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ELON: ONLY INTERESTING SIMULATIONS SURVIVE “If the simulation theory is true, then it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting. In... this reality that we live in, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations just to figure out which path is the good path for the rocket and where can it go wrong? Where can it fail? But when we do these millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right, because we have to address the situations where it goes wrong. And for AI simulations as well, like all these things, we keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us. So, if the simulation theory is accurate, then the simulators will only continue to run the simulations that are most interesting. Therefore, from a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones. And, in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is that you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.” Source: Elon Musk on The Joe Rogan Experience Joe Rogan, October 31, 2025show more

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Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

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"We might be a simulation. My theory about why the most interesting outcome is the most likely, which is that only the simulations that are the most interesting will survive, because when we run simulations in this reality, we truncate the ones that are boring." 一 Elon Musk

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ELON MUSK: "I have a theory that if simulation theory is correct, the most interesting outcome is the most likely. Simulations that are not interesting will be terminated. If simulation is going in a boring direction, we terminate the boring simulation."

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Elon Musk, 13 years ago: A fully and rapidly reusable rocket is barely possible. SpaceX is going to try to do it. We could fail, but we're going to try to do it. “The pivotal breakthrough that's necessary, that some company has to come up with to make life multiplanetary, is a fully and rapidly reusable orbit-class rocket. This is a very difficult thing to do because we live on a planet where that is just barely possible. If gravity were a little lower, it would be easy. If it was a little higher, it would be impossible. It's just a very tough engineering problem. I wasn't sure it could be solved for a while. But then, relatively recently, probably in the last twelve months or so, I've come to the conclusion that it can be solved. And I think, SpaceX is going to try to do it. Now, we could fail. I'm not saying we're certain of success here, but we're going to try to do it. And we have a design that, on paper, doing the calculations, doing the simulations, it does work. And now, we need to make sure that those simulations and reality agree, because generally when they don't, reality wins.” National Press Club, 2011

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43,664,594 views • 1 year ago

Check out the trailer for Gaia's next major update [ where we introduce a new solver that enables simulations like this to run in just a few seconds per frame. The details will be released soon.

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