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With the UAE exit, OPEC has officially lost most influence it still had over global oil markets... Full analysis available exclusively for Analyst Tier members on Patreon ➡️ #opec #crudeoil #geopolitics

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Peter Zeihan

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20,961 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

Haberler & Politika#opec#crudeoil#geopolitics
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The UAE decision to exit OPEC has been long in the making. The UAE has been quite open about its focus on holistic energy solutions. It also speaks to the UAE worldview and attitudes toward multilateralism which has been under strain in the past few years. The Gulf states agree on a prosperous region but diverge on the means to achieving it, and this is playing out in oil policy. The UAE exit does not preclude its cooperation with OPEC.
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🚨BREAKING: UAE🇦🇪 EXITS OPEC AND OPEC+, OPEC LOSES ITS THIRD LARGEST PRODUCER The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC after more than five decades, effective on the 1st of May. The UAE is a founding member, having joined in 1967, four years before the UAE itself was established. The UAE said the move reflects its national interest and its role in meeting market needs at a time when the Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted energy flows and kept oil prices elevated, and forecasted higher energy demand in the future. The UAE has ambitions to increase production from 3.4 million barrels per day to five million by 2027, which OPEC quotas would have constrained. The UAE’s decision to leave OPEC and OPEC+ is a fundamental reordering of the global energy market, and a further shift towards multipolarity, with the UAE positioning itself to be at the forefront of meeting rising global energy demand. OPEC has long declined in its geopolitical power, and the UAE has decided to forge its own path with having no limits on increasing production, as the world reels from the energy shock unleashed by the Trump-Netanyahu war of aggression against Iran. The UAE is not the first in the GCC to leave OPEC, with Qatar leaving in 2019. The propaganda headlines you’ll be seeing of a UAE-Saudi conflict over the decision will likely amount to hot air. There will inevitably be short-term energy price instability, but countries around the world will rush to secure deals with the UAE to offset a major economic crisis caused by the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The international institutions of old are increasingly irrelevant, and OPEC is widely seen as the organisation of yesterday. The future will likely involve energy institutions and mechanisms within BRICS, to facilitate stable energy prices in a multipolar world. The UAE’s exit from OPEC is just one step closer in that direction. With China and the global south set to drive economic growth this century, the UAE is now well-positioned to benefit from multipolarity, free of production caps, as long-term energy demand will continue climbing, as the nations of the global south develop their economies and increase living standards for their people. My live segment on RT
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🚨BREAKING: UAE🇦🇪 EXITS OPEC AND OPEC+, OPEC LOSES ITS THIRD LARGEST PRODUCER The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC after more than five decades, effective on the 1st of May. The UAE is a founding member, having joined in 1967, four years before the UAE itself was established. The UAE said the move reflects its national interest and its role in meeting market needs at a time when the Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted energy flows and kept oil prices elevated, and forecasted higher energy demand in the future. The UAE has ambitions to increase production from 3.4 million barrels per day to five million by 2027, which OPEC quotas would have constrained. The UAE’s decision to leave OPEC and OPEC+ is a fundamental reordering of the global energy market, and a further shift towards multipolarity, with the UAE positioning itself to be at the forefront of meeting rising global energy demand. OPEC has long declined in its geopolitical power, and the UAE has decided to forge its own path with having no limits on increasing production, as the world reels from the energy shock unleashed by the Trump-Netanyahu war of aggression against Iran. The UAE is not the first in the GCC to leave OPEC, with Qatar leaving in 2019. The propaganda headlines you’ll be seeing of a UAE-Saudi conflict over the decision will likely amount to hot air. There will inevitably be short-term energy price instability, but countries around the world will rush to secure deals with the UAE to offset a major economic crisis caused by the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The international institutions of old are increasingly irrelevant, and OPEC is widely seen as the organisation of yesterday. The future will likely involve energy institutions and mechanisms within BRICS, to facilitate stable energy prices in a multipolar world. The UAE’s exit from OPEC is just one step closer in that direction. With China and the global south set to drive economic growth this century, the UAE is now well-positioned to benefit from multipolarity, free of production caps, as long-term energy demand will continue climbing, as the nations of the global south develop their economies and increase living standards for their people. My live segment on RT

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ANI Broadcast Promo with June Goh, Senior Oil Market Analyst at Sparta Commodities "Everyone seems to have forgotten that one billion barrels of inventory have been lost." "You don't really need to mine the Strait. You just need people to think you might mine it, and shipping activity could come to a halt." "The UAE wants to capitalise while the world still needs its oil." "Many Asian countries that are less concerned about US sanctions will continue buying Russian oil." Tap 'Notify Me' to get episode alerts: #ANIBroadcast #CrudeOil #OPEC #RussianOil #India #WestAsia #OilPrices #Petrol #StraitofHormuz
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ANI Broadcast Promo with June Goh, Senior Oil Market Analyst at Sparta Commodities "Everyone seems to have forgotten that one billion barrels of inventory have been lost." "You don't really need to mine the Strait. You just need people to think you might mine it, and shipping activity could come to a halt." "The UAE wants to capitalise while the world still needs its oil." "Many Asian countries that are less concerned about US sanctions will continue buying Russian oil." Tap 'Notify Me' to get episode alerts: #ANIBroadcast #CrudeOil #OPEC #RussianOil #India #WestAsia #OilPrices #Petrol #StraitofHormuz

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🚨 NOW: President Trump is ECSTATIC that the UAE has PULLED OUT of the OPEC This is HUGE for the oil markets! TRUMP: "It's a good thing for getting the price of gas and oil down!" "I know him very well, Muhammad, and very smart, and he probably maybe wants to go his own way. That's a good thing. I think, ultimately, it's a good thing for getting the price of gas down, getting oil down, getting everything down. They have it all." "He's a great leader, actually. So, no, I'm okay. They're having some problems in OPEC."
0:31

🚨 NOW: President Trump is ECSTATIC that the UAE has PULLED OUT of the OPEC This is HUGE for the oil markets! TRUMP: "It's a good thing for getting the price of gas and oil down!" "I know him very well, Muhammad, and very smart, and he probably maybe wants to go his own way. That's a good thing. I think, ultimately, it's a good thing for getting the price of gas down, getting oil down, getting everything down. They have it all." "He's a great leader, actually. So, no, I'm okay. They're having some problems in OPEC."

Eric Daugherty

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I told you, pay attention to OPEC… 🚨 President Trump signaled today that his influence secured a key ally in Iraq, with discussions now turning to Iraq leaving OPEC. OPEC operates as the energy world’s cartel, coordinating production to manipulate global oil prices. Trump is steadily dismantling this tool of coordinated control. The UAE—OPEC’s third-largest producer UAE—already exited not long ago, setting a major precedent. Each departure weakens the group’s ability to enforce “pump less” quotas. This is unfolding amid the Iran conflict (described as intentional and planned), which has disrupted key shipping routes. Iraq appears next, with others likely to follow. The result: a significant shift in the global order. Less cartel-managed pricing, more genuine supply-and-demand dynamics. Independent producers like the U.S. gain influence, while a key pillar of the “globalist” energy manipulation structure fractures—exactly the kind of breakdown Q long predicted.
2:16

I told you, pay attention to OPEC… 🚨 President Trump signaled today that his influence secured a key ally in Iraq, with discussions now turning to Iraq leaving OPEC. OPEC operates as the energy world’s cartel, coordinating production to manipulate global oil prices. Trump is steadily dismantling this tool of coordinated control. The UAE—OPEC’s third-largest producer UAE—already exited not long ago, setting a major precedent. Each departure weakens the group’s ability to enforce “pump less” quotas. This is unfolding amid the Iran conflict (described as intentional and planned), which has disrupted key shipping routes. Iraq appears next, with others likely to follow. The result: a significant shift in the global order. Less cartel-managed pricing, more genuine supply-and-demand dynamics. Independent producers like the U.S. gain influence, while a key pillar of the “globalist” energy manipulation structure fractures—exactly the kind of breakdown Q long predicted.

MJTruthUltra

127,885 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇺🇸🇦🇪 Every American president for 50 years has complained about OPEC. Now, the cartel is starting to fall apart. But the impact on the U.S. is far more complicated than Washington is letting on. The UAE's exit weakens OPEC's ability to coordinate production cuts, and once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the UAE could add over a million barrels per day to global supply. That sounds like a win for American consumers at the pump, and it is. But the U.S. is now the world's largest oil producer, accounting for 14% of global oil exports with Hormuz closed… Meaning their energy companies have been printing money of late, and a meaningful price drop hits their margins hard. There is also a structural argument that gets overlooked: OPEC, for all its faults, has historically acted as a stabilizing force, stepping in to manage wild price swings in either direction. A fragmented OPEC with rampant cheating and no coordination creates volatility, and volatility makes long-term investment in energy infrastructure nearly impossible. So the U.S. gets cheaper gas, weaker shale profits, less market stability, and a shifting global oil order with no clear replacement for the coordination mechanism that just started breaking apart. The knife Jimmy Carter once said OPEC held at America's neck is dulling, yet the fallout from this fractured alliance may come with its own set of problems. Source: The Economist
2:22

🇺🇸🇦🇪 Every American president for 50 years has complained about OPEC. Now, the cartel is starting to fall apart. But the impact on the U.S. is far more complicated than Washington is letting on. The UAE's exit weakens OPEC's ability to coordinate production cuts, and once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the UAE could add over a million barrels per day to global supply. That sounds like a win for American consumers at the pump, and it is. But the U.S. is now the world's largest oil producer, accounting for 14% of global oil exports with Hormuz closed… Meaning their energy companies have been printing money of late, and a meaningful price drop hits their margins hard. There is also a structural argument that gets overlooked: OPEC, for all its faults, has historically acted as a stabilizing force, stepping in to manage wild price swings in either direction. A fragmented OPEC with rampant cheating and no coordination creates volatility, and volatility makes long-term investment in energy infrastructure nearly impossible. So the U.S. gets cheaper gas, weaker shale profits, less market stability, and a shifting global oil order with no clear replacement for the coordination mechanism that just started breaking apart. The knife Jimmy Carter once said OPEC held at America's neck is dulling, yet the fallout from this fractured alliance may come with its own set of problems. Source: The Economist

Mario Nawfal

81,773 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

BANNON: UAE dropping out of OPEC on a moment’s notice shows something deeper. This isn’t just a swap line. They don’t leave unless they think they’ve got a new partner. I think they’re in deep financial trouble. BOLLING: I think you’re right. They’re all sucking wind right now, living off fat oil and propping prices through a cartel. Question is, is this temporary or do they jump back in? OPEC used to control 50% of the world’s oil. The U.S. broke that dependence, but they still have sway in Europe and Asia, and it still hits our markets.
4:29

BANNON: UAE dropping out of OPEC on a moment’s notice shows something deeper. This isn’t just a swap line. They don’t leave unless they think they’ve got a new partner. I think they’re in deep financial trouble. BOLLING: I think you’re right. They’re all sucking wind right now, living off fat oil and propping prices through a cartel. Question is, is this temporary or do they jump back in? OPEC used to control 50% of the world’s oil. The U.S. broke that dependence, but they still have sway in Europe and Asia, and it still hits our markets.

Grace Chong, MBI

154,238 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce