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"We might be a simulation. My theory about why the most interesting outcome is the most likely, which is that only the simulations that are the most interesting will survive, because when we run simulations in this reality, we truncate the ones that are boring." 一 Elon Musk

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42,256 views • 8 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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ELON MUSK: "I have a theory that if simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. If simulation is going in a boring direction, we terminate the boring simulation."

ELON MUSK: "I have a theory that if simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. If simulation is going in a boring direction, we terminate the boring simulation."

DogeDesigner

1,300,279 views • 7 months ago

Elon Musk believes that we are in a simulation: "I do have this theory about predicting the future which is that the most interesting outcome is the most likely" "If simulation theory is accurate this makes sense because if anyone is simulating a wide range of futures they're going to stop the simulation when it gets boring" "This is what we do in reality. If SpaceX is doing simulations to understand how a rocket works we run all these simulations in the computer" "The simulations that we pay attention to are the ones that are the most interesting" "We could be an alien Netflix series and that series is only going to get continued if our ratings are good" "If you apply Darwin to simulation theory then only the most interesting simulations will continue" "Therefore the most interesting outcome is the most likely because it's either that or annihilation" "So really we have one goal. Keep it interesting."

Elon Musk believes that we are in a simulation: "I do have this theory about predicting the future which is that the most interesting outcome is the most likely" "If simulation theory is accurate this makes sense because if anyone is simulating a wide range of futures they're going to stop the simulation when it gets boring" "This is what we do in reality. If SpaceX is doing simulations to understand how a rocket works we run all these simulations in the computer" "The simulations that we pay attention to are the ones that are the most interesting" "We could be an alien Netflix series and that series is only going to get continued if our ratings are good" "If you apply Darwin to simulation theory then only the most interesting simulations will continue" "Therefore the most interesting outcome is the most likely because it's either that or annihilation" "So really we have one goal. Keep it interesting."

Brad

143,269 views • 20 days ago

Elon Musk: We have to keep our simulation interesting, otherwise we might get terminated. “If the simulation theory is true, then it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting. In this reality that we live in, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations just to figure out which path is the good path for the rocket and where can it go wrong? Where can it fail? But when we do these millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right, because we have to address the situations where it goes wrong. And for AI simulations as well, like all these things, we keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us. So, if the simulation theory is accurate, if it is true, who knows, then the simulators will only continue to run the simulations that are most interesting. Therefore, from a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones. And in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is that you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.” The Joe Rogan Experience, October 31, 2025

Elon Musk: We have to keep our simulation interesting, otherwise we might get terminated. “If the simulation theory is true, then it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting. In this reality that we live in, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations just to figure out which path is the good path for the rocket and where can it go wrong? Where can it fail? But when we do these millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right, because we have to address the situations where it goes wrong. And for AI simulations as well, like all these things, we keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us. So, if the simulation theory is accurate, if it is true, who knows, then the simulators will only continue to run the simulations that are most interesting. Therefore, from a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones. And in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is that you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.” The Joe Rogan Experience, October 31, 2025

ELON CLIPS

16,989 views • 10 months ago

ELON: ONLY INTERESTING SIMULATIONS SURVIVE “If the simulation theory is true, then it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting. In this reality that we live in, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations just to figure out which path is the good path for the rocket and where can it go wrong? Where can it fail? But when we do these millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right, because we have to address the situations where it goes wrong. And for AI simulations as well, like all these things, we keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us. So, if the simulation theory is accurate, then the simulators will only continue to run the simulations that are most interesting. Therefore, from a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones. And, in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is that you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.” Source: Elon Musk on The Joe Rogan Experience Joe Rogan, October 31, 2025

ELON: ONLY INTERESTING SIMULATIONS SURVIVE “If the simulation theory is true, then it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting. In this reality that we live in, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations just to figure out which path is the good path for the rocket and where can it go wrong? Where can it fail? But when we do these millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right, because we have to address the situations where it goes wrong. And for AI simulations as well, like all these things, we keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us. So, if the simulation theory is accurate, then the simulators will only continue to run the simulations that are most interesting. Therefore, from a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones. And, in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is that you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.” Source: Elon Musk on The Joe Rogan Experience Joe Rogan, October 31, 2025

Mario Nawfal

2,080,365 views • 10 months ago

Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

Jaynit

10,440 views • 2 months ago

Elon Musk: "There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality" 40 years ago we had Pong two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations. If you assume any rate of improvement at all games will become indistinguishable from reality. Musk adds if simulation theory is true it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring.

Elon Musk: "There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality" 40 years ago we had Pong two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations. If you assume any rate of improvement at all games will become indistinguishable from reality. Musk adds if simulation theory is true it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring.

Interstellar

64,307 views • 4 months ago

Elon Musk: If simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. Just like in this version of reality, on this layer of reality, when a simulation goes in a boring direction, we stop spending effort on it. We terminate the boring simulation. I have a theory here. If simulation theory is correct, then there’s a tendency toward interesting outcomes. Because in this reality, when something is boring, we don’t keep paying for it. We stop the simulation. The boring ones don’t survive. As long as they’re interesting, they’ll keep paying the bills. Whatever the equivalent is of the cosmic AWS bill that this reality is running on, if things remain interesting enough, they’ll keep paying to keep it running.

Elon Musk: If simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. Just like in this version of reality, on this layer of reality, when a simulation goes in a boring direction, we stop spending effort on it. We terminate the boring simulation. I have a theory here. If simulation theory is correct, then there’s a tendency toward interesting outcomes. Because in this reality, when something is boring, we don’t keep paying for it. We stop the simulation. The boring ones don’t survive. As long as they’re interesting, they’ll keep paying the bills. Whatever the equivalent is of the cosmic AWS bill that this reality is running on, if things remain interesting enough, they’ll keep paying to keep it running.

Ian Miles Cheong

39,414 views • 7 months ago

Elon Musk: Boring simulations will be terminated. “I have a theory here that if the simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. Just like on this layer of reality, if a simulation is going in a boring direction, we stop spending effort on it. We terminate the boring simulation. Arguably the most important thing is to keep things interesting enough so that everyone paying the bills on some cosmic AWS are they going to pay their cosmic AWS bill or whatever the equivalent is that we're running in. And as long as we're interesting, they'll keep paying the bills.” Interview with John Collison and Dwarkesh Patel, February 5, 2026

Elon Musk: Boring simulations will be terminated. “I have a theory here that if the simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. Just like on this layer of reality, if a simulation is going in a boring direction, we stop spending effort on it. We terminate the boring simulation. Arguably the most important thing is to keep things interesting enough so that everyone paying the bills on some cosmic AWS are they going to pay their cosmic AWS bill or whatever the equivalent is that we're running in. And as long as we're interesting, they'll keep paying the bills.” Interview with John Collison and Dwarkesh Patel, February 5, 2026

ELON CLIPS

21,944 views • 5 months ago

Elon Musk: “I do have this theory about predicting the future which is that the most interesting outcome is the most likely… If simulation theory is accurate, it makes sense because if anyone is simulating a wide range of futures, they’re going to stop the simulation when it gets boring… We could be an alien Netflix series and that series is only going to get continued if our ratings are good.”

Elon Musk: “I do have this theory about predicting the future which is that the most interesting outcome is the most likely… If simulation theory is accurate, it makes sense because if anyone is simulating a wide range of futures, they’re going to stop the simulation when it gets boring… We could be an alien Netflix series and that series is only going to get continued if our ratings are good.”

Wes Roth

63,562 views • 9 months ago

Elon Musk on simulation theory: he argues that the 40-year leap from Pong to photorealism proves we will inevitably create perfect simulations. Because a single civilization could run billions of these simulations, the math dictates it is statistically impossible (one in billions) that we are living in the one true "base reality."

Elon Musk on simulation theory: he argues that the 40-year leap from Pong to photorealism proves we will inevitably create perfect simulations. Because a single civilization could run billions of these simulations, the math dictates it is statistically impossible (one in billions) that we are living in the one true "base reality."

Ian Miles

108,464 views • 9 months ago

Elon Musk: "There's a very high probability we're living in a simulation." In a conversation with Nikhil Kamath, Musk explained how video games evolved from Pong to photorealistic worlds with millions of players in just 50 years. He noted that if this trend continues, games will soon be indistinguishable from reality with intelligent characters. "So then what are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before." Musk added that we should think of this as probabilities, not certainties, and shared his theory that "The most interesting outcome is the most likely outcome as seen by a third party, the gods of the simulation."

Elon Musk: "There's a very high probability we're living in a simulation." In a conversation with Nikhil Kamath, Musk explained how video games evolved from Pong to photorealistic worlds with millions of players in just 50 years. He noted that if this trend continues, games will soon be indistinguishable from reality with intelligent characters. "So then what are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before." Musk added that we should think of this as probabilities, not certainties, and shared his theory that "The most interesting outcome is the most likely outcome as seen by a third party, the gods of the simulation."

Interstellar

48,199 views • 3 months ago

Joe Rogan and Elon Musk discuss: Are we living in a simulation? The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likey. That's a good predictor of the future.

Joe Rogan and Elon Musk discuss: Are we living in a simulation? The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likey. That's a good predictor of the future.

Planet Of Memes

62,103 views • 10 months ago

“So the CIA recently told us that reality is a hologram and they proved it through their project Stargate” “The most likely outcome is that this isn’t baseline reality, and we’re living in a simulation” - Elon Musk

“So the CIA recently told us that reality is a hologram and they proved it through their project Stargate” “The most likely outcome is that this isn’t baseline reality, and we’re living in a simulation” - Elon Musk

Concerned Citizen

96,762 views • 9 months ago

ELON MUSK: "The most entertaining outcome especially if ironic is the most likely. It's like we are in a Alien Netflix series that's trying to have the highest possible ratings."

ELON MUSK: "The most entertaining outcome especially if ironic is the most likely. It's like we are in a Alien Netflix series that's trying to have the highest possible ratings."

DogeDesigner

138,026 views • 1 year ago

Elon Musk: "I believe in The God of Spinoza and our universe could be a simulation run to discover what happens." "I would agree that that God of the simulator or whatever... reveals himself through the physics." Musk told Lex Fridman that if advanced civilizations exist, they wouldn't run simulations where they already know the outcome. "The reason that these higher beings would hold a simulation is to see what happens. They don't know what happens, otherwise they wouldn't hold the simulation." He draws from SpaceX testing: Countless simulations are run, but only the valuable ones continue. This raises profound questions about reality, purpose, and what makes a universe worth sustaining.

Elon Musk: "I believe in The God of Spinoza and our universe could be a simulation run to discover what happens." "I would agree that that God of the simulator or whatever... reveals himself through the physics." Musk told Lex Fridman that if advanced civilizations exist, they wouldn't run simulations where they already know the outcome. "The reason that these higher beings would hold a simulation is to see what happens. They don't know what happens, otherwise they wouldn't hold the simulation." He draws from SpaceX testing: Countless simulations are run, but only the valuable ones continue. This raises profound questions about reality, purpose, and what makes a universe worth sustaining.

Interstellar

241,495 views • 3 months ago

The most entertaining outcome is the most likely. Thanks Elon Musk

The most entertaining outcome is the most likely. Thanks Elon Musk

Not Jerome Powell

4,837,513 views • 3 years ago