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We built an auto research loop for DeFi strategy development so you can deploy winning strategies to paper trading and (soon) live execution. Inspired by Andrej Karpathy's auto research, but instead of optimizing LLM training it's optimizing backtests. The agent iterates until it finds strategies that actually work 👇

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"What we're all witnessing isn't actually science, it's scientism, which is a religion built around the appearance of science." "Trust the experts then becomes code for outsource your perception." "If you can control the funding, you can control the research. If you can control research, you can control messaging. And if you can control messaging, you can engineer belief. And belief drives behavior." "It's very easy to cling to scientism because it gives us a way out of responsibility. That lab coat said it, so I don't have to think."

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i build a polymarket trading bot. took an old abandoned repo, rewrote 90% of it. name: zostaff repo: mit. python 3.12+. py-clob-client with eip-712 signed orders. usdc.e on polygon. three strategies in the box: AI Directional (llm via openrouter, any model), Safe Compounder (pure edge math, no llm), Beast Mode (aggressive, kept for comparison). most "ai bots" for polymarket on github are abandoned templates with hardcoded losing strategies. this one ships with a streamlit dashboard, sqlite telemetry on every trade, fallback chain across llm models, circuit breaker at 15% drawdown, quarter-kelly default, paper trading mode by default - until you flip LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED=true, nothing goes live. the readme has a section called "Lessons From Live Trading". real numbers from real losses: three-quarter kelly destroys capital on a 45% win-rate strategy. category discipline beats ai confidence every single time. a 50% drawdown limit isn't a limit. more trades without edge = faster path to zero. this is not a turnkey bot. nobody on polymarket is selling a turnkey bot that works. it's a toolkit with three example strategies you fork to fit your own edge. if you don't have an edge - no llm will save you. if you do - run paper mode for a week before flipping live.

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elvis

55,179 Aufrufe • vor 23 Tagen

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