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Yampolskiy predicts that AGI will wipe out all computer-based cognitive labor, and that physical humanoid robots are only 3 to 5 years behind. His conclusion? A near-future where almost all physical and mental jobs are automated, making retraining impossible because AI can learn any new skill faster than we can.

40,811 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Dr. Roman Yampolskiy just predicted 99% unemployment by 2032. The leading AI safety researcher and cybersecurity expert laid out a timeline that's hard to ignore: AGI by 2027, and then five years later, the economy as we know it. Here's his logic: "If you have this concept of a drop-in employee, you have free labor, physical and cognitive, trillions of dollars of it. It makes no sense to hire humans for most jobs." The math is brutal when a $20 subscription does the same work as an employee. Yampolsky breaks it into two waves: Wave 1 — Cognitive labor (now → 2027) "Anything on a computer will be automated." Writing, coding, analysis, design, customer service. Gone. Wave 2 — Physical labor (2027 → 2032) "Humanoid robots are maybe 5 years behind." Once AGI arrives, the robots follow. Then there's nowhere left to hide. "We're looking at a world where we have levels of unemployment we've never seen before. Not talking about 10% unemployment, which is scary, but 99%." The only jobs that survive? "Jobs where for whatever reason you prefer another human would do it for you." Think about what that list actually looks like — it's devastatingly short. Most people are sleepwalking into this while the AI conversation stays stuck on productivity gains, not on what happens when hiring humans becomes economically irrational. Yampolsky is predicting total replacement of the human workforce as we know it. If 99% unemployment arrives by 2032, most people have less than 7 years to figure out what they're building their life around.

Big Brain AI

87,305 次观看 • 3 个月前