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War always comes back to those who started it. For the fourth time this week, Ukraine has carried out large-scale strikes on Wildberries marketplace warehouses, as these facilities are actively involved in supplying the Russian army with sanctioned components. The attacks are inflicting colossal damage on the Russian economy...

40,257 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of Russia's war in Ukraine: ◾️Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the US elections. In the meantime, Ukraine and Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies. ◾️ Russia's primary focus is on discrediting Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the US elections to divide Americans and increase instability. ◾️ During his visit to the US, President Zelensky met with President Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ◾️ Ukraine continues to destroy Russian military depots and military logistics; Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons. ◾️ Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by Russian allies - Iran and North Korea. There are reports that production of Russian Shahed drones has exceeded Russian original plans. ◾️ Russia is intensifying its strikes on Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate Ukrainians, and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for Sumy and Kharkiv. Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of Russian KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well. ◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries, including countries of Africa. Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate which is very dangerous for this region. ◾️ In the coming month, the Russians will probably try to solve the "Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the BRICS summit in Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the BRICS guests that Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner. Otherwise, the situation when a part of Russia's territory is under Ukrainian control (when Putin had the intention to capture Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for Russia. During August and September, Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed and will now try to counterattack our troops. How the situation in Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that AFU leaders will make. ◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months are the elections in Moldova and Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of Russia and pro-Russian forces is enormous. ◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from Russia. ◾️Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage. ◾️ Due to the escalation in the Middle East and the US elections, Ukraine is fading from the information field, which Russia is actively using, knowing that its crimes against Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse. The largest war in Europe since the Second World War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the US elections. The situation of strategic uncertainty will last at least until November. It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on Ukraine and showing Russia that the West does not withdraw its support. I'd like to end with a reminder of these Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

Anton Gerashchenko

166,479 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Wildberries has begun making payments to sellers whose products were damaged as a result of attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the company's logistics facilities. The first payments will be made on July 22nd, and over 88,000 sellers will receive them, according to Tatiana Kim, founder of Wildberries and CEO of the combined company Wildberries & Russ. Financial support will initially be directed to the smallest and most vulnerable entrepreneurs, whose goods were stored at the warehouse in Electrostal. The funds should appear in the sellers' accounts within 24 hours. "From the first days of the attacks, I said that, despite the force majeure circumstances, we are working to organize financial support for our partners. We are starting the first payments to sellers today," Kim said. The company will publish a detailed formula for calculating the payments on the seller portal. Wildberries is developing a separate support mechanism and sales simulator for small and medium-sized businesses. Another package of measures is being prepared for large sellers and manufacturers who work with the platform on individual terms. This category of partners accounts for a significant share of Wildberries' sales. Similar compensation mechanisms are planned to be applied to entrepreneurs whose goods were damaged at other company facilities. Tatiana Kim called the attacks on warehouses, civilian infrastructure, and Wildberries employees an act of international terrorism. "The attack by Ukraine on civilian infrastructure, ordinary citizens, and our employees is an act of international terrorism," she emphasized. All of Wildberries' logistics complexes are insured, but current contracts do not cover damage caused by terrorist attacks and drone strikes. According to Kim, the risks of terrorism and sabotage are not included in standard insurance policies and require separate inclusion with additional limits. Most Russian insurance companies are not yet ready to insure large industrial facilities against such threats. This situation, according to the head of RWB, was confirmed by "Rosi Gosstrakh." Wildberries supports the development of special insurance products that cover damage from terrorist attacks, sabotage, and the use of drones, and believes that a systematic solution to this problem is necessary. The company's warehouse in the Tambov region was not damaged and is expected to resume operations in the coming days. Work is continuing at the other facilities to eliminate the consequences of the attacks and assess the damage. The company is also restructuring logistics routes and redistributing goods between warehouses to maintain their turnover and the economic stability of sellers. The service for delivering goods is expected to be normalized within 24 hours. At the same time, the priority, against the backdrop of the restructuring of logistics, remains the fulfillment of orders for customers, which is necessary to maintain stable demand. All products available on the Wildberries website remain available for order. "Our logistics infrastructure allows us to restructure processes so that using Wildberries remains easy and convenient," Kim said. She also thanked customers who, after the attacks, decided to support local Russian brands and are sharing information about purchasing products from domestic sellers. On July 18th and 22nd, facilities of Wildberries in the Moscow and Tambov regions, as well as in the Krasnodar and Stavropol regions, were attacked by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. As a result of the attacks, there were casualties and injuries. After the attack in the Krasnodar region, one person died. The company expressed its condolences to the family and promised to provide the relatives with the necessary assistance.

🇷🇺 Yuri Podolyaka

65,363 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

As Mr. Rubio has kindly informed us earlier, today is Russia day. I've prepared several facts of what Putin's rule has brought Russia to in the past 25 years. ◾️ Finances: The Russian government plans to revise the federal budget for 2025, increasing the deficit by 250% – from $12 billion to $42 billion. The official inflation rate is supposedly 7.6%, but according to estimates by the Foreign Intelligence Service, real inflation in Russia already exceeds 20%. According to the US Department of Defense, Russia has spent at least $250 billion on the war against Ukraine since the start of the full-scale invasion. Russia's economic losses from the war and sanctions are around $1.3 trillion. At the same time, according to the Federal State Statistics Service, 12.6 million Russians were living below the poverty line in 2024. But Putin does not care about the standard of living in Russia. ◾️ Demographic decline and huge losses on the front lines: Since the full-scale invasion, according to various estimates, between 650,000 and 1.3 million Russians have left the country. More than 1 million have been killed and injured in the war. Russia has been flooded with criminals who received amnesty for participating in the war in Ukraine. Crime levels have risen dramatically in Russia. ◾️ Oil: Due to sanctions, Russia has lost its rich Western markets and is forced to sell oil to China at bargain prices. Currently, Russian oil is sold in the ports of Primorsk and Novorossiysk for approximately $47-49 per barrel, which is significantly lower than the budgeted figure of $69.7. As a result, Russia's annual oil and gas revenues could fall by up to 30%, or $30-40 billion, which is almost equal to the entire Russian budget deficit for the current year. ◾️ Military: The Russian army has long lost its status as the "second" in the world and has turned into a bunch of looters and criminals, "cannon fodder" that is thrown into battle for a forest area near another destroyed Ukrainian village. ◾️ Navy: Ukrainian drones and missiles are methodically turning the Black Sea Fleet into an underwater fleet. Moreover, recently the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) blew up the Crimean (Kerch) Bridge for the third time. ◾️ Space: In 2024, Russia launched only 17 rockets into space. By comparison, the US launched 152 rockets and China launched 65. A place in the top three with a score of 17 is little consolation, especially considering that New Zealand launched 13 rockets in 2024. Under international sanctions, Russia cannot purchase expensive microchips and other necessary equipment. ◾️ Attacks on Russia: Since the beginning of 2025, more than 17 attacks have been carried out on oil depots and refineries in Russia. In 2024, Ukrainian drones attacked oil refineries and fuel depots in Russia, annexed Crimea, and occupied territories of Ukraine at least 81 times. ◾️ Aviation: The SBU struck four strategic airfields in different regions of Russia with drones. The total losses of enemy aircraft amount to 41 units, including A-50, Tu-95, Tu-22, Tu-160, An-12, and Il-78 aircraft. The operation weakened Russia's strike capabilities by 20-30%. Military experts around the world, commenting on the SBU's special operation, called the actions of Putin's FSB, which allowed everything to happen right under its nose, one of the biggest failures in the history of the Russian special services. 📹: Russian cemeteries in Vladivostok and Krasnoyarsk region.

Anton Gerashchenko

64,295 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Two bridges collapsed in Bryansk and Kursk regions of Russia last night, damaging a passenger and freight trains. Russian authorities say they were blown up. This looks like the work of Russian FSB before the next round of talks in Istanbul. ◾️In Bryansk region, a bridge collapsed as a passenger train was going under it. Russian media report that seven people were killed and 73 more were injured. ◾️In Kursk region, another bridge collapsed as a cargo train was moving on it. One of the locomotive engineers damaged his legs in the incident. Russia's investigative committee claims that the bridges in Bryansk and Kursk region have collapsed from explosions. Russian MP Kartapolov is already blaming Ukraine. Russia has constantly been promoting the narrative "Ukraine is a terrorist country" for at least a year. But Ukrainian attacks have been launched only against Russia's military infrastructure and military logistics, whereas Russia is known for false flag terror operations (this tactics was used in 1999 to bring Putin to power). Tomorrow, another round of Ukraine-Russia talks is scheduled to take place in Istanbul. These explosions are a good way for Russia to sabotage the process. Russia is getting ready to voice unacceptable conditions again at the talks in Istanbul. So, it wants to play the card of "we can't talk to a terrorist country that blows up passenger trains without any military reason" to distract attention from the fact that these "peace" conditions cannot be accepted. Thus, Russia will turn down all talks about a ceasefire (that it never intended to agree to in the first place) and continue its offensive in Sumy region of Ukraine, as well as other parts of the frontline. Russia is behind these explosions to draw attention away from Russian attacks on Ukrainian cities. Russia has started an information war to undermine Ukraine in Europe and the United States. Russia hopes to avoid additional sanctions, undermine Ukraine and disrupt the talks.

Anton Gerashchenko

43,902 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Russia operates a network for the militarization of Ukrainian children, forcefully deported by Moscow's troops, an investigation by the Yale School of Public Health's Humanitarian Research Lab shows. The Russians have set up an unprecedented system of military camps, sanatoriums, boarding schools, and other facilities (such as a monastery) for the 're-education' of abducted Ukrainian children, the HRL team said. ◾️ A total of 210 facilities have been identified in Russia and the temporarily occupied territory of Ukraine, where young Ukrainians are being prepared for military service. The largest number of 're-education' sites are in Russian-occupied Crimea - 19. Next is Krasnodar Krai (15), followed by Tatarstan (9). ◾️ In these facilities, children are placed in programs of forced militarization. They are made to listen to lectures on Russian history, learn and perform the Russian national anthem, assemble drones, throw grenades, and take part in other activities "that align with pro-Russia narratives." ◾️ Many federal government entities are involved in the network: the defense ministry, the science and education ministry, the Investigative Committee, and the Russian president's directorate. The program is funded through Kremlin grants and supported via movements (Young Army and the Movement of the First), as well as centers (Avangard and Warrior). ◾️ Ukraine has been able to verify Russia's deportation of over 19,500 children since the beginning of Moscow's full-scale invasion. But the actual number is likely to be much higher - HRL placed the number of deported children closer to 35,000.

Anton Gerashchenko

39,174 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Why this strike is so significant: ◾️ Primorsk port is Russia’s largest oil-loading port on the Baltic Sea. It is the terminal point of the Baltic Pipeline System (BPS) and plays a key role in exporting Urals crude. The port is a critically important piece of infrastructure, handling around 60 million tons of oil per year. ◾️ Primorsk is Russia’s "cash tap" on the Baltic Sea. Oil revenues help sustain the war against Ukraine and fund the killing of Ukrainians. Every day of downtime means millions of dollars in lost tax revenue for the Russian budget, which finances the army. ◾️ After such attacks, international insurance companies sharply increase premiums for tankers calling at Russian ports, making Russian oil less profitable. ◾️ Primorsk is the endpoint of the Baltic Pipeline System (BPS). If the terminal cannot receive oil, there is nowhere for it to go: oil rigs in Siberia cannot simply be shut down without risking long-term damage. This forces Russian companies to cut production or urgently seek alternative routes. ◾️ To protect such large facilities, Russia has to redeploy scarce air defense systems (such as Pantsir and S-400) from the front deep into the rear (including Russia's Leningrad region). ◾️ Oil terminals rely on complex Western equipment (pumps, control systems, fire suppression systems). Due to sanctions, replacing damaged components is extremely difficult and costly. Repairs can take months, reducing overall export efficiency. Strikes on targets more than 1,000 km from the border demonstrate that there are no longer any safe zones for military or strategic infrastructure inside Russia. ◾️ The shadow fleet of tankers transporting Russian oil is becoming increasingly wary of operating in such areas, complicating Russia’s efforts to circumvent oil sanctions. 📹: Current Time

Anton Gerashchenko

115,210 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten