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๐“๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐ฅ๐ ๐‚๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually Pots Market Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins,...

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21,257 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

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Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem โ†’ POTS MARKET POTS MONEY
1:23

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem โ†’ POTS MARKET POTS MONEY

KAISER

12,208 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 1 ay รถnce

World Cup 2026 kicks off June 11, accompanied by 48 teams, and billions of dollars are expected to flow through prediction markets in real time. With these events unfolding, prediction markets are finding their fit as the world stage for expressing opinions on real world outcomes like the World Cup 2026. But most of that money will flow through systems that are designed to take it from you, like traditional sports betting. Traditional sports betting is built around a house and a bookie that sets the odds and profits from your losses. The house controls whether you can even withdraw or not. Pots Market is built differently. With the Polymarket integration, it inherits deep peer-to-peer liquidity from day one. Users buy "Yes" or "No" shares for an event, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand, representing the crowd's estimated probability. There is no bookmaker that's control every bet like traditional platforms do. And Pots Market will have functions similar to a stock market. You can enter or exit a position at any time by selling your shares at the current market price before an event concludes, allowing you to lock in profits or cut losses. Here is what makes it different from anything else launching right now: (1) Resolution is on-chain, where the rules are visible to everyone and changeable by no one, making the code the referee rather than a central authority. (2) Capital is also programmable, where DeFi lending primitives let you size positions intelligently, sub-accounts isolate strategies, and the MCP interface lets you deploy autonomous AI agents to execute on your behalf. (3) And prediction is not limited to football, as crypto prices, and any real world outcome with a verifiable resolution becomes a tradeable position. The rate at which gambling amongst the younger populations is increasing is quite alarming, to say the least. It feels like almost every person within the age range of 18-30 is doing sports betting. With the largest sport event happening in just a few weeks, it is also the single largest coordinated prediction event on the planet, arriving at the exact moment when a generation of young, digitally-native bettors are looking for something better than what the house has been offering them. That generation already knows how to take risk. What they have never had is infrastructure that is not rigged and actually works in their favor. Pots Market is that infrastructure. Pots Market Pots Money
0:54

World Cup 2026 kicks off June 11, accompanied by 48 teams, and billions of dollars are expected to flow through prediction markets in real time. With these events unfolding, prediction markets are finding their fit as the world stage for expressing opinions on real world outcomes like the World Cup 2026. But most of that money will flow through systems that are designed to take it from you, like traditional sports betting. Traditional sports betting is built around a house and a bookie that sets the odds and profits from your losses. The house controls whether you can even withdraw or not. Pots Market is built differently. With the Polymarket integration, it inherits deep peer-to-peer liquidity from day one. Users buy "Yes" or "No" shares for an event, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand, representing the crowd's estimated probability. There is no bookmaker that's control every bet like traditional platforms do. And Pots Market will have functions similar to a stock market. You can enter or exit a position at any time by selling your shares at the current market price before an event concludes, allowing you to lock in profits or cut losses. Here is what makes it different from anything else launching right now: (1) Resolution is on-chain, where the rules are visible to everyone and changeable by no one, making the code the referee rather than a central authority. (2) Capital is also programmable, where DeFi lending primitives let you size positions intelligently, sub-accounts isolate strategies, and the MCP interface lets you deploy autonomous AI agents to execute on your behalf. (3) And prediction is not limited to football, as crypto prices, and any real world outcome with a verifiable resolution becomes a tradeable position. The rate at which gambling amongst the younger populations is increasing is quite alarming, to say the least. It feels like almost every person within the age range of 18-30 is doing sports betting. With the largest sport event happening in just a few weeks, it is also the single largest coordinated prediction event on the planet, arriving at the exact moment when a generation of young, digitally-native bettors are looking for something better than what the house has been offering them. That generation already knows how to take risk. What they have never had is infrastructure that is not rigged and actually works in their favor. Pots Market is that infrastructure. Pots Market Pots Money

lefttoorz ๐Ÿ‘‘

36,825 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

I kept thinking about one thing while creating this videoโ€ฆ What happens when the worldโ€™s biggest sports event collides with a decentralized prediction market built for real-time participation? Not just watching football anymore. Not just reacting after matches anymore. But millions of people moving with the same moments together in real time through liquidity, probability, strategy, and market participation. I wanted this video to feel like a glimpse into what that future could actually look like. The 2026 World Cup is coming. POTS MARKET is launching soon. And honestlyโ€ฆ this feels bigger than a normal prediction platform. This feels like football, market psychology, and Web3 infrastructure all colliding at the same moment. โ€œSame World Cup. Different Game.โ€ Explore more about the future of prediction markets here: Now take a few minutes to watch the video carefully from start to finish ๐Ÿ‘‡ #PotsMarket #WorldCup2026 #PredictionMarkets
3:38

I kept thinking about one thing while creating this videoโ€ฆ What happens when the worldโ€™s biggest sports event collides with a decentralized prediction market built for real-time participation? Not just watching football anymore. Not just reacting after matches anymore. But millions of people moving with the same moments together in real time through liquidity, probability, strategy, and market participation. I wanted this video to feel like a glimpse into what that future could actually look like. The 2026 World Cup is coming. POTS MARKET is launching soon. And honestlyโ€ฆ this feels bigger than a normal prediction platform. This feels like football, market psychology, and Web3 infrastructure all colliding at the same moment. โ€œSame World Cup. Different Game.โ€ Explore more about the future of prediction markets here: Now take a few minutes to watch the video carefully from start to finish ๐Ÿ‘‡ #PotsMarket #WorldCup2026 #PredictionMarkets

๐— ๐—œ๐—ฅ๐—˜๐—Ÿ ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—š๐—”๐—ฅ

20,177 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

Weโ€™re beginning to implement Polymarket Dashboards directly into the $SPECT App. This is an interface showcase - a first look at how on-chain prediction markets will live inside the Spectre AI ecosystem. Data will be synced in tomorrow. โœ… A Polymarket Landing Dashboard MVP is now being added to the homepage โœ… Full category analytics, trend mapping & sentiment overlays are being built โœ… AI Market Analysis and Bubble Engine integrations are in progress โœ… The end goal: real-time narrative + odds + influence visualization in one view This is just the start. The full suite will dig into market flows, sentiment velocity, X narratives and behavioral patterns behind each side of a prediction market. #Predictions becomes a clear window into why the market is shifting, where the general sentiment is heading. PolymarketBuild #PredictionMarkets #polymarket
0:37

Weโ€™re beginning to implement Polymarket Dashboards directly into the $SPECT App. This is an interface showcase - a first look at how on-chain prediction markets will live inside the Spectre AI ecosystem. Data will be synced in tomorrow. โœ… A Polymarket Landing Dashboard MVP is now being added to the homepage โœ… Full category analytics, trend mapping & sentiment overlays are being built โœ… AI Market Analysis and Bubble Engine integrations are in progress โœ… The end goal: real-time narrative + odds + influence visualization in one view This is just the start. The full suite will dig into market flows, sentiment velocity, X narratives and behavioral patterns behind each side of a prediction market. #Predictions becomes a clear window into why the market is shifting, where the general sentiment is heading. PolymarketBuild #PredictionMarkets #polymarket

SPECTRE AI

15,742 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 9 ay รถnce

โšฝ The 2026 FIFA World Cup is shaping up to be more than just the biggest football tournament ever organized, it could also become a defining moment for the growth of prediction markets globally. โšฝ๐ŸŒ With more countries participating, more matches being played, and billions of fans actively following every stage of the tournament, the amount of real time engagement around outcomes, trends, and public sentiment will likely increase massively. Events of this scale naturally create the perfect environment for prediction based ecosystems to thrive. Thatโ€™s one reason why Pots Market feels especially interesting right now. Instead of positioning itself as just another betting platform, the project appears to be exploring something much broader, combining prediction markets, on chain liquidity, and community driven insights into a more interactive ecosystem. The social layer around collective forecasting and market participation could become just as valuable as the predictions themselves. What also makes Pots Money stand out is the way it connects DeFi infrastructure with events that already attract global attention organically. Rather than forcing users into complicated financial systems, it brings Web3 mechanics into spaces people are already emotionally invested in like football, tournaments, global narratives, and crowd sentiment. You suddenly have sports culture, market psychology, liquidity movement, and community participation all existing within the same ecosystem. As major global events continue to merge with blockchain based participation models, prediction markets may slowly evolve into one of the clearest and strongest real world applications of Web3 technology. And if adoption continues growing at this pace, the 2026 World Cup might end up becoming one of the biggest catalysts the prediction market sector has seen so far. Pots Money Pots Market
5:47

โšฝ The 2026 FIFA World Cup is shaping up to be more than just the biggest football tournament ever organized, it could also become a defining moment for the growth of prediction markets globally. โšฝ๐ŸŒ With more countries participating, more matches being played, and billions of fans actively following every stage of the tournament, the amount of real time engagement around outcomes, trends, and public sentiment will likely increase massively. Events of this scale naturally create the perfect environment for prediction based ecosystems to thrive. Thatโ€™s one reason why Pots Market feels especially interesting right now. Instead of positioning itself as just another betting platform, the project appears to be exploring something much broader, combining prediction markets, on chain liquidity, and community driven insights into a more interactive ecosystem. The social layer around collective forecasting and market participation could become just as valuable as the predictions themselves. What also makes Pots Money stand out is the way it connects DeFi infrastructure with events that already attract global attention organically. Rather than forcing users into complicated financial systems, it brings Web3 mechanics into spaces people are already emotionally invested in like football, tournaments, global narratives, and crowd sentiment. You suddenly have sports culture, market psychology, liquidity movement, and community participation all existing within the same ecosystem. As major global events continue to merge with blockchain based participation models, prediction markets may slowly evolve into one of the clearest and strongest real world applications of Web3 technology. And if adoption continues growing at this pace, the 2026 World Cup might end up becoming one of the biggest catalysts the prediction market sector has seen so far. Pots Money Pots Market

Chioma Chukwurah โš›๏ธ๐Ÿฅทโš”๏ธ

18,702 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)
0:23

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)

steve

17,525 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 8 ay รถnce

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: โ€œI think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.โ€ โ€œAnd I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.โ€ โ€œI think we should have a federal regulatory body.โ€ โ€œThis is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.โ€ Chamath: โ€œ Look at Polymarket.โ€ โ€œPolymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.โ€ โ€œAnd you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.โ€ Friedberg: โ€œ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.โ€ โ€œAnd so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.โ€ โ€œPolymarket actually has the news before the news does.โ€ โ€œAnd this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.โ€ โ€œWhen you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.โ€
1:04

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: โ€œI think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.โ€ โ€œAnd I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.โ€ โ€œI think we should have a federal regulatory body.โ€ โ€œThis is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.โ€ Chamath: โ€œ Look at Polymarket.โ€ โ€œPolymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.โ€ โ€œAnd you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.โ€ Friedberg: โ€œ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.โ€ โ€œAnd so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.โ€ โ€œPolymarket actually has the news before the news does.โ€ โ€œAnd this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.โ€ โ€œWhen you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.โ€

The All-In Podcast

348,178 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 9 ay รถnce

BASECASE $CASE IS NOW LIVE! CA: 0x91Af643fc6db5eF56c3001a988bBbe40af6E2CcB Crypto, sports, weather, politics - or even a casual bet between friends. If you can think of it, you can find (or create) a market on BaseCase. The best part? Thereโ€™s no house setting the odds and extracting value. Participants trade directly against each other, in open, permissionless markets - not against a centralized intermediary designed to always win. But BaseCase is so much more than another prediction market. $CASE underpins a permissionless prediction ecosystem built around a core constraint: liquidity - the factor that has limited prediction marketsโ€™ ability to scale, remain efficient, and reach real-world relevance. TLDR? BaseCase is building the base layer all prediction markets will come to rely on - from market leaders like Polymarket, Binance, and MetaMask through to new and emerging platforms. At its core is the $CASE token - unlocking up to 50% of protocol fees, enhanced creator rewards, priority access, and much more to come. BaseCaseโ€™s TGE has officially occurred, and $CASE is now live for trading on Pineapple $PAPPLE. Buy $CASE now: #base #tge #seed #papple #launch #crypto
0:49

BASECASE $CASE IS NOW LIVE! CA: 0x91Af643fc6db5eF56c3001a988bBbe40af6E2CcB Crypto, sports, weather, politics - or even a casual bet between friends. If you can think of it, you can find (or create) a market on BaseCase. The best part? Thereโ€™s no house setting the odds and extracting value. Participants trade directly against each other, in open, permissionless markets - not against a centralized intermediary designed to always win. But BaseCase is so much more than another prediction market. $CASE underpins a permissionless prediction ecosystem built around a core constraint: liquidity - the factor that has limited prediction marketsโ€™ ability to scale, remain efficient, and reach real-world relevance. TLDR? BaseCase is building the base layer all prediction markets will come to rely on - from market leaders like Polymarket, Binance, and MetaMask through to new and emerging platforms. At its core is the $CASE token - unlocking up to 50% of protocol fees, enhanced creator rewards, priority access, and much more to come. BaseCaseโ€™s TGE has officially occurred, and $CASE is now live for trading on Pineapple $PAPPLE. Buy $CASE now: #base #tge #seed #papple #launch #crypto

Launch with Seed | $SEED

19,303 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 6 ay รถnce

The World Cup is rolling, crypto never stops swinging, and geopolitics keeps rewriting the script in real time. While the pundits argue on TV, the sharp money is already pricing in what happens next. POTS MARKET just launched as the clean, high performance front end built directly on Polymarket architecture. Same deep liquidity and trusted resolutions, but with an interface that actually moves as fast as the news. No clutter. No friction. Just pure edge on the events that matter. Watch the video for the full guide on how it works, then head to or scan the QR code in the video, sign up, deposit, and start trading. World Cup knockout stages, next BTC leg, or the latest flashpoint in global tension, you set the position. The future belongs to those who trade it, not those who watch it. My opinion after in-depth analysis:Pots Market looks like a well-timed frontend evolution on top of Polymarket's solid backbone. By inheriting proven liquidity and resolution mechanisms while focusing on usability and speed, it addresses one of the biggest pain points in prediction markets: clunky interfaces that scare away casual but informed participants. The connection to Polymarket gives it instant credibility and volume that most new platforms struggle years to achieve. With major events like the 2026 World Cup, persistent crypto volatility, and nonstop geopolitical developments providing natural market fuel, the timing feels right. If they execute on the "next generation" claims (cleaner tools, better mobile flow, perhaps tighter integration), this could carve out a meaningful niche for both degen traders and serious forecasters. Early stage still, but the setup is stronger than most launches in this space. Definitely worth a look if you're already in prediction markets or curious about putting skin in the game on real-world outcomes.
3:18

The World Cup is rolling, crypto never stops swinging, and geopolitics keeps rewriting the script in real time. While the pundits argue on TV, the sharp money is already pricing in what happens next. POTS MARKET just launched as the clean, high performance front end built directly on Polymarket architecture. Same deep liquidity and trusted resolutions, but with an interface that actually moves as fast as the news. No clutter. No friction. Just pure edge on the events that matter. Watch the video for the full guide on how it works, then head to or scan the QR code in the video, sign up, deposit, and start trading. World Cup knockout stages, next BTC leg, or the latest flashpoint in global tension, you set the position. The future belongs to those who trade it, not those who watch it. My opinion after in-depth analysis:Pots Market looks like a well-timed frontend evolution on top of Polymarket's solid backbone. By inheriting proven liquidity and resolution mechanisms while focusing on usability and speed, it addresses one of the biggest pain points in prediction markets: clunky interfaces that scare away casual but informed participants. The connection to Polymarket gives it instant credibility and volume that most new platforms struggle years to achieve. With major events like the 2026 World Cup, persistent crypto volatility, and nonstop geopolitical developments providing natural market fuel, the timing feels right. If they execute on the "next generation" claims (cleaner tools, better mobile flow, perhaps tighter integration), this could carve out a meaningful niche for both degen traders and serious forecasters. Early stage still, but the setup is stronger than most launches in this space. Definitely worth a look if you're already in prediction markets or curious about putting skin in the game on real-world outcomes.

โš“Michael$onโš“๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

15,869 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

I spent hours creating this. Not because it was another content task. But because I genuinely felt there was something deeper here. The 2026 World Cup is going to be different. Not just because of football, but because billions of people will react, predict, debate, and move together in real time like never before. While working on this, I kept thinking about one thing: What happens when global emotion starts behaving like infrastructure? Thatโ€™s the feeling I wanted this video to capture. I wanted this to feel immersive, thoughtful, and cinematic from start to finish. Just a cinematic look into what the future of prediction markets could actually feel like through Pots Market(POTS MARKET). If you watch one thing today, make it this. And when you finish, tell me honestly: Does this still feel like a normal prediction platform to you? Watch below ๐Ÿ‘‡
4:59

I spent hours creating this. Not because it was another content task. But because I genuinely felt there was something deeper here. The 2026 World Cup is going to be different. Not just because of football, but because billions of people will react, predict, debate, and move together in real time like never before. While working on this, I kept thinking about one thing: What happens when global emotion starts behaving like infrastructure? Thatโ€™s the feeling I wanted this video to capture. I wanted this to feel immersive, thoughtful, and cinematic from start to finish. Just a cinematic look into what the future of prediction markets could actually feel like through Pots Market(POTS MARKET). If you watch one thing today, make it this. And when you finish, tell me honestly: Does this still feel like a normal prediction platform to you? Watch below ๐Ÿ‘‡

Edrin Valecrest

317,391 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

today weโ€™re happy to announce actions fun v2 โ€” fully focused on creatorsโ€™ prediction markets thesis: livestreaming while launching a creator token will obviously become an industry standard and go mainstream, and .@pumpdotfun is working towards that at actions fun weโ€™re supporting this shift by giving creator tokens real utility and making viewers actually want to buy them prediction markets are inevitable, they will be everywhere โ€” on every topic, across every vertical. use cases will only keep expanding, and the future of prediction markets is permissionless imagine the amount of prediction markets that can be created during a single livestream โ€” whether itโ€™s gaming or irl. every moment, every decision can become a market actions fun is where prediction markets and livestreaming collide. both are on the rise, and together weโ€™ll rise even higher, shaping the new standard youโ€™re not ready for whatโ€™s coming creator capital markets.
0:41

today weโ€™re happy to announce actions fun v2 โ€” fully focused on creatorsโ€™ prediction markets thesis: livestreaming while launching a creator token will obviously become an industry standard and go mainstream, and .@pumpdotfun is working towards that at actions fun weโ€™re supporting this shift by giving creator tokens real utility and making viewers actually want to buy them prediction markets are inevitable, they will be everywhere โ€” on every topic, across every vertical. use cases will only keep expanding, and the future of prediction markets is permissionless imagine the amount of prediction markets that can be created during a single livestream โ€” whether itโ€™s gaming or irl. every moment, every decision can become a market actions fun is where prediction markets and livestreaming collide. both are on the rise, and together weโ€™ll rise even higher, shaping the new standard youโ€™re not ready for whatโ€™s coming creator capital markets.

actionsdotfun

17,966 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 10 ay รถnce

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! JPMorgan will dump $165 BILLION in U.S. stocks right after the market opens. If you think this is a "drop in the ocean" and it wonโ€™t affect the markets... YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Every time JP Morgan sells stocks, the S&P 500 drops 10โ€“20%. And this isn't just about the stock market. It's about liquidity. It's about investor sentiment. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain: JPMorgan isn't some retail trader taking profits. It's one of the largest and most influential financial institutions on the planet. When they move capital at scale, markets pay attention. And history shows that large institutional selling rarely happens in a vacuum. It usually signals something bigger. A shift in risk appetite. A change in liquidity conditions. Or growing concerns beneath the surface that most investors haven't recognized yet. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. The direct impact isn't limited to the stocks being sold. Because when a major institution dumps billions of dollars worth of equities, it affects sentiment across the entire market. Selling creates more selling. Liquidity gets thinner. Volatility increases. And risk assets everywhere start to feel the pressure. That's why this isn't just an S&P 500 story. The S&P 500 is the first domino. But the effects will spread into AI stocks. International equities. Commodities. Credit markets. And even digital assets. Today, people are positioned for stability. They're positioned for higher prices. They're positioned for the rally to continue. Which means they're vulnerable if liquidity suddenly moves in the opposite direction. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because one institution is selling. But because markets often underestimate what large-scale institutional selling can trigger. The risk isn't the transaction itself. The risk is how everyone else reacts to it. Markets aren't pricing that possibility today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called some of the biggest market tops and bottoms of the past 10+ years. And I'll call the next market crash in 2026 before the crowd sees it coming. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post my next market call here first.
0:39

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! JPMorgan will dump $165 BILLION in U.S. stocks right after the market opens. If you think this is a "drop in the ocean" and it wonโ€™t affect the markets... YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Every time JP Morgan sells stocks, the S&P 500 drops 10โ€“20%. And this isn't just about the stock market. It's about liquidity. It's about investor sentiment. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain: JPMorgan isn't some retail trader taking profits. It's one of the largest and most influential financial institutions on the planet. When they move capital at scale, markets pay attention. And history shows that large institutional selling rarely happens in a vacuum. It usually signals something bigger. A shift in risk appetite. A change in liquidity conditions. Or growing concerns beneath the surface that most investors haven't recognized yet. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. The direct impact isn't limited to the stocks being sold. Because when a major institution dumps billions of dollars worth of equities, it affects sentiment across the entire market. Selling creates more selling. Liquidity gets thinner. Volatility increases. And risk assets everywhere start to feel the pressure. That's why this isn't just an S&P 500 story. The S&P 500 is the first domino. But the effects will spread into AI stocks. International equities. Commodities. Credit markets. And even digital assets. Today, people are positioned for stability. They're positioned for higher prices. They're positioned for the rally to continue. Which means they're vulnerable if liquidity suddenly moves in the opposite direction. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because one institution is selling. But because markets often underestimate what large-scale institutional selling can trigger. The risk isn't the transaction itself. The risk is how everyone else reacts to it. Markets aren't pricing that possibility today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called some of the biggest market tops and bottoms of the past 10+ years. And I'll call the next market crash in 2026 before the crowd sees it coming. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post my next market call here first.

0xNobler

375,619 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 1 ay รถnce

When I was 8 years old, growing up in Taipei, I called my aunt in San Francisco and asked: What is the best science and technology school in the world? She said MIT. I went on the internet, found it, and decided that was where I was going. All because of a Steven Spielberg movie about a little robot boy who wanted to find his mom. I grew up as an only child. What stayed with me from that movie was not just the technology. It was the possibility that one day, an artificial companion could understand how I felt. That was the first time I remember being moved by a technology that could change how humans experience reality. Years later, I did get to MIT. I studied AI before it became obvious. I became a machine learning engineer, built my first company, joined a $3.5B VC fund, left to build again, failed, started again, moved to New York alone, and built through one of the hardest crypto markets as a solo founder after the collapse of FTX. I kept going because I have always been drawn to technologies that change how humans understand the world. AI was the first version of that. Crypto and prediction markets are the next. I believe the future I am building toward is inevitable. The only question is whether I get to be one of the people who helps realize it. That future is a world where markets become information-first. The old model of trading was asset-first. It rewarded people with capital, financial education, institutional access, and better tools. But the next generation of markets will be shaped by information flow, narrative, attention, politics, culture, sentiment, and collective belief. Prediction markets make this shift obvious. They are one of the first asset classes where the value is informational, not purely financial in the traditional sense. Your edge does not have to come from technical analysis or a traditional finance background. Your edge can come from knowing something before it becomes consensus. From seeing reality shift before the market prices it in. Someone with firsthand knowledge of an unfolding event can have more alpha than an institution with a much bigger balance sheet. They turn belief into price. But price alone is not enough. Polymarket shows what the market thinks will happen. ARES is built to understand why the market is changing. We are building an information-first trading platform for prediction markets and other narrative-driven assets. One that does not just show traders what is moving, but helps them understand why odds are shifting, why narratives are forming, and why the future is moving in a certain direction. But the bigger vision is not just a better trading terminal. We want to turn every trade into an information object. Every position can become a piece of content. Every market view can become a signal. Every trader can build a reputation around conviction and accuracy. Most feeds rank information by engagement. Who got the most likes. Who already has the biggest audience. Markets allow us to rank information differently. How much are you willing to stake on what you believe? How often have you been right? That creates a fundamentally different kind of media feed. One powered by conviction, track record, and market incentives. One that becomes harder to fake. One that can help people understand not just what the market thinks will happen, but why reality is changing. I also believe prediction markets are one of the few markets where humans can still have a real edge over AI. AI knows what is already on the internet. But humans experience reality before it becomes data. We see things before they become headlines. We hear things before they become reports. We feel shifts before they become consensus. If those signals can be priced, organized, and made legible, then more people can gain access to financial opportunity, information agency, and power. That is what Ares is building toward. I spent years watching founders from the VC side of the table, always thinking: I wish that was me. Now it is. I talked about this journey and the thesis behind Ares in my conversation with Dmitry on Predict Time If you are building, trading, investing, or thinking deeply about prediction markets and information markets, I would love for you to watch it. And if you want to collaborate on what we are building, contribute to the vision, or join the team, we are always open to exceptional people across functions. DMs are open.
1:42:20

When I was 8 years old, growing up in Taipei, I called my aunt in San Francisco and asked: What is the best science and technology school in the world? She said MIT. I went on the internet, found it, and decided that was where I was going. All because of a Steven Spielberg movie about a little robot boy who wanted to find his mom. I grew up as an only child. What stayed with me from that movie was not just the technology. It was the possibility that one day, an artificial companion could understand how I felt. That was the first time I remember being moved by a technology that could change how humans experience reality. Years later, I did get to MIT. I studied AI before it became obvious. I became a machine learning engineer, built my first company, joined a $3.5B VC fund, left to build again, failed, started again, moved to New York alone, and built through one of the hardest crypto markets as a solo founder after the collapse of FTX. I kept going because I have always been drawn to technologies that change how humans understand the world. AI was the first version of that. Crypto and prediction markets are the next. I believe the future I am building toward is inevitable. The only question is whether I get to be one of the people who helps realize it. That future is a world where markets become information-first. The old model of trading was asset-first. It rewarded people with capital, financial education, institutional access, and better tools. But the next generation of markets will be shaped by information flow, narrative, attention, politics, culture, sentiment, and collective belief. Prediction markets make this shift obvious. They are one of the first asset classes where the value is informational, not purely financial in the traditional sense. Your edge does not have to come from technical analysis or a traditional finance background. Your edge can come from knowing something before it becomes consensus. From seeing reality shift before the market prices it in. Someone with firsthand knowledge of an unfolding event can have more alpha than an institution with a much bigger balance sheet. They turn belief into price. But price alone is not enough. Polymarket shows what the market thinks will happen. ARES is built to understand why the market is changing. We are building an information-first trading platform for prediction markets and other narrative-driven assets. One that does not just show traders what is moving, but helps them understand why odds are shifting, why narratives are forming, and why the future is moving in a certain direction. But the bigger vision is not just a better trading terminal. We want to turn every trade into an information object. Every position can become a piece of content. Every market view can become a signal. Every trader can build a reputation around conviction and accuracy. Most feeds rank information by engagement. Who got the most likes. Who already has the biggest audience. Markets allow us to rank information differently. How much are you willing to stake on what you believe? How often have you been right? That creates a fundamentally different kind of media feed. One powered by conviction, track record, and market incentives. One that becomes harder to fake. One that can help people understand not just what the market thinks will happen, but why reality is changing. I also believe prediction markets are one of the few markets where humans can still have a real edge over AI. AI knows what is already on the internet. But humans experience reality before it becomes data. We see things before they become headlines. We hear things before they become reports. We feel shifts before they become consensus. If those signals can be priced, organized, and made legible, then more people can gain access to financial opportunity, information agency, and power. That is what Ares is building toward. I spent years watching founders from the VC side of the table, always thinking: I wish that was me. Now it is. I talked about this journey and the thesis behind Ares in my conversation with Dmitry on Predict Time If you are building, trading, investing, or thinking deeply about prediction markets and information markets, I would love for you to watch it. And if you want to collaborate on what we are building, contribute to the vision, or join the team, we are always open to exceptional people across functions. DMs are open.

Morgan Lai

302,663 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 3 ay รถnce

.Martin Shkreli explains why he's both bearish on prediction markets and runs a bot that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute Polymarket markets: "How much are you just financializing for financializing's sake, and is that sustainable when you actually need people with tons of money to fight the arbitrage gradient?" "For example, I've been running this bot on Polymarket that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute markets, which are somewhat inefficient." "Nobody needs to trade this. There's no actual benefit to trading this, other than that you can take two-to-N bets - you get around 96 bets a day - and with the money velocity of getting a lot of those right, you can compound insanely well." "Of course, it's random. But people's hope springs eternal that they could somehow get the rhythm of the market every 15 minutes. I think it's a waste of ingenuity and engineering."
1:56

.Martin Shkreli explains why he's both bearish on prediction markets and runs a bot that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute Polymarket markets: "How much are you just financializing for financializing's sake, and is that sustainable when you actually need people with tons of money to fight the arbitrage gradient?" "For example, I've been running this bot on Polymarket that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute markets, which are somewhat inefficient." "Nobody needs to trade this. There's no actual benefit to trading this, other than that you can take two-to-N bets - you get around 96 bets a day - and with the money velocity of getting a lot of those right, you can compound insanely well." "Of course, it's random. But people's hope springs eternal that they could somehow get the rhythm of the market every 15 minutes. I think it's a waste of ingenuity and engineering."

TBPN

151,807 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 6 ay รถnce

$ONDO is not a token waiting for adoption. It is already running two products with real money inside them right now. USDY: $2.14 billion in TVL. 3.55% APY. Deployed across Ethereum, Solana, Sui, Aptos, Mantle, Near, and six other chains. A yield-bearing stablecoin that outperforms a standard US Treasury Bill return every single day it runs. OUSG: $539 million in TVL. 3.43% APY. Built specifically for institutional investors who need 24/7 instant access to short-term US Treasuries without touching a bank or waiting for settlement windows. Combined TVL across both products: $2.68 billion. $ONDO's current market cap: $1.7 billion. Read that again. The protocol has $2.68 billion of real capital sitting inside its products right now and the market is valuing the entire protocol at $1.7 billion. TVL is 157% of market cap. Most DeFi protocols would celebrate a TVL equal to their market cap. $ONDO already has more real capital deployed in its products than the market thinks the entire protocol is worth. That is not a narrative. That is a balance sheet. USDY price accrues daily. OUSG beats the T-Bill rate consistently. Both are growing. Both are live. Both have institutional counterparties on the other side of every single transaction. The SEC confidential filing is active. The DTCC consortium seat is confirmed. Over 200 tokenised US stocks are preparing to launch on Solana. The product is built. The capital is inside it. The institutional pipeline is forming. The people who understood this before the repricing will not need to explain their positioning later
0:29

$ONDO is not a token waiting for adoption. It is already running two products with real money inside them right now. USDY: $2.14 billion in TVL. 3.55% APY. Deployed across Ethereum, Solana, Sui, Aptos, Mantle, Near, and six other chains. A yield-bearing stablecoin that outperforms a standard US Treasury Bill return every single day it runs. OUSG: $539 million in TVL. 3.43% APY. Built specifically for institutional investors who need 24/7 instant access to short-term US Treasuries without touching a bank or waiting for settlement windows. Combined TVL across both products: $2.68 billion. $ONDO's current market cap: $1.7 billion. Read that again. The protocol has $2.68 billion of real capital sitting inside its products right now and the market is valuing the entire protocol at $1.7 billion. TVL is 157% of market cap. Most DeFi protocols would celebrate a TVL equal to their market cap. $ONDO already has more real capital deployed in its products than the market thinks the entire protocol is worth. That is not a narrative. That is a balance sheet. USDY price accrues daily. OUSG beats the T-Bill rate consistently. Both are growing. Both are live. Both have institutional counterparties on the other side of every single transaction. The SEC confidential filing is active. The DTCC consortium seat is confirmed. Over 200 tokenised US stocks are preparing to launch on Solana. The product is built. The capital is inside it. The institutional pipeline is forming. The people who understood this before the repricing will not need to explain their positioning later

2xnmore

22,277 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 2 ay รถnce

Hey folks, Pots Market is absolutely on fire lately. We just smashed past 300k in trading volume with close to 1800 sharp minds piling into everything from sports blowouts to crypto chaos and beyond. The leaderboard looks like a battlefield of winners right now, with some folks banking thousand dollar pops on a single well timed call and rocketing up the ranks.Its prediction market mayhem at its finest, where the real edge goes to anyone who can read the tea leaves better than the crowd. If you want the no fluff playbook on spotting those high conviction setups, staking bonds like a pro, and clawing your way up that leaderboard, watch the video below. Then head over to and get in the game. The pots are getting fatter by the hour. Dont sleep on this one.
3:45

Hey folks, Pots Market is absolutely on fire lately. We just smashed past 300k in trading volume with close to 1800 sharp minds piling into everything from sports blowouts to crypto chaos and beyond. The leaderboard looks like a battlefield of winners right now, with some folks banking thousand dollar pops on a single well timed call and rocketing up the ranks.Its prediction market mayhem at its finest, where the real edge goes to anyone who can read the tea leaves better than the crowd. If you want the no fluff playbook on spotting those high conviction setups, staking bonds like a pro, and clawing your way up that leaderboard, watch the video below. Then head over to and get in the game. The pots are getting fatter by the hour. Dont sleep on this one.

โš“Michael$onโš“๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

11,367 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 1 ay รถnce

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: THE WORST DAY OF 2026 IS TOMORROW. JPMorgan is preparing to dump $165,000,000,000 into the market right at open. Thinking this wonโ€™t move the market? Youโ€™re in for the rudest awakening of your life. Every time JP Morgan sells stocks, the S&P 500 drops 10โ€“20%. And this isn't just about the stock market. It's about liquidity. It's about investor sentiment. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain: JPMorgan isn't some retail trader taking profits. It's one of the largest and most influential financial institutions on the planet. When they move capital at scale, markets pay attention. And history shows that large institutional selling rarely happens in a vacuum. It usually signals something bigger. A shift in risk appetite. A change in liquidity conditions. Or growing concerns beneath the surface that most investors haven't recognized yet. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. The direct impact isn't limited to the stocks being sold. Because when a major institution dumps billions of dollars worth of equities, it affects sentiment across the entire market. Selling creates more selling. Liquidity gets thinner. Volatility increases. And risk assets everywhere start to feel the pressure. That's why this isn't just an S&P 500 story. The S&P 500 is the first domino. But the effects will spread into AI stocks. International equities. Commodities. Credit markets. And even digital assets. Today, people are positioned for stability. They're positioned for higher prices. They're positioned for the rally to continue. Which means they're vulnerable if liquidity suddenly moves in the opposite direction. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because one institution is selling. But because markets often underestimate what large-scale institutional selling can trigger. The risk isn't the transaction itself. The risk is how everyone else reacts to it. Markets aren't pricing that possibility today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called some of the biggest market tops and bottoms of the past 10+ years. And I'll call the next market crash in 2026 before the crowd sees it coming. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post my next market call here first.
0:37

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: THE WORST DAY OF 2026 IS TOMORROW. JPMorgan is preparing to dump $165,000,000,000 into the market right at open. Thinking this wonโ€™t move the market? Youโ€™re in for the rudest awakening of your life. Every time JP Morgan sells stocks, the S&P 500 drops 10โ€“20%. And this isn't just about the stock market. It's about liquidity. It's about investor sentiment. And it's about a market that isn't prepared for what's coming. Let me explain: JPMorgan isn't some retail trader taking profits. It's one of the largest and most influential financial institutions on the planet. When they move capital at scale, markets pay attention. And history shows that large institutional selling rarely happens in a vacuum. It usually signals something bigger. A shift in risk appetite. A change in liquidity conditions. Or growing concerns beneath the surface that most investors haven't recognized yet. Now here's the part almost nobody talks about. The direct impact isn't limited to the stocks being sold. Because when a major institution dumps billions of dollars worth of equities, it affects sentiment across the entire market. Selling creates more selling. Liquidity gets thinner. Volatility increases. And risk assets everywhere start to feel the pressure. That's why this isn't just an S&P 500 story. The S&P 500 is the first domino. But the effects will spread into AI stocks. International equities. Commodities. Credit markets. And even digital assets. Today, people are positioned for stability. They're positioned for higher prices. They're positioned for the rally to continue. Which means they're vulnerable if liquidity suddenly moves in the opposite direction. THIS IS THE WARNING. Not because one institution is selling. But because markets often underestimate what large-scale institutional selling can trigger. The risk isn't the transaction itself. The risk is how everyone else reacts to it. Markets aren't pricing that possibility today. But eventually, they will. I've spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles. I've called some of the biggest market tops and bottoms of the past 10+ years. And I'll call the next market crash in 2026 before the crowd sees it coming. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post my next market call here first.

WhaleTwits

340,759 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 1 ay รถnce

every time you hit buy, the market maker on the other side already solved for two numbers not on the asset - on you specifically the first: their internal fair value. not the midpoint you see on screen their number is adjusted for the last 30 seconds of order flow, their current inventory imbalance and which volatility regime the model thinks the market is in it's different from the displayed price, and they never show it to you the second: your adverse selection probability. a live estimate of whether you're informed or just emotional if the model flags you as a potential informed trader, the spread widens before your fill - automatically, invisibly, before you notice anything changed that bad fill you blamed on "low liquidity"? sometimes it's a market maker's algorithm deciding you look too dangerous to fill at the quoted price this is Glosten-Milgrom - published 1985, sits in every market microstructure textbook on earth, runs inside every serious market making operation that's ever quoted you a price Bookmark this feature before it lost when you click buy, you're answering a question you didn't know was being asked retail spends all its time thinking about where price is going the desk filling your order is spending that same time thinking about you
0:30

every time you hit buy, the market maker on the other side already solved for two numbers not on the asset - on you specifically the first: their internal fair value. not the midpoint you see on screen their number is adjusted for the last 30 seconds of order flow, their current inventory imbalance and which volatility regime the model thinks the market is in it's different from the displayed price, and they never show it to you the second: your adverse selection probability. a live estimate of whether you're informed or just emotional if the model flags you as a potential informed trader, the spread widens before your fill - automatically, invisibly, before you notice anything changed that bad fill you blamed on "low liquidity"? sometimes it's a market maker's algorithm deciding you look too dangerous to fill at the quoted price this is Glosten-Milgrom - published 1985, sits in every market microstructure textbook on earth, runs inside every serious market making operation that's ever quoted you a price Bookmark this feature before it lost when you click buy, you're answering a question you didn't know was being asked retail spends all its time thinking about where price is going the desk filling your order is spending that same time thinking about you

Livsun

18,906 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 1 ay รถnce

A lot of discussion and announcements around prediction markets: purely for fun, I've built a demo app. Meet Betcha, my attempt to broaden the prediction markets TAM. ๐Ÿ“Š Current state: Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are powerful truth-seeking tools because money on the line and arbitrage keep prices honest as new information hits. Most participants today are traders and bettors who are very fee-sensitive, so raising fees will be challenging. Growth has to come from much higher volume, which is achievable, but it will take time. ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Sportsbook/Regulatory Environment: Because CFTC-regulated event contracts create a potential path into some states that have not legalized sports betting, prediction-market rails can help sportsbooks reach markets they previously could not. Reframing parlays and prop-style outcomes as โ€œpredictionsโ€ is clever and expands reach from zero revenue in states where they can't operate sportsbooks to something. Still, these products will likely remain volume-constrained, struggling to match a traditional sportsbookโ€™s vig. The positive is that the sportsbooks won't be getting gouged by state-level taxes as part of the process of leveraging prediction markets vs. sportsbooks. I still think this will be an exciting category that emerges, but it will take time. I want to see Polymarket build its own PM sports-specific app to compete here vs whitelabel (cc: Shayne Coplan ๐Ÿฆ…) ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market expansion thesis: Stop optimizing just for traders. Try building for the culture that lives on TikTok/Twitter/Reddit. They're already making predictions - just give them a scoreboard and an easier way to participate in returns. ๐ŸŽช Behavioral unlock: The mass market will never identify as "bettors." They want social proof, bragging rights, and gamified experiences. Critically, they're far less fee-sensitive when entertainment value is high, and that's the opportunity Prediction markets have a volume and take rate dilemma, and I think fun consumer apps like this can help solve it. Fine-tune the algorithm to serve event contracts I actually care about, let me lock in a pick fast, and build simple social features on top. Anyway, here's my demo. Any feedback/discussion is welcome!
0:34

A lot of discussion and announcements around prediction markets: purely for fun, I've built a demo app. Meet Betcha, my attempt to broaden the prediction markets TAM. ๐Ÿ“Š Current state: Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are powerful truth-seeking tools because money on the line and arbitrage keep prices honest as new information hits. Most participants today are traders and bettors who are very fee-sensitive, so raising fees will be challenging. Growth has to come from much higher volume, which is achievable, but it will take time. ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Sportsbook/Regulatory Environment: Because CFTC-regulated event contracts create a potential path into some states that have not legalized sports betting, prediction-market rails can help sportsbooks reach markets they previously could not. Reframing parlays and prop-style outcomes as โ€œpredictionsโ€ is clever and expands reach from zero revenue in states where they can't operate sportsbooks to something. Still, these products will likely remain volume-constrained, struggling to match a traditional sportsbookโ€™s vig. The positive is that the sportsbooks won't be getting gouged by state-level taxes as part of the process of leveraging prediction markets vs. sportsbooks. I still think this will be an exciting category that emerges, but it will take time. I want to see Polymarket build its own PM sports-specific app to compete here vs whitelabel (cc: Shayne Coplan ๐Ÿฆ…) ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market expansion thesis: Stop optimizing just for traders. Try building for the culture that lives on TikTok/Twitter/Reddit. They're already making predictions - just give them a scoreboard and an easier way to participate in returns. ๐ŸŽช Behavioral unlock: The mass market will never identify as "bettors." They want social proof, bragging rights, and gamified experiences. Critically, they're far less fee-sensitive when entertainment value is high, and that's the opportunity Prediction markets have a volume and take rate dilemma, and I think fun consumer apps like this can help solve it. Fine-tune the algorithm to serve event contracts I actually care about, let me lock in a pick fast, and build simple social features on top. Anyway, here's my demo. Any feedback/discussion is welcome!

Ryan Wyatt

83,651 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 11 ay รถnce

Sports books take 10% of every bet and ban winners. Novig founder and CEO Jacob Fortinsky joins our Stateful podcast, hosted by Mason Strom. In this episode, they discuss why prediction markets may replace the casino model in sports: - Sports books kick out profitable users. - 5% better odds on average vs. traditional platforms - CFTC shift: sports event contracts regulated as financial products nationwide - Be your own house: set your own odds, collect the spread - $2T global sports market with zero dominant exchange 00:17 The $75M Bet on Sports Prediction Markets 01:08 From StubHub Algorithms to Prediction Markets 02:21 Replacing the House: Peer-to-Peer Sports Betting 03:59 Do Sportsbooks Survive? 06:14 Be Your Own House: The Market Maker Model 08:35 How Novig Makes Money Without a Vig 10:23 Why Now? The Regulatory Shift Changing Everything 11:51 The Modern Sports Bettor: More Trader Than Fan 14:58 Prediction Market Regulation: Lawsuits, CFTC & Congress 17:45 Novig vs. DraftKings, Polymarket & Robinhood 20:18 Where Prediction Markets Go From Here 22:48 Quickfire: Favorite Sport to Bet On 24:37 Founder Advice: Stay Alive & Don't Chase Trends 26:22 Hiring for Culture Over Raw Talent
29:30

Sports books take 10% of every bet and ban winners. Novig founder and CEO Jacob Fortinsky joins our Stateful podcast, hosted by Mason Strom. In this episode, they discuss why prediction markets may replace the casino model in sports: - Sports books kick out profitable users. - 5% better odds on average vs. traditional platforms - CFTC shift: sports event contracts regulated as financial products nationwide - Be your own house: set your own odds, collect the spread - $2T global sports market with zero dominant exchange 00:17 The $75M Bet on Sports Prediction Markets 01:08 From StubHub Algorithms to Prediction Markets 02:21 Replacing the House: Peer-to-Peer Sports Betting 03:59 Do Sportsbooks Survive? 06:14 Be Your Own House: The Market Maker Model 08:35 How Novig Makes Money Without a Vig 10:23 Why Now? The Regulatory Shift Changing Everything 11:51 The Modern Sports Bettor: More Trader Than Fan 14:58 Prediction Market Regulation: Lawsuits, CFTC & Congress 17:45 Novig vs. DraftKings, Polymarket & Robinhood 20:18 Where Prediction Markets Go From Here 22:48 Quickfire: Favorite Sport to Bet On 24:37 Founder Advice: Stay Alive & Don't Chase Trends 26:22 Hiring for Culture Over Raw Talent

Pantera Capital

25,422 gรถrรผntรผleme โ€ข 4 ay รถnce