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WHEN BITCOIN UNDERPERFORMS GOLD, IT'S NOT THE END. IT'S THE RESET. Historically: Every time $BTC cools off vs Gold, it lasts about 14 months. Long enough to: - Kill hype - Shake conviction - Reset structure Then the next leg begins, usually violently.

Merlijn The Trader

419,934 subscribers

71,241 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Gold has hit new all-time highs. Historically, Bitcoin lags gold by 12 weeks and every time gold consolidates after a run, $BTC rallies next. Their correlation has sat between 57-92% over the past 2 years. If that holds, BTC’s next leg higher should be soon.

Gold has hit new all-time highs. Historically, Bitcoin lags gold by 12 weeks and every time gold consolidates after a run, $BTC rallies next. Their correlation has sat between 57-92% over the past 2 years. If that holds, BTC’s next leg higher should be soon.

VirtualBacon

124,783 次观看 • 10 个月前

How close are we to the next Big Reset? I talked to Willem Middelkoop who says we're already in it. And how it's all about the US vs China. He also explains the reset Trump has in mind and the role of gold. You don't wanna miss this one. Thanks Willem!

How close are we to the next Big Reset? I talked to Willem Middelkoop who says we're already in it. And how it's all about the US vs China. He also explains the reset Trump has in mind and the role of gold. You don't wanna miss this one. Thanks Willem!

Paul Buitink 🎙

37,121 次观看 • 4 个月前

LIVE NOW - “The Debasement Trade” - Luke Gromen on Gold, Bitcoin & The 100 Year Reset Luke Gromen makes the case that “debasement” isn’t a trade, it’s the new regime. We unpack: - why assets look strong in dollars yet stagnate in gold/Bitcoin terms - the global reserves shift back toward gold - how a U.S. gold reprice to $10k–$20k could fund a balance-sheet reset - he risks of “paper gold" - Bitcoin’s potential catch-up (and a possible East=gold, West=BTC split) - AI as an accelerant And we finish with how to build a portfolio for the upcoming 100-year reset. -------------- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 4:15 How Long is The Trade? 11:23 Gold vs Treasury Reserves 19:34 Gold All Time Highs 23:17 Gold Buying Pressure 29:08 Back to The Gold Standard? 37:37 The Transition 43:10 Central Bank Gold Accumulation 49:20 Gold Demonetization 57:00 Types of Gold 1:05:17 Gold vs Bitcoin 1:10:06 The Future of Bitcoin 1:16:19 4-Year Cycles 1:19:02 Tokenized Gold 1:24:19 100 Year Reset Portfolio 1:28:25 Closing & Disclaimers

LIVE NOW - “The Debasement Trade” - Luke Gromen on Gold, Bitcoin & The 100 Year Reset Luke Gromen makes the case that “debasement” isn’t a trade, it’s the new regime. We unpack: - why assets look strong in dollars yet stagnate in gold/Bitcoin terms - the global reserves shift back toward gold - how a U.S. gold reprice to $10k–$20k could fund a balance-sheet reset - he risks of “paper gold" - Bitcoin’s potential catch-up (and a possible East=gold, West=BTC split) - AI as an accelerant And we finish with how to build a portfolio for the upcoming 100-year reset. -------------- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 4:15 How Long is The Trade? 11:23 Gold vs Treasury Reserves 19:34 Gold All Time Highs 23:17 Gold Buying Pressure 29:08 Back to The Gold Standard? 37:37 The Transition 43:10 Central Bank Gold Accumulation 49:20 Gold Demonetization 57:00 Types of Gold 1:05:17 Gold vs Bitcoin 1:10:06 The Future of Bitcoin 1:16:19 4-Year Cycles 1:19:02 Tokenized Gold 1:24:19 100 Year Reset Portfolio 1:28:25 Closing & Disclaimers

Bankless

146,301 次观看 • 10 个月前

Bitcoin may be following Gold’s 1970s playbook almost perfectly. Gold exploded after breaking out in 1972. Then crashed nearly 50% before the real parabolic move began. $BTC is printing a very similar structure. What looked like the “end” for Gold was actually the reset before the most explosive phase of the cycle. I do think Bitcoin will drop a little bit lower first.

Bitcoin may be following Gold’s 1970s playbook almost perfectly. Gold exploded after breaking out in 1972. Then crashed nearly 50% before the real parabolic move began. $BTC is printing a very similar structure. What looked like the “end” for Gold was actually the reset before the most explosive phase of the cycle. I do think Bitcoin will drop a little bit lower first.

Crypto Rover

99,618 次观看 • 2 个月前

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER

George Noble

11,852 次观看 • 6 个月前

🚨 BITCOIN HAS JUST FLASHED ITS LARGEST AND FINAL BULL MARKET SIGNAL. Historically, when the Copper/Gold ratio bottoms and the ISM PMI expands, $BTC expands hard. It just happened for the third time in the existence of Bitcoin. The Copper/Gold ratio has broken the super-trend to the upside. The ISM PMI is finally expanding after 2 years. Bitcoin is the only missing piece.

🚨 BITCOIN HAS JUST FLASHED ITS LARGEST AND FINAL BULL MARKET SIGNAL. Historically, when the Copper/Gold ratio bottoms and the ISM PMI expands, $BTC expands hard. It just happened for the third time in the existence of Bitcoin. The Copper/Gold ratio has broken the super-trend to the upside. The ISM PMI is finally expanding after 2 years. Bitcoin is the only missing piece.

Coinvo Trading

11,611 次观看 • 3 个月前

📣📣SILVER IS THE METAL OF THE INFORMATION AGE 🚨🚨 "Cash is trash" fiat currency is trash it's back by "full faith and credit" Problem is no one has faith in the system. We are witnessing a monetary reset. "Smart money is dumping fake money to buy Gold and Silver" THIS IS NOT ABOUT A SQUEEZE IT'S A RESET

📣📣SILVER IS THE METAL OF THE INFORMATION AGE 🚨🚨 "Cash is trash" fiat currency is trash it's back by "full faith and credit" Problem is no one has faith in the system. We are witnessing a monetary reset. "Smart money is dumping fake money to buy Gold and Silver" THIS IS NOT ABOUT A SQUEEZE IT'S A RESET

Stephanie 🇬🇧🇺🇸🦍

55,465 次观看 • 6 个月前

BILLIONAIRE BINANCE CEO GIVING THE BEST #BITCOIN INVESTMENT ADVICE IN HISTORY "EVERY DIP, SOME PEOPLE THINK IT'S THE END OF TIME. TIME CONTINUES." "DON'T PANIC. BTC WILL NOT BE DEAD FOR LONG" HODL. DIP IS TEMPORARY 🚀

BILLIONAIRE BINANCE CEO GIVING THE BEST #BITCOIN INVESTMENT ADVICE IN HISTORY "EVERY DIP, SOME PEOPLE THINK IT'S THE END OF TIME. TIME CONTINUES." "DON'T PANIC. BTC WILL NOT BE DEAD FOR LONG" HODL. DIP IS TEMPORARY 🚀

The Bitcoin Historian

56,641 次观看 • 1 个月前

You said you'd buy Bitcoin whenever it crashed. Well... are you buying $BTC now? 8.852M BTC are in loss at a Bitcoin price of $64,308. That is roughly 44.5% of circulating supply, leaving about 55.5% in profit. Historically, whenever Bitcoin has entered this exact supply-in-loss zone, median forward returns were: 12 months: +92.1% 18 months: +135.8% 24 months: +244.0% Nearly half the monetary network is underwater and history says the next two years have usually been violently asymmetric upward:

You said you'd buy Bitcoin whenever it crashed. Well... are you buying $BTC now? 8.852M BTC are in loss at a Bitcoin price of $64,308. That is roughly 44.5% of circulating supply, leaving about 55.5% in profit. Historically, whenever Bitcoin has entered this exact supply-in-loss zone, median forward returns were: 12 months: +92.1% 18 months: +135.8% 24 months: +244.0% Nearly half the monetary network is underwater and history says the next two years have usually been violently asymmetric upward:

Adam Livingston

25,241 次观看 • 1 个月前

"It hasn't been the first half of the season that we wanted. It's a time to reset and refocus and then come back hungry and get ready to push because it's going to be a grind right until the end." Jameson Olive recaps tonight's game against the Islanders »

"It hasn't been the first half of the season that we wanted. It's a time to reset and refocus and then come back hungry and get ready to push because it's going to be a grind right until the end." Jameson Olive recaps tonight's game against the Islanders »

Florida Panthers

15,044 次观看 • 3 年前

The federal government makes you work months out of every year Then it uses that money to create horrible things that harm you Then it lies to you about it Time for a constitutional reset Share if you agree

The federal government makes you work months out of every year Then it uses that money to create horrible things that harm you Then it lies to you about it Time for a constitutional reset Share if you agree

Mike Lee

169,002 次观看 • 2 个月前

WHEN GOLD RISES, IT’S NOT A GOOD SIGN Andrew Ross Sorkin nailed it on Real Time w/ Bill Maher - when gold hits record highs, it’s not a sign of strength. It’s a sign of fear. He said it clearly: gold rises when confidence in the dollar falls. Then, almost reluctantly, he acknowledged what Bitcoiners already know - #Bitcoin is digital gold. He might not own it yet… but he’s already describing why $BTC matters. 🪙

WHEN GOLD RISES, IT’S NOT A GOOD SIGN Andrew Ross Sorkin nailed it on Real Time w/ Bill Maher - when gold hits record highs, it’s not a sign of strength. It’s a sign of fear. He said it clearly: gold rises when confidence in the dollar falls. Then, almost reluctantly, he acknowledged what Bitcoiners already know - #Bitcoin is digital gold. He might not own it yet… but he’s already describing why $BTC matters. 🪙

CryptosRus

104,696 次观看 • 10 个月前

Why is gold ripping while Bitcoin lags? The team breaks it down on this week's Bitcoin Policy Hour. It's not just tariffs — it's China's deliberate strategy to build gold-based financial rails and challenge dollar dominance. Beijing injected $1T yuan this year, debasing against gold on purpose. Meanwhile, Bitcoin got hit by leverage liquidations from tariff volatility. The solution? Fund the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and let BTC compete as premier hard money. WATCH: cc: Zack Shapiro, Zack Cohen, Stephen Pollock, Bayman11771

Why is gold ripping while Bitcoin lags? The team breaks it down on this week's Bitcoin Policy Hour. It's not just tariffs — it's China's deliberate strategy to build gold-based financial rails and challenge dollar dominance. Beijing injected $1T yuan this year, debasing against gold on purpose. Meanwhile, Bitcoin got hit by leverage liquidations from tariff volatility. The solution? Fund the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and let BTC compete as premier hard money. WATCH: cc: Zack Shapiro, Zack Cohen, Stephen Pollock, Bayman11771

Bitcoin Policy Institute

39,150 次观看 • 10 个月前

$🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BIG IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! You cannot ignore this. BTC vs GOLD is flashing the same setup that created one of the biggest monetary repricing moves in history. Gold in the 1970s: Double Top → Bottom → ATH Test → Rejection Bitcoin is now standing in a very similar zone. Old high tested. Rejection completed. Confidence damaged. Structure still alive. Most people see this rejection and think the cycle is over. But in the Gold fractal, that rejection was not the end. It was the reset before the strongest expansion phase. That is why this area matters. If silver can pump 600%, most people have no idea what can happen when Bitcoin enters a real monetary repricing leg. From here, the move will not look normal. The crowd sees rejection. The fractal shows reset. Institutions understand this. Retail is still panicking. This is where generational wealth is created. I usually do the opposite of what the masses are doing. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.$

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BIG IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! You cannot ignore this. BTC vs GOLD is flashing the same setup that created one of the biggest monetary repricing moves in history. Gold in the 1970s: Double Top → Bottom → ATH Test → Rejection Bitcoin is now standing in a very similar zone. Old high tested. Rejection completed. Confidence damaged. Structure still alive. Most people see this rejection and think the cycle is over. But in the Gold fractal, that rejection was not the end. It was the reset before the strongest expansion phase. That is why this area matters. If silver can pump 600%, most people have no idea what can happen when Bitcoin enters a real monetary repricing leg. From here, the move will not look normal. The crowd sees rejection. The fractal shows reset. Institutions understand this. Retail is still panicking. This is where generational wealth is created. I usually do the opposite of what the masses are doing. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

92,052 次观看 • 2 个月前

$BTC IS DUMPING. NOT FOR THE REASON YOU THINK. It's not the ETFs. It's not the halving cycle. It's not whales. It's the dollar. And almost nobody is pricing in what comes next. The DXY just broke out of accumulation: → The dollar goes vertical. → Bitcoin bleeds. Every single time. The dollar index (DXY) ripped from 80 → 100 in 8 months in 2014. Bitcoin got destroyed: → $1,150 to under $200 → −85% → 14 months of pain Everyone who bought the top waited years just to break even. Now it's happening again. The crowd thinks $58K is the bottom. That's word for word what they said in 2014. Bitcoin hasn't even started falling yet. If you've been following me, you already caught my $16K $BTC bottom call and $126K top. The next call is already playing out and it's bigger than both. Follow and turn notifications on.

$BTC IS DUMPING. NOT FOR THE REASON YOU THINK. It's not the ETFs. It's not the halving cycle. It's not whales. It's the dollar. And almost nobody is pricing in what comes next. The DXY just broke out of accumulation: → The dollar goes vertical. → Bitcoin bleeds. Every single time. The dollar index (DXY) ripped from 80 → 100 in 8 months in 2014. Bitcoin got destroyed: → $1,150 to under $200 → −85% → 14 months of pain Everyone who bought the top waited years just to break even. Now it's happening again. The crowd thinks $58K is the bottom. That's word for word what they said in 2014. Bitcoin hasn't even started falling yet. If you've been following me, you already caught my $16K $BTC bottom call and $126K top. The next call is already playing out and it's bigger than both. Follow and turn notifications on.

Nonzee

79,303 次观看 • 2 个月前

This war didn’t kill gold - it exposed that liquidity > tradition, and Bitcoin is winning that game. Watch this video 👇 $BTC is breaking down the flag ⚠️ If we are unable to reclaim it below the weekly closing, then next month will be bearish for #bitcoin or else reclaim above 67400 will take us back inside the channel we are trading from last 2 months.

This war didn’t kill gold - it exposed that liquidity > tradition, and Bitcoin is winning that game. Watch this video 👇 $BTC is breaking down the flag ⚠️ If we are unable to reclaim it below the weekly closing, then next month will be bearish for #bitcoin or else reclaim above 67400 will take us back inside the channel we are trading from last 2 months.

Karan Singh Arora

16,167 次观看 • 5 个月前

"Bitcoin is oversold. It's been artificially lumped in with software stocks for no good reason." Lyn Alden (Lyn Alden) on why the crash hit Bitcoin harder than it should have: "The washout from the Treasury company mNAVs was painful. The quantum FUD had to be explored. The four-year cycle had to be tested. But I think the majority of the pain is behind us." "Gold went from undervalued to fairly valued fast, the market rightsized it. It's not a bubble, but it's somewhat euphoric right now." "Sentiment on Bitcoin is unfairly negative, to say the least." "Gun to my head, if I had to bet Bitcoin or gold over the next two to three years, I'd bet Bitcoin. I own both. I've always owned both. But if I had to pick, it's Bitcoin." Translation: the crash lumped Bitcoin in with the AI software selloff it has nothing to do with. Gold ran its move and is now near fair value. Bitcoin got sold on sentiment, not fundamentals, which is exactly the setup that reverses when risk appetite returns.

"Bitcoin is oversold. It's been artificially lumped in with software stocks for no good reason." Lyn Alden (Lyn Alden) on why the crash hit Bitcoin harder than it should have: "The washout from the Treasury company mNAVs was painful. The quantum FUD had to be explored. The four-year cycle had to be tested. But I think the majority of the pain is behind us." "Gold went from undervalued to fairly valued fast, the market rightsized it. It's not a bubble, but it's somewhat euphoric right now." "Sentiment on Bitcoin is unfairly negative, to say the least." "Gun to my head, if I had to bet Bitcoin or gold over the next two to three years, I'd bet Bitcoin. I own both. I've always owned both. But if I had to pick, it's Bitcoin." Translation: the crash lumped Bitcoin in with the AI software selloff it has nothing to do with. Gold ran its move and is now near fair value. Bitcoin got sold on sentiment, not fundamentals, which is exactly the setup that reverses when risk appetite returns.

Michaël van de Poppe

127,555 次观看 • 2 个月前

CRYPTO DOESN’T GO UP IN A STRAIGHT LINE. It compresses. It bleeds. It fakes you out. It retests key EMAs… Then it goes vertical. We’ve been compressing for a long time. If this structure holds the next leg could be one of the biggest yet. Pick real projects. Not hype.

CRYPTO DOESN’T GO UP IN A STRAIGHT LINE. It compresses. It bleeds. It fakes you out. It retests key EMAs… Then it goes vertical. We’ve been compressing for a long time. If this structure holds the next leg could be one of the biggest yet. Pick real projects. Not hype.

Merlijn The Trader

54,824 次观看 • 7 个月前

🚨 BTC STRUCTURE IS BROKEN AND HERE IS WHAT COMES NEXT 🚨 The setup is simple Below $80k - the structure is bearish and corrective A bounce is possible and can be played. But the trend hasn't changed Everyone is pointing to the CLARITY Act as the reason to be bullish And yes - it's a positive development for crypto long term But the real market impact from regulation takes months. Not days The chart doesn't care about legislation right now My read: $74k is the next stop. Invalidation only if price reclaims $81k with conviction Until then - corrective, bearish, and patient NOTIFS ON!

🚨 BTC STRUCTURE IS BROKEN AND HERE IS WHAT COMES NEXT 🚨 The setup is simple Below $80k - the structure is bearish and corrective A bounce is possible and can be played. But the trend hasn't changed Everyone is pointing to the CLARITY Act as the reason to be bullish And yes - it's a positive development for crypto long term But the real market impact from regulation takes months. Not days The chart doesn't care about legislation right now My read: $74k is the next stop. Invalidation only if price reclaims $81k with conviction Until then - corrective, bearish, and patient NOTIFS ON!

NoName

97,865 次观看 • 3 个月前

Bitcoin is following the EXACT same pattern every cycle. Historically, Bitcoin has dumped every time it completed the 760-day post-halving cycle. The final sell-off has already started, and $BTC will dump to $40,000 this cycle. I called the Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the cycle top in 2025 before most people saw it coming. The next major setup is forming in 2026. Follow and turn notifications on. Stay ahead of the next move.

Bitcoin is following the EXACT same pattern every cycle. Historically, Bitcoin has dumped every time it completed the 760-day post-halving cycle. The final sell-off has already started, and $BTC will dump to $40,000 this cycle. I called the Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the cycle top in 2025 before most people saw it coming. The next major setup is forming in 2026. Follow and turn notifications on. Stay ahead of the next move.

Chiefy

17,871 次观看 • 3 个月前