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Working on a story on ACC freshman. Virginia Baseball righty Noah Yoder not only has upper-90s heat (has hit 100, sits 96 mph) but his curveball is disgusting. 40-plus percent whiff rate so far this year.

44,628 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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RHP/1B Trace Phillips (Middle Tennessee Baseball) is an interesting draft-eligible sophomore on which to keep close tabs. Last spring, he hit .304/.360/.547 with 8 2B, 13 HR and 47 RBIs, but it’s his ability on the mound that's the root of his buzz. Phillips' back of the baseball card numbers last season are modest, but there is more to it than meets the eye. At 6'3" and 185-lbs, Phillips has an athletic, high-waisted frame. In the box, he has a simple setup with an ear-high handset and the bat horizontal above his back shoulder. Phillips has a slight load in which he has a noticeable barrel tip and a small stride. He moves well in the box and has some scissor action with his back leg. Phillips’ pure hit tool is fringey, but he has plus raw power and has shown the ability to drive the baseball to all fields. Max EV last spring of 109.4, if he's able to lift the ball more it will lead to a more impressive power output. Phillips’ current prospect status is largely driven by his ability on the mound. His numbers were unimpressive last season, but he took a step forward this fall. There’s some low hanging fruit to clean up in his delivery, but he has a short, whippy arm stroke and attacks from a low-three quarters slot with plenty of arm speed. Phillips’ FB has been up to 96 with ride through the zone (particular life at the top), though his best pitch is a high-70s-to-low-80s CH. He does a nice job of killing spin on it, and It averaged almost 15 MPH off his fastball this fall. It’s a plus pitch that flashes both fade to the arm side as well late tumble. Phillips completes his arsenal with a mid-80s slider that flashed above-average this fall with sharp, two-plane tilt. Both his changeup and slider profile as legitimate swing-and-miss offerings. Another positive development with Phillips this fall is that his strike-throwing took a step in the right direction. Mid-4th-6th round type this July. (📽️: Middle Tennessee Baseball)

Peter Flaherty III

10,928 views • 1 year ago

From a sheer stuff standpoint, RHP Cam Leiter (FSU Baseball) has one of the loudest arsenals in this year's Draft class. Was a member of the AAC All-Freshman team selection in 2023 after posting a 4.92 ERA with 80 Ks across 56.2 IP. Leiter's first season at FSU was cut short due to injury, though he showed big time flashes in his 7 starts (35 innings). Worked a 4.63 ERA with 56 Ks to 22 BB. Leiter has a high-waisted, prototypical pitcher's frame at 6'5" and 234-pounds. Has added physicality year-over-year. Compact and explosive delivery with big time arm speed. Attacks from a three-quarter slot with a low release height. Dynamic mover, blocks well with his lead leg and really drives his back hip through. Powerful! Fastball sits in the 94-96 range, but has been up to 99. Jumps out of the hand from his ~5'10" release height and flashes riding life through the zone. Plays up—and is at its best—when located in the top-half of the zone. Also where it gets the most whiffs, and last year it generated a 30% miss rate. Improved command of the offering will make it that much more effective. 55 right now. His most used breaking ball is a high-70s-to-low-80s CB. Plenty of depth with sharp, downward teeth. Almost a true 12-to-6 shape. Will use it against both right and lefthanded hitters, and last year it held opposing hitters to a minuscule .071 average. Generated an impressive 46% miss rate, it's a 60 right now. Leiter's upper-80s-to-low-90s power SL is another effective off-speed offering. Late lateral tilt with some depth, will throw it almost exclusively to RHH. Another pitch that flashes plus, and last year it garnered a 38% miss rate. He threw it just 11% of the time in '24, but Leiter also features an upper-80s-to-low-90s CH. Ample fade to the arm side, though at times it will have more tumbling life than fade. Not to sound like a broken record, but Leiter's CH also flashes plus. 44% miss rate last season. Throws it with conviction. If you catch Leiter on the right day, you could leave the yard with a 55 and three 60s on his pitch mix. The two biggest keys for Leiter will be taking a step forward in the pitchability department—which in turn will make his arsenal that much better—and staying healthy. He certainly has first round upside this July. (🎥: FSU Baseball)

Peter Flaherty III

25,238 views • 1 year ago

LHP Andrew Healy (Duke Baseball) is one of my favorite Sophomore-eligible arms in this year's Draft. Enjoyed an outstanding true Freshman campaign in '23, pitching his way to a 2.32 ERA with 45 K to just 7 BB across 42.2 IP. Great body at 6'6" and 200-lbs. High-waisted with room to fill out. Smooth, aesthetically pleasing operation on the mound. Clean arm stroke and hides the ball well. Attacks from mid-three quarter slot. Pretty low effort delivery. Healy's FB will mostly sit in the 90-93 range, but he has been up to 94/95. It gets on hitters quick and plays particularly well on his arm side/elevated. Little bit of carry to it. Healy has plus command and control of it. His go-to secondary offering is a high-70s CH that on average is 10+ MPH off his FB. Healy maintains his arm speed well and it features serious late tumbling life. Had a 40% miss rate in '23. Would put a 55 on it. Healy features two distinct breaking balls in a high-70s SL and mid-70s CB. SL has long, sweeping action and is particularly deadly against LHH. After throwing it just 5% of the time in '23, Healy this fall has upped his CB usage. It's an okay 4th pitch and at times will flash some depth. Perhaps most interesting about Healy's profile is his ability to generate swings. Last year he posted a 48% overall swing rate and an impressive 70% in-zone swing rate. Overall control/command would grade out as a 60. Healy is a slam dunk starter professionally and could pitch his way into a top-3/4 round Draft choice. (📽️: Duke Baseball)

Peter Flaherty III

42,840 views • 2 years ago

Lots of people are sleeping on Quinn Priester... I have a feeling this dude is going to make an impact with the major league club next year. Let’s talk about it. Adding velo to the sinker (SI) has been a constant emphasis since coming over via trade, and we already saw a minor increase last year. Avg SI velo (2024) 📈 • w/ PIT: 93.0 mph • w/ BOS: 93.8 mph NOTE: Remove his first two appearances where there wasn’t really any changes made, and his avg SI velo now sits at 94.2 mph. Games where SI sat 94+ mph 📈 • w/ PIT: 2 (of 23) • w/ BOS: 5 (of 10) He’s comfortably hit 96 and topped 97 mph for Worcester (seen in video attached), and has been grinding on a velo program this winter as well. Other top velos, just for fun… • FF: 96.3 mph* • SL: 92.3 mph • CU: 83.5 mph* • CH: 92 mph* • FC: 94.4 mph* *indicates top velo was w/ BOS — On top of this, we all know that Bres/Bailey & Co. love their whiff and secondary offerings. Priester took a huge step forward last year in both of these categories. Overall whiff 📈 • w/ PIT: 29.8% • w: BOS: 35.4% Arsenal whiff w/ BOS 📈 • SI: 22% • FF: 30% • FC: 42% • SL: 48% (‼️) • CU: 43%** **hot take: SI/SL combo are his carrying pitches, but his best pitch is his CH — Clearly, there’s something there. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a major usage change. Here’s what I would propose: • FA (FF/SI/FC): 46.3% ➡️ 30% - SI: 20% (“get me over” or “need it” kind of pitch; needs to be for a strike, low in zone; CH plays off it) - FC: 9% (would love to use it more, but had a limited sample size in 2024; start off as a LHH-exclusive like Garett Whitlock showcased; needs to either be elevated (tunnel w/ FF) or down+out (tunnel w/ SL) - FF: 1% (similar to what we saw Bello implement… only deploy in key situations; must be elevated) • SL: 31.8% ➡️ 35% - emphasis on gloveside target against both LHH/RHH; vs LHH, catcher sets up more middle/out - maybe try some armside vs LHH to dupe batters? • CH: 14% ➡️ 25% - best pitch results in MLB (.167 BAA, .167 SLG, 29% whiff in limited sample size) but can’t be overused - need to tunnel w/ SI… make sure low in/out of zone; see: Whitlock • CU: 8% ➡️ 10% - LHH exclusive offering, tunnels w/ elevated FC/FF - needs to miss low Overall: SI “first” for strikes with a very heavy dosage of SL/CH mixed in vs both LHH/RHH. FC/CB to LHH only. Elevated FF only in certain sequences. I’ve attached some specific videos to further emphasize my points. • Clip #1: Bogaerts whiff on CH • Clip #2: disgusting SLs to RHHs • Clip #3: Priester sinkers (T97 mph) • Clip #4: just pure nastiness Oh, and a friendly reminder: he’s just 24 years old. There is so much potential to tap into here. The stuff, for one, is there and only getting better. My favorite Red Sox pitcher right now is by far Garrett Whitlock. I see a little bit of baby Whitty in Priester’s delivery, frame, and stuff. 👀 — Alrighty, that was a lot lol. I hope everyone enjoyed. If you have questions, comments, or even player requests, feel free to reach out! I am super excited to see what Priester can do in 2025 and beyond. What do you think? ⬇️

G.G.

54,654 views • 1 year ago