common gets issued above NAV, the goblin gets fed. And once the goblin gets fed, the spreadsheet starts looking like it was written by Saylor, Dylan LeClair, and a sleep-deprived Austrian economist locked inside a treasury dashboard with three Celsius energy drinks. This is not financial advice. This is FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT:
0:20

🚀ASST TO $700 PER SHARE?!?🚀 YOU THINK I'M JOKING? THINK AGAIN, BUCKO. Current ASST snapshot: BTC holdings: 15,000.5 BTC BTC price: $80,593 Bitcoin NAV: $1.21B Total debt: $10M Preferred outstanding: $495.95M Debt + preferred: $505.95M Amplification ratio: 41.9% Current stock price: $15.85 Now here’s the model, and this isn't MOONBOY NONSENSE, kids. This is with Bitcoin at $750k in 2036, not $1 million in 2034. ASST maintains their current 41.9% amplification ratio for 10 years. Translation for normal people: For every $1.00 of Bitcoin NAV, ASST keeps roughly $0.419 of senior claims through debt/preferred financing. The bears hear that and immediately start sweating through a Men’s Wearhouse suit. But this is the actual machine. As Bitcoin rises, the Bitcoin NAV rises. When the NAV rises, the old preferred stack becomes smaller relative to the treasury. So ASST issues more SATA to keep amplification at 41.9%. That new SATA capital buys more Bitcoin. Then Bitcoin goes up again. Then the NAV goes up again. Then the amplification ratio drops again. Then they issue more SATA again. Then they buy more Bitcoin again. This is how you turn a balance sheet into a legally registered orange crocodile. Now we add the funding mix: 75% of new Bitcoin accumulation comes from SATA. 25% comes from issuing common stock. And the common stock is issued at 1.2x EV mNAV. Meaning they are selling equity at a 20% premium to the enterprise value of the Bitcoin stack. That matters. Because issuing common below NAV is financial self-harm. Issuing common above NAV is accretive treasury sorcery. Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 25% per year for 10 years. BTC price goes from: $80,593 today to roughly: $750,579 in year 10 That is a 9.3x move in Bitcoin. Now what happens to ASST? Starting BTC stack: 15,000.5 BTC Projected year 10 BTC stack: 143,425 BTC That is 9.6x more Bitcoin. Starting Bitcoin NAV: $1.21B Projected year 10 Bitcoin NAV: $107.65B That is 89x larger. Now the bears will say: “BUT THE PREFERREDS!” Yes, Carl. The preferreds are the point. Senior claims rise from $505.95M to $45.11B because the model intentionally keeps amplification at 41.9%. That sounds terrifying until you remember the Bitcoin NAV grew to $107.65B. The stack got bigger. The senior claims got bigger. The common equity claim got bigger too. This is where CEBE comes in. CEBE = Common Equity Bitcoin Exposure. It answers the only question that matters: After debt and preferred holders get their claim, how much Bitcoin exposure does the common shareholder really own? Today: Gross BPS: 20,222 sats CEBE/share: 11,759 sats Year 10: Gross BPS: 95,380 sats CEBE/share: 55,416 sats That means common-equity Bitcoin exposure per share rises about 4.7x. Even after common issuance. Even after maintaining the preferred stack. Even after the bears finish their sacred ritual of screaming “DILUTION” into a spreadsheet they opened sideways. Now the share count. Current implied diluted shares: 74.2M Projected year 10 shares: 150.4M So yes, the share count roughly doubles in this model. But the Bitcoin stack goes 9.6x. This is the entire game. If Bitcoin holdings grow much faster than shares outstanding, the common shareholder’s Bitcoin exposure goes up. The bears think all issuance is bad because they learned finance from a Yahoo message board during a divorce. The actual question is: Does issuance increase Bitcoin per share after senior claims? In this model, yes. Now the stock price. Strict 1.2x EV mNAV model gets ASST to about: $559/share But if we anchor the model to today’s actual ASST price of $15.85, the same growth path gets you to roughly: $696/share Call it $700. There it is. ASST to $700 per share is not “vibes.” It is a model. BTC compounds at 25%. SATA funds 75% of accumulation. Common funds 25% at 1.2x EV mNAV. Amplification stays at 41.9%. BTC stack grows from 15,000 BTC to 143,425 BTC. Bitcoin NAV goes from $1.21B to $107.65B. CEBE/share goes from 11,759 sats to 55,416 sats. The stock goes from $15.85 to roughly $700. This is why small Bitcoin treasury companies are so insane. Strategy is the Death Star. ASST is the weird little orange lab experiment in the basement where someone accidentally discovers corporate finance methamphetamine. Tiny denominator. Preferred financing. Bitcoin accumulation. Premium equity issuance. CEBE expansion. A compounding treasury loop. The bear case is that dilution kills the common. The bull case is that accretive dilution plus preferred financing creates a Bitcoin-per-share machine that eats capital markets and leaves behind a pile of traumatized short sellers asking why their model still says “book value.” ASST to $700? If the machine works, yes. If Bitcoin does 25% CAGR, absolutely possible. If SATA scales and common gets issued above NAV, the goblin gets fed. And once the goblin gets fed, the spreadsheet starts looking like it was written by Saylor, Dylan LeClair, and a sleep-deprived Austrian economist locked inside a treasury dashboard with three Celsius energy drinks. This is not financial advice. This is FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT:

Adam Livingston

66,707 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten