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What happens when you amplify Bitcoin at exactly the right time? We sat down with Matt Cole to talk about why Strive $ASST is positioning itself to become the “fastest horse” of the next Bitcoin bull market. And Matt is VERY bullish. - $250K Bitcoin? “Too bearish.” - $500K+...

41,134 просмотров • 17 часов назад •via X (Twitter)

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Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

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Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate Episode 71: Liquidity Is The Moat In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down an explosive week across Bitcoin $BTC treasury markets, from Strategy $MSTR reaching 0% net leverage and expanding its cash reserves to Strive growing its Bitcoin stack and seeing major liquidity across $ASST and $SATA. We dig into why liquidity itself can become a powerful competitive moat, how rising short interest could amplify $ASST, and why Strive has chosen to let that pressure build rather than immediately satisfy large block demand. The conversation then turns to the macro setup, including a potentially weaker dollar, Treasury buybacks, rising long-term yields, and why those forces could create a backdrop for Bitcoin unlike anything it has experienced before. We close with the case for Bitcoin entering a broader melt-up in scarce assets, why the traditional four-year cycle may be breaking down, and why the crew believes investors still aren’t bullish enough. Here's the latest with Tim Kotzman, Matt Cole, Jeff Walton, and Ben Werkman. Timestamps: 00:00 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate 02:02 - Bitcoin Volatility Returns 03:40 - The SATA and ASST Two-Security Moat 12:44 - Building Liquidity Through the Bear Market 18:32 - Why SATA Stayed Near $100 28:50 - The Dollar, Treasury Yields and Bitcoin 30:15 - The Structural Dollar Bear Market 33:35 - Treasury Buybacks and Yield Intervention 38:34 - Bitcoin’s Grand Slam Macro Setup 40:44 - Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle vs. Gold 46:53 - Strive’s Positioning and Outlook

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Most people still think Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF is just "Japan's" $MSTR. They're missing the bigger picture. Metaplanet isn't copying Strategy. It's building a global Bitcoin capital machine that could become impossible to compete with. In this conversation with THE BITCOIN PHARAOH, we discuss: • Why Metaplanet's strategy is fundamentally different • The hidden advantage of operating in Japan • What $STRC and $SATA taught every Bitcoin treasury • Why cash-flow businesses may be the next evolution of Bitcoin treasury companies • Why Strive $ASST is emerging as a serious contender • What Metaplanet could become in a Bitcoin standard 00:00 Introduction: The BTCPharaoh's Bitcoin Journey 07:09 Why Metaplanet Is Different From Every Other Bitcoin Treasury 11:03 Mercury & Mars: The Next Bitcoin Financial Products? 11:52 What Metaplanet Learned From Strategy's STRC Depeg 15:26 Will Bitcoin Preferred Shares Become Truly Stable? 19:05 Is Metaplanet About to Launch a U.S. Preferred Stock? 20:57 Why Japan Gives Metaplanet a Massive Advantage 22:47 The "Double Carry Trade" That Could Supercharge Bitcoin Buying 26:34 Why Metaplanet Isn't Just Copying Strategy 29:39 Simon Gerovich's Long-Term Vision Is Finally Making Sense 30:12 Will Metaplanet Build Bitcoin Infrastructure Beyond Finance? 32:27 Why the New Board Members Could Change Everything 34:08 Why Less Communication Might Actually Be Bullish 37:56 The One Question He Would Ask Simon Gerovich 39:45 Is NAKA a Hidden Opportunity... or a Value Trap? 45:01 The Most Underrated Bitcoin Treasury Company Right Now 47:55 Europe Could Be the Next Bitcoin Treasury Battleground 48:40 Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bull Market or Bear Market? 50:55 The Biggest Mistake Bitcoin Investors Keep Making 52:19 Where to Follow TheBTCPharaoh Watch the full episode 👇

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88,315 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

How does Strategy navigate a challenging Bitcoin market, return $STRC to par, and continue compounding Bitcoin per share? In our Q2 earnings call, we laid out the strategy, reviewed our financial position and capital-management framework, and answered questions from equity analysts and industry experts. Prepared Remarks 00:00:00 - Welcome 00:01:20 - 843,775 BTC, 203,683 sats per share, $17B raised year to date, and Strategy’s position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin 00:03:27 - Q2 balance sheet: $49.7B of digital assets, $3.75B current USD reserve, lower debt, higher preferred equity, and strong stress-case coverage 00:08:57 - Bitcoin KPIs: 4.5% BTC Yield, 29,997 BTC Gain, and ~3.6x growth in Bitcoin per share since 2020 00:12:47 - Q2 execution: higher Bitcoin holdings, lower debt, larger USD reserves, stronger Bitcoin per share, and active capital management 00:15:03 - Strategy as a net buyer of Bitcoin and net issuer of Digital Credit: 48x more BTC bought than sold and 300x more Digital Credit issued than repurchased 00:18:47 - Returning $STRC to $99–$100 through USD reserves, Bitcoin monetization, repurchases, dividend management, and disciplined issuance 00:24:50 - Bitcoin liquidity: why Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and sales are not material to overall Bitcoin trading volume 00:33:03 - Bitcoin as Digital Capital: website metrics, the 200-week moving average, current headwinds, Bitcoin Dominance, banking adoption, and security coordination 00:44:08 - $STRC as flagship Digital Credit: liquidity, lower volatility, market depth, yield, investor base, path to par, and updated credit metrics 01:05:04 - Equity framework: hurdle rate, breakeven rate, floor rate, market skepticism, $MSTR outperformance, franchise advantages, and Strategy’s long-term ambition Q&A 01:19:31 - Why Bitcoin-backed borrowing is not currently the preferred path to build USD reserves 01:23:11 - Why Strategy is consolidating around $STRC instead of creating more instruments or selling volatility 01:40:37 - Equitizing, repaying, or refinancing convertible debt 01:43:18 - Covered calls, cash-secured puts, Digital Credit, Bitcoin as money, and marketing products to the 99% outside Bitcoin 01:59:22 - USD reserve minimums and the path to $STRC trading at par 02:00:55 - Amplification, USD/BTC reserve mix, and countercyclical capital management 02:12:04 - Why Strategy does not intend to issue $STRC below par 02:20:34 - Lessons from 2022 and 2026, tokenized securities, Digital Money, and the June 26 $STRC dislocation 02:34:54 - Closing remarks

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