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Where do oil prices go next? We asked Perplexity Computer to build a full supply-demand model for oil with 3 scenarios based on how the Iran war plays out. It delivered: → Full supply-demand model → Global production & demand estimates → Oil market projections with charts

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38,970 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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With global oil supply under pressure due to the Iran war, the US has already suspended sanctions on Russian oil. The EU should follow this example to prevent a supply crisis and bring energy prices down.
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With global oil supply under pressure due to the Iran war, the US has already suspended sanctions on Russian oil. The EU should follow this example to prevent a supply crisis and bring energy prices down.

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Commodity market guru Jeff Currie on the coming, inevitable oil price spike: “Demand is up here; supply is down here. We’re filling that gap with inventory. When you eventually run out of inventory, demand has to come down to supply… You can’t print molecules.”
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Commodity market guru Jeff Currie on the coming, inevitable oil price spike: “Demand is up here; supply is down here. We’re filling that gap with inventory. When you eventually run out of inventory, demand has to come down to supply… You can’t print molecules.”

Steve Hanke

104,836 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

BREAKING: Experts believe oil could hit $200/barrel and gas could hit $7.00/gallon if the war in Iran continues. “Well it’s realistic if this war goes on… If this continues it means that all of the oil that is locked in the Strait of Hormuz, that’s 20% of the world’s oil that is not getting out… So you can imagine because of supply and demand, if we don’t get that supply and we have all of the demand for oil, then prices will continue to rise. If this goes to June, $200 is realistic.”
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BREAKING: Experts believe oil could hit $200/barrel and gas could hit $7.00/gallon if the war in Iran continues. “Well it’s realistic if this war goes on… If this continues it means that all of the oil that is locked in the Strait of Hormuz, that’s 20% of the world’s oil that is not getting out… So you can imagine because of supply and demand, if we don’t get that supply and we have all of the demand for oil, then prices will continue to rise. If this goes to June, $200 is realistic.”

Ed Krassenstein

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I spoke with Mario Nawfal on why oil prices will bounce back: "When the Strait closed, the global oil market borrowed ~1.2B barrels from the future. Now, we must refill the inventory, which means a pretty healthy demand for oil. Therefore, I see the price of oil bouncing back."
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I spoke with Mario Nawfal on why oil prices will bounce back: "When the Strait closed, the global oil market borrowed ~1.2B barrels from the future. Now, we must refill the inventory, which means a pretty healthy demand for oil. Therefore, I see the price of oil bouncing back."

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I spoke with Afshin Rattansi with Going Underground on an inevitable OIL PRICE SPIKE: “The demand for oil is greater than supply. That gap is filled with the depletion of inventories. These are nearing rock bottom. When inventories run dry, prices will surge again.”
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I spoke with Afshin Rattansi with Going Underground on an inevitable OIL PRICE SPIKE: “The demand for oil is greater than supply. That gap is filled with the depletion of inventories. These are nearing rock bottom. When inventories run dry, prices will surge again.”

Steve Hanke

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#EXCLUSIVE | What's the worst that you think oil prices could go up to? "There is no limit for oil prices until we reach the level of demand destruction": Energy market expert Anas Alhajji #WestAsiaWar #NewsToday | @SardesaiRajdeep
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#EXCLUSIVE | What's the worst that you think oil prices could go up to? "There is no limit for oil prices until we reach the level of demand destruction": Energy market expert Anas Alhajji #WestAsiaWar #NewsToday | @SardesaiRajdeep

IndiaToday

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The Fed should not raise rates in the teeth of a supply-side oil shock. Back in 2006, when tensions with Iran pushed oil prices higher, Ben Bernanke understood that demand-pull inflation is very different from supply-shock inflation. He didn't raise rates then, and the same logic applies today.
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The Fed should not raise rates in the teeth of a supply-side oil shock. Back in 2006, when tensions with Iran pushed oil prices higher, Ben Bernanke understood that demand-pull inflation is very different from supply-shock inflation. He didn't raise rates then, and the same logic applies today.

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Secretary for the US Department of Energy Chris Wright on peak oil demand projections #oott
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Secretary for the US Department of Energy Chris Wright on peak oil demand projections #oott

Giovanni Staunovo🛢

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A fifth of the world’s oil supply is at risk as the Iran war escalates, threatening a key global shipping route. Oil prices have jumped and U.S. gas prices are up 11%. Here’s how the Iran war is driving up gas prices in 60 seconds.
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A fifth of the world’s oil supply is at risk as the Iran war escalates, threatening a key global shipping route. Oil prices have jumped and U.S. gas prices are up 11%. Here’s how the Iran war is driving up gas prices in 60 seconds.

TIME

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🇸🇦 It costs Saudi Arabia less than $2 to produce a barrel of oil Ali Al-Naimi helped shape global oil markets during one of the most volatile periods in modern energy history. At the peak of the 2008 oil spike near $147 per barrel, tensions inside OPEC weren’t just about supply. Saudi Arabia pushed for stability, while others favored higher prices. Al-Naimi even suggested that countries like Iran had an incentive to keep prices elevated, as oil revenue plays a major role in funding national priorities. It showed a deeper truth about energy markets: oil prices aren’t just driven by supply and demand. They’re shaped by politics, power, and competing national interests. So the real question is simple: should oil prices be set by the market, or influenced by geopolitics?
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Megatron

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Global supply and demand make it unrealistic to halt purchases of Russian crude, as Trump wants, explains exiled former oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky. 🔗 Source:
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Global supply and demand make it unrealistic to halt purchases of Russian crude, as Trump wants, explains exiled former oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky. 🔗 Source:

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President Trump's successful campaign against Iran will drive down oil prices. Ending the regime's threats and ensuring that Iran is no longer run by a terrorist organization at war with America will result in a greater global supply of oil.
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Senator Ted Cruz

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BREAKING: Iran is reportedly preparing to close the Strait of Hormuz. 20% of the global oil supply passes through this narrow section, potentially impacting global oil prices.
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BREAKING: Iran is reportedly preparing to close the Strait of Hormuz. 20% of the global oil supply passes through this narrow section, potentially impacting global oil prices.

Financelot

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Rick Rule: The world has systematically underinvested in oil. - The oil industry is underinvesting in sustaining capital by >$1B/day - This underinvestment will reduce future oil production Oil is a cyclical industry, and a sustained period of underinvestment will lead to lower production in the future... we are still in the underinvestment period despite high prices. In addition to the massive underinvestment: - The industry has to fix oil infrastructure impacted by the Iran war - The world will have to refill their SPRs - Countries will expand their SPRs Hormuz or no Hormuz, the supply/demand picture for oil is favorable over the long term.
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Rick Rule: The world has systematically underinvested in oil. - The oil industry is underinvesting in sustaining capital by >$1B/day - This underinvestment will reduce future oil production Oil is a cyclical industry, and a sustained period of underinvestment will lead to lower production in the future... we are still in the underinvestment period despite high prices. In addition to the massive underinvestment: - The industry has to fix oil infrastructure impacted by the Iran war - The world will have to refill their SPRs - Countries will expand their SPRs Hormuz or no Hormuz, the supply/demand picture for oil is favorable over the long term.

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President Trump has issued a strong threat to destroy every Iranian port and tanker if Iran disrupts the flow of oil, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. This announcement has already caused significant market reactions, with crude oil prices surging by about 10% immediately after the news. The threat reflects escalating tensions in the region, with potential for serious disruption to global oil supply chains. - Proffessor jiang
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President Trump has issued a strong threat to destroy every Iranian port and tanker if Iran disrupts the flow of oil, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. This announcement has already caused significant market reactions, with crude oil prices surging by about 10% immediately after the news. The threat reflects escalating tensions in the region, with potential for serious disruption to global oil supply chains. - Proffessor jiang

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Goldman Sachs says India will drive global oil demand over the next 20 years
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Goldman Sachs says India will drive global oil demand over the next 20 years

Shashank Mattoo

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#Exclusive || Impact of War on Economy One, you have a supply shock. Supply has gone down. So, either you voluntarily cut down demand and let supply and demand adjust themselves without much of a price rise, or, if demand is not adjusted, prices will go up and do the needful: Dr. Ashok Kumar Lahiri #NewsToday | Rajdeep Sardesai

IndiaToday

17,254 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Why oil? Because worsening war news tends to threaten energy supply. That pushes oil prices up. So rising oil isn’t just about petrol; it’s a signal about geopolitical risk hitting the global economy.
1:47

Why oil? Because worsening war news tends to threaten energy supply. That pushes oil prices up. So rising oil isn’t just about petrol; it’s a signal about geopolitical risk hitting the global economy.

Justin Wolfers

10,516 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

The US is currently subsidizing the price of oil, and therefore stimulating increased demand, at a time when prices should be going up to choke off enough demand so that supplies are balanced with price. Full report:
2:19

The US is currently subsidizing the price of oil, and therefore stimulating increased demand, at a time when prices should be going up to choke off enough demand so that supplies are balanced with price. Full report:

Chris Martenson

22,142 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад