Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Zur Startseite

WHY $100 SILVER IS JUST THE BEGINNING Silver has finally smashed through the $100 mark after years of tough holding—congratulations to everyone who stuck it out. But is this the peak? Far from it. Strong global demand signals and shrinking supplies point to much higher prices ahead: THE CHINA...

Mark4XX's profile picture

Mark

35,635 subscribers

22,924 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Kommentare

Keine Kommentare verfügbar

Kommentare vom Original-Post werden hier angezeigt

Ähnliche Videos

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver
0:55

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver

Mark

24,678 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Gold and Silver Trader Andrew Maguire 💥THE END OF WESTERN GOLD AND SILVER A MARKET IN FRACTURE ✅ The LBMA and COMEX are losing control as liquidity flees to BRICS-centric exchanges. ✅ This creates a historic divergence between "synthetic" paper prices and the real cost of physical metal. “We’ve reached the absolute inflection point where Western CME/LBMA liquidity has permanently fractured… All the institutional guys I know have gone to BRICS-facing exchanges. That leaves only a few speculators and momentum traders — and that’s all the cartel has left to play with.” THE PHYSICAL REALITY CHECK The data reveals a stunning physical shortage, hidden in plain sight. ➡️ Unprecedented "backwardations" show futures contracts trading at a massive discount to physical spot price. ➡️ This signals a critical mismatch: the paper market is deeply mispriced. ➡️ "There is insufficient physical to meet this enormous demand." THE PRICE TARGETS Given the supply/demand shock, the required price adjustments are staggering. 💰 For Gold: "It will require $8,000 gold" to bring sufficient supply to market. 💰 For Silver: The consensus is "$80 silver" in the short term, with $140-$200 longer-term. THE CATALYST IS HERE The system is primed for a major move, with two key triggers: ➡️ 1. The massive, naked short position in ETFs like GLD and SLV must be bought back, forcing prices higher. ➡️ 2. Western institutional investors are moving from 0% to a 4% allocation in gold, competing with inelastic central bank demand. THE BOTTOM LINE A pivotal wealth protection window is rapidly closing. The analysis concludes there is not enough above-ground bullion to meet soaring demand at current prices. The time to swap debasing fiat for physical, zero-counterparty risk gold and silver is now. HT: Kinesis Money Andrew Maguire Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 #Gold #Silver #WealthProtection #BRICS #Dollar #Inflation #COMEX #Investing
1:04

Gold and Silver Trader Andrew Maguire 💥THE END OF WESTERN GOLD AND SILVER A MARKET IN FRACTURE ✅ The LBMA and COMEX are losing control as liquidity flees to BRICS-centric exchanges. ✅ This creates a historic divergence between "synthetic" paper prices and the real cost of physical metal. “We’ve reached the absolute inflection point where Western CME/LBMA liquidity has permanently fractured… All the institutional guys I know have gone to BRICS-facing exchanges. That leaves only a few speculators and momentum traders — and that’s all the cartel has left to play with.” THE PHYSICAL REALITY CHECK The data reveals a stunning physical shortage, hidden in plain sight. ➡️ Unprecedented "backwardations" show futures contracts trading at a massive discount to physical spot price. ➡️ This signals a critical mismatch: the paper market is deeply mispriced. ➡️ "There is insufficient physical to meet this enormous demand." THE PRICE TARGETS Given the supply/demand shock, the required price adjustments are staggering. 💰 For Gold: "It will require $8,000 gold" to bring sufficient supply to market. 💰 For Silver: The consensus is "$80 silver" in the short term, with $140-$200 longer-term. THE CATALYST IS HERE The system is primed for a major move, with two key triggers: ➡️ 1. The massive, naked short position in ETFs like GLD and SLV must be bought back, forcing prices higher. ➡️ 2. Western institutional investors are moving from 0% to a 4% allocation in gold, competing with inelastic central bank demand. THE BOTTOM LINE A pivotal wealth protection window is rapidly closing. The analysis concludes there is not enough above-ground bullion to meet soaring demand at current prices. The time to swap debasing fiat for physical, zero-counterparty risk gold and silver is now. HT: Kinesis Money Andrew Maguire Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 #Gold #Silver #WealthProtection #BRICS #Dollar #Inflation #COMEX #Investing

Mark

78,584 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Eric Yeung: 🇨🇳 CHINA'S BRILLIANT MOVE ON GOLD The Gold Shakeup: New Tax Rules ✅ Objective: Concentrate ALL gold liquidity through the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE). ✅ Before: A messy system where recycled gold avoided VAT, undercutting official channels. ✅ Now: The ONLY way to get VAT-exempt gold is through the SGE. ➡️ Result: Liquidity is being vacuumed out of the OTC market and into the SGE. Trading volume is projected to jump from 60% to 80% of all Chinese gold trade. The Ramification: Squeezing the West ✅ SGE has a ~70% physical withdrawal rate. COMEX is less than 10%. ✅ In 2024, over 1,400 metric tons of gold were physically withdrawn from the SGE. That's roughly the entire reported COMEX vault inventory. ✅ China is inviting central banks (like Cambodia) to store their gold in SGE vaults, building trust and moving the global center of gravity East. The Silver Hammer: Export Controls ✅ Starting Jan 2026, China is imposing export controls (review & quota process) on silver. ✅ This is a de facto ban on shipping silver to the LBMA. ✅ Silver is now a STRATEGIC METAL for China. They are hoarding for their industrial and technological future. The Bottom Line: China is systematically rewiring the global precious metals market. They are centralizing gold liquidity in Shanghai and locking down their silver supply. This will drain physical metal from the West, exposing paper markets and accelerating the East's financial dominance. HT Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 The Sirius Report #Gold #Silver #China #SGE #COMEX #LBMA #Markets #Finance
0:57

Eric Yeung: 🇨🇳 CHINA'S BRILLIANT MOVE ON GOLD The Gold Shakeup: New Tax Rules ✅ Objective: Concentrate ALL gold liquidity through the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE). ✅ Before: A messy system where recycled gold avoided VAT, undercutting official channels. ✅ Now: The ONLY way to get VAT-exempt gold is through the SGE. ➡️ Result: Liquidity is being vacuumed out of the OTC market and into the SGE. Trading volume is projected to jump from 60% to 80% of all Chinese gold trade. The Ramification: Squeezing the West ✅ SGE has a ~70% physical withdrawal rate. COMEX is less than 10%. ✅ In 2024, over 1,400 metric tons of gold were physically withdrawn from the SGE. That's roughly the entire reported COMEX vault inventory. ✅ China is inviting central banks (like Cambodia) to store their gold in SGE vaults, building trust and moving the global center of gravity East. The Silver Hammer: Export Controls ✅ Starting Jan 2026, China is imposing export controls (review & quota process) on silver. ✅ This is a de facto ban on shipping silver to the LBMA. ✅ Silver is now a STRATEGIC METAL for China. They are hoarding for their industrial and technological future. The Bottom Line: China is systematically rewiring the global precious metals market. They are centralizing gold liquidity in Shanghai and locking down their silver supply. This will drain physical metal from the West, exposing paper markets and accelerating the East's financial dominance. HT Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 The Sirius Report #Gold #Silver #China #SGE #COMEX #LBMA #Markets #Finance

Mark

30,700 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain
0:49

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

Mark

104,322 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

💥J. Rickards and K. McCullough: Why Silver Could Hit $150 Sooner Than You Think K. McCullough: "In a frenzy, silver could go much higher than formulas suggest ... People chasing could take it to levels that seem impossible today" The Gold Correlation Play ✅ "There's no way gold goes to $10,000 without silver going to $100-150" ✅ Silver historically amplifies gold's moves with 2-3x leverage ✅ "Silver is along for gold's ride - but it's a rocket ship, not a passenger car" The Ratio Play: 80:1 Can't Last ✅ Current gold-silver ratio: 80:1 (historically unsustainable) ✅ Historical average: 60:1 would mean $75 silver at $4,500 gold ✅ Return to 30:1 ratio (ancient levels) would mean $150+ silver ✅ "Only 8x more silver mined than gold, but 50% gets consumed industrially" The $100-150 Price Target ✅ "If gold hits $10,000, silver absolutely goes to $100-150" ✅ Based on historical ratio analysis and supply-demand fundamentals ✅ "Silver could actually be better money than gold for practical use" Industrial Demand Multiplier ✅ Unlike gold, silver has massive industrial consumption (50% of annual supply) ✅ Solar, EVs, weapons, data centers creating structural deficit While precise timing is unpredictable, the mathematical case for $100-150 silver is straightforward: either the gold-silver ratio normalizes to historical levels, or industrial demand creates a physical shortage that triggers a price explosion - and we're seeing both happen simultaneously. HT: Hedgeye Keith McCullough Jim Rickards #Silver #PricePrediction #GoldSilverRatio #Commodities #Investing #PreciousMetals #SupplyDemand
1:03

💥J. Rickards and K. McCullough: Why Silver Could Hit $150 Sooner Than You Think K. McCullough: "In a frenzy, silver could go much higher than formulas suggest ... People chasing could take it to levels that seem impossible today" The Gold Correlation Play ✅ "There's no way gold goes to $10,000 without silver going to $100-150" ✅ Silver historically amplifies gold's moves with 2-3x leverage ✅ "Silver is along for gold's ride - but it's a rocket ship, not a passenger car" The Ratio Play: 80:1 Can't Last ✅ Current gold-silver ratio: 80:1 (historically unsustainable) ✅ Historical average: 60:1 would mean $75 silver at $4,500 gold ✅ Return to 30:1 ratio (ancient levels) would mean $150+ silver ✅ "Only 8x more silver mined than gold, but 50% gets consumed industrially" The $100-150 Price Target ✅ "If gold hits $10,000, silver absolutely goes to $100-150" ✅ Based on historical ratio analysis and supply-demand fundamentals ✅ "Silver could actually be better money than gold for practical use" Industrial Demand Multiplier ✅ Unlike gold, silver has massive industrial consumption (50% of annual supply) ✅ Solar, EVs, weapons, data centers creating structural deficit While precise timing is unpredictable, the mathematical case for $100-150 silver is straightforward: either the gold-silver ratio normalizes to historical levels, or industrial demand creates a physical shortage that triggers a price explosion - and we're seeing both happen simultaneously. HT: Hedgeye Keith McCullough Jim Rickards #Silver #PricePrediction #GoldSilverRatio #Commodities #Investing #PreciousMetals #SupplyDemand

Mark

16,993 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance
1:18

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

Mark

148,732 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Swiss Silver Expert J. Staiger DESPERATE MEASURES BY BIG PLAYERS The tightness is forcing extreme actions in the physical market. ⚡ Major trading houses are calling mines directly, offering premiums of up to 20% over spot for long-term delivery contracts. ⚡ Turkey is now importing massive amounts of silver monthly, as gold becomes scarce. THE VAULTS ARE RUNNING DRY The physical data reveals a market in extreme stress. ✅ Shanghai Crisis: Silver inventories have hit a 10-year low. ✅ Record Deficit: The cumulative 7-year supply deficit now exceeds 1.2 Billion ounces. THE DELIVERY SYSTEM IS CRACKING Key trading hubs are showing unprecedented strain. ➡️ COMEX (NY): The recent "server failure" on Notice Day (Nov 28) raised eyebrows amidst a scramble for metal. ➡️ LBMA (London): Reportedly had to airlift ~54M ounces via private flights to avoid breaking. Only 15-20% of their silver is "free" for delivery; the rest is owned by ETFs and institutions. THE TECHNICAL PICTURE: BROKEN OUT The price action confirms the fundamental story. ➡️ Silver has decisively broken out to new all-time highs. ➡️ Next technical targets are seen at $63, then $80+. "Delivery Claus is coming… and he wants his silver. Buckle up.” HT: Swiss Resource Capital AG PS: Here you can find out how you can profit from this silver rally. 👉 #Silver #SilverSqueeze #COMEX #LBMA #Shanghai #Commodities #Investing #PreciousMetals
1:13

Swiss Silver Expert J. Staiger DESPERATE MEASURES BY BIG PLAYERS The tightness is forcing extreme actions in the physical market. ⚡ Major trading houses are calling mines directly, offering premiums of up to 20% over spot for long-term delivery contracts. ⚡ Turkey is now importing massive amounts of silver monthly, as gold becomes scarce. THE VAULTS ARE RUNNING DRY The physical data reveals a market in extreme stress. ✅ Shanghai Crisis: Silver inventories have hit a 10-year low. ✅ Record Deficit: The cumulative 7-year supply deficit now exceeds 1.2 Billion ounces. THE DELIVERY SYSTEM IS CRACKING Key trading hubs are showing unprecedented strain. ➡️ COMEX (NY): The recent "server failure" on Notice Day (Nov 28) raised eyebrows amidst a scramble for metal. ➡️ LBMA (London): Reportedly had to airlift ~54M ounces via private flights to avoid breaking. Only 15-20% of their silver is "free" for delivery; the rest is owned by ETFs and institutions. THE TECHNICAL PICTURE: BROKEN OUT The price action confirms the fundamental story. ➡️ Silver has decisively broken out to new all-time highs. ➡️ Next technical targets are seen at $63, then $80+. "Delivery Claus is coming… and he wants his silver. Buckle up.” HT: Swiss Resource Capital AG PS: Here you can find out how you can profit from this silver rally. 👉 #Silver #SilverSqueeze #COMEX #LBMA #Shanghai #Commodities #Investing #PreciousMetals

Mark

64,551 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

PETER SCHIFF: GOLD, SILVER AND THE MINING STOCKS WILL GO MUCH HIGHER🚀 In his latest interview, renowned economist Peter Schiff shared his assessment of gold, silver and mining stocks. THE BIGGER PICTURE: DOLLAR CRISIS DRIVING IT ALL ✅ Gold at $5,100+ and silver exploding signal the end of dollar dominance. ⚡ Central banks dumping dollars, Trump policies accelerating the shift—everything points higher. 💥 "This is not the end of this thing. We're going a lot higher." WHY PHYSICAL SILVER IS GETTING HARDER TO FIND ✅ Demand is surging from investors and industry 📉 Supply can't keep up—mint production lags, and wholesalers are struggling. ❓ Schiff's key advice: Buy now while you can. Waiting for a dip risks being locked out entirely. SILVER MINERS: MASSIVELY UNDERPRICED ✅ Miners' profits explode with silver at these levels—margins go from slim to massive. 📈 Stocks lag the metal, but Schiff says they're "cheaper now than before" the rally. 🚀 "The silver stocks are priced for maybe $50 silver at most." THE BOTTOM LINE Peter Schiff makes it crystal clear: Silver's volatility is just the market discovering its true value in a collapsing dollar world—don't chase the price, secure the physical metal before it's gone for good. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm CapitalCosm Peter Schiff Current personal portfolio (DYODD)👉 #SilverSqueeze #PeterSchiff #GoldAndSilver #DollarCrisis #PreciousMetals #InvestSmart
1:26

PETER SCHIFF: GOLD, SILVER AND THE MINING STOCKS WILL GO MUCH HIGHER🚀 In his latest interview, renowned economist Peter Schiff shared his assessment of gold, silver and mining stocks. THE BIGGER PICTURE: DOLLAR CRISIS DRIVING IT ALL ✅ Gold at $5,100+ and silver exploding signal the end of dollar dominance. ⚡ Central banks dumping dollars, Trump policies accelerating the shift—everything points higher. 💥 "This is not the end of this thing. We're going a lot higher." WHY PHYSICAL SILVER IS GETTING HARDER TO FIND ✅ Demand is surging from investors and industry 📉 Supply can't keep up—mint production lags, and wholesalers are struggling. ❓ Schiff's key advice: Buy now while you can. Waiting for a dip risks being locked out entirely. SILVER MINERS: MASSIVELY UNDERPRICED ✅ Miners' profits explode with silver at these levels—margins go from slim to massive. 📈 Stocks lag the metal, but Schiff says they're "cheaper now than before" the rally. 🚀 "The silver stocks are priced for maybe $50 silver at most." THE BOTTOM LINE Peter Schiff makes it crystal clear: Silver's volatility is just the market discovering its true value in a collapsing dollar world—don't chase the price, secure the physical metal before it's gone for good. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm CapitalCosm Peter Schiff Current personal portfolio (DYODD)👉 #SilverSqueeze #PeterSchiff #GoldAndSilver #DollarCrisis #PreciousMetals #InvestSmart

Mark

86,250 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

ED STEER "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IGNITES, BUT MINING SHARS ARE HELD HOSTAGE 🎙️ Veteran analyst Ed Steer breaks down the shocking divergence between soaring silver and stagnant mining stocks. THE GLARING DISCONNECT ✅ Silver is at $93, up ~30% YTD and posting 5-7% daily gains. ❌ The SIL silver miners ETF is up only ~14% YTD. 📉 Hecla, Pan American, & First Majestic are flat or down on huge silver up days. ➡️ "The shares right now... we'd be looking at at least a double in every silver stock." THE ACTIVE SUPPRESSION THESIS ✅ Steer's verdict: Shares are being "actively managed" and suppressed. 🤔 Purpose? To prevent mainstream attention and capital flows. 🔍 Evidence: Physical ETFs (SLV/PSLV) track the metal's price perfectly; miners do not. 💎 "They're trying to keep people... in Amazon and all these other stocks." THE "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IS HERE ➡️ This parabolic move is the "bonfire of the silver shorts" predicted by analyst Ted Butler. 🔥 With silver up $8 in two days, relentless margin calls are forcing short covering. 📈 "We're in a short squeeze they'll be talking about... hundreds of years from now." THE GEOPOLITICAL & MARKET SHIFT ✅ Price discovery is now driven by Shanghai (premium >$100), not just COMEX. 🛡️ Silver is remonetizing as the 50-year fiat experiment unwinds. ⚖️ "We are living through history... the precious metals are going to be money again." THE BOTTOM LINE FOR INVESTORS The extreme undervaluation of silver equities represents a monumental opportunity. The fundamentals demand prices at least 90-100% higher. When the suppression breaks, the catch-up rally could be explosive. HT: CapitalCosm YouTube CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #MiningStocks #Investing #PreciousMetals #Markets #Finance #EdSteer #ShortSqueeze #Commodities
0:58

ED STEER "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IGNITES, BUT MINING SHARS ARE HELD HOSTAGE 🎙️ Veteran analyst Ed Steer breaks down the shocking divergence between soaring silver and stagnant mining stocks. THE GLARING DISCONNECT ✅ Silver is at $93, up ~30% YTD and posting 5-7% daily gains. ❌ The SIL silver miners ETF is up only ~14% YTD. 📉 Hecla, Pan American, & First Majestic are flat or down on huge silver up days. ➡️ "The shares right now... we'd be looking at at least a double in every silver stock." THE ACTIVE SUPPRESSION THESIS ✅ Steer's verdict: Shares are being "actively managed" and suppressed. 🤔 Purpose? To prevent mainstream attention and capital flows. 🔍 Evidence: Physical ETFs (SLV/PSLV) track the metal's price perfectly; miners do not. 💎 "They're trying to keep people... in Amazon and all these other stocks." THE "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IS HERE ➡️ This parabolic move is the "bonfire of the silver shorts" predicted by analyst Ted Butler. 🔥 With silver up $8 in two days, relentless margin calls are forcing short covering. 📈 "We're in a short squeeze they'll be talking about... hundreds of years from now." THE GEOPOLITICAL & MARKET SHIFT ✅ Price discovery is now driven by Shanghai (premium >$100), not just COMEX. 🛡️ Silver is remonetizing as the 50-year fiat experiment unwinds. ⚖️ "We are living through history... the precious metals are going to be money again." THE BOTTOM LINE FOR INVESTORS The extreme undervaluation of silver equities represents a monumental opportunity. The fundamentals demand prices at least 90-100% higher. When the suppression breaks, the catch-up rally could be explosive. HT: CapitalCosm YouTube CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #MiningStocks #Investing #PreciousMetals #Markets #Finance #EdSteer #ShortSqueeze #Commodities

Mark

26,303 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

ERNST GRATZ WARNS: DELIVERY DISASTER TOMORROW AT COMEX Veteran industrial metal trader Ernst Gratz breaks down the massive disconnect brewing in the silver market. As Shanghai reopens with prices soaring $10 higher than COMEX, Asia's pushback against Western manipulation could force a reckoning. With Notice Day hitting tomorrow, Gratz highlights why physical demands might overwhelm supplies, sparking chaos for paper traders. THE CORE THESIS: DELIVERY DEMAND CRUSHES SUPPLY ✅ Tomorrow (27th feb.) is Notice Day for March contracts – holders can demand physical silver delivery, but COMEX inventories sit under 100 million ounces of registered metal. ➡️ Demands exceed 200 million ounces, creating a huge shortfall. "If even 40-50% opt for delivery, COMEX can't fulfill it." 🔥 What happens next? They might roll contracts to later months with premiums, but those are already loaded with shorts – plus, 30 million ounces were already pushed from November. SHANGHAI'S POWER MOVE: PHYSICAL PRICES SURGE📈 Shanghai kicked off $10 above COMEX, signaling China's refusal to play by manipulated Western rules anymore. ❌ Recent history, like the January 30th events, shows the "enormous manipulation" at COMEX that's no longer tolerated in Asia. ⚡ China slashed exports drastically – banning 93% of silver-producing mines from shipping out, limiting it to just 44 major firms producing over 80 tons yearly. THE PAPER VS. PHYSICAL RIFT 💥 COMEX traded far too many "paper ounces" without real backing – fine for hedging if deliverable, but disastrous in an empty market. 🔍 "If your counterparty doesn't have the commodity and bets on getting it later, but the market's basically empty, you're in trouble." 📊 Result? Cheap Western buys flow East, draining COMEX while Shanghai tightens rules to reject uncovered positions and boost oversight. THE BOTTOM LINE Physical silver owners can relax and watch prices rocket – they're positioned for the upside. Paper holders risk force majeure, cash settlements, and contracts vanishing to zero in a crisis. Own physical silver now, before this showdown explodes into sky-high gains. #SilverSqueeze #COMEXCrunch #ErnstGratz #SilverPrice #PhysicalSilver #MetalsMarket #BullionBoom
2:00

ERNST GRATZ WARNS: DELIVERY DISASTER TOMORROW AT COMEX Veteran industrial metal trader Ernst Gratz breaks down the massive disconnect brewing in the silver market. As Shanghai reopens with prices soaring $10 higher than COMEX, Asia's pushback against Western manipulation could force a reckoning. With Notice Day hitting tomorrow, Gratz highlights why physical demands might overwhelm supplies, sparking chaos for paper traders. THE CORE THESIS: DELIVERY DEMAND CRUSHES SUPPLY ✅ Tomorrow (27th feb.) is Notice Day for March contracts – holders can demand physical silver delivery, but COMEX inventories sit under 100 million ounces of registered metal. ➡️ Demands exceed 200 million ounces, creating a huge shortfall. "If even 40-50% opt for delivery, COMEX can't fulfill it." 🔥 What happens next? They might roll contracts to later months with premiums, but those are already loaded with shorts – plus, 30 million ounces were already pushed from November. SHANGHAI'S POWER MOVE: PHYSICAL PRICES SURGE📈 Shanghai kicked off $10 above COMEX, signaling China's refusal to play by manipulated Western rules anymore. ❌ Recent history, like the January 30th events, shows the "enormous manipulation" at COMEX that's no longer tolerated in Asia. ⚡ China slashed exports drastically – banning 93% of silver-producing mines from shipping out, limiting it to just 44 major firms producing over 80 tons yearly. THE PAPER VS. PHYSICAL RIFT 💥 COMEX traded far too many "paper ounces" without real backing – fine for hedging if deliverable, but disastrous in an empty market. 🔍 "If your counterparty doesn't have the commodity and bets on getting it later, but the market's basically empty, you're in trouble." 📊 Result? Cheap Western buys flow East, draining COMEX while Shanghai tightens rules to reject uncovered positions and boost oversight. THE BOTTOM LINE Physical silver owners can relax and watch prices rocket – they're positioned for the upside. Paper holders risk force majeure, cash settlements, and contracts vanishing to zero in a crisis. Own physical silver now, before this showdown explodes into sky-high gains. #SilverSqueeze #COMEXCrunch #ErnstGratz #SilverPrice #PhysicalSilver #MetalsMarket #BullionBoom

Mark

100,644 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Ep. 11 Free The Money | Gold to $40,000: The Financial Reset No One Is Ready For In this episode of Free The Money, I sit down with James Henry Anderson, Senior Market Analyst at SD Bullion, to break down what’s really driving the explosive moves in gold and silver. James explains how paper silver is leveraged more than 300:1 against physical metal, why real shortages are forming globally, and how inflation and debt are steadily eroding the dollar’s purchasing power, even as markets try to hide it. James walks through the numbers: • The S&P 500 has lost over 40% of its purchasing power when measured in gold • Silver has outperformed stocks by more than 70% in real terms • BRICS nations have reduced U.S. Treasury holdings by roughly $700 billion, weakening long-term demand for the dollar • Physical gold and silver are trading at significant premiums in Asia, signaling real demand, not speculation We also cover why silver is essential for AI, tech, energy, and defense, why younger generations are increasingly buying physical metals, and how assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate get re-priced when fiat systems are under stress. This conversation isn’t about fear or hype, it’s about understanding what the data is saying and why sound money always reasserts itself when confidence in fiat begins to crack. Sign up for ITrustCapital with this link for $100 funding bonus. See why people are opening a tax-advantaged Crypto, Gold & Silver IRA for their future: 0:42 James’ background: from junk silver as a kid to 17 years in precious metals 4:48 SLV exposed: 300:1 paper silver vs real physical metal 7:14 The endgame of fiat: why inflation is unavoidable 9:26 Why silver matters for tech & AI: the most conductive metal on Earth 12:40 West vs East price disconnect: silver arbitrage explained 20:15 BRICS vs the dollar: falling U.S. Treasury demand & the coming commodity supercycle 22:43 The “destruction phase”: why bullion becomes essential (25% gold allocation argument) 27:02 How to buy silver & gold right now: strategy, timing, and buying dips 34:11 Gold & silver vs the S&P 500: the performance shock most investors miss 37:33 Gold-to-silver ratio: why it signals silver’s next major move 39:47 Younger generations are buying metals (this isn’t a boomer trade) 40:36 $40,000 gold scenario: institutional shifts that change everything 40:41 Junk silver explained: premiums, refineries, and long-term holding 42:48 Is gold becoming the new world reserve asset? Revaluation explained 44:04 What happens to real estate when priced in gold 45:30 Advice for young people: discipline, debt, and building real wealth
56:19

Ep. 11 Free The Money | Gold to $40,000: The Financial Reset No One Is Ready For In this episode of Free The Money, I sit down with James Henry Anderson, Senior Market Analyst at SD Bullion, to break down what’s really driving the explosive moves in gold and silver. James explains how paper silver is leveraged more than 300:1 against physical metal, why real shortages are forming globally, and how inflation and debt are steadily eroding the dollar’s purchasing power, even as markets try to hide it. James walks through the numbers: • The S&P 500 has lost over 40% of its purchasing power when measured in gold • Silver has outperformed stocks by more than 70% in real terms • BRICS nations have reduced U.S. Treasury holdings by roughly $700 billion, weakening long-term demand for the dollar • Physical gold and silver are trading at significant premiums in Asia, signaling real demand, not speculation We also cover why silver is essential for AI, tech, energy, and defense, why younger generations are increasingly buying physical metals, and how assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate get re-priced when fiat systems are under stress. This conversation isn’t about fear or hype, it’s about understanding what the data is saying and why sound money always reasserts itself when confidence in fiat begins to crack. Sign up for ITrustCapital with this link for $100 funding bonus. See why people are opening a tax-advantaged Crypto, Gold & Silver IRA for their future: 0:42 James’ background: from junk silver as a kid to 17 years in precious metals 4:48 SLV exposed: 300:1 paper silver vs real physical metal 7:14 The endgame of fiat: why inflation is unavoidable 9:26 Why silver matters for tech & AI: the most conductive metal on Earth 12:40 West vs East price disconnect: silver arbitrage explained 20:15 BRICS vs the dollar: falling U.S. Treasury demand & the coming commodity supercycle 22:43 The “destruction phase”: why bullion becomes essential (25% gold allocation argument) 27:02 How to buy silver & gold right now: strategy, timing, and buying dips 34:11 Gold & silver vs the S&P 500: the performance shock most investors miss 37:33 Gold-to-silver ratio: why it signals silver’s next major move 39:47 Younger generations are buying metals (this isn’t a boomer trade) 40:36 $40,000 gold scenario: institutional shifts that change everything 40:41 Junk silver explained: premiums, refineries, and long-term holding 42:48 Is gold becoming the new world reserve asset? Revaluation explained 44:04 What happens to real estate when priced in gold 45:30 Advice for young people: discipline, debt, and building real wealth

Bri Teresi

31,505 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I am extremely bullish on silver prices long term. There are clearly supply shortages in this market which has caused the increase in the silver prices from $30 last year to over $70 today. The issue is global silver mine supply. It is in decline. All of the mines in the world produced 900 million oz in 2015. In 2026 it will be about 820 million oz. Production is steadily declining. The best mines have been found and depleted. Meanwhile silver demand is still increasing. EVs, solar panels, electronics, Ai chips, etc. I have invested in physical silver, but I also invest in a few silver mining stocks. Most mining stocks are struggling just to maintain current silver production. The key is to find the companies that can increase production. My top silver stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver (ticker AYASF). The reason why is because this company is one of the few that can seriously increase it's production in the coming years. They are already producing 6 million oz of silver per year from their first mine, Zgounder. They mine at a cost of $20 per oz, they are selling their silver at over $70 per oz. That is over $50 per oz profit margins on 6 million oz. They are building their next mine, Boumadine, which is currently projected to produce 37 million oz AgEq in 2030. So this is a company that will increase revenue and profits by about 6x to 7x even if gold and silver prices remain at current levels. If gold and silver prices increase from here, the upside for AYASF is even higher. Here is a brief clip from an interview last week where the CEO, Benoit La Salle, walks through the numbers and the comparison to other silver miners. Benoit has built multiple mines in his career and he is doing it again with Aya (ticker AYASF). I will leave the link to the full interview in the replies below. This is just a brief clip. Bookmark this post. I will be posting about Aya regularly in the coming years.
2:16

I am extremely bullish on silver prices long term. There are clearly supply shortages in this market which has caused the increase in the silver prices from $30 last year to over $70 today. The issue is global silver mine supply. It is in decline. All of the mines in the world produced 900 million oz in 2015. In 2026 it will be about 820 million oz. Production is steadily declining. The best mines have been found and depleted. Meanwhile silver demand is still increasing. EVs, solar panels, electronics, Ai chips, etc. I have invested in physical silver, but I also invest in a few silver mining stocks. Most mining stocks are struggling just to maintain current silver production. The key is to find the companies that can increase production. My top silver stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver (ticker AYASF). The reason why is because this company is one of the few that can seriously increase it's production in the coming years. They are already producing 6 million oz of silver per year from their first mine, Zgounder. They mine at a cost of $20 per oz, they are selling their silver at over $70 per oz. That is over $50 per oz profit margins on 6 million oz. They are building their next mine, Boumadine, which is currently projected to produce 37 million oz AgEq in 2030. So this is a company that will increase revenue and profits by about 6x to 7x even if gold and silver prices remain at current levels. If gold and silver prices increase from here, the upside for AYASF is even higher. Here is a brief clip from an interview last week where the CEO, Benoit La Salle, walks through the numbers and the comparison to other silver miners. Benoit has built multiple mines in his career and he is doing it again with Aya (ticker AYASF). I will leave the link to the full interview in the replies below. This is just a brief clip. Bookmark this post. I will be posting about Aya regularly in the coming years.

Wall Street Mav

64,431 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

CHINA JUST EXPOSED THE SILVER SCAM – VAULTS ARE BEING RAIDED WHILE THE WEST SLEEPS 🚨 They don’t want you to see this: China is vacuuming physical silver at insane premiums while COMEX pretends prices are "normal." 🕵️‍♂️ THE PLAYERS - Subject: MASSIVE SHFE SILVER WITHDRAWAL + PREMIUM EXPLOSION - The Victims: Western paper silver holders getting crushed by reality - The Villains: COMEX manipulators + banks suppressing the true price THE CRIME 🔥 China's physical hunger is UNSTOPPABLE. SHFE silver just closed at $102.64/oz – while Western spot lags in the high $80s/low $90s. That's a DOUBLE-DIGIT PREMIUM screaming DEMAND. THE EVIDENCE 📊 Another 9,400+ kg (9.5 METRIC TONS) ripped from SHFE vaults IN ONE DAY. Total inventory now at just 346,369 kg (~11.1 million oz). These aren't paper games – this is REAL metal leaving the system FAST. China, the world's #1 silver consumer, is draining vaults relentlessly. THE COVERUP 🛡️ Western markets ignore it. They keep prices suppressed to protect their paper empire. But Shanghai doesn't lie – the premium is exploding because physical supply is TIGHTENING HARD. When China hoards, the fuse gets lit. 📅 TODAY'S BOMB: February 26, 2026 – 9.5 tons gone, price at $102.64 in Shanghai. The divergence is widening. 1. RETWEET if you're sick of paper silver lies 2. Reply "CHINA KNOWS" if you're watching the real drain 3. Tag a friend who's still asleep on this #Silver #SHFE Eronima Entertainment purposes only • DYOR
3:27

CHINA JUST EXPOSED THE SILVER SCAM – VAULTS ARE BEING RAIDED WHILE THE WEST SLEEPS 🚨 They don’t want you to see this: China is vacuuming physical silver at insane premiums while COMEX pretends prices are "normal." 🕵️‍♂️ THE PLAYERS - Subject: MASSIVE SHFE SILVER WITHDRAWAL + PREMIUM EXPLOSION - The Victims: Western paper silver holders getting crushed by reality - The Villains: COMEX manipulators + banks suppressing the true price THE CRIME 🔥 China's physical hunger is UNSTOPPABLE. SHFE silver just closed at $102.64/oz – while Western spot lags in the high $80s/low $90s. That's a DOUBLE-DIGIT PREMIUM screaming DEMAND. THE EVIDENCE 📊 Another 9,400+ kg (9.5 METRIC TONS) ripped from SHFE vaults IN ONE DAY. Total inventory now at just 346,369 kg (~11.1 million oz). These aren't paper games – this is REAL metal leaving the system FAST. China, the world's #1 silver consumer, is draining vaults relentlessly. THE COVERUP 🛡️ Western markets ignore it. They keep prices suppressed to protect their paper empire. But Shanghai doesn't lie – the premium is exploding because physical supply is TIGHTENING HARD. When China hoards, the fuse gets lit. 📅 TODAY'S BOMB: February 26, 2026 – 9.5 tons gone, price at $102.64 in Shanghai. The divergence is widening. 1. RETWEET if you're sick of paper silver lies 2. Reply "CHINA KNOWS" if you're watching the real drain 3. Tag a friend who's still asleep on this #Silver #SHFE Eronima Entertainment purposes only • DYOR

Eronima

18,616 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Silver in Shanghai trades at a 19% premium over Western prices right now (at time of recording the video). Many retail investors point to this as proof that US silver prices are fake and suppressed. The "real" price is what Shanghai pays. Here's an analogy to explain why this isn't true: Think of a water bottle at a gas station. It's $2. Inside a concert venue it's $8. It's the same water. The venue price isn't more "real" - it reflects limited supply in an enclosed space with a lot of demand. China has strict capital controls. Metals can't move freely across the border. Import licenses are restricted. And domestic demand from solar, EVs, and semiconductors is enormous. The premium reflects local scarcity, not a hidden true price. Normally it sits around 3 to 4%. At 19%, it tells us demand in China is extremely strong and the global market is tight. That's valuable information. But it's different from saying Western prices must catch up. This is one of the most sophisticated myths in the silver market - and one of seven retail investors need to stop believing. The article below shares the full picture, including what the stress indicators actually mean and how institutions are really positioned.
3:06

Silver in Shanghai trades at a 19% premium over Western prices right now (at time of recording the video). Many retail investors point to this as proof that US silver prices are fake and suppressed. The "real" price is what Shanghai pays. Here's an analogy to explain why this isn't true: Think of a water bottle at a gas station. It's $2. Inside a concert venue it's $8. It's the same water. The venue price isn't more "real" - it reflects limited supply in an enclosed space with a lot of demand. China has strict capital controls. Metals can't move freely across the border. Import licenses are restricted. And domestic demand from solar, EVs, and semiconductors is enormous. The premium reflects local scarcity, not a hidden true price. Normally it sits around 3 to 4%. At 19%, it tells us demand in China is extremely strong and the global market is tight. That's valuable information. But it's different from saying Western prices must catch up. This is one of the most sophisticated myths in the silver market - and one of seven retail investors need to stop believing. The article below shares the full picture, including what the stress indicators actually mean and how institutions are really positioned.

Felix Prehn 🐶

35,401 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

SILVER WAR IGNITES: CHINA'S EXPORT BANS SPARK GLOBAL CRISIS Andreas Ullmann, with over 30 years in finance analyzing hedge fund strategies and serving as Vice President Sales at Solidgruppe—a leading German precious metals trading firm—delivers hard-hitting insights on the escalating silver conflict: The world is witnessing the dawn of a fierce global silver war, mirroring China's past dominance in rare earths. THE CORE THESIS: SILVER AS A STRATEGIC WEAPON ✅ China has slapped export restrictions on silver since January 2026, limiting it to just 44 companies and slashing global supply by up to 5,000 tons annually. ➡️ This echoes their rare earth playbook, using shortages to exert political pressure while protecting domestic industries like solar and EVs. ➡️ Meanwhile, USA declares silver a critical metal, allocating $2.5 billion for stockpiling and securing Latin American mines to counter China's moves. THE CRITICAL SHORTAGE UNFOLDS ➡️ Shanghai stocks crashed from 7,500 tons in 2020 to just 800 tons now—a 90% drop—with COMEX deliveries surging to 480 million ounces in 2025 alone. ➡️ Industrial demand outstrips mining output by years of deficits, fueled by solar, 5G, AI, and military tech, where silver is irreplaceable. 🤯 "We are already in the middle of a silver war," warns expert Ullmann, as both superpowers race to lock in supplies via contracts and investments. PRICE PROJECTIONS THAT STUN 📈 Short-term: Expect silver to hit $150–$180 by end-2026 if inventories keep draining and investment demand stays hot. 💥 Long-term: With gold racing to $10,000 by 2030, silver could explode to $1,000 based on a 1:10 ratio, driven by mining realities and vanishing above-ground stocks. 🔍 Technical charts show a 45-year cup-and-handle breakout, targeting $300–$350 in coming years amid high volatility. INVESTOR STRATEGIES AMID THE CHAOS 🚀 Focus on physical silver and gold for core holdings—store securely outside banks to avoid systemic risks. ➡️ Mix in mining stocks for outsized gains, as they're undervalued with exploding profits at higher prices, but diversify to manage risks. ➡️ Consider platinum too—trading at historic lows vs. silver, it offers massive upside in fuel cells and catalysts. THE BOTTOM LINE In this escalating silver war, prices will solve the deficit through sky-high surges, rewarding those who act now. Seize the opportunity before the squeeze turns into a full-blown crisis—your future wealth depends on it. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #SilverWar #SilverSqueeze #CommodityBoom #GoldSilverRatio #ResourceGeopolitics #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals
1:35

SILVER WAR IGNITES: CHINA'S EXPORT BANS SPARK GLOBAL CRISIS Andreas Ullmann, with over 30 years in finance analyzing hedge fund strategies and serving as Vice President Sales at Solidgruppe—a leading German precious metals trading firm—delivers hard-hitting insights on the escalating silver conflict: The world is witnessing the dawn of a fierce global silver war, mirroring China's past dominance in rare earths. THE CORE THESIS: SILVER AS A STRATEGIC WEAPON ✅ China has slapped export restrictions on silver since January 2026, limiting it to just 44 companies and slashing global supply by up to 5,000 tons annually. ➡️ This echoes their rare earth playbook, using shortages to exert political pressure while protecting domestic industries like solar and EVs. ➡️ Meanwhile, USA declares silver a critical metal, allocating $2.5 billion for stockpiling and securing Latin American mines to counter China's moves. THE CRITICAL SHORTAGE UNFOLDS ➡️ Shanghai stocks crashed from 7,500 tons in 2020 to just 800 tons now—a 90% drop—with COMEX deliveries surging to 480 million ounces in 2025 alone. ➡️ Industrial demand outstrips mining output by years of deficits, fueled by solar, 5G, AI, and military tech, where silver is irreplaceable. 🤯 "We are already in the middle of a silver war," warns expert Ullmann, as both superpowers race to lock in supplies via contracts and investments. PRICE PROJECTIONS THAT STUN 📈 Short-term: Expect silver to hit $150–$180 by end-2026 if inventories keep draining and investment demand stays hot. 💥 Long-term: With gold racing to $10,000 by 2030, silver could explode to $1,000 based on a 1:10 ratio, driven by mining realities and vanishing above-ground stocks. 🔍 Technical charts show a 45-year cup-and-handle breakout, targeting $300–$350 in coming years amid high volatility. INVESTOR STRATEGIES AMID THE CHAOS 🚀 Focus on physical silver and gold for core holdings—store securely outside banks to avoid systemic risks. ➡️ Mix in mining stocks for outsized gains, as they're undervalued with exploding profits at higher prices, but diversify to manage risks. ➡️ Consider platinum too—trading at historic lows vs. silver, it offers massive upside in fuel cells and catalysts. THE BOTTOM LINE In this escalating silver war, prices will solve the deficit through sky-high surges, rewarding those who act now. Seize the opportunity before the squeeze turns into a full-blown crisis—your future wealth depends on it. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #SilverWar #SilverSqueeze #CommodityBoom #GoldSilverRatio #ResourceGeopolitics #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals

Mark

64,769 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🎙️ EXCLUSIVE INSIGHTS FROM A 30-YEAR BULLION BANK TRADER Bob Gottlieb, former precious metals trader at JP Morgan, HSBC and Citibank, explains his view of what is currently happening in the gold and silver market. TODAY'S RALLY IS NOTHING LIKE 1980 OR 2011 ✅ This isn't a Reddit-driven squeeze or a social media pump. ✅ This is a fundamental, policy-driven surge led by CENTRAL BANKS. ✅ "Central banks have decided they're going to buy and they're not going to stop buying because it's $4,600." CENTRAL BANKS DON'T CARE ABOUT PRICE – THEY CARE ABOUT POLICY ✅ Their buying is strategic, not speculative. ✅ Gold is now the #2 reserve asset for many central banks, ahead of the Euro. ✅ 75% of central banks surveyed plan to keep buying over the next 5 years. SILVER'S PERFECT STORM: DEFICITS & INDUSTRIAL DEMAND ✅ 5+ years of structural supply deficits. ✅ Soaring demand from solar, AI, EVs, and chips. ✅ New mines take 10-20 years to come online. ✅ "This is an equation for the silver price to go up." "THE BIGGEST MYTH: BANKS ARE SHORT THE WORLD'S SILVER" ❌ "This is false misinformation" because ✅ Banks are typically LONG physical and SHORT futures as part of a complex arbitrage. ✅ This structure allows them to profit from spreads, not bet against the metal. THE BOTTOM LINE This rally is built on rock-solid fundamentals: relentless central bank buying, structural silver deficits, and geopolitical fear. Gottlieb's statement that banks are never net short may remain open to question, as may his reluctance to explain price manipulation through the derivatives structure of precious metals trading. HT: Paul Buitink 🎙 YouTube: Reinvent Money #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #CentralBanks #Investing #Markets #Finance #ETF #Bullion #Trading
2:25

🎙️ EXCLUSIVE INSIGHTS FROM A 30-YEAR BULLION BANK TRADER Bob Gottlieb, former precious metals trader at JP Morgan, HSBC and Citibank, explains his view of what is currently happening in the gold and silver market. TODAY'S RALLY IS NOTHING LIKE 1980 OR 2011 ✅ This isn't a Reddit-driven squeeze or a social media pump. ✅ This is a fundamental, policy-driven surge led by CENTRAL BANKS. ✅ "Central banks have decided they're going to buy and they're not going to stop buying because it's $4,600." CENTRAL BANKS DON'T CARE ABOUT PRICE – THEY CARE ABOUT POLICY ✅ Their buying is strategic, not speculative. ✅ Gold is now the #2 reserve asset for many central banks, ahead of the Euro. ✅ 75% of central banks surveyed plan to keep buying over the next 5 years. SILVER'S PERFECT STORM: DEFICITS & INDUSTRIAL DEMAND ✅ 5+ years of structural supply deficits. ✅ Soaring demand from solar, AI, EVs, and chips. ✅ New mines take 10-20 years to come online. ✅ "This is an equation for the silver price to go up." "THE BIGGEST MYTH: BANKS ARE SHORT THE WORLD'S SILVER" ❌ "This is false misinformation" because ✅ Banks are typically LONG physical and SHORT futures as part of a complex arbitrage. ✅ This structure allows them to profit from spreads, not bet against the metal. THE BOTTOM LINE This rally is built on rock-solid fundamentals: relentless central bank buying, structural silver deficits, and geopolitical fear. Gottlieb's statement that banks are never net short may remain open to question, as may his reluctance to explain price manipulation through the derivatives structure of precious metals trading. HT: Paul Buitink 🎙 YouTube: Reinvent Money #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #CentralBanks #Investing #Markets #Finance #ETF #Bullion #Trading

Mark

94,576 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.
0:43

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

George Noble

447,925 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. SEBI’s February 26, 2026 circular (HO/(68)2026-IMD-POD-2/I/5780/2026) may appear as a routine technical update ,but I see it as a strategic signal of how India is positioning itself in a changing global commodities landscape. Effective April 1, 2026, every mutual fund and ETF holding physical gold or silver must stop using the London LBMA AM fixing price + manual adjustments for duty, currency conversion, transport, taxes, and notional premiums/discounts. Instead, they must value physical holdings using the polled domestic spot prices published by recognized Indian stock exchanges primarily the MCX polled spot price (the exact same benchmark used for final settlement of physically delivered gold and silver derivatives contracts). Official reason: “to reflect domestic market conditions and ensure uniformity in valuation practices.” My deeper macro interpretation: India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. We have already witnessed live previews of this decoupling. In October 2025 and again in January–February 2026, India’s MCX polled prices ran at massive premiums over LBMA far beyond the normal 15% import duty effect. The core driver was acute physical non-availability: depleting stocks at refiners, jewelers, and dealers amid explosive demand. London arbitrage simply could not deliver metal fast enough. The price of “metal you can actually take delivery of today in India” completely decoupled from international benchmarks. The Silver Market Has Become Exceptionally Tight — Here’s Exactly How Severe It Has Gotten (2025–2026) The silver market is now heading into its sixth consecutive year of structural supply deficit in 2026. According to the Silver Institute’s preliminary outlook (released February 2026, based on Metals Focus data): - Projected 2026 deficit: 67 million ounces. - 2025 deficit: even larger at ~95 million ounces (some estimates from J.P. Morgan and others put it between 117–230 million ounces depending on inventory draw calculations). - Cumulative 5-year deficit (2021–2025): over 800 million ounces roughly an entire year of global mine production. This is not a temporary imbalance. It is deeply structural, and the tightness is intensifying. Key drivers making the silver market so tight: 1. Exploding structural industrial demand (now ~55–60% of total silver use) Silver is irreplaceable due to its unmatched conductivity, thermal properties, and corrosion resistance. Demand is surging from: - Solar PV: Despite some thrifting (using less silver per panel), global installations keep rising aggressively. - Electric Vehicles (EVs) & charging infrastructure: An EV uses 67–79% more silver than a traditional ICE vehicle (25–50 grams per EV on average). EVs are forecast to overtake ICE vehicles as the main source of automotive silver demand by 2027. - AI, data centers & electronics: Massive growth in connectors, circuits, thermal management, and power systems. AI infrastructure alone is adding huge incremental demand. 2. Extremely slow supply response Total global supply in 2026 is forecast to rise only +1.5% to a decade-high of 1.05 billion ounces. Mine production grows just +1% to 820 million ounces. Why? Silver is overwhelmingly a **by-product** of copper, lead, and zinc mining — new supply does not ramp quickly even at higher prices. 3. China’s strategic export controls (the geopolitical kicker) China controls 60–70% of global refined silver supply. From January 1, 2026, it imposed a formal export licensing regime. Only 44 companies are approved to export silver for the 2026–2027 period (a massive reduction from previous market participants). Silver has effectively been reclassified as a strategic material (alongside tungsten and antimony) to protect domestic needs for green energy, EVs, electronics, and defense. Exports are expected to drop sharply, creating 2,000+ tonnes of annual shortage for Western buyers and adding permanent friction to global physical flows. Result: Above-ground inventories worldwide are under sustained pressure. COMEX, LBMA, and Shanghai stocks have repeatedly hit multi-year lows. Lease rates have climbed. Physical premiums have become volatile and extreme. India one of the world’s largest silver consumers, felt this pain acutely. Silver imports exploded in 2025 (up dramatically year-on-year, with some months showing 300–500% spikes), yet local stocks still depleted rapidly during festivals and hoarding periods, pushing MCX premiums to multi-year highs. Why This SEBI Move Is Strategic Preparation By mandating the MCX polled domestic price from April 1, 2026, SEBI is ensuring that Gold & Silver ETF NAVs (Nippon India Gold BeES, HDFC Gold ETF, SBI Gold ETF, ICICI Pru Silver ETF, etc.) automatically capture: - Real-time physical stock tightness in India - Immediate availability (or scarcity) of metal - Any future import/export frictions or strategic restrictions - True local replacement cost — even when global paper benchmarks diverge In a world where physical flows are becoming politicized and constrained, relying on LBMA/COMEX (driven heavily by paper trading and Western liquidity) risks significant mispricing for Indian investors. This is no longer just “better uniformity.” This is India quietly future-proofing its financial products for a more fragmented, physical-first precious metals regime — one where **domestic availability and policy risks** will increasingly dictate the price that actually matters. For investors: cleaner, more accurate NAVs + stronger protection against exactly the physical and geopolitical risks we are already seeing in silver. The official language is neutral. But the shift from London to MCX polled pricing is one of the most under-appreciated macro moves happening in commodities right now. LBMA and COMEX will still influence the global trend, but in the coming order, they may matter less and less for actual pricing in India.
2:45

India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. SEBI’s February 26, 2026 circular (HO/(68)2026-IMD-POD-2/I/5780/2026) may appear as a routine technical update ,but I see it as a strategic signal of how India is positioning itself in a changing global commodities landscape. Effective April 1, 2026, every mutual fund and ETF holding physical gold or silver must stop using the London LBMA AM fixing price + manual adjustments for duty, currency conversion, transport, taxes, and notional premiums/discounts. Instead, they must value physical holdings using the polled domestic spot prices published by recognized Indian stock exchanges primarily the MCX polled spot price (the exact same benchmark used for final settlement of physically delivered gold and silver derivatives contracts). Official reason: “to reflect domestic market conditions and ensure uniformity in valuation practices.” My deeper macro interpretation: India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. We have already witnessed live previews of this decoupling. In October 2025 and again in January–February 2026, India’s MCX polled prices ran at massive premiums over LBMA far beyond the normal 15% import duty effect. The core driver was acute physical non-availability: depleting stocks at refiners, jewelers, and dealers amid explosive demand. London arbitrage simply could not deliver metal fast enough. The price of “metal you can actually take delivery of today in India” completely decoupled from international benchmarks. The Silver Market Has Become Exceptionally Tight — Here’s Exactly How Severe It Has Gotten (2025–2026) The silver market is now heading into its sixth consecutive year of structural supply deficit in 2026. According to the Silver Institute’s preliminary outlook (released February 2026, based on Metals Focus data): - Projected 2026 deficit: 67 million ounces. - 2025 deficit: even larger at ~95 million ounces (some estimates from J.P. Morgan and others put it between 117–230 million ounces depending on inventory draw calculations). - Cumulative 5-year deficit (2021–2025): over 800 million ounces roughly an entire year of global mine production. This is not a temporary imbalance. It is deeply structural, and the tightness is intensifying. Key drivers making the silver market so tight: 1. Exploding structural industrial demand (now ~55–60% of total silver use) Silver is irreplaceable due to its unmatched conductivity, thermal properties, and corrosion resistance. Demand is surging from: - Solar PV: Despite some thrifting (using less silver per panel), global installations keep rising aggressively. - Electric Vehicles (EVs) & charging infrastructure: An EV uses 67–79% more silver than a traditional ICE vehicle (25–50 grams per EV on average). EVs are forecast to overtake ICE vehicles as the main source of automotive silver demand by 2027. - AI, data centers & electronics: Massive growth in connectors, circuits, thermal management, and power systems. AI infrastructure alone is adding huge incremental demand. 2. Extremely slow supply response Total global supply in 2026 is forecast to rise only +1.5% to a decade-high of 1.05 billion ounces. Mine production grows just +1% to 820 million ounces. Why? Silver is overwhelmingly a **by-product** of copper, lead, and zinc mining — new supply does not ramp quickly even at higher prices. 3. China’s strategic export controls (the geopolitical kicker) China controls 60–70% of global refined silver supply. From January 1, 2026, it imposed a formal export licensing regime. Only 44 companies are approved to export silver for the 2026–2027 period (a massive reduction from previous market participants). Silver has effectively been reclassified as a strategic material (alongside tungsten and antimony) to protect domestic needs for green energy, EVs, electronics, and defense. Exports are expected to drop sharply, creating 2,000+ tonnes of annual shortage for Western buyers and adding permanent friction to global physical flows. Result: Above-ground inventories worldwide are under sustained pressure. COMEX, LBMA, and Shanghai stocks have repeatedly hit multi-year lows. Lease rates have climbed. Physical premiums have become volatile and extreme. India one of the world’s largest silver consumers, felt this pain acutely. Silver imports exploded in 2025 (up dramatically year-on-year, with some months showing 300–500% spikes), yet local stocks still depleted rapidly during festivals and hoarding periods, pushing MCX premiums to multi-year highs. Why This SEBI Move Is Strategic Preparation By mandating the MCX polled domestic price from April 1, 2026, SEBI is ensuring that Gold & Silver ETF NAVs (Nippon India Gold BeES, HDFC Gold ETF, SBI Gold ETF, ICICI Pru Silver ETF, etc.) automatically capture: - Real-time physical stock tightness in India - Immediate availability (or scarcity) of metal - Any future import/export frictions or strategic restrictions - True local replacement cost — even when global paper benchmarks diverge In a world where physical flows are becoming politicized and constrained, relying on LBMA/COMEX (driven heavily by paper trading and Western liquidity) risks significant mispricing for Indian investors. This is no longer just “better uniformity.” This is India quietly future-proofing its financial products for a more fragmented, physical-first precious metals regime — one where **domestic availability and policy risks** will increasingly dictate the price that actually matters. For investors: cleaner, more accurate NAVs + stronger protection against exactly the physical and geopolitical risks we are already seeing in silver. The official language is neutral. But the shift from London to MCX polled pricing is one of the most under-appreciated macro moves happening in commodities right now. LBMA and COMEX will still influence the global trend, but in the coming order, they may matter less and less for actual pricing in India.

Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

17,297 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 FORGET THE SPOT PRICE. To understand the real silver squeeze, you must watch lease rates. Vince Lance VBL’s Ghost Breaks Down The Critical Silver Lease Rate Issue: ✅ Backwardation shows the market is tight. Spot prices are above futures—demand for physical is urgent. ⚠️ But that’s just the calm before the storm. ⚡ The real trigger is the lease rate spike. ➡️ Lease rates are the cost for shorts to borrow physical silver to meet obligations. ✅ When they surge (like the 30–39% annualized spike in Oct 2025), it means lenders are demanding extreme premiums because metal is scarce. ➡️ Shorts then pay a painful “tax” just to stay in their positions—a slow bleed that can turn into a hemorrhage. This creates a hidden squeeze: ➡️High lease rates mean shorts are scrambling for metal that isn’t there. ➡️They borrow at ever-higher costs, kicking the can until someone cries uncle. ➡️That cover-buying is what triggers geometric price spikes ($60, $70, and beyond). The Bottom Line: Watch lease rates—they’re the pain meter for shorts and the leading indicator for the next explosive rally. The question is, how high do they have to shoot upwards to trigger chaos? #Silver #Commodities #Investing #Markets #Trading #LeaseRates #Backwardation #Squeeze #PreciousMetals #Finance HT: VBL’s Ghost Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA ⛏⛏
1:09

🚨 FORGET THE SPOT PRICE. To understand the real silver squeeze, you must watch lease rates. Vince Lance VBL’s Ghost Breaks Down The Critical Silver Lease Rate Issue: ✅ Backwardation shows the market is tight. Spot prices are above futures—demand for physical is urgent. ⚠️ But that’s just the calm before the storm. ⚡ The real trigger is the lease rate spike. ➡️ Lease rates are the cost for shorts to borrow physical silver to meet obligations. ✅ When they surge (like the 30–39% annualized spike in Oct 2025), it means lenders are demanding extreme premiums because metal is scarce. ➡️ Shorts then pay a painful “tax” just to stay in their positions—a slow bleed that can turn into a hemorrhage. This creates a hidden squeeze: ➡️High lease rates mean shorts are scrambling for metal that isn’t there. ➡️They borrow at ever-higher costs, kicking the can until someone cries uncle. ➡️That cover-buying is what triggers geometric price spikes ($60, $70, and beyond). The Bottom Line: Watch lease rates—they’re the pain meter for shorts and the leading indicator for the next explosive rally. The question is, how high do they have to shoot upwards to trigger chaos? #Silver #Commodities #Investing #Markets #Trading #LeaseRates #Backwardation #Squeeze #PreciousMetals #Finance HT: VBL’s Ghost Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA ⛏⛏

Mark

74,840 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Silver is still strong. But will it stay at these levels long term? Will silver go higher? If owning silver bars is not your thing, the other way to play this is by owning silver mining stock. But the issue is that 75% of silver comes as a biproduct of copper, lead or zinc mining. Only 1% to 2% of their revenue comes from silver. So those types of mining companies don't care about the price of silver. There are very few mining companies that are primary silver producers, which is more than 50% of revenue from silver. The next thing to consider is, which companies can still expand their production? Which ones have really high grade ore? I only own two silver mining stocks. One of them is Aya Gold & Silver. US ticker is AYASF and the Canada ticker is AYA . to. I have owned it for several years. They are producing silver at their mine Zgounder in Morocco. They have a second project, called Boumadine, that will open in the future. They were already making great profits at Zgounder when silver was only $30 per oz. Their profits at $75 per oz are insane. The markets are not valuing the silver mining stocks at $75 per oz yet. Aya can mine silver at $19 per ounce and be breakeven. Their margin at $75 silver is currently $56 per ounce. That means Aya has an estimated annual operating cash flow of $336 million (at $75 silver). That is only for their Zgounder mine which is already operating. Their Boumadine mine is going to be 5x larger. If you believe in silver long term and don't want to own the physical metal, my top silver mine stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver. Canada company with it's HQ in Montreal. US Ticker: AYASF Canada Ticker: AYA. TO
0:37

Silver is still strong. But will it stay at these levels long term? Will silver go higher? If owning silver bars is not your thing, the other way to play this is by owning silver mining stock. But the issue is that 75% of silver comes as a biproduct of copper, lead or zinc mining. Only 1% to 2% of their revenue comes from silver. So those types of mining companies don't care about the price of silver. There are very few mining companies that are primary silver producers, which is more than 50% of revenue from silver. The next thing to consider is, which companies can still expand their production? Which ones have really high grade ore? I only own two silver mining stocks. One of them is Aya Gold & Silver. US ticker is AYASF and the Canada ticker is AYA . to. I have owned it for several years. They are producing silver at their mine Zgounder in Morocco. They have a second project, called Boumadine, that will open in the future. They were already making great profits at Zgounder when silver was only $30 per oz. Their profits at $75 per oz are insane. The markets are not valuing the silver mining stocks at $75 per oz yet. Aya can mine silver at $19 per ounce and be breakeven. Their margin at $75 silver is currently $56 per ounce. That means Aya has an estimated annual operating cash flow of $336 million (at $75 silver). That is only for their Zgounder mine which is already operating. Their Boumadine mine is going to be 5x larger. If you believe in silver long term and don't want to own the physical metal, my top silver mine stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver. Canada company with it's HQ in Montreal. US Ticker: AYASF Canada Ticker: AYA. TO

Wall Street Mav

92,758 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten