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Wyatt Langford- 45% catch probability. Looks super routine. It's not that around half of MLB outfielders can't catch this ball, it's that they can't get to it.

The WARmonger

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72,769 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

The WARmonger

324,332 次观看 • 1 年前

This ball that Wilyer Abreu dropped last night had a 20% catch probability. The vast majority of MLB outfielders don't get to it to have a chance to drop it, it quite regularly just falls for a hit.

This ball that Wilyer Abreu dropped last night had a 20% catch probability. The vast majority of MLB outfielders don't get to it to have a chance to drop it, it quite regularly just falls for a hit.

The WARmonger

44,018 次观看 • 1 个月前

Lots of posts critical of Bryan Torres for not catching this ball that broke up Dustin May's no-hitter. Just a 20% catch probability on this 108 MPH liner, and that doesn't consider it's in shadow for most of the flight and then comes into bright sunlight at the end. Decent argument it would have been one of the best catches of the year if he made it. It's just a routine double well past most outfielders and they don't get blamed for not saving a no-hitter.

Lots of posts critical of Bryan Torres for not catching this ball that broke up Dustin May's no-hitter. Just a 20% catch probability on this 108 MPH liner, and that doesn't consider it's in shadow for most of the flight and then comes into bright sunlight at the end. Decent argument it would have been one of the best catches of the year if he made it. It's just a routine double well past most outfielders and they don't get blamed for not saving a no-hitter.

The WARmonger

44,988 次观看 • 2 个月前

Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability. Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...

Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability. Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...

The WARmonger

958,386 次观看 • 1 年前

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.

Jeff J. Snider

121,230 次观看 • 2 个月前

This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

The WARmonger

437,897 次观看 • 1 年前

Pretty routine catch by Cam Smith, no? No. Only 60% of MLB outfielders catch this ball, and most make it look much tougher, many even diving. Why? It's what happens before the camera is on the play. The jump, and then the route. Jump: +5.6 feet above average Route: 99% route efficiency (Oh, and he homered twice as well, let the kids play!)

Pretty routine catch by Cam Smith, no? No. Only 60% of MLB outfielders catch this ball, and most make it look much tougher, many even diving. Why? It's what happens before the camera is on the play. The jump, and then the route. Jump: +5.6 feet above average Route: 99% route efficiency (Oh, and he homered twice as well, let the kids play!)

The WARmonger

318,530 次观看 • 1 年前

2min bickering as always HAHA gagwanz... 🐰: he can't catch it! 🐶: no, it's because you hit it weird! 🐰: he's not very good at this

2min bickering as always HAHA gagwanz... 🐰: he can't catch it! 🐶: no, it's because you hit it weird! 🐰: he's not very good at this

lena ✰

54,441 次观看 • 25 天前

The TNF broadcast only showed one angle of this catch by the Falcons. It's hard to tell but it looks like the receiver does not survive the fall and secures the catch

The TNF broadcast only showed one angle of this catch by the Falcons. It's hard to tell but it looks like the receiver does not survive the fall and secures the catch

Rate the Refs

189,999 次观看 • 7 个月前

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.

The WARmonger

133,791 次观看 • 1 年前

"Just stuff that can't happen. Something that we work on and I know. It's stuff that I know. Just stuff that I can't do." Isaiah Williams talks about what happened on his fair catch inside the five-yard line:

"Just stuff that can't happen. Something that we work on and I know. It's stuff that I know. Just stuff that I can't do." Isaiah Williams talks about what happened on his fair catch inside the five-yard line:

Jets Videos

23,676 次观看 • 10 个月前

Today in Nakuru. What did that police officer just do at 00:07 We can't even catch a break, and it's only Tuesday.

Today in Nakuru. What did that police officer just do at 00:07 We can't even catch a break, and it's only Tuesday.

Dennis Okari

128,660 次观看 • 1 年前

Now that it's the next day, we have some Statcast data on this... Catch Probability: 99% Opportunity Time: 5.4 seconds Distance Needed: 85 ft Not great. Outfield defense needs to lock in a bit.

Now that it's the next day, we have some Statcast data on this... Catch Probability: 99% Opportunity Time: 5.4 seconds Distance Needed: 85 ft Not great. Outfield defense needs to lock in a bit.

Jim Rosati 🏴‍☠️

149,273 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇯🇵 Toyama looks so beautiful that it almost feels like something out of a movie. Thankfully, it's actually real. I can't wait to visit here again this summer.

🇯🇵 Toyama looks so beautiful that it almost feels like something out of a movie. Thankfully, it's actually real. I can't wait to visit here again this summer.

haruka no yume【はるかのゆめ】

30,523 次观看 • 3 个月前

What animal is this? It's so fast that it can't be caught.

What animal is this? It's so fast that it can't be caught.

Dzaki

829,123 次观看 • 8 个月前

people still don't understand what femcel really means they think it's a direct analogue of inceldom (male sexuality) but it's not incel (male) = can't get laid (physical) femcel (female) = can't get relationship (mental)

people still don't understand what femcel really means they think it's a direct analogue of inceldom (male sexuality) but it's not incel (male) = can't get laid (physical) femcel (female) = can't get relationship (mental)

thrice-greatest hermes

129,221 次观看 • 8 个月前

"It's just a bag of flour, it can't be that adorable" Disney animators:

"It's just a bag of flour, it can't be that adorable" Disney animators:

old toons

1,276,698 次观看 • 2 个月前

Damian saying he couldn't get that scene out of his head, because it's iconic, he's not wrong, we can't either 😭

Damian saying he couldn't get that scene out of his head, because it's iconic, he's not wrong, we can't either 😭

ʙɪᴀ; sidelined era

86,653 次观看 • 11 个月前

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

The WARmonger

55,354 次观看 • 4 个月前