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Why is the creator of OpenCode pretty skeptical about AI productivity gains, and the hype around AI? A very conversation dax (and lots of truth bombs:) Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 07:03 Dax’s path into tech 09:04 Early startup experience 13:16 Getting involved with open source 16:13 OpenCode 23:17 Anthropic banning...

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Gergely Orosz

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230,202 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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It's always energizing to do a podcast with Steve Yegge (Steve Yegge, engineer+author, formerly at Amazon+Google, creator of Gas Town). Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:43 Steve’s latest projects 02:27 Important blog posts 04:48 Shifts in what engineers need to know 10:46 Steve’s current AI stance 13:23 Steve’s book Vibe Coding 18:25 Layoffs and disruption in tech 31:13 Gas Town 40:10 New ways of working 51:08 The problem of too many people 54:45 Why AI results lag in business 59:57 Gamification and product stickiness 1:04:54 The ‘Bitter Lesson’ explained 1:07:14 The future of software development 1:23:06 Where languages stand 1:24:47 Adapting to change 1:27:32 Steve’s predictions Brought to you by: • Statsig – ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise ready. Three interesting thoughts from Steve that we talked about in this conversation: 1. Reading ability is becoming a blocker for wider AI adoption. Some struggle with walls of text that current AI tools produce, and Steve predicts that in the very near future, most people will program by talking to a visual avatar, not reading terminal output because he observes that five paragraphs is already a lot to read for many devs. 2. What software engineers need to know keeps changing. In the 1990s, any decent software engineer knew Assembly, and today almost no decent developer knows it because Assembly has long been superseded by technical progress. What engineers “need” to know these days is different from the ‘90s and that process continues with AI, changing the parts of the craft that are essential for devs. We grumble about this but that won’t change anything by itself. 3. There’s a “Dracula Effect” where AI-augmented work drains engineers faster than traditional work. This is because AI automates the easy tasks, meaning that engineers are stuck doing high-intensity thinking all day. Steve says you may only get three daily productive hours at max speed, but during that time, you could produce 100x more output than before.
1:31:59

It's always energizing to do a podcast with Steve Yegge (Steve Yegge, engineer+author, formerly at Amazon+Google, creator of Gas Town). Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:43 Steve’s latest projects 02:27 Important blog posts 04:48 Shifts in what engineers need to know 10:46 Steve’s current AI stance 13:23 Steve’s book Vibe Coding 18:25 Layoffs and disruption in tech 31:13 Gas Town 40:10 New ways of working 51:08 The problem of too many people 54:45 Why AI results lag in business 59:57 Gamification and product stickiness 1:04:54 The ‘Bitter Lesson’ explained 1:07:14 The future of software development 1:23:06 Where languages stand 1:24:47 Adapting to change 1:27:32 Steve’s predictions Brought to you by: • Statsig – ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise ready. Three interesting thoughts from Steve that we talked about in this conversation: 1. Reading ability is becoming a blocker for wider AI adoption. Some struggle with walls of text that current AI tools produce, and Steve predicts that in the very near future, most people will program by talking to a visual avatar, not reading terminal output because he observes that five paragraphs is already a lot to read for many devs. 2. What software engineers need to know keeps changing. In the 1990s, any decent software engineer knew Assembly, and today almost no decent developer knows it because Assembly has long been superseded by technical progress. What engineers “need” to know these days is different from the ‘90s and that process continues with AI, changing the parts of the craft that are essential for devs. We grumble about this but that won’t change anything by itself. 3. There’s a “Dracula Effect” where AI-augmented work drains engineers faster than traditional work. This is because AI automates the easy tasks, meaning that engineers are stuck doing high-intensity thinking all day. Steve says you may only get three daily productive hours at max speed, but during that time, you could produce 100x more output than before.

Gergely Orosz

41,987 views • 4 months ago

I went to Miami to chat with dax, co-founder of OpenCode. We talked about the future of software engineering, coding agents, and why open source matters more now than ever. Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 5:30 Miami vs San Francisco tech scene 15:05 OpenCode origin story, scaling while open-source 25:03 OpenCode vs. Anthropic: owning models, open-source AI 33:36 AI hardware shortages, predicting the future 42:15 The bet of open-weight models, China vs. US 48:34 Why inference is hard, economics of intelligence 55:36 Will developers be automated? Software engineering as a craft 1:11:02 Advice to founders, building in public, marketing I had so much fun making this with Lan. Enjoy!
1:29:53

I went to Miami to chat with dax, co-founder of OpenCode. We talked about the future of software engineering, coding agents, and why open source matters more now than ever. Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 5:30 Miami vs San Francisco tech scene 15:05 OpenCode origin story, scaling while open-source 25:03 OpenCode vs. Anthropic: owning models, open-source AI 33:36 AI hardware shortages, predicting the future 42:15 The bet of open-weight models, China vs. US 48:34 Why inference is hard, economics of intelligence 55:36 Will developers be automated? Software engineering as a craft 1:11:02 Advice to founders, building in public, marketing I had so much fun making this with Lan. Enjoy!

Madison Kanna

257,890 views • 5 days ago

OpenClaw - the agentic software spreading like wildfire - was built on top of Pi, a minimalist, self-modifying agent. I sat down with Pi's creator, Mario Zechner and longtime Pi user (+ the creator of Flask) Armin Ronacher ⇌ to talk Pi, and their (very grounded!) takes on building with AI. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 07:30 How Mario, Armin, and Peter Steinberger met 15:15 How 30 dev teams use AI agents: learnings 21:50 The importance of judgment 24:26 Challenges when non-engineers write code 28:30 Downsides of over-automation 32:18 Pi 48:09 OpenClaw + Pi 50:54 “Clankers” 57:32 Open source and AI 1:00:22 Complexity as the enemy 1:02:50 Building an AI-native startup 1:11:52 “Slow the F down” 1:16:40 MCPs vs. CLI 1:25:03 Predictions and staying up to date • YouTube: • Spotify: • Apple: Brought to you by: • Statsig – ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar — The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for code verification and automated code review. Try it out for yourself. • WorkOS – WorkOS gives you APIs to ship enterprise features – SSO, directory sync, RBAC, audit logs – in days, not months. Visit learn more. --- Three parts I found especially interesting in this discussion: 1. New trend: AI makes it harder for senior engineers to reject pointless complexity. Historically, senior engineers kept software complexity at bay simply by saying “no” a lot. But Armin observes that these days, more junior engineers and product managers deploy agent-scripted counterarguments when a senior colleague kicks an idea to the curb. This makes decision-making exhausting, and more bad ideas make it into production as a result. 2. It should be MUCH easier to build specialized tools for specific tasks. Different projects need different harness types because, as Mario points out, the same hammer is not ideal for every single construction job. As such, Pi is built with the goal of allowing the creation of specialized harnesses. It can modify itself so that a user can create the bespoke harness needed for any task. Mario believes it’s a preview of how self-modifiable software might look in the future. 3. Automation bias is one of the biggest risks of working with AI agents. Once devs confirm that an AI agent can produce acceptable code, they start to review its output less often, even though agents can – and do! – produce slop. Mario advises being far more sceptical with agents, and cautions that the quality of their output isn’t guaranteed, however well they performed previously.
1:33:55

OpenClaw - the agentic software spreading like wildfire - was built on top of Pi, a minimalist, self-modifying agent. I sat down with Pi's creator, Mario Zechner and longtime Pi user (+ the creator of Flask) Armin Ronacher ⇌ to talk Pi, and their (very grounded!) takes on building with AI. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 07:30 How Mario, Armin, and Peter Steinberger met 15:15 How 30 dev teams use AI agents: learnings 21:50 The importance of judgment 24:26 Challenges when non-engineers write code 28:30 Downsides of over-automation 32:18 Pi 48:09 OpenClaw + Pi 50:54 “Clankers” 57:32 Open source and AI 1:00:22 Complexity as the enemy 1:02:50 Building an AI-native startup 1:11:52 “Slow the F down” 1:16:40 MCPs vs. CLI 1:25:03 Predictions and staying up to date • YouTube: • Spotify: • Apple: Brought to you by: • Statsig – ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar — The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for code verification and automated code review. Try it out for yourself. • WorkOS – WorkOS gives you APIs to ship enterprise features – SSO, directory sync, RBAC, audit logs – in days, not months. Visit learn more. --- Three parts I found especially interesting in this discussion: 1. New trend: AI makes it harder for senior engineers to reject pointless complexity. Historically, senior engineers kept software complexity at bay simply by saying “no” a lot. But Armin observes that these days, more junior engineers and product managers deploy agent-scripted counterarguments when a senior colleague kicks an idea to the curb. This makes decision-making exhausting, and more bad ideas make it into production as a result. 2. It should be MUCH easier to build specialized tools for specific tasks. Different projects need different harness types because, as Mario points out, the same hammer is not ideal for every single construction job. As such, Pi is built with the goal of allowing the creation of specialized harnesses. It can modify itself so that a user can create the bespoke harness needed for any task. Mario believes it’s a preview of how self-modifiable software might look in the future. 3. Automation bias is one of the biggest risks of working with AI agents. Once devs confirm that an AI agent can produce acceptable code, they start to review its output less often, even though agents can – and do! – produce slop. Mario advises being far more sceptical with agents, and cautions that the quality of their output isn’t guaranteed, however well they performed previously.

Gergely Orosz

172,263 views • 2 months ago

while AI is eating the world it turns out that a lot of people don’t actually like that idea and current messaging around AI is on track to make things worse. fan favourite Sina joins me once again and fellow aussie anton 🇺🇸 gets serious with it. 03:34 - AI vibes outside of SF 08:48 - productivity gains for the tech lay person 11:30 - influencers using AI and AI writing 14:55 - AI messaging 21:34 - what I think the narrative should be 26:09 - comparing AI lab vibes 32:28 - anton 🇺🇸 intro and SF in 2026 39:10 - messaging around “generative AI” 45:55 - AI regulation 48:37 - the cause of AI regulations and datacenters 54:52 - what is the solution to the messaging problem? 59:30 - trade school and electricians for datacenters 1:04:50 - the curve AI conference and how people are taking this seriously 1:09:14 - Greg Brockman reaction 1:12:34 - reaction to one of my own posts (go figure) 1:14:31 - sophie reaction
1:17:22

while AI is eating the world it turns out that a lot of people don’t actually like that idea and current messaging around AI is on track to make things worse. fan favourite Sina joins me once again and fellow aussie anton 🇺🇸 gets serious with it. 03:34 - AI vibes outside of SF 08:48 - productivity gains for the tech lay person 11:30 - influencers using AI and AI writing 14:55 - AI messaging 21:34 - what I think the narrative should be 26:09 - comparing AI lab vibes 32:28 - anton 🇺🇸 intro and SF in 2026 39:10 - messaging around “generative AI” 45:55 - AI regulation 48:37 - the cause of AI regulations and datacenters 54:52 - what is the solution to the messaging problem? 59:30 - trade school and electricians for datacenters 1:04:50 - the curve AI conference and how people are taking this seriously 1:09:14 - Greg Brockman reaction 1:12:34 - reaction to one of my own posts (go figure) 1:14:31 - sophie reaction

atlas

49,532 views • 5 months ago

i took a trip to the PlanetScale office last week to chat with Sam Lambert about a couple of under-discussed topics: - AI (heard it's a big deal) - Anxiety - Are software engineers screwed? i have a feeling this MOTS extra will calm a lot of people down 01:07 - Databases and reliability in the AI era 05:20 - Crashing out online 07:00 - AI’s contribution to software slop 09:25 - Custom software 11:03 - Software engineer midwit curve 14:52 - Is AI making engineers dumber? 17:30 - AI is just another abstraction 18:28 - Sam’s advice to engineers feeling anxious 21:40 - Hiring bloat and ZIRP hangover 23:58 - You want more of the right engineers using AI
25:40

i took a trip to the PlanetScale office last week to chat with Sam Lambert about a couple of under-discussed topics: - AI (heard it's a big deal) - Anxiety - Are software engineers screwed? i have a feeling this MOTS extra will calm a lot of people down 01:07 - Databases and reliability in the AI era 05:20 - Crashing out online 07:00 - AI’s contribution to software slop 09:25 - Custom software 11:03 - Software engineer midwit curve 14:52 - Is AI making engineers dumber? 17:30 - AI is just another abstraction 18:28 - Sam’s advice to engineers feeling anxious 21:40 - Hiring bloat and ZIRP hangover 23:58 - You want more of the right engineers using AI

atlas

27,964 views • 4 months ago

One of the most foundational things is the Economic Singularity and the fact that you have ~5 years to unfuck your future... The world will change dramatically by 2030, and we don't have much time left to build wealth! Can't stress enough how important this is... the apex of everything I'm doing.... Enjoy! Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:48 2030 Will Change Everything 01:41 Retirement Crisis Looms 03:02 AI & Robots Take Over 03:54 The GDP Formula 04:45 Demographics Collapse 06:27 Robots Replace Labor 07:34 AI Disrupts Knowledge 08:19 From Scarcity to Abundance 09:06 Cheap Energy Boom 10:21 Renewables & Grids 11:43 Nuclear = Free Power 12:45 Infinite Humans + Output 13:50 AI Agents + Crypto 14:58 AI Builds Products Fast 15:41 1-Person Billionaires 16:41 AGI vs. Markets 17:54 Universal Basic Equity 19:10 Adapt or Die 20:47 Human-AI Merge 22:58 Tech & Blockchain Win 25:42 Communities Win 26:31 Deflation Shock 27:48 AI Solves Itself 28:38 RV’s AI & Blockchain Plan 30:14 Human-Safe Industries 31:23 AI Companions Rise 35:00 Closing Thoughts
39:29

One of the most foundational things is the Economic Singularity and the fact that you have ~5 years to unfuck your future... The world will change dramatically by 2030, and we don't have much time left to build wealth! Can't stress enough how important this is... the apex of everything I'm doing.... Enjoy! Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:48 2030 Will Change Everything 01:41 Retirement Crisis Looms 03:02 AI & Robots Take Over 03:54 The GDP Formula 04:45 Demographics Collapse 06:27 Robots Replace Labor 07:34 AI Disrupts Knowledge 08:19 From Scarcity to Abundance 09:06 Cheap Energy Boom 10:21 Renewables & Grids 11:43 Nuclear = Free Power 12:45 Infinite Humans + Output 13:50 AI Agents + Crypto 14:58 AI Builds Products Fast 15:41 1-Person Billionaires 16:41 AGI vs. Markets 17:54 Universal Basic Equity 19:10 Adapt or Die 20:47 Human-AI Merge 22:58 Tech & Blockchain Win 25:42 Communities Win 26:31 Deflation Shock 27:48 AI Solves Itself 28:38 RV’s AI & Blockchain Plan 30:14 Human-Safe Industries 31:23 AI Companions Rise 35:00 Closing Thoughts

Raoul Pal

336,732 views • 11 months ago

State of Enterprise AI 2026: Aaron Levie on Tokenmaxxing, The Rise of Headless, and AI-Proofing Your Job 00:00 Intro 01:18 Silicon Valley engineering vs. everyone else 05:35 Are enterprise CIOs actually bullish on AI? 08:51 Tokenmaxxing & why your AI bill is about to explode 11:34 The myth of falling token costs and AI spend escaping IT budgets 17:37 The $5B startup hiding in AI compute 18:14 The mosaic of models inside every enterprise 21:28 Why coding works and the rest of knowledge work doesn't 25:53 The Bob and Sally problem: access control breaks agents 30:31 Will enterprise AI really take 10 years to roll out 32:24 The capability overhang: why faster models slow diffusion 34:23 Data is the bottleneck (it always was) 39:02 The rise of internal forward-deployed engineers 41:23 Why the AI doomers are wrong about jobs 43:43 Headless software is inevitable 46:14 What replaces per-seat pricing 47:37 How Box itself is going headless 49:42 How the org chart actually evolves 1:00:33 Future-proofing yourself as an enterprise employee 1:06:40 Are we all just going to work for OpenAI and Anthropic? 1:07:11 Where startups can still win as the labs move up
1:12:54

State of Enterprise AI 2026: Aaron Levie on Tokenmaxxing, The Rise of Headless, and AI-Proofing Your Job 00:00 Intro 01:18 Silicon Valley engineering vs. everyone else 05:35 Are enterprise CIOs actually bullish on AI? 08:51 Tokenmaxxing & why your AI bill is about to explode 11:34 The myth of falling token costs and AI spend escaping IT budgets 17:37 The $5B startup hiding in AI compute 18:14 The mosaic of models inside every enterprise 21:28 Why coding works and the rest of knowledge work doesn't 25:53 The Bob and Sally problem: access control breaks agents 30:31 Will enterprise AI really take 10 years to roll out 32:24 The capability overhang: why faster models slow diffusion 34:23 Data is the bottleneck (it always was) 39:02 The rise of internal forward-deployed engineers 41:23 Why the AI doomers are wrong about jobs 43:43 Headless software is inevitable 46:14 What replaces per-seat pricing 47:37 How Box itself is going headless 49:42 How the org chart actually evolves 1:00:33 Future-proofing yourself as an enterprise employee 1:06:40 Are we all just going to work for OpenAI and Anthropic? 1:07:11 Where startups can still win as the labs move up

Matt Turck

49,373 views • 1 month ago

What if we're actually in the middle of the third golden age of software engineering? This is what Grady Booch sees happening. If you are anxious about the state of the industry, you want to watch/listen to Grady's longer-term perspective and stories. Watch the full episode here: 00:00 Intro 01:58 The first golden age of software engineering 18:59 The software crisis 33:01 The second golden age of software engineering 42:21 Y2K and the Dotcom crash 45:47 Early AI 47:34 The third golden age of software engineering 51:48 Why software engineers will very much be needed 58:46 Grady responds to Dario Amodei 1:06:54 New skills engineers will need to succeed 1:10:04 Resources for studying complex systems 1:14:33 How to thrive during periods of change Brought to you by: • Statsig — ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. Join me online at the Sonar Summit on March 3rd, where I talk about practical tactics for the AI era. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise-ready.
1:17:58

What if we're actually in the middle of the third golden age of software engineering? This is what Grady Booch sees happening. If you are anxious about the state of the industry, you want to watch/listen to Grady's longer-term perspective and stories. Watch the full episode here: 00:00 Intro 01:58 The first golden age of software engineering 18:59 The software crisis 33:01 The second golden age of software engineering 42:21 Y2K and the Dotcom crash 45:47 Early AI 47:34 The third golden age of software engineering 51:48 Why software engineers will very much be needed 58:46 Grady responds to Dario Amodei 1:06:54 New skills engineers will need to succeed 1:10:04 Resources for studying complex systems 1:14:33 How to thrive during periods of change Brought to you by: • Statsig — ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. Join me online at the Sonar Summit on March 3rd, where I talk about practical tactics for the AI era. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise-ready.

Gergely Orosz

86,896 views • 5 months ago

Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — epic conversation with Sholto Douglas of Anthropic 0:00 - Intro 1:09 - What's Behind The Rapid Pace of AI Releases at Anthropic 2:49 - Opus, Sonnet, and Haiku Model Tiers 4:14 - Sholto's Story: From Australian Fencer to AI Researcher 12:01 - The YouTube Effect: Mastery Through Observation 16:16 - Breaking Into AI Research Without Traditional Academic Signals 18:29 - DeepMind, Gemini, and Building Inference Stacks 23:05 - Why Anthropic? Culture and Mission Differences Amongst AI Research Labs 25:08 - What Is "Taste" in AI Research? 31:46 - This Week's Big Launch: Sonnet 4.5, Best Coding Model in the World 36:40 - From 7 Hours to 30 Hours: The Long-Running AI Agent Breakthrough 38:41 - How AI Agents Self-Correct and Maintain Coherence 43:13 - The Role of Memory in Extended Coding Sessions 47:42 - Pre-Training vs. RL: Textbooks vs. Worked Problems 52:11 - Test-Time Compute & Reinforcement Learning 55:55 - Why RL Finally Started Working on LLMs in 2024 59:38 - The Path to AGI 1:02:05 - Are We Hitting a Plateau in AI? So Many Low Hanging Fruits 1:03:41 - Beyond Coding: GDPVal & Impact Economic Sectors 1:05:47 - Preparing for 10-100x Individual Leverage & The Upcoming Robotics Explosion
1:10:03

Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — epic conversation with Sholto Douglas of Anthropic 0:00 - Intro 1:09 - What's Behind The Rapid Pace of AI Releases at Anthropic 2:49 - Opus, Sonnet, and Haiku Model Tiers 4:14 - Sholto's Story: From Australian Fencer to AI Researcher 12:01 - The YouTube Effect: Mastery Through Observation 16:16 - Breaking Into AI Research Without Traditional Academic Signals 18:29 - DeepMind, Gemini, and Building Inference Stacks 23:05 - Why Anthropic? Culture and Mission Differences Amongst AI Research Labs 25:08 - What Is "Taste" in AI Research? 31:46 - This Week's Big Launch: Sonnet 4.5, Best Coding Model in the World 36:40 - From 7 Hours to 30 Hours: The Long-Running AI Agent Breakthrough 38:41 - How AI Agents Self-Correct and Maintain Coherence 43:13 - The Role of Memory in Extended Coding Sessions 47:42 - Pre-Training vs. RL: Textbooks vs. Worked Problems 52:11 - Test-Time Compute & Reinforcement Learning 55:55 - Why RL Finally Started Working on LLMs in 2024 59:38 - The Path to AGI 1:02:05 - Are We Hitting a Plateau in AI? So Many Low Hanging Fruits 1:03:41 - Beyond Coding: GDPVal & Impact Economic Sectors 1:05:47 - Preparing for 10-100x Individual Leverage & The Upcoming Robotics Explosion

Matt Turck

93,678 views • 9 months ago

Excited to share that I’ve joined Anomaly as founding designer. I’m thrilled to work with Jay dax Frank Wang and Adam — a team stacked with talent! I’ve always been fascinated by challenges that influence the way people work. Today, AI is reshaping software development at a pace we’ve never seen. From solo developers to global enterprises, the way we write code has shifted dramatically in the past year, and will continue to change in the years ahead. This is an opportunity for me to help shape these experiences for everyone, regardless of frameworks, IDEs, or tools. I want to explore how they’re adopted and how they can have the greatest impact. The team is hard at work on OpenCode — the open source AI coding agent for the terminal. With over 23K stars on GitHub, it’s already changing how thousands of developers write code every day. Follow OpenCode as we go beyond the terminal and design and build world-class AI developer experiences ✌️
0:25

Excited to share that I’ve joined Anomaly as founding designer. I’m thrilled to work with Jay dax Frank Wang and Adam — a team stacked with talent! I’ve always been fascinated by challenges that influence the way people work. Today, AI is reshaping software development at a pace we’ve never seen. From solo developers to global enterprises, the way we write code has shifted dramatically in the past year, and will continue to change in the years ahead. This is an opportunity for me to help shape these experiences for everyone, regardless of frameworks, IDEs, or tools. I want to explore how they’re adopted and how they can have the greatest impact. The team is hard at work on OpenCode — the open source AI coding agent for the terminal. With over 23K stars on GitHub, it’s already changing how thousands of developers write code every day. Follow OpenCode as we go beyond the terminal and design and build world-class AI developer experiences ✌️

David Hill

169,013 views • 9 months ago

Is AI Runaway Superintelligence or Just Another Tool? Daniel Kokotajlo, author of AI 2027 and former OpenAI researcher, argues for a fast-approaching intelligence explosion Arvind Narayanan, a Princeton professor and co-author of AI Snake Oil, says that AI is powerful but ultimately controllable and slow to reshape society Two blueprints for the highest stakes race of our time. Which one is more probable? ------------- Chapters 0:00 Intro 1:38 Is AI Normal Tech? 27:13 Capability & Power 39:48 Manageable or Existential? 47:32 AGI Milestone 55:28 AI by 2030 1:07:03 Making Sense 1:11:05 Closing & Disclaimers
1:11:40

Is AI Runaway Superintelligence or Just Another Tool? Daniel Kokotajlo, author of AI 2027 and former OpenAI researcher, argues for a fast-approaching intelligence explosion Arvind Narayanan, a Princeton professor and co-author of AI Snake Oil, says that AI is powerful but ultimately controllable and slow to reshape society Two blueprints for the highest stakes race of our time. Which one is more probable? ------------- Chapters 0:00 Intro 1:38 Is AI Normal Tech? 27:13 Capability & Power 39:48 Manageable or Existential? 47:32 AGI Milestone 55:28 AI by 2030 1:07:03 Making Sense 1:11:05 Closing & Disclaimers

Limitless

19,450 views • 1 year ago

Here's my conversation with Roman Yampolskiy (Dr. Roman Yampolskiy), AI safety researcher who believes that the chance of AGI eventually destroying human civilization is 99.9999%. I will continue to chat with many AI researchers & engineers, most of whom put p(doom) at <20%, but it's important to balance those technical conversations by understanding the long-term existential risks of AI. This was a terrifying and fascinating discussion. It's here on X in full, and is up on YouTube, Spotify, and everywhere else. Links in comment. Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:20 - Existential risk of AGI 8:32 - Ikigai risk 16:44 - Suffering risk 20:19 - Timeline to AGI 24:51 - AGI turing test 30:14 - Yann LeCun and open source AI 43:06 - AI control 45:33 - Social engineering 48:06 - Fearmongering 57:57 - AI deception 1:04:30 - Verification 1:11:29 - Self-improving AI 1:23:42 - Pausing AI development 1:29:59 - AI Safety 1:39:43 - Current AI 1:45:05 - Simulation 1:52:24 - Aliens 1:53:57 - Human mind 2:00:17 - Neuralink 2:09:23 - Hope for the future 2:13:18 - Meaning of life
2:15:29

Here's my conversation with Roman Yampolskiy (Dr. Roman Yampolskiy), AI safety researcher who believes that the chance of AGI eventually destroying human civilization is 99.9999%. I will continue to chat with many AI researchers & engineers, most of whom put p(doom) at <20%, but it's important to balance those technical conversations by understanding the long-term existential risks of AI. This was a terrifying and fascinating discussion. It's here on X in full, and is up on YouTube, Spotify, and everywhere else. Links in comment. Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:20 - Existential risk of AGI 8:32 - Ikigai risk 16:44 - Suffering risk 20:19 - Timeline to AGI 24:51 - AGI turing test 30:14 - Yann LeCun and open source AI 43:06 - AI control 45:33 - Social engineering 48:06 - Fearmongering 57:57 - AI deception 1:04:30 - Verification 1:11:29 - Self-improving AI 1:23:42 - Pausing AI development 1:29:59 - AI Safety 1:39:43 - Current AI 1:45:05 - Simulation 1:52:24 - Aliens 1:53:57 - Human mind 2:00:17 - Neuralink 2:09:23 - Hope for the future 2:13:18 - Meaning of life

Lex Fridman

30,192,518 views • 2 years ago

Jensen Huang says the AI productivity story is already showing up in software output - and he thinks the "AI will reduce jobs" narrative is wrong. "In the first few months of 2026, it has nearly tripled." "30 million software developers, representing about $3 trillion worth of GDP, are now producing nearly three times as much output." "That $3 trillion worth of salary is now producing nearly $9 trillion worth of output." "This is the potential. This is the promise of AI." "People talk about AI reducing jobs. Complete nonsense. It's causing more software engineers to be hired." His logic is simple: If a software engineer can create 3x more output with AI, companies do not stop hiring engineers. They want more of them. The bottleneck moves from typing code to deciding what to build, orchestrating systems, and turning that output into products customers actually use.
1:25

Jensen Huang says the AI productivity story is already showing up in software output - and he thinks the "AI will reduce jobs" narrative is wrong. "In the first few months of 2026, it has nearly tripled." "30 million software developers, representing about $3 trillion worth of GDP, are now producing nearly three times as much output." "That $3 trillion worth of salary is now producing nearly $9 trillion worth of output." "This is the potential. This is the promise of AI." "People talk about AI reducing jobs. Complete nonsense. It's causing more software engineers to be hired." His logic is simple: If a software engineer can create 3x more output with AI, companies do not stop hiring engineers. They want more of them. The bottleneck moves from typing code to deciding what to build, orchestrating systems, and turning that output into products customers actually use.

Karl Mehta

13,711 views • 13 days ago

The end of coding? *Epic* conversation with Guillermo Rauch of Vercel on vibe coding, MCP, agents and building products in the AI era. (00:00) - Intro: Guillermo's Story (02:08) - What is v0 and Why Did It Take Off So Fast? (04:10) - Building a hit product with < people (07:51) - Cursor, Replit, etc: v0 vs Other AI Coding Tools (10:35) - Everyone can cook - What is Vibe Coding? (17:05) - Is v0 Just Frontend? Moving Toward Full Stack 19:40 - How to Become a Great Vibe Coder (23:35) - A GUI for AI: The Future of Interfaces (29:46) - Developer Love vs Agent Love (33:41) - The Importance of Taste in the AI Era (39:10) - MCP: The Protocol for AI-to-AI Communication (43:11) - Security and the Risks of Agentic Web (45:25) - Are Enterprises Ready for the Agentic Future? (49:42) - Building a Data Flywheel (56:06) - The Vercel AI Cloud: From Pixels to Tokens (1:10:14) - Adapting to a Non-Developer Persona (1:13:47) - Retention, Margins, and the Business of AI (1:16:51) - The Secret Behind Vercel Last Year Growth (1:24:15) - The importance of Online Presence (1:30:49) - Everything, Everywhere, All at Once: Keeping your Sanity as a CEO (1:34:59) - Guillermo's Advice to Younger Self
1:45:40

The end of coding? *Epic* conversation with Guillermo Rauch of Vercel on vibe coding, MCP, agents and building products in the AI era. (00:00) - Intro: Guillermo's Story (02:08) - What is v0 and Why Did It Take Off So Fast? (04:10) - Building a hit product with < people (07:51) - Cursor, Replit, etc: v0 vs Other AI Coding Tools (10:35) - Everyone can cook - What is Vibe Coding? (17:05) - Is v0 Just Frontend? Moving Toward Full Stack 19:40 - How to Become a Great Vibe Coder (23:35) - A GUI for AI: The Future of Interfaces (29:46) - Developer Love vs Agent Love (33:41) - The Importance of Taste in the AI Era (39:10) - MCP: The Protocol for AI-to-AI Communication (43:11) - Security and the Risks of Agentic Web (45:25) - Are Enterprises Ready for the Agentic Future? (49:42) - Building a Data Flywheel (56:06) - The Vercel AI Cloud: From Pixels to Tokens (1:10:14) - Adapting to a Non-Developer Persona (1:13:47) - Retention, Margins, and the Business of AI (1:16:51) - The Secret Behind Vercel Last Year Growth (1:24:15) - The importance of Online Presence (1:30:49) - Everything, Everywhere, All at Once: Keeping your Sanity as a CEO (1:34:59) - Guillermo's Advice to Younger Self

Matt Turck

86,153 views • 1 year ago

the future is here: my full podcast with shaw from ai16z is now live we dive into ai agents, autonomy, spirituality, and why we might not have as much time as we think this is a conversation you can’t afford to miss 1:03 Shaw's history before it all 3:44 What is an AI agent? 5:55 What will happen to us when AI could do it all? 8:02 Is Shaw a spiritual person? 8:39 What spiritual teachings inspired Shaw? 9:25 Are we far from a new religion by AI? 11:18 What's up with the b**ttplugs? 13:37 What is AI16Z? 46:16 Nobody is going to save us... 55:45 Is there a moral compass to creating AI? 1:00:00 Why crypto and AI? 1:07:06 How big is the scope of AI? Where will it go? 1:11:01 The loneliness epidemic 1:19:33 Are we still early? 1:21:02 What will keep AI16Z in the lead? 1:25:34 Why is AI16Z being compared to an AI L1? 1:30:24 The upcoming tokenomics proposal for the dao 1:37:44 Thoughts on the pairing between AI and augmented reality 1:43:51 Will AI take us away for the physical world? 1:48:53 How much time do we have left? 1:53:18 Emotions and developers 2:00:40 Who or what are we up against? 2:02:33 Would we lose our sense of purpose? 2:05:20 Final words from Shaw 2:08:39 important outro
2:13:48

the future is here: my full podcast with shaw from ai16z is now live we dive into ai agents, autonomy, spirituality, and why we might not have as much time as we think this is a conversation you can’t afford to miss 1:03 Shaw's history before it all 3:44 What is an AI agent? 5:55 What will happen to us when AI could do it all? 8:02 Is Shaw a spiritual person? 8:39 What spiritual teachings inspired Shaw? 9:25 Are we far from a new religion by AI? 11:18 What's up with the b**ttplugs? 13:37 What is AI16Z? 46:16 Nobody is going to save us... 55:45 Is there a moral compass to creating AI? 1:00:00 Why crypto and AI? 1:07:06 How big is the scope of AI? Where will it go? 1:11:01 The loneliness epidemic 1:19:33 Are we still early? 1:21:02 What will keep AI16Z in the lead? 1:25:34 Why is AI16Z being compared to an AI L1? 1:30:24 The upcoming tokenomics proposal for the dao 1:37:44 Thoughts on the pairing between AI and augmented reality 1:43:51 Will AI take us away for the physical world? 1:48:53 How much time do we have left? 1:53:18 Emotions and developers 2:00:40 Who or what are we up against? 2:02:33 Would we lose our sense of purpose? 2:05:20 Final words from Shaw 2:08:39 important outro

Mika

201,454 views • 1 year ago

I asked Dan Martell to walk me through every level of making money with AI. He gave me the most simple, practical advice I've ever heard on this subject. Level 1 - Making $0 - $100k Level 2 - Making $1m - $10m Level 3 - Building a $10m++ enterprise. 0:00 Only 5% of the World Has Ever Paid for AI 0:46 The Easiest Thing to Sell With AI Right Now 1:56 The Marcus and Sophie Framework 4:24 Theory of Constraints (Right Problem to Solve) 5:33 What Is the Number One Business Constraint 7:13 How to Leave Your Job and Go All In 8:27 Business Is Simple Find a Problem and Solve It 9:08 Stop Getting Ready to Get Ready 9:33 The Sarah Story One Text and $10K 9:53 Pull Up Your Phone and Message Your Contacts 11:05 Dan's Son Gets His First Client at $800/Month 12:41 Best Employee vs. Best Employer 13:59 What Other Services Can You Sell With AI 14:44 Sales Is Not Talking It's Asking 17:01 What to Do When You Hate Your Business 18:40 Pain and Pleasure Are the Only Two Motivators 19:13 They Haven't Made It a Must Yet 20:29 Make It a Must Not a Nice to Have 21:06 The Jen Story and the Gasping Moment 22:17 How to Find Your First 10 to 15 Clients 28:38 The Personal Brand Play 33:06 Vision Is What AI Cannot Do 34:55 Hard for Computers Easy for Humans 36:13 Level 2 Making Your First Million With AI 37:18 The Replacement Ladder Framework 37:39 Admin First Then Delivery Then Marketing 39:09 Why Marketing Is the Biggest AI Category 39:32 Why You Should Keep Sales for Yourself 40:00 Level 5 Leadership and AI Agents 41:41 What a Fully AI Systems Business Looks Like 43:13 The Gym Owner With Three Locations 46:16 Shutting Down the Company for Two Days 46:37 Teaching the Whole Team to Code in Claude 49:28 Wayne the 62 Year Old Who Made $12K a Month 52:38 I Only Share What Actually Works 53:21 Whisper Flow and Talking to Your AI 56:41 Claude Chat Claude Coworker and Claude Code 57:57 The Claude Browser Extension 58:49 Claude Code Is Not Just for Developers 1:00:06 How to Migrate Your AI Memory Across Tools 1:01:08 Level 3 $1M to $10M and the Brand Play 1:02:05 Nobody Buys AI They Buy Trust 1:03:25 Brand Is Association and Association Is Trust 1:05:12 A Million Followers Is $10M in Activated Revenue 1:07:03 How to Keep AI From Becoming Slop 1:07:42 Human in the Loop 1:08:16 The 10 80 10 Rule and Why AI Is Now the 80 1:10:01 The Team FIRED Themselves 1:11:45 Dan's Free AI Curriculum for Your Team
1:13:20

I asked Dan Martell to walk me through every level of making money with AI. He gave me the most simple, practical advice I've ever heard on this subject. Level 1 - Making $0 - $100k Level 2 - Making $1m - $10m Level 3 - Building a $10m++ enterprise. 0:00 Only 5% of the World Has Ever Paid for AI 0:46 The Easiest Thing to Sell With AI Right Now 1:56 The Marcus and Sophie Framework 4:24 Theory of Constraints (Right Problem to Solve) 5:33 What Is the Number One Business Constraint 7:13 How to Leave Your Job and Go All In 8:27 Business Is Simple Find a Problem and Solve It 9:08 Stop Getting Ready to Get Ready 9:33 The Sarah Story One Text and $10K 9:53 Pull Up Your Phone and Message Your Contacts 11:05 Dan's Son Gets His First Client at $800/Month 12:41 Best Employee vs. Best Employer 13:59 What Other Services Can You Sell With AI 14:44 Sales Is Not Talking It's Asking 17:01 What to Do When You Hate Your Business 18:40 Pain and Pleasure Are the Only Two Motivators 19:13 They Haven't Made It a Must Yet 20:29 Make It a Must Not a Nice to Have 21:06 The Jen Story and the Gasping Moment 22:17 How to Find Your First 10 to 15 Clients 28:38 The Personal Brand Play 33:06 Vision Is What AI Cannot Do 34:55 Hard for Computers Easy for Humans 36:13 Level 2 Making Your First Million With AI 37:18 The Replacement Ladder Framework 37:39 Admin First Then Delivery Then Marketing 39:09 Why Marketing Is the Biggest AI Category 39:32 Why You Should Keep Sales for Yourself 40:00 Level 5 Leadership and AI Agents 41:41 What a Fully AI Systems Business Looks Like 43:13 The Gym Owner With Three Locations 46:16 Shutting Down the Company for Two Days 46:37 Teaching the Whole Team to Code in Claude 49:28 Wayne the 62 Year Old Who Made $12K a Month 52:38 I Only Share What Actually Works 53:21 Whisper Flow and Talking to Your AI 56:41 Claude Chat Claude Coworker and Claude Code 57:57 The Claude Browser Extension 58:49 Claude Code Is Not Just for Developers 1:00:06 How to Migrate Your AI Memory Across Tools 1:01:08 Level 3 $1M to $10M and the Brand Play 1:02:05 Nobody Buys AI They Buy Trust 1:03:25 Brand Is Association and Association Is Trust 1:05:12 A Million Followers Is $10M in Activated Revenue 1:07:03 How to Keep AI From Becoming Slop 1:07:42 Human in the Loop 1:08:16 The 10 80 10 Rule and Why AI Is Now the 80 1:10:01 The Team FIRED Themselves 1:11:45 Dan's Free AI Curriculum for Your Team

Grant

165,182 views • 16 days ago

We're entering a new era of software where a single person, working with AI agents, can build products that previously required entire teams. In this episode of the Lightcone Podcast, they break down the rise of AI coding agents, "tokenmaxxing", and the emerging workflows behind tools like Claude Code and OpenClaw. They discuss why AI systems today feel less like productivity tools and more like collaborators, why the future of AI should be personal and user-controlled, and how founders are starting to build software in completely new ways. 00:00 — Will you control your AI? 00:47 — Coding again after 13 years 01:56 — Rebuilding a startup with Claude Code 05:50 — Software that thinks like a journalist 07:09 — The rise of “tokenmaxxing” 10:07 — The accidental creation of GStack 14:21 — The workflow behind 400x output 20:59 — Thin Harness, Fat Skills 24:35 — AI agents are like Ferraris 27:12 — The future of personal AI 38:37 — Buying back time with tokens
41:29

We're entering a new era of software where a single person, working with AI agents, can build products that previously required entire teams. In this episode of the Lightcone Podcast, they break down the rise of AI coding agents, "tokenmaxxing", and the emerging workflows behind tools like Claude Code and OpenClaw. They discuss why AI systems today feel less like productivity tools and more like collaborators, why the future of AI should be personal and user-controlled, and how founders are starting to build software in completely new ways. 00:00 — Will you control your AI? 00:47 — Coding again after 13 years 01:56 — Rebuilding a startup with Claude Code 05:50 — Software that thinks like a journalist 07:09 — The rise of “tokenmaxxing” 10:07 — The accidental creation of GStack 14:21 — The workflow behind 400x output 20:59 — Thin Harness, Fat Skills 24:35 — AI agents are like Ferraris 27:12 — The future of personal AI 38:37 — Buying back time with tokens

Y Combinator

67,145 views • 2 months ago

Even if AI will write 90% of code. But it won’t replace engineers. Windsurf’s founder explains that even if AI generates most of the code, engineers still spend time reviewing it, debugging issues, designing systems, testing, deploying, and making architectural decisions. Those parts don’t disappear. He brings up Amdahl’s Law to make the point: speeding up one part of the workflow doesn’t dramatically change the total time unless everything else speeds up too. For example, if writing code takes 30 out of 100 total time units, and AI brings it down to 3, the total time still only drops to 73. That’s just a 27% improvement. More productivity doesn’t mean fewer engineers. It just increases the ROI of building tech. And when ROI goes up, companies are more likely to build—and hire more people to do it. Take JPMorgan Chase. They have 50,000+ engineers and a $17B software budget. If each engineer can ship more software, that doesn’t reduce headcount. It raises the cost of not building. Companies like Windsurf and Anthropic are hiring more engineers—not less—despite being at the edge of AI code generation.
1:52

Even if AI will write 90% of code. But it won’t replace engineers. Windsurf’s founder explains that even if AI generates most of the code, engineers still spend time reviewing it, debugging issues, designing systems, testing, deploying, and making architectural decisions. Those parts don’t disappear. He brings up Amdahl’s Law to make the point: speeding up one part of the workflow doesn’t dramatically change the total time unless everything else speeds up too. For example, if writing code takes 30 out of 100 total time units, and AI brings it down to 3, the total time still only drops to 73. That’s just a 27% improvement. More productivity doesn’t mean fewer engineers. It just increases the ROI of building tech. And when ROI goes up, companies are more likely to build—and hire more people to do it. Take JPMorgan Chase. They have 50,000+ engineers and a $17B software budget. If each engineer can ship more software, that doesn’t reduce headcount. It raises the cost of not building. Companies like Windsurf and Anthropic are hiring more engineers—not less—despite being at the edge of AI code generation.

Aish

27,268 views • 1 year ago