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What’s behind #GeoPolitical developments this week & #Zelenskyy’s 🇺🇦 terrible visit to 🇺🇸 Washington👇 🔸 #Ukraine 🇺🇦 President Zelenskyy 🇺🇦 signs (and un-signs apparently) a preliminary mineral agreement with US 🇺🇸, but #Trump 🇺🇸 does not provide security guarantees in return casting doubts over relationship. 🔸The press meeting is...

12 Kommentare

Profilbild von anne flynn
anne flynnvor 1 Jahr

Zelenskyy was the winner in that room, unless you're a putinist of course.

Profilbild von Peter Lydon
Peter Lydonvor 1 Jahr

Time for the Western World to isolate America. Trump needs more time in his crib to learn the ways for the world.

Profilbild von BILGEN LUTFI
BILGEN LUTFIvor 1 Jahr

Pourquoi cette concurrence entre la Turquie et la France ? Lorsqu'il s'agit de préserver la paix et d'épargner la vie des soldats européens, qu'ils soient russes ou ukrainiens, ces deux pays devraient agir ensemble. Une coopération, voire un rapprochement inévitable, s'impose.

Profilbild von Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
Samuel Doveri Vesterbyevor 1 Jahr

Not inevitably, but definitely a logical possibility.

Profilbild von Rarely Tolerable.
Rarely Tolerable.vor 1 Jahr

Do you support Trump revoking the security clearances of NY AG James, Manhattan DA Bragg and Former Sec of State Blinken?

Profilbild von Phil Edwards
Phil Edwardsvor 1 Jahr

PR disaster for America. Humiliating for Trump and Vance. The rest of the world see them for what they are.

Profilbild von the genuine 🌻🍉🌲𓃬
the genuine 🌻🍉🌲𓃬vor 1 Jahr

Zelenskyy came out smelling roses! Vance and that other fat fuck came across as the brazen idiots they are!

Profilbild von Józef Bem ⚜️
Józef Bem ⚜️vor 1 Jahr

The two countries that seem to be stronger and more determined in this multiple equation are Turkey and France. The problem between them is: France's excessive arrogance and Turkey's lack of trust in France. The apparent picture: The EU's inability to organize diplomatically against the US and Russia under the leadership of arrogant France. Germany has not yet fully entered the game. We can also see the EU's chronic bureaucratic cumbersomeness as a problem.

Profilbild von gul
gulvor 1 Jahr

Yes,this. UKR Effects rest also. "if he only aims for Syria-stability he may lose his ambitions in CAsia, Caucasus or the Gulf, while Eastern Mediterranean tensions could be brewing, which risk putting at peril Türkiye’s natural economic/geo-strategic home: Continental Europe"

Profilbild von KellyGirl
KellyGirlvor 1 Jahr

@HC_Richardson

Profilbild von Henke
Henkevor 1 Jahr

Nice guessing game

Profilbild von Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
Samuel Doveri Vesterbyevor 1 Jahr

Watch and see.

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After these elections, the 🇪🇺 could do at least 3️⃣ things in 🇧🇦. 1️⃣ Understand where the internal and external leverage lies. 2️⃣ Sit and think deeply about its immediate and its short- to long-term interests, and what they mean for its approach. 3️⃣ Act. On the leverage. Internally, it sits with the #SNSD and the #HDZBiH — with Milorad Dodik and Dragan Čović. They sit comfortably at state level: the Council of Ministers chairmanship, key ministries, and a Presidency renewed automatically after elections, where they now gain a seat. Meaning: they are in no hurry to form a government — itself, as in the past, a tool to extract concessions. Externally, the main leverage lies with 🇺🇸 and the Trump administration; a thinner slice with 🇭🇷 and 🇷🇸; part still with 🇷🇺 and, lately, 🇮🇱. No one knows what was agreed, promised, or expected for the support before the vote. But what the leading Serb and Croat parties want is no secret. They say it openly: in the conclusions and declarations of the Croat National Assembly and the All-Serb Assembly, and through their lobbyists in Brussels and Washington: the Dayton Peace Agreement as implemented since 1996 has failed, and the answer is territorial organisation along ethnic lines and far stronger autonomy. They differ only in intensity, methods and timing. The 🇪🇺 depends on others. EUFOR rests on a UN Security Council resolution (the 🇺🇸 and 🇷🇺). The #OHR and the Brcko arbitration are held by the 🇺🇸. The accession path depends on parliaments and governments where SNSD/HDZBiH have the keys. So the 🇪🇺 holds little leverage, and not only in 🇧🇦, but in 🇷🇸, 🇲🇰 and 🇽🇰. The past month made the point: two convicted war criminals buried with state-like honours — Ratko #Mladic in Belgrade, Biljana #Plavsic in Banja Luka. Statements from Brussels, however in the end right, changed nothing on the ground. So, act. 1️⃣ Stop outsourcing 🇧🇦 to Washington and learn from dealing with the 🇺🇸 on trade, 🇬🇱 and other files. With 🇺🇸 interest being mainly economic, it may use its leverage to speed up government formation. But beware: it will also use that leverage to settle one of the bigger obstacles to its economic interests, and those of and those paying the DC lobby ecosystem: state property. 2️⃣ Use the moment. Address the fact that the 🇪🇺s words matter little. When 🇪🇺 leaders meet in Brussels next week to discuss enlargement, they should send one message: there is a 🇪🇺 in which every country in the region, if it reforms, moves to deeper integration — first the single market and Schengen, and then full membership. Complex, hard-to-understand, tailor-made, piecemeal 🇪🇺 integration will not work. And 3️⃣, take Dodiks words, plans and power seriously — draw red lines and prepare the consequences. On this and more, I had the privilege of discussing with Berta Herrero, Leila Bicakcic and Ivana Korajlic at European Policy Centre's event. 🔗

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