Why Iranian Protests Fail and Will Continue to Fail

I have ADD. I can read not listen. Is there a write-up somewhere?

I'm honored you care to see my point of view:

The monarchists who didn't bother to listen are having the exact reaction I predicted at the end of the video.

around the 20 min mark you talked about the fear of a cycle of retribution being a an impediment and all I could think about was the Talibans blanket amnesty. maybe the enlightened Free Iranists could learn something from their backwards islamist neighbors.

Your videos are really good. So much useful context that cuts through the noise!

Thank you

Once we are done with the ayatollahs, we will come for their enablers

First of all FUCK YOUR ALLAH and BESM ALLAH!! Secondly - interesting how you know that! there is no phone or internet connection - do you have friends in Iran's secret service that delivered you the news?

Khafeh sho

Brilliant. Thank you.

چه دست و پایی میزنن این جیره خورهای ضحاکعلی😂

1978-79 was also a Revolution by negative vision: everyone wanted the Shah and Pahlavi gone, not what they wanted afterward. The vilayat-i-faqih was not widely known about as the vision until after February 1979.

I think they knew what they wanted. Islamists wanted sharia, communists wanted socialism, and somehow they thought it was reconcilable. They didn't realize how much more calculated the clerics would be.

No, they didn't, aziz. My late father and I walked the streets of Tehran leading up to the Shah's overthrow throughout most of that event. Even with the slogans of *Istiqlal, Azadi, Jomhuri Eslami*, very few people on the ground had any idea about the Vilayat-i-Faqih. Remember, senior clerics like Mahmud Taliqani eventually broke with Khomeini over this very point shortly before their deaths--and let us not forget Ayatollah Shariatmadari who Khomeini later defrocked after having initially supporting him.

You seem to be one of the only logical and sensible Iranians outside of Iran right now, great work love to hear more from you 🇮🇷👍

The uprising is not done yet…we had one every 2 years…The regime is bankrupt this time for the first time…To be continued

Governments can turn on a meat grinder and kill unlimited civilians and keep them impoverished. Look at North Korea. The people eat grass and leaves.

@AliN53337252 Any chance the government realizes it has lost whatever legitimacy whatever was left and voluntarily institutes a new regime, rather than waiting for an inevitable imposed change, which could prove disastrous for the nation?

@sharghzadeh @AliN53337252 Change isn't inevitable Video is all about how defections require a real opposition that seriously offer mass amnesty to old regime members make defections attractive. That's lacking in Iran.

@schuaeb_ @sharghzadeh @AliN53337252 Hasn’t Pahlavi offered that??

@scaredycat102 @schuaeb_ @sharghzadeh On the Persian X I see a lot of calls for vengeance which is not helping the cause.

Until Israel ceases to exist, any change in Iran will result in its enslavement and destruction. I would also say a hateful foreign force Israel and it's slave the US constantly agitating against Iran casuing it harm substantially limits political evolution.

How about you stick to cosplaying as a Kabul bath house doorman?

Brilliantly explained. Will definitely be sharing with family and friends and enemies alike who can’t pronounce Khamenei. My only real disagreement is on Iraq, I think it’s improved hugely since ‘03 (and especially since ‘17)… but that’s a footnote compared to everything else.

Good talk except u missed the elephant in the room. Namely Israel and imperialism.

It’s so obvious your mom never called you doodool tala as a child

I wish people like you would be motivated enough to help craft that missing ideology you mentioned, because accepting the doom is not the best option either.

Thank you. Nicely done. Make more.

Not an Iranian, but this was great to listen to. Thank you.

Do you think Pahlavi will lose credibility after this failure?

You are on point with your points. The US call for democracy in Iran is only an aspirational statement of values, not a practical roadmap. A stable, direct transition after a few US strikes is unrealistic. The current system is deeply entrenched institutionally, ideologically, and economically. External pressure alone cannot create democracy and often hinders it.

Honestly, my advice to the Iranian protestors is that they should carry the Iranian flag so the government recognises the supporters, encouraging their administration to change. They wouldn't shoot them since riots would’ve stayed in their places; rioters hide behind the protest.

There’s an ideology they believe in and it’s called “fascism”

I really don’t understand how this is not obvious (to Iranians at least). 🙏 But thanks for doing a this video which I can showcase to my English friends and English family.

This is very simple, the west should end Sanctions on Iran. Anyone calling for regime change is murderous psychopath Iran is not less free than Saudi and others countries in the region. Iran is more democratic than most countries in the region. Sanctions should be removed!

What concerns me this time: I see a big rift in exil-iranians and a drastic increase of "radical opinions". Like big trouble within familiey because you dont post about X or Y or Z or you dont support Pahlavi. Iranians never learned "Agree to Disagree".

my beloved shargzadeh iran is heading toward a civil war

genuine question, where did you get the info that the protests are drying up?

I just wonder how much of the suffering is because the world hegemon decided that it was going to make the people of Iran suffer so that they will force a regime change. Not that I thought it would work but that's been the US's plan since 79. I mean if the current government could trade openly with other countries, would that improve the well being of Iranians?

nice arguments but in long term, Iran should change and the people should find a way for feasible viable change you look so pessimistic and therefore fatalist for future as if there is guarantee that Iran will only get worse please come up with some positive ideas to do as well

Finally someone who has a brain in their skull! دمت گرم واس این ویدیو!‌ 🧡

I see what you’re up to… “real talk”! My point though is this: then who? How? What? At least @arash_tehran mentioned possible agents of change…

really enjoying the video setup, keep up the good work.

Your education and knowledge on this topic is completely inaccurate. Please respectfully in Persian “Kos Nagoo”!! Go read some history books instead of poetry and stop listening to the stupid shit your dumbass grandfather told you!