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What are your thoughts about Decentralised Prediction? XBIT earlier announced their waitlist and it's been running for weeks now, this is an early-stage access phase for XBIT Prediction Leverage which allow users to participate, gain experience, and build eligibility for their whitelist allocation. In this video I took out... show more

MavisKrypt ⚖️ 🦔

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10,508 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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𝐗𝐁𝐈𝐓 𝐈𝐬 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬 𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 There was a time when people watched global events from the sidelines. That time is ending. Today, sports(worldcup), politics(election), and major world events are becoming markets of their own, and the people who understand this early are already positioning themselves. Money follows attention. Always has. If you think prediction markets are just “yes” or “no” bets, stay with me till the end of this video. You may be looking at the next evolution of markets before most people even notice it. Is this the future? If you believe and will want to start putting your predictions into test signup now : #XBIT XBIT 华语

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web3prof

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Based Prediction Markets In partnership with Polymarket, the Based team will be launching prediction market access to users of Based. This manifests as a highly performant and intuitive way for users to trade prediction markets across iOS, Android, and our Web terminal product. Utilising Polymarket's deep liquidity and robust settlement, we carve out a new market segment for our users to trade. This is built in deep integration with Hyperliquid's hypercore to allow users to easily move funds in and out of their Perpetual accounts into Prediction Market account. The BasedPals will also receive an unique utility in-line with our agentic trading roadmap in partnership with Polymarket. With the integration of Prediction Market access, we diversify and increase Based's revenue streams as we move ahead into our eventual TGE. In order to grow our Prediction Market business, the Based team will be setting aside 2mil Based Gold every epoch (starting #14) for Based users who trade on our Prediction Markets. Stay Based.

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Prediction markets are trending and people say it might get much bigger than the memecoin meta In this video - I tried to break down how do they actually work and is the hype really worth it? Don't miss out on this

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i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)

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Abdul Rehman

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The countdown for the SocialGrow token launch has begun ⏱ If you’re reading this you’re early!🔥 Continue below to see how you can capitalize on this!👇 We believe active engagement and loyalty should be rewarded, which is why we have developed a waitlist bot for our early supporters just for our public sale 💥 Check out our demo and step by step guide to see how you can win an early whitelist spot! 👀 1️⃣ Join the waitlist via telegram by clicking this link 2️⃣ Paste the address you would like to whitelist 3️⃣ Share your Twitter handle and retweet the pinned tweet 4️⃣ Win a whitelist with points, click “Daily Streak” everyday to earn a point 5️⃣ Generate referral link to share with your friends to earn more points and climb the leaderboard to win! 6️⃣ Whitelist allocation directly correlates with the total points you earn! By accessing the SocialGrow Bot via Telegram, users can earn 1 point for each time they click Daily Streak within a 24 hour period 🔥 Additional points can be earned via referrals. The total of these points then correlate to the allocation offered to each participant, so even if you get whitelisted, don’t forget to keep referring friends 🤩 What could be more fair!? 🏆 If that’s not enough, 5 lucky people can get their hands on 5 limited fast tracked public whitelist spots by following the steps on this tweet below👇 ✅ Retweet, like & put notifications on! ✅ Join Telegram via the link in our bio! 5 winners will receive a DM! GOOD LUCK!🔥

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SocialGrowAI

176,462 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

🚀 Ready to Turn Your Insights into Rewards? 🚀 Join the Predict & Earn campaign on NODO and stand a chance to win 10,000 GEMS! 💎 🎯 It’s Simple: 1. Sign in/Sign up on NODO 2. Buy/Deposit USDT 3. Choose a prediction poll 4. Buy $25 worth of shares in 1 poll 🌟 BONUS: If your prediction is right when the poll closes, you earn even more! ⏰ Dates: Aug 5 - Aug 31 Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity to earn rewards for your insights. Get started at and make your predictions count! 💰

🚀 Ready to Turn Your Insights into Rewards? 🚀 Join the Predict & Earn campaign on NODO and stand a chance to win 10,000 GEMS! 💎 🎯 It’s Simple: 1. Sign in/Sign up on NODO 2. Buy/Deposit USDT 3. Choose a prediction poll 4. Buy $25 worth of shares in 1 poll 🌟 BONUS: If your prediction is right when the poll closes, you earn even more! ⏰ Dates: Aug 5 - Aug 31 Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity to earn rewards for your insights. Get started at and make your predictions count! 💰

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𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐉𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐆𝐨𝐭 𝐚 𝐋𝐨𝐭 𝐋𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐲. What if your first prediction trade didn’t have to be a leap of faith? That’s exactly what caught my attention about VIZO’s latest campaign. As the first prediction market on Pharos Network, VIZO is giving new users a chance to explore prediction trading with First Trade Loss Protection, earn VIZO Points that could matter in future airdrops, and compete for a share of 20,000 PROS. One trade can unlock all three reward programs. If you’ve been waiting for the right time to try prediction markets, this campaign makes getting started a lot more interesting. Campaign ends August 16. Watch the video to see how it works. VIZO Pharos | Mainnet Arc #PredictionMarkets

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It's time to get your head in the game! New emote will be available in the store starting April 25th. In the meantime, participate in the Giant-Size Brain Blast event and choose one emote for free after completing just 10 matches. Don’t miss out on this exciting opportunity to enhance your hero experience! Ignite the battle! #MarvelRivals

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AI Screen Time Agents (for your household) We put an LLM on a VPN to give parents control of the network traffic entering their homes and children's minds. We launched the Clearspace mobile app during Y Combinator 2 years ago and one of the things we've heard most often from our users is “I need this level of control for managing my kids devices" We will roll this out in waitlist order, you can join here: If you are an exceptional designer or engineer that wants to use their talents to wage war on the attention economy, we are hiring: excellence@getclearspace.com

AI Screen Time Agents (for your household) We put an LLM on a VPN to give parents control of the network traffic entering their homes and children's minds. We launched the Clearspace mobile app during Y Combinator 2 years ago and one of the things we've heard most often from our users is “I need this level of control for managing my kids devices" We will roll this out in waitlist order, you can join here: If you are an exceptional designer or engineer that wants to use their talents to wage war on the attention economy, we are hiring: [email protected]

Royce Branning

151,739 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion

MR SHIFT 🦁

31,088 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat