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WE ARE IN THE WAR FOR BITCOIN The financial system is no longer collapsing quietly. It is screaming. And the funniest part is that the institutions causing the collapse want you to believe Bitcoin is the problem. Bitcoin is sitting there with perfect uptime like a cosmic scoreboard recording...

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Adam Livingston

75,045 subscribers

19,407 次观看 • 8 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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"Where are the servers of Bitcoin located?” - Prof Jiang That single question from Jiang shows the misunderstanding immediately. Bitcoin does not run on one company’s servers, Bitcoin runs on a distributed network of nodes spread across the world, which is exactly why it is hard to censor, shut down, or control, plus the mining system on top of it to protect it with energy. When someone frames Bitcoin like a centralized system, they are not critiquing Bitcoin as it is. They are critiquing a version of Bitcoin that exists only in their own confusion.
0:33

"Where are the servers of Bitcoin located?” - Prof Jiang That single question from Jiang shows the misunderstanding immediately. Bitcoin does not run on one company’s servers, Bitcoin runs on a distributed network of nodes spread across the world, which is exactly why it is hard to censor, shut down, or control, plus the mining system on top of it to protect it with energy. When someone frames Bitcoin like a centralized system, they are not critiquing Bitcoin as it is. They are critiquing a version of Bitcoin that exists only in their own confusion.

MDB

579,648 次观看 • 4 个月前

NYC baddie asked me: "Why isn't bitcoin going up during the war?" I sat there and thought about it. And I said, that's legitimately a good question. I'm not sure I have an answer. In theory, Bitcoin is designed as a hedge against geopolitical unrest. But it's never actually traded like one. i told her the paradox of bitcoin is if we went to world war three, like REAL word war three bitcoin is probably candling green right now. does that make sense? she wasn’t too excited to hear that The better answer is: don't talk to hot girls about Bitcoin.
2:39

NYC baddie asked me: "Why isn't bitcoin going up during the war?" I sat there and thought about it. And I said, that's legitimately a good question. I'm not sure I have an answer. In theory, Bitcoin is designed as a hedge against geopolitical unrest. But it's never actually traded like one. i told her the paradox of bitcoin is if we went to world war three, like REAL word war three bitcoin is probably candling green right now. does that make sense? she wasn’t too excited to hear that The better answer is: don't talk to hot girls about Bitcoin.

threadguy

58,917 次观看 • 5 个月前

SIMON DIXON: "We need people running nodes, owning their Bitcoin in self custody, people that aren't borrowing against their Bitcoin through a centralized structure, people that are going to support different types of innovation that allow for privacy." "It's still the most decentralized thing we have... I know it will succeed because... It's an escape for elites that still want it as well." "Do you want to fund death, destruction, war, violence and fund the proof of weapons network, which is Bitcoin in custody?... Or do you want to actually boycott, make the system weaker and at least have a corner of the world that's working on allowing people to be sovereign? Because the only countries that are going to survive in this multipolar world order and not be vassalized into the Financial Industrial Complex are the countries that have sovereign wealth." "Most of you will be useful idiots that will give more power to the financial industrial complex on the wrong side of a margin call mining fiat currency while they take your Bitcoin and use it as leverage to destroy your pension, bomb more countries and you work for transnational capital."
4:51

SIMON DIXON: "We need people running nodes, owning their Bitcoin in self custody, people that aren't borrowing against their Bitcoin through a centralized structure, people that are going to support different types of innovation that allow for privacy." "It's still the most decentralized thing we have... I know it will succeed because... It's an escape for elites that still want it as well." "Do you want to fund death, destruction, war, violence and fund the proof of weapons network, which is Bitcoin in custody?... Or do you want to actually boycott, make the system weaker and at least have a corner of the world that's working on allowing people to be sovereign? Because the only countries that are going to survive in this multipolar world order and not be vassalized into the Financial Industrial Complex are the countries that have sovereign wealth." "Most of you will be useful idiots that will give more power to the financial industrial complex on the wrong side of a margin call mining fiat currency while they take your Bitcoin and use it as leverage to destroy your pension, bomb more countries and you work for transnational capital."

Simply Bitcoin

35,186 次观看 • 2 个月前

🎙️ Why Bitcoin Is the Only Escape from Fiat Collapse Ep. 74 with Peter Dunworth on You’re The Voice | Podcast by Efrat Fenigson My guest today is Peter Dunworth, a wealth strategist with over two decades in traditional finance, and now founder of The Bitcoin Adviser, a company helping investors buy, secure and manage their bitcoin. From a background in mortgage broking and family office advisory, Peter has become a trusted guide for those transitioning from fiat to Bitcoin. We sat down at Bitcoin Alive in Sydney to unpack the collapse of the fiat system, how Bitcoin restores financial integrity, and why recent moves like the SAB 121 repeal and strategic reserves are double-edged swords. Peter explains why banks may soon pay you to borrow, how Michael Saylor rewrote the rules of treasury management, and why Australia’s economy is quietly in freefall. This episode is an honest look at the future of money, the power of self-custody, and why Bitcoin remains the ultimate tool for financial freedom. ► If you got value, please like, comment, share, follow and support my work. Thank you! 00:00 Coming Up… 01:22 Intro: Where is Bitcoin Adoption Today 04:30 “You Don’t Change Bitcoin, Bitcoin Changes You” 03:08 The Evolution of Bitcoin and Its Community 07:54 Self Custody with Trezor 08:23 BTC Prague 08:40 The Double-Edged Sword of Government Involvement 13:47 Intro to Peter & The Bitcoin Adviser 16:13 The Unsustainable Fiat System 19:33 How Will Bitcoin Change The Monetary System 22:05 Awareness Creation Via Shitcoins 22:48 Are We Witnessing The Change of World Monetary Order? 25:23 SAB 121: The Big News for Banking & Bitcoin 31:38 Australia's MacroEconomics & Societal Changes 37:43 MicroStrategy/Strategy’s Innovative Corporate Strategy 42:03 Free Markets, Bonds & Bitcoin's Role >>
48:52

🎙️ Why Bitcoin Is the Only Escape from Fiat Collapse Ep. 74 with Peter Dunworth on You’re The Voice | Podcast by Efrat Fenigson My guest today is Peter Dunworth, a wealth strategist with over two decades in traditional finance, and now founder of The Bitcoin Adviser, a company helping investors buy, secure and manage their bitcoin. From a background in mortgage broking and family office advisory, Peter has become a trusted guide for those transitioning from fiat to Bitcoin. We sat down at Bitcoin Alive in Sydney to unpack the collapse of the fiat system, how Bitcoin restores financial integrity, and why recent moves like the SAB 121 repeal and strategic reserves are double-edged swords. Peter explains why banks may soon pay you to borrow, how Michael Saylor rewrote the rules of treasury management, and why Australia’s economy is quietly in freefall. This episode is an honest look at the future of money, the power of self-custody, and why Bitcoin remains the ultimate tool for financial freedom. ► If you got value, please like, comment, share, follow and support my work. Thank you! 00:00 Coming Up… 01:22 Intro: Where is Bitcoin Adoption Today 04:30 “You Don’t Change Bitcoin, Bitcoin Changes You” 03:08 The Evolution of Bitcoin and Its Community 07:54 Self Custody with Trezor 08:23 BTC Prague 08:40 The Double-Edged Sword of Government Involvement 13:47 Intro to Peter & The Bitcoin Adviser 16:13 The Unsustainable Fiat System 19:33 How Will Bitcoin Change The Monetary System 22:05 Awareness Creation Via Shitcoins 22:48 Are We Witnessing The Change of World Monetary Order? 25:23 SAB 121: The Big News for Banking & Bitcoin 31:38 Australia's MacroEconomics & Societal Changes 37:43 MicroStrategy/Strategy’s Innovative Corporate Strategy 42:03 Free Markets, Bonds & Bitcoin's Role >>

Efrat Fenigson

40,749 次观看 • 1 年前

When I say that Bitcoin is a currency of distrust, I'm just repeating what Bitcoin fans themselves say. There may be good reasons not to trust the banks and governments that create dollars, yens, and other currencies – but that doesn’t change the fact that the preference for Bitcoin is based on distrust of human institutions. Why is this an alarming development? Because the whole purpose of money is to create trust between strangers. Financial devices like currencies, bonds and shares – 90% of which are just data in computers – build trust between millions of strangers, who can then pool their knowledge and resources together, and cooperate. Humans control the world because we learned to do this. If we now lose trust in human institutions, this will limit the amount of money and handicap economic activity and cooperation. I hope that humanity finds a way to build trustworthy human institutions, instead of adopting technologies of distrust. #bitcoin #trust #distrust #crypto #currency #humanity #institutions #money #finance
2:34

When I say that Bitcoin is a currency of distrust, I'm just repeating what Bitcoin fans themselves say. There may be good reasons not to trust the banks and governments that create dollars, yens, and other currencies – but that doesn’t change the fact that the preference for Bitcoin is based on distrust of human institutions. Why is this an alarming development? Because the whole purpose of money is to create trust between strangers. Financial devices like currencies, bonds and shares – 90% of which are just data in computers – build trust between millions of strangers, who can then pool their knowledge and resources together, and cooperate. Humans control the world because we learned to do this. If we now lose trust in human institutions, this will limit the amount of money and handicap economic activity and cooperation. I hope that humanity finds a way to build trustworthy human institutions, instead of adopting technologies of distrust. #bitcoin #trust #distrust #crypto #currency #humanity #institutions #money #finance

Yuval Noah Harari

1,508,478 次观看 • 2 年前

Debunking the Flat Bitcoin Theory 🧵 In the early days of Bitcoin (2009-2014) there was a massive amount of experimentation and innovation on bitcoin The first NFTs and cryptoart started on Bitcoin The first memecoins started on Bitcoin The first stablecoins and real world assets started on Bitcoin The first dapps started on Bitcoin The first DEX started on Bitcoin The first on-chain governance started on Bitcoin The first crypto degens were playing Satoshi Dice on Bitcoin But then the OP_RETURN wars happened and people like Luke Dashjr vilified innovation and scared builders away resulting in a long period of stagnation (2015-2023) This period of stagnation gave birth to the Flat Bitcoin Theory which infected the minds of nearly everyone The Flat Bitcoin Theory is a belief held by "Flat Bitcoiners" who think that Bitcoin is a boring blockchain that is not capable of the innovative use cases that we see on alt L1s like Ethereum or Solana But thankfully in January 2023 Casey burst onto the scene with the ordinals protocol and one by one people have been waking up from this lie and realizing that Bitcoin is actually multidimensional and capable of everything you could possibly imagine and more Since then Bitcoin has experienced a renaissance of innovation with a new set of builders picking up where the set of OG builders left off Jeremy Lin | 🔄 DotSwap (On Nexus) from DOTSWAP•DOTSWAP - Official has defied all FUD and delivered a trustless liquidity pool style experience on Bitcoin L1 for Runes with zero MEV Stan from Sats Terminal has built an advanced order routing and aggregation engine for Runes trading on Bitcoin L1 Scott | Bound from radFi has revived the Runes trenches with a token launchpad on Bitcoin L1 that thousands of people use every day Robin from Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans built a Runes and Ordinals lending protocol that has processed hundreds of millions of dollars of volume which proves that DeFi can thrive on Bitcoin L1 domo and Binari from BRC 2.0 and Tagga from Alkanes have been relentlessly pursing a vision for general purpose smart contracts on Bitcoin L1 TO from Pizza Pets built a fully on-chain multiplayer game directly on Bitcoin L1 Ken Liao from built a Bitcoin wallet for interacting with Bitcoin L1 dapps that is so sleek that it puts Ethereum's flagship wallet MetaMask to shame danny huuep from OnChainMonkey® pioneered a new way to store an entire 10K PFP collection on Bitcoin for only $23 that is now widely adopted by hundreds of other Ordinals collections SergeSats has formed the Bitcoin Art Society to preserve Bitcoin's on-chain culture for future generation has dedicated months of his life to ensuring that once a year there is a place where bitcoin builders can gather to celebrate experimentation on bitcoin at Bitcoin Summit Massive decentralized communities like the $DOG Army and Bitcoin Puppets have rallied together to support all of these innovations and champion the Bitcoin ecosystem Do not ever let anyone tell you that Bitcoin is not capable of something or that you must only use Bitcoin in a certain way The Bitcoin network is more secure and robust longterm when it is winning at developer mindshare and blocks are filled with a diverse set of on-chain activity It is up to us, the Ordinals, Runes, and Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem to be stewards of this technology now so go build the most badass applications possible and never stop fighting for innovation on Bitcoin!
13:29

Debunking the Flat Bitcoin Theory 🧵 In the early days of Bitcoin (2009-2014) there was a massive amount of experimentation and innovation on bitcoin The first NFTs and cryptoart started on Bitcoin The first memecoins started on Bitcoin The first stablecoins and real world assets started on Bitcoin The first dapps started on Bitcoin The first DEX started on Bitcoin The first on-chain governance started on Bitcoin The first crypto degens were playing Satoshi Dice on Bitcoin But then the OP_RETURN wars happened and people like Luke Dashjr vilified innovation and scared builders away resulting in a long period of stagnation (2015-2023) This period of stagnation gave birth to the Flat Bitcoin Theory which infected the minds of nearly everyone The Flat Bitcoin Theory is a belief held by "Flat Bitcoiners" who think that Bitcoin is a boring blockchain that is not capable of the innovative use cases that we see on alt L1s like Ethereum or Solana But thankfully in January 2023 Casey burst onto the scene with the ordinals protocol and one by one people have been waking up from this lie and realizing that Bitcoin is actually multidimensional and capable of everything you could possibly imagine and more Since then Bitcoin has experienced a renaissance of innovation with a new set of builders picking up where the set of OG builders left off Jeremy Lin | 🔄 DotSwap (On Nexus) from DOTSWAP•DOTSWAP - Official has defied all FUD and delivered a trustless liquidity pool style experience on Bitcoin L1 for Runes with zero MEV Stan from Sats Terminal has built an advanced order routing and aggregation engine for Runes trading on Bitcoin L1 Scott | Bound from radFi has revived the Runes trenches with a token launchpad on Bitcoin L1 that thousands of people use every day Robin from Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans built a Runes and Ordinals lending protocol that has processed hundreds of millions of dollars of volume which proves that DeFi can thrive on Bitcoin L1 domo and Binari from BRC 2.0 and Tagga from Alkanes have been relentlessly pursing a vision for general purpose smart contracts on Bitcoin L1 TO from Pizza Pets built a fully on-chain multiplayer game directly on Bitcoin L1 Ken Liao from built a Bitcoin wallet for interacting with Bitcoin L1 dapps that is so sleek that it puts Ethereum's flagship wallet MetaMask to shame danny huuep from OnChainMonkey® pioneered a new way to store an entire 10K PFP collection on Bitcoin for only $23 that is now widely adopted by hundreds of other Ordinals collections SergeSats has formed the Bitcoin Art Society to preserve Bitcoin's on-chain culture for future generation has dedicated months of his life to ensuring that once a year there is a place where bitcoin builders can gather to celebrate experimentation on bitcoin at Bitcoin Summit Massive decentralized communities like the $DOG Army and Bitcoin Puppets have rallied together to support all of these innovations and champion the Bitcoin ecosystem Do not ever let anyone tell you that Bitcoin is not capable of something or that you must only use Bitcoin in a certain way The Bitcoin network is more secure and robust longterm when it is winning at developer mindshare and blocks are filled with a diverse set of on-chain activity It is up to us, the Ordinals, Runes, and Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem to be stewards of this technology now so go build the most badass applications possible and never stop fighting for innovation on Bitcoin!

Leonidas 🧡 $DOG

63,009 次观看 • 11 个月前

So, does it matter that Bitcoin seems to be moving away from its cypherpunk roots? Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin Treasuries have taken BTC mainstream. So I asked Saifedean Ammous this very question. His answer might surprise you... 👀👇 "If you have very strong feelings about how people should and shouldn't use Bitcoin, you're in for a rough time." "To be honest, a lot of people project too much onto Bitcoin. Ultimately, it's just a bunch of software and anybody can use it in any way they want. Initially, it's a small subset of people that use it and then they start projecting their values onto it. And then over time, they expect it to continue to abide by that," Ammous said. "If it's a successful technology, it's going to be used by everybody. It's going to be used by small businesses, large businesses, governments, individuals. It's money. Everybody uses money. There are 8.5 billion people on Earth, they all use money and they're all going to continue to use money. And Bitcoin is just the best money." Ultimately, the protocol itself is immune to the financial instruments that TradFi has concocted. If people want to lend against their BTC or create complex financial products, that does not actually impact the underlying network. "The way that the protocol works is that it's completely blind to what you're doing with your coins on the Bitcoin blockchain there is no paper Bitcoin there's no such thing as paper Bitcoin there's only 21 million Bitcoin and every node makes sure of that every 10 minutes and then if somebody who has some of these Bitcoin on their private key decides to sell obligations or financial liabilities referring to that Bitcoin under any condition, that's their choice. It's outside of Bitcoin and it's outside of the realm of other Bitcoin users being able to say this is right or wrong and this should happen or shouldn't happen. People are going to do whatever they want with the Bitcoin, including selling access to it or exposure to it in all kinds of different ways. And if you don't like it, you don't buy it, you can stack your own Bitcoin." You can find the full interview for Cointelegraph in the 🧵. If you enjoyed this content, please like 🧡, retweet 🔁 and follow me 👋!
1:57

So, does it matter that Bitcoin seems to be moving away from its cypherpunk roots? Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin Treasuries have taken BTC mainstream. So I asked Saifedean Ammous this very question. His answer might surprise you... 👀👇 "If you have very strong feelings about how people should and shouldn't use Bitcoin, you're in for a rough time." "To be honest, a lot of people project too much onto Bitcoin. Ultimately, it's just a bunch of software and anybody can use it in any way they want. Initially, it's a small subset of people that use it and then they start projecting their values onto it. And then over time, they expect it to continue to abide by that," Ammous said. "If it's a successful technology, it's going to be used by everybody. It's going to be used by small businesses, large businesses, governments, individuals. It's money. Everybody uses money. There are 8.5 billion people on Earth, they all use money and they're all going to continue to use money. And Bitcoin is just the best money." Ultimately, the protocol itself is immune to the financial instruments that TradFi has concocted. If people want to lend against their BTC or create complex financial products, that does not actually impact the underlying network. "The way that the protocol works is that it's completely blind to what you're doing with your coins on the Bitcoin blockchain there is no paper Bitcoin there's no such thing as paper Bitcoin there's only 21 million Bitcoin and every node makes sure of that every 10 minutes and then if somebody who has some of these Bitcoin on their private key decides to sell obligations or financial liabilities referring to that Bitcoin under any condition, that's their choice. It's outside of Bitcoin and it's outside of the realm of other Bitcoin users being able to say this is right or wrong and this should happen or shouldn't happen. People are going to do whatever they want with the Bitcoin, including selling access to it or exposure to it in all kinds of different ways. And if you don't like it, you don't buy it, you can stack your own Bitcoin." You can find the full interview for Cointelegraph in the 🧵. If you enjoyed this content, please like 🧡, retweet 🔁 and follow me 👋!

Gareth Jenkinson

34,417 次观看 • 9 个月前

BREAKING: MASSIVE NEWS FOR MSTR - THE BANKS CAVE TO BITCOIN The Basel Committee just announced that the entire global banking rulebook for crypto needs a rewrite because the U.S. and U.K. refused to implement their clown-tier framework. Regulators built their “risk model” back when Bitcoin was a Pokémon card traded behind a Taco Bell. Now they are forced to admit their rules were written by people who thought a blockchain was a new brand of Legos. S&P, Moody’s, the Fed, and every central bank on Earth are quietly realizing Bitcoin is not going away, not going down, and not behaving like the financial meth lab they expected. Instead, Bitcoin is starting to look like the adult in the room while the fiat system is running around with its pants on fire screaming about liquidity coverage ratios. Basel is about to do the unthinkable. They are questioning their own assumptions. This is how regulatory capitulation starts. Once the capital rules change, Bitcoin will not be “risky,” it will be “required.” Welcome to the part of the movie where the bankers realize the monster they created is actually smarter than they are:
16:41

BREAKING: MASSIVE NEWS FOR MSTR - THE BANKS CAVE TO BITCOIN The Basel Committee just announced that the entire global banking rulebook for crypto needs a rewrite because the U.S. and U.K. refused to implement their clown-tier framework. Regulators built their “risk model” back when Bitcoin was a Pokémon card traded behind a Taco Bell. Now they are forced to admit their rules were written by people who thought a blockchain was a new brand of Legos. S&P, Moody’s, the Fed, and every central bank on Earth are quietly realizing Bitcoin is not going away, not going down, and not behaving like the financial meth lab they expected. Instead, Bitcoin is starting to look like the adult in the room while the fiat system is running around with its pants on fire screaming about liquidity coverage ratios. Basel is about to do the unthinkable. They are questioning their own assumptions. This is how regulatory capitulation starts. Once the capital rules change, Bitcoin will not be “risky,” it will be “required.” Welcome to the part of the movie where the bankers realize the monster they created is actually smarter than they are:

Adam Livingston

157,430 次观看 • 9 个月前

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.
11:54

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Chris Millas

36,835 次观看 • 11 个月前

Pio reveals the real reason why Saylor sold 32 Bitcoin "People ask why he sold the 32 Bitcoin, and it's two reasons. They want S&P inclusion, and they want a better rating from the agencies that rate these preferred equities. Right now their rating is junk, the agencies are literally writing the Bitcoin to zero, not recognizing it as an asset." "This sounds insane but go try it. If you have 5 million dollars of real Bitcoin on chain and you walk into a bank for a mortgage loan and offer it as collateral, they go, so that's zero. I'm not kidding. But if you hold IBIT, the Bitcoin ETF, that's totally fine, because it's just an equity." "The S&P gatekeepers specifically said that because Saylor had demonstrated he'd never sell any Bitcoin, they couldn't view it as a viable part of his balance sheet. So he needs to show he can pay the dividend with Bitcoin if he has to. Once stretch gets a AAA rating, do you know how much capital a thing paying 11% is going to attract?"
2:14

Pio reveals the real reason why Saylor sold 32 Bitcoin "People ask why he sold the 32 Bitcoin, and it's two reasons. They want S&P inclusion, and they want a better rating from the agencies that rate these preferred equities. Right now their rating is junk, the agencies are literally writing the Bitcoin to zero, not recognizing it as an asset." "This sounds insane but go try it. If you have 5 million dollars of real Bitcoin on chain and you walk into a bank for a mortgage loan and offer it as collateral, they go, so that's zero. I'm not kidding. But if you hold IBIT, the Bitcoin ETF, that's totally fine, because it's just an equity." "The S&P gatekeepers specifically said that because Saylor had demonstrated he'd never sell any Bitcoin, they couldn't view it as a viable part of his balance sheet. So he needs to show he can pay the dividend with Bitcoin if he has to. Once stretch gets a AAA rating, do you know how much capital a thing paying 11% is going to attract?"

Kai

66,616 次观看 • 2 个月前

GEORGE BODINE: “The biggest thing you can do to protect yourself and the network is to run a node, use something that allow allows you to be sovereign and take self custody of your Bitcoin.” “Get it off of exchanges.” “The only thing you should strive for is self custody. And if you do that, that is the best defense that we have against the securitization of Bitcoin.”
0:41

GEORGE BODINE: “The biggest thing you can do to protect yourself and the network is to run a node, use something that allow allows you to be sovereign and take self custody of your Bitcoin.” “Get it off of exchanges.” “The only thing you should strive for is self custody. And if you do that, that is the best defense that we have against the securitization of Bitcoin.”

Simply Bitcoin

12,906 次观看 • 4 个月前

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”
1:00

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”

Arjun Khemani

569,098 次观看 • 9 个月前

It may seem like every company is adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet, but most still have no idea where to start. That’s why My First Bitcoin is launching Bitcoin For Organizations, a new curriculum to help businesses understand the world’s most important asset.
1:16

It may seem like every company is adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet, but most still have no idea where to start. That’s why My First Bitcoin is launching Bitcoin For Organizations, a new curriculum to help businesses understand the world’s most important asset.

Rhino Bitcoin App

13,323 次观看 • 1 年前

"The short term price of Bitcoin is now controlled by Wall Street. And they want your Bitcoin." Simon Dixon (Simon Dixon) spent a decade watching the same institutions that dismissed Bitcoin quietly move to capture it. He came on to explain the plan for the coins you're holding and the one move they can't stop. "They don't want you to self custody it. They want you to borrow against it. They want you to trade perpetual futures." His framework is sovereign vs subordinate: either you hold Bitcoin you can access with no permission from a bank or a broker, or you're in debt to the system for everything you own. We cover: - Why Wall Street now controls Bitcoin's short-term price and what they actually want with your coins - How Bitcoin gets captured: custodians, ETFs, lending products - The unrealized gains tax and how it's used to strip assets - Why he says you cannot vote your way out of this - Where you actually sit on the sovereign vs subordinate spectrum - Why self custody is the one thing they can't touch Thanks to Simon for coming on New Era Finance Podcast. Thanks to OKX Dutch for sponsoring this week’s episode of New Era Finance. Make sure to use their 8% Deposit bonus in the comment tweet! Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 02:33 - Michael Saylor and the Financial Industrial Complex 05:23 - How Wall Street Took Control of Bitcoin 11:14 - Tokenization and Control in the Financial System 16:58 - Unrealized Gains Tax and Asset Stripping 36:50 - Boycotting the FIC and Building Sovereignty 49:44 - Bitcoin: Centralization vs Decentralization 57:46 - The Path to Sovereignty
1:10:44

"The short term price of Bitcoin is now controlled by Wall Street. And they want your Bitcoin." Simon Dixon (Simon Dixon) spent a decade watching the same institutions that dismissed Bitcoin quietly move to capture it. He came on to explain the plan for the coins you're holding and the one move they can't stop. "They don't want you to self custody it. They want you to borrow against it. They want you to trade perpetual futures." His framework is sovereign vs subordinate: either you hold Bitcoin you can access with no permission from a bank or a broker, or you're in debt to the system for everything you own. We cover: - Why Wall Street now controls Bitcoin's short-term price and what they actually want with your coins - How Bitcoin gets captured: custodians, ETFs, lending products - The unrealized gains tax and how it's used to strip assets - Why he says you cannot vote your way out of this - Where you actually sit on the sovereign vs subordinate spectrum - Why self custody is the one thing they can't touch Thanks to Simon for coming on New Era Finance Podcast. Thanks to OKX Dutch for sponsoring this week’s episode of New Era Finance. Make sure to use their 8% Deposit bonus in the comment tweet! Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 02:33 - Michael Saylor and the Financial Industrial Complex 05:23 - How Wall Street Took Control of Bitcoin 11:14 - Tokenization and Control in the Financial System 16:58 - Unrealized Gains Tax and Asset Stripping 36:50 - Boycotting the FIC and Building Sovereignty 49:44 - Bitcoin: Centralization vs Decentralization 57:46 - The Path to Sovereignty

Michaël van de Poppe

168,022 次观看 • 1 个月前

Matthew Kratter of Bitcoin University on being self sovereign with Bitcoin: "The Michael Saylor followers right now who think that they're somehow Bitcoiners when they own a preferred stock that sits in their brokerage account and can be censored at any time... There's operational risks with that and there's leverage risks. And the actual Bitcoin that secures the assets of the balance sheet of the company is sitting at various custodians." "Having things in centralized places, having Bitcoin IOUs or anything like this is a big mistake." "If you don't know how to move Bitcoin around, if you don't know how to send it on-chain... you're going to be dependent on larger services. And the risk is that those don't even have the Bitcoin that they say that they do."
2:11

Matthew Kratter of Bitcoin University on being self sovereign with Bitcoin: "The Michael Saylor followers right now who think that they're somehow Bitcoiners when they own a preferred stock that sits in their brokerage account and can be censored at any time... There's operational risks with that and there's leverage risks. And the actual Bitcoin that secures the assets of the balance sheet of the company is sitting at various custodians." "Having things in centralized places, having Bitcoin IOUs or anything like this is a big mistake." "If you don't know how to move Bitcoin around, if you don't know how to send it on-chain... you're going to be dependent on larger services. And the risk is that those don't even have the Bitcoin that they say that they do."

Simply Bitcoin

20,525 次观看 • 2 个月前

Kudos to Digital Perspectives for dropping this bomb of a question that has never been asked or addressed by any of the Bitcoin Maxis in crypto. The answer is not important because they avoided it. They have no choice bc they have no answer. The leading Bitcoin proponents either know who Satoshi is or they don't want to know which is extremely dangerous.
1:15

Kudos to Digital Perspectives for dropping this bomb of a question that has never been asked or addressed by any of the Bitcoin Maxis in crypto. The answer is not important because they avoided it. They have no choice bc they have no answer. The leading Bitcoin proponents either know who Satoshi is or they don't want to know which is extremely dangerous.

Digital Asset Investor

47,159 次观看 • 3 年前

STRC - SAYLOR'S INFINITE MONEY GLITCH IS DOMINATING People don't understand how POWERFUL STRC is, and how much WEALTH will flow into Bitcoin because of it. You will learn: How STRC is the best fixed income instrument in the world How STRC is a perpetual capital transmutation engine. How Saylor is turning your yield addiction into Bitcoin fuel Why this structure is mathematically safer than government bonds How STRC functions as a shadow central bank with an incorruptible balance sheet And why nobody in power is stopping it... because they still don’t understand it STRC is the FINAL FORM of CAPITAL MARKETS WARFARE
16:58

STRC - SAYLOR'S INFINITE MONEY GLITCH IS DOMINATING People don't understand how POWERFUL STRC is, and how much WEALTH will flow into Bitcoin because of it. You will learn: How STRC is the best fixed income instrument in the world How STRC is a perpetual capital transmutation engine. How Saylor is turning your yield addiction into Bitcoin fuel Why this structure is mathematically safer than government bonds How STRC functions as a shadow central bank with an incorruptible balance sheet And why nobody in power is stopping it... because they still don’t understand it STRC is the FINAL FORM of CAPITAL MARKETS WARFARE

Adam Livingston

22,376 次观看 • 7 个月前

“What I think SPX is, is a wake-up call. And I think for the normie, the average person, it literally is best described as being the next Bitcoin, because that's literally what it is. Bitcoin was a wake-up call to show people that value is subjective. And SPX is the next iteration of that. And once you get enough people to understand that the value of the dollar is subjective. It only has value because people believe in it. Bitcoin only has value because people believe in it. SPX has value because people believe in it. And the next step is Well, it's not just money that is subjective in value. It is literally everything is subjective. The entire universe is this subjective entity that is created from our own consciousness. And that's what Like, the purpose of this vehicle, yes, it's going to make a lot of people a lot of money, but the point of that is to wake people up to the fact that the entire universe is this subjective entity. It is not just this, like, empirical machine with interlocking gears and like this orderly machine that proceeds from just like the sum of its parts like no like we are literally the universe creating the universe and that's what spx is meant to wake people up to.” — Crypto Maxi 💹🧲
1:36

“What I think SPX is, is a wake-up call. And I think for the normie, the average person, it literally is best described as being the next Bitcoin, because that's literally what it is. Bitcoin was a wake-up call to show people that value is subjective. And SPX is the next iteration of that. And once you get enough people to understand that the value of the dollar is subjective. It only has value because people believe in it. Bitcoin only has value because people believe in it. SPX has value because people believe in it. And the next step is Well, it's not just money that is subjective in value. It is literally everything is subjective. The entire universe is this subjective entity that is created from our own consciousness. And that's what Like, the purpose of this vehicle, yes, it's going to make a lot of people a lot of money, but the point of that is to wake people up to the fact that the entire universe is this subjective entity. It is not just this, like, empirical machine with interlocking gears and like this orderly machine that proceeds from just like the sum of its parts like no like we are literally the universe creating the universe and that's what spx is meant to wake people up to.” — Crypto Maxi 💹🧲

Tanz Cho 💹🧲

12,294 次观看 • 1 个月前