Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

When you have trial and error you outperform someone who knows because convexity matters a lot more than knowledge. — Nassim Taleb

wisdom_theory's profile picture

Wisdom Theory

50,178 subscribers

295,755 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

10 Yorum

Rounak M profil fotoğrafı
Rounak M3 yıl önce

How trial and error and convexity are related in context, can you throw some more light or share the full video link?

Martin™️ profil fotoğrafı
Martin™️3 yıl önce

Always mind blowing. NNT gold

Pulkit Saraf profil fotoğrafı
Pulkit Saraf3 yıl önce

Hehe yes.. people get surprised at work when I don't push for admin access to production database and actively deny when offered. To them, that access is the end goal and a prestige point. To me, it's a risk because i experiment and learn iteratively.

Esteban Soto profil fotoğrafı
Esteban Soto3 yıl önce

@SaveToNotion #Thread

Witz profil fotoğrafı
Witz3 yıl önce

🙌🏻

Marcus Matthews profil fotoğrafı
Marcus Matthews3 yıl önce

That’s not entirely true in all cases…

Oneroof profil fotoğrafı
Oneroof3 yıl önce

To what expense

Obwan1 profil fotoğrafı
Obwan13 yıl önce

@SaveToNotion #tweet

Mac Duke 🇿🇦 profil fotoğrafı
Mac Duke 🇿🇦3 yıl önce

@SaveToNotion #Tweet #Video

Haruto Issei Taiki profil fotoğrafı
Haruto Issei Taiki3 yıl önce

Of course loses must be limited. This is like buffet vs venture capital

Benzer Videolar

Nassim Taleb: you don't need to predict the future. You need an option on it. Thales got mocked for being a poor philosopher, so he put tiny deposits on every olive press in town before the harvest - nothing lost if he was wrong, a fortune if he was right. "The opposite of fragile isn't robust. It's something that wants disorder - you write 'please mishandle' on the box." "Jump 10 meters and you die. Jump one meter ten times and nothing happens. That's fragility." "Convexity matters a lot more than knowledge - you can guess worse than random and still come out ahead." bookmark and watch it today - an hour on fat tails, antifragility, and how to position so randomness pays you ↓
52:33

Nassim Taleb: you don't need to predict the future. You need an option on it. Thales got mocked for being a poor philosopher, so he put tiny deposits on every olive press in town before the harvest - nothing lost if he was wrong, a fortune if he was right. "The opposite of fragile isn't robust. It's something that wants disorder - you write 'please mishandle' on the box." "Jump 10 meters and you die. Jump one meter ten times and nothing happens. That's fragility." "Convexity matters a lot more than knowledge - you can guess worse than random and still come out ahead." bookmark and watch it today - an hour on fat tails, antifragility, and how to position so randomness pays you ↓

0xDipper

193,490 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

BREAKING: Nassim Taleb says Grok understands his $20B hedge fund's strategy better than actual financebros Interviewer: “Universa’s annual return on capital is higher than 100%. What’s behind that?” Nassim Taleb: “Go ask Grok.” “Grok represents what we do A LOT BETTER than commentators and understands the nature of our strategy. Remarkably… AI has been beneficial to us because they’re very coherent in representing what we do for a living. You can ask Grok, we asked it on Twitter and it was very accurate.”
0:50

BREAKING: Nassim Taleb says Grok understands his $20B hedge fund's strategy better than actual financebros Interviewer: “Universa’s annual return on capital is higher than 100%. What’s behind that?” Nassim Taleb: “Go ask Grok.” “Grok represents what we do A LOT BETTER than commentators and understands the nature of our strategy. Remarkably… AI has been beneficial to us because they’re very coherent in representing what we do for a living. You can ask Grok, we asked it on Twitter and it was very accurate.”

NIK

371,919 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

⚠️ WARNING ⚠️ DO NOT PUT IN YOUR MONEY if you don’t have knowledge about the Forex Market Forex is not a game of luck, neither is it a game of trial and error without knowledge GET FOREX EDUCATION FIRST 📚 A sign language is more than enough for the wise 😤
1:48

⚠️ WARNING ⚠️ DO NOT PUT IN YOUR MONEY if you don’t have knowledge about the Forex Market Forex is not a game of luck, neither is it a game of trial and error without knowledge GET FOREX EDUCATION FIRST 📚 A sign language is more than enough for the wise 😤

Uncommon ×͜× ⚡️

19,350 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Making fun of someone in the gym who knows more and looks better than you? 🤡🤡🤡
0:57

Making fun of someone in the gym who knows more and looks better than you? 🤡🤡🤡

Joey Swoll

139,759 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Nassim Taleb sat down with Daniel Kahneman - two of the sharpest minds on risk ever - and the takeaway was blunt: stop trying to be smart Kahneman's prospect theory explains why almost nobody can do what Taleb does We're wired to hate the steady trickle of small losses his strategy needs - even when one huge win more than pays for all of them So you structure it the other way: tiny safe bets plus a few wild ones, never the comfortable middle. "You'd rather be antifragile than intelligent - any time." "Trial and error is really just trial with small error." "Make your gains in small bites. Take your losses all at once." ~1 hr, free. two legends on risk, prediction, and how to win without forecasting ↓
1:13:51

Nassim Taleb sat down with Daniel Kahneman - two of the sharpest minds on risk ever - and the takeaway was blunt: stop trying to be smart Kahneman's prospect theory explains why almost nobody can do what Taleb does We're wired to hate the steady trickle of small losses his strategy needs - even when one huge win more than pays for all of them So you structure it the other way: tiny safe bets plus a few wild ones, never the comfortable middle. "You'd rather be antifragile than intelligent - any time." "Trial and error is really just trial with small error." "Make your gains in small bites. Take your losses all at once." ~1 hr, free. two legends on risk, prediction, and how to win without forecasting ↓

0xDipper

1,413,095 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

This 13-min lecture on "Antifragility" by Nassim Taleb will teach you more about surviving market chaos than 2 years of risk management at BlackRock Save this video & watch it This video will teach you more than any course, then read the article
13:04

This 13-min lecture on "Antifragility" by Nassim Taleb will teach you more about surviving market chaos than 2 years of risk management at BlackRock Save this video & watch it This video will teach you more than any course, then read the article

bodila

63,151 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Nassim Taleb: the richest man in the Roman Empire woke up every morning pretending he was poor. Seneca had more to lose than to gain from his wealth - so he rehearsed losing it. Every so often he'd live on bread and water as if shipwrecked, just to make the downside familiar and harmless. That's the whole game, Taleb says: arrange your life so you have far more upside than downside - then randomness stops scaring you. "Make more when you're right than you lose when you're wrong - that's antifragile." "Always keep more upside than downside from random events." "The Stoics aren't unmoved by the world - only by bad events." ~70 min, free. the oldest trick for surviving a world you can't predict ↓
54:37

Nassim Taleb: the richest man in the Roman Empire woke up every morning pretending he was poor. Seneca had more to lose than to gain from his wealth - so he rehearsed losing it. Every so often he'd live on bread and water as if shipwrecked, just to make the downside familiar and harmless. That's the whole game, Taleb says: arrange your life so you have far more upside than downside - then randomness stops scaring you. "Make more when you're right than you lose when you're wrong - that's antifragile." "Always keep more upside than downside from random events." "The Stoics aren't unmoved by the world - only by bad events." ~70 min, free. the oldest trick for surviving a world you can't predict ↓

0xDipper

700,170 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

When you have to let something go, not because you don't like it, but because there's someone better than you for them 🥺
0:30

When you have to let something go, not because you don't like it, but because there's someone better than you for them 🥺

velynne

90,213 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

When you pick a fight with someone who knows how to defend themselves
2:33

When you pick a fight with someone who knows how to defend themselves

Nova💫

907,825 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Options and Probabilities" by Nassim Taleb will teach you more about prediction markets than 2 months of internship at Citadel Bookmark & give it 1 hour, no matter what. It'll be the most productive thing you do this weekend.
58:57

This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Options and Probabilities" by Nassim Taleb will teach you more about prediction markets than 2 months of internship at Citadel Bookmark & give it 1 hour, no matter what. It'll be the most productive thing you do this weekend.

Movez

176,372 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Keep speaking up because your voice matters more than you realise.👍
1:07

Keep speaking up because your voice matters more than you realise.👍

Sue 🇬🇧🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

15,618 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

This what happens when you marry someone who you trust. He didn't get angry quickly because he knows what kind of woman he attracts
0:58

This what happens when you marry someone who you trust. He didn't get angry quickly because he knows what kind of woman he attracts

DaddyTrendy

1,269,189 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

“A man who is a workaholic will like you more if you have interest and knowledge in what he is doing.” — Madame Joyce
0:53

“A man who is a workaholic will like you more if you have interest and knowledge in what he is doing.” — Madame Joyce

@𝗼𝗻𝗲𝗷𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗯𝗼𝘆

39,632 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

“You don’t become a billionaire because you’re a good person, you become a billionaire because you exploited a class of people. When you have more Money than 10,000 lifetimes and you go to sleep comfortable, you’re a sociopath.” - Christian Smalls #PrimeDay
6:34

“You don’t become a billionaire because you’re a good person, you become a billionaire because you exploited a class of people. When you have more Money than 10,000 lifetimes and you go to sleep comfortable, you’re a sociopath.” - Christian Smalls #PrimeDay

Double Down News

210,075 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce

Elon Musk: “I think a lot more people like me than don’t. And I think a lot more people hate you and the media more than you realize”
0:35

Elon Musk: “I think a lot more people like me than don’t. And I think a lot more people hate you and the media more than you realize”

ALX 🇺🇸

83,764 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

When you finally meet someone freakier than you (in this case more of a chuni)
0:23

Sensitive content

When you finally meet someone freakier than you (in this case more of a chuni)

MizuSawa

49,179 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

You have a lot more power over your life than you are led to believe
2:41

You have a lot more power over your life than you are led to believe

TruthSeeker01011

16,132 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce